Friday, January19, 2018 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Farmingdale, ME

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
6/25/2017 - NOAA is having a major issue that impact the 7 day forecast load times. Many users are reporting problems. The issue has been reported.
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.

Sunrise 7:06AMSunset 4:33PM Friday January 19, 2018 6:15 PM EST (23:15 UTC) Moonrise 9:36AMMoonset 8:10PM Illumination 10% Phase: Waxing Crescent; Moon at 3 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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ANZ153 Casco Bay- 255 Pm Est Fri Jan 19 2018
.small craft advisory in effect from Saturday morning through Saturday afternoon...
Tonight..SW winds 5 to 15 kt, increasing to 10 to 20 kt after midnight. Seas 2 to 4 ft.
Sat..SW winds 15 to 20 kt, becoming W 10 to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 3 to 5 ft.
Sat night..W winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft.
Sun..W winds around 5 kt. Seas 1 to 2 ft in the morning, then 1 foot or less.
Sun night..N winds around 5 kt. Seas 1 foot or less.
Mon..NE winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 to 2 ft, building to 2 to 3 ft in the afternoon.
Mon night..E winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Snow likely. Vsby variable to less than one quarter nm.
Tue..SE winds 10 to 20 kt with gusts up to 25 kt. Seas 4 to 7 ft. Rain. Vsby 1 to 3 nm.
Tue night..SW winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 25 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. A chance of rain and snow showers. Vsby 1 to 3 nm.
Wed..W winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts up to 25 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft.
Wed night..W winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 25 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft.
ANZ100 255 Pm Est Fri Jan 19 2018
Synopsis for stonington me to merrimack river ma out to 25 nm.. A weak trough of low pressure approaches the waters tonight. Low pressure will pass to the north of the waters Saturday with high pressure gradually building in thereafter. Low pressure approaches from the west Monday night and crosses the waters Tuesday and Tuesday night.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Farmingdale, ME
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location: 44.28, -69.78     debug


Area Discussion for - Gray/Portland, ME
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Fxus61 kgyx 192023
afdgyx
area forecast discussion
national weather service gray me
323 pm est Fri jan 19 2018

Synopsis
A weak ridge of high pressure will build into the region today
with temperatures a bit warmer than yesterday. A milder flow
and above normal temperatures follow for the upcoming weekend. A
storm system moving into the great lakes will bring wintry
precipitation Monday into Tuesday with temperatures warming. A
cold front Tuesday night brings colder air back into the region.

Near term through tonight
Weak short wave that brought snow showers to the north earlier
today has moved offshore and will be replaced with milder wnw
flow aloft. Cloudy skies prevail this afternoon with 20s and 30s
across the region. Warmer temperatures are in place to the sw
over pa and nj where stronger southerly winds were in place in
the vicinity of a forming surface trough. To the north, low
pressure was traversing through ontario province... And this may
trigger a few light snow showers along the international border
overnight. Weak short wave that brought snow showers to the
north earlier today has moved offshore and will be replaced with
milder wnw flow aloft. Overnight lows will drop into the lower
20s north to mid 20s south before rising as a non-diurnal
temperature trend is expected with warm air advection regime
building in.

Short term Saturday through Saturday night
The morning will be followed by a weak cold front and modest
cold air advection. Nevertheless, expect some melting to occur
with readings in the 30s in the north to the mid 40s near 50 in
the south. There will be a continued threat for scattered snow
showers in the mountains. This will mainly be across the
northwest facing upslope regions of the higher terrain. Saturday
night colder air will filter in to the north with temperatures
dropping into the teens... Elsewhere we'll see lower in the 20s.

Long term Sunday through Friday
Other than the overall theme of milder than normal in the
extended... Focus is mainly on next precip event.

Trof is forecast to move onshore across the wrn CONUS by
tomorrow and track across the country with broad sly flow ahead
of it. At the same time high pressure is forecast to build
across quebec just ahead of the approaching storm. This general
evolution is supported by ensemble guidance... With differences
in positioning but consistent timing. The high pressure building
in N of the approaching low... And positioning off to the ne... Is
favorable for colder surface temps than currently forecast by
nwp. I continued the trend of undercutting guidance for the tue
high temp... With non-diurnal trend of slow warming Mon night.

This brings a mixed bag of precip into play... Especially tue.

Snow... Become sleet... Freezing rain... And even rain is all on
the table. That being said... Regional raobs have not yet had a
chance to sample this wave over the pacific... And that may
change model guidance sat... Especially Sat evening. The GEFS and
ecmwf eps remain at odds regarding the location of that high
pressure... Which will be critical to ptype forecasts. Clustering
of ensemble members hints that a S WV trof that amplifies sooner
over the wrn CONUS tends to favor the colder solutions by the
time it reaches the northeast... Possibly due to WAA processes
having maxed out well to our W rather than nearby. So for I see
no reason to deviate significantly from the previous
forecast... Which seemed reasonable.

