Wednesday, September26, 2018 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Blue Hill, ME

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
9/17/2018 XTide broke when 1and1 "upgraded" my server. It has been esculated. I am sorry for the problem.

Sunrise 6:26AMSunset 6:25PM Wednesday September 26, 2018 6:19 AM EDT (10:19 UTC) Moonrise 7:35PMMoonset 7:44AM Illumination 97% Phase: Waning Gibbous; Moon at 16 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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ANZ052 Intra Coastal Waters From Schoodic Point, Me To Stonington, Me- 603 Am Edt Wed Sep 26 2018
.small craft advisory in effect through this evening...
Today..SW winds 20 to 25 kt, diminishing to 15 to 20 kt late this morning and early afternoon, then increasing to 20 to 25 kt late. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Areas of fog. Rain likely early this morning. A chance of drizzle this morning. Scattered showers late this morning and afternoon. Vsby 1 nm or less.
Tonight..SW winds 20 to 25 kt with gusts up to 30 kt, becoming nw 15 to 20 kt with gusts up to 25 kt after midnight. Seas 4 to 6 ft. A chance of tstms. Rain likely in the evening, then scattered showers after midnight. Areas of fog. Vsby 1 nm or less.
Thu..N winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt, diminishing to 5 to 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas 2 to 4 ft.
Thu night..E winds around 5 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft.
Fri..E winds around 5 kt, becoming se in the afternoon. Seas 2 to 3 ft.
Fri night..SW winds around 5 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft.
Sat..W winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming nw. Seas 2 to 3 ft.
Sun..NW winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming sw. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Winds and seas higher in and near tstms.
ANZ005 603 Am Edt Wed Sep 26 2018
Synopsis for eastport me to stonington me out 25 nm.. Warm moist air will surge N ahead of a strong cold front today. The front will cross the waters after midnight tonight followed by high pres on Thu.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Blue Hill, ME
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location: 44.24, -68.56     debug


Area Discussion for - Caribou, ME
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Fxus61 kcar 261005
afdcar
area forecast discussion
national weather service caribou me
605 am edt Wed sep 26 2018

Synopsis
A warm front will lift north of the area today followed by a
strong cold front tonight. High pressure will build over the
region on Thursday then move east on Friday.

Near term through tonight
6 am update... Showers look very light and spotty on radar and
upstream for the next several hours to lowered pops to just
scattered showers through midday. Expect showers to become more
numerous ahead of the front later this afternoon. Also, brought
temps up a couple degrees through early morning hours.

High pressure to our east combined with low pressure lifting to
our northwest will bring a warm and very moist southerly wind
today with showers and drizzle. The air will become very humid
with dew points surging into the mid 60s across the area by
midday. Most of the rain will be spotty until a strong cold
front approaches this evening which will bring a band of heavier
rain into the area ahead of it. Forecast soundings show some
strong shear in the low levels which, combined with some weak
cape, could result in a few storms with organized circulation.

An isolated tornado is possible, mainly in central and western
areas where there will be more cape. Precipitable water will be
up to 1.8 inches ahead of the front so heavy downpours will be
possible as the front pushes through. However, storms should be
fast moving. Will keep mention of gusty winds with the storms
this evening. The front will quickly push through overnight
followed by clearing pressing in from the northwest.

Short term Thursday through Friday
The cold front is expected to be well east of the region by
Thursday morning W high pres building in from the sw. Temps
will be cooler by seasonal for late september W a decent amount
of sunshine. Much cooler Thursday night W mostly clear skies and
light winds. This will lead to temps dropping into the
mid upper 30s across portions of the N and W while most of the
region will see low to mid 40s for overnight lows.

Friday will feature sunshine to start out the day as high pres
lifts into labrador. An area of low pres is shown by the model
guidance to lift up from the mid atlc region and move across the
gulf of maine later Friday into Friday night. Also, a cold front
will be apchg from the CWA from the w. There will be increasing
clouds but there is some discrepancy on the potential for some
light rain to makes its way into the downeast region as the low
moves toward the gulf of maine. The canadian global shows this
potential while the GFS brings a band of light rain toward the
coast, but washes it out as it tries to advance northward. The
00z run of the ECMWF keeps this light rain off the coast keeping
the entire CWA dry. Decided to keep the day dry for Friday and
lean W milder daytime temps as readings climb into the mid upper
60s.