Beyond that event... High pressure builds back in with return
flow gradually moderating temps upward thru the end of the week.

Aviation 19z Friday through Wednesday
Short term... MainlyVFR conditions across the region, however
northernmost regions such as hie and hie will likely have a
period of MVFR conditions in lower stratus and -shsn. Gusty sw
winds will develop Saturday.

Long term... GenerallyVFR conditions set to prevail to end the
weekend. High pressure will build N of the area while the next
storm system approaches from the w. High is well positioned to
keep cooler solutions in play... But widespread ifr conditions
are looking fairly likely. All ptypes are a possibility... With
sn at the onset Mon night... Transitioning from SW to ne. Some
coastal terminals... Even as far N as mht... May change to ra
before tapering off Tue afternoon evening. Will have to monitor
llws as well... With light to NE surface winds... And SW flow
aloft across SRN parts of the forecast area. Wly flow dominates
wed... With MVFR clouds and shsn in the mtns near hie lingering.

Marine
Short term... Winds and seas will increase late tonight and
Saturday. There will be a period of scas, especially out over
the outer waters. Winds may approach gales, but we will only see
2-3 hours of them over the far outer waters. Therefore feel scas
were more appropriate.

Long term... Winds and seas will increase ahead of the next
approaching storm system Mon night into tue. Gale force wind
gusts are possible outside the bays... With SCA conditions likely
continuing into the end of the week.

Hydrology
Several points along area rivers remain at high water
levels... Including the kennebec river at augusta. Please see the
flood potential outlook (esfgyx) for more information about the
flooding threat.

Gyx watches warnings advisories
Me... None.

Nh... None.

Marine... Small craft advisory from 6 am to 6 pm est Saturday for anz153.

Small craft advisory from 1 am to 6 pm est Saturday for
anz150>152-154.

Near term... Hanes
short term... Hanes
long term... Legro


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
44033 - Buoy F0103 - West Penobscot Bay 44 mi71 min SSW 1.9 G 1.9 31°F 33°F1 ft1012.5 hPa
44032 - Buoy E0104 - Central Maine Shelf 45 mi71 min SSW 3.9 G 5.8 32°F 2 ft1012.4 hPa
CASM1 - 8418150 - Portland, ME 50 mi45 min 36°F 34°F1012.5 hPa

Wind History for Wells, ME
(wind in knots)    EDIT      (on/off)   Help
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Augusta, Augusta State Airport, ME3 mi22 minSSW 410.00 miOvercast29°F19°F69%1012.1 hPa
Waterville, Waterville Robert LaFleur Airport, ME19 mi19 minSW 310.00 miOvercast28°F21°F75%1013.2 hPa
Wiscasset Airport, ME23 mi22 minN 010.00 miOvercast29°F25°F85%1012.8 hPa

Wind History from AUG (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrNW5CalmNW5CalmNW5W3E3N3S3S3CalmCalmS4CalmS3CalmW6SW6W6CalmSW5CalmS4SW4
1 day agoN6N4NW5NW6NW3NW3CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmNW6NW6NW7NW7N5NW9NW11
G18
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W9NW7NW7NW5NW5
2 days agoCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmN4N3N6N3N6N6N6N5N7N6N6N6N6

Tide / Current Tables for Hallowell, Kennebec River, Maine
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Hallowell
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Fri -- 04:14 AM EST     4.06 feet High Tide
Fri -- 07:09 AM EST     Sunrise
Fri -- 08:35 AM EST     Moonrise
Fri -- 11:10 AM EST     0.37 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 04:16 PM EST     4.54 feet High Tide
Fri -- 04:31 PM EST     Sunset
Fri -- 07:10 PM EST     Moonset
Fri -- 11:41 PM EST     -0.02 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
0.21.22.53.5443.62.921.20.60.40.61.52.83.94.54.443.32.31.30.50.1

Tide / Current Tables for Nehumkeag Island, Kennebec River, Maine
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Nehumkeag Island
Click for Map
Fri -- 03:41 AM EST     5.01 feet High Tide
Fri -- 07:08 AM EST     Sunrise
Fri -- 08:35 AM EST     Moonrise
Fri -- 09:53 AM EST     0.45 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 03:43 PM EST     5.60 feet High Tide
Fri -- 04:31 PM EST     Sunset
Fri -- 07:10 PM EST     Moonset
Fri -- 10:24 PM EST     -0.03 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
1.52.94.14.954.63.72.51.40.70.50.91.93.34.65.45.65.24.231.60.500.1

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
wmap_A
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
east_satellite

GOES Local Image of Northeast    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for Gray/Portland, ME (18,4,5,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Portland, ME
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.