Long term Friday night through Tuesday
A cold front is forecast to apch the state from quebec Friday
night and move across the region on Saturday. As mentioned
above, brought increasing clouds and increased pops to 30-40%
for the northern 1 2 of the CWA for showers. All the long range
guidance including the gfs, ECMWF and canadian global line up
well W some shower activity W the cold fropa. Rainfall amounts
look to be less than 0.10". It will be much cooler come Saturday
night into Sunday. Overnight lows Saturday night are forecast to
drop into the 30s for just about the entire CWA and daytime
temps on Sunday are forecast to be in the 50s N and W to around
60 for central and downeast areas.

It appears that this cooler airmass will hang on across the
region right into early next week as high pres builds across the
state W daytime temps in the 50s to lower 60s and overnight lows
in the 30s and 40s. The next chance for rain looks like it could
be later Tuesday. Attm, decided to keep rainfall chances at 40%.

Aviation 10z Wednesday through Sunday
Near term: ifr conditions in low clouds are expected today into
this evening. Ssw wind shear 40 kt at 2k ft is expected today
into this evening ahead of the front. An improvement toVFR is
expected late tonight following the frontal passage.

Short term:VFR for Thursday into Saturday. The exception to
this will be the MVFR ifr CIGS that are possible later Friday
night into Saturday for kbgr and kbhb as a S flow sets up. The
northern terminals could see a period of MVFR Saturday W the
cold frontal passage.

Marine
Near term: a gale warning is up through this evening for winds
gusting up to 40 kt ahead of the cold front. Humid air over the
waters will result in fog on the waters today into early this
evening. Clearing will follow the front late tonight.

Short term: SCA conditions early Thursday especially for the
seas as wave heights are expected to be up around 6 ft or so.

Conditions are expected to the improve during the day on
Thursday W a NW wind and speeds dropping off. The seas will
respond accordingly subsiding back to 4-5 ft by the afternoon.

Conditions look to remain below SCA thresholds into Sunday
w 5-10 kt winds and seas 3-4 ft at best.

Car watches warnings advisories
Me... None.

Marine... Small craft advisory until midnight edt tonight for anz052.

Gale warning until midnight edt tonight for anz050-051.

Near term... Bloomer
short term... Hewitt
long term... Hewitt
aviation... Bloomer hewitt
marine... Bloomer hewitt


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
ATGM1 - 8413320 - Bar Harbor, ME 22 mi31 min SW 6 G 21 64°F 56°F1017 hPa
44034 - Buoy I0103 - Eastern Maine Shelf 26 mi75 min SSW 23 G 35 61°F 55°F9 ft1017.5 hPa
44033 - Buoy F0103 - West Penobscot Bay 26 mi75 min SSW 18 G 21 60°F 58°F6 ft1015.8 hPa
MDRM1 - Mt Desert Rock, ME 30 mi19 min SSE 30 G 33 63°F 1017.7 hPa (-1.7)
MISM1 - Matinicus Rock, ME 35 mi79 min S 26 G 28 62°F 1017 hPa (-2.0)

Wind History for Bar Harbor, ME
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Bar Harbor, Hancock County-Bar Harbor Airport, ME18 mi23 minSSW 157.00 miOvercast63°F63°F100%1017.7 hPa

Wind History from BHB (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrN4N3CalmSE12
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1 day agoN9N8NE12NE11NE4N7N1043--SW10S6SW3CalmCalmCalmCalmN3N3N4CalmN3N4N6
2 days agoCalmCalmCalmSE4S10S9S12S11S11SW13SW11SW6SW7SW5SW3CalmN11N13N10
G18
N10
G16
N7N5N5N8

Tide / Current Tables for Naskeag Harbor, Penobscot Bay, Maine
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Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.


Tide / Current Tables for Sedgwick, Penobscot Bay, Maine
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Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.


Weather Map and Satellite Images
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wmap_A
GOES Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Wind Forecast for Caribou, ME (6,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Portland, ME
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.