Thursday, January24, 2019 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Farmingdale, ME

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
10/6/2018 Colors of tide XTide graphs changed to emphasize that they were upgraded. See next note. Comments welcome.
10/4/2018 I have fixed XTide and updated the harmonic files. There were some name changes so you might have to click EDIT to find the new station name.

Sunrise 7:03AMSunset 4:38PM Thursday January 24, 2019 5:38 AM EST (10:38 UTC) Moonrise 10:08PMMoonset 10:29AM Illumination 87% Phase: Waning Gibbous; Moon at 18 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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ANZ153 Casco Bay- 330 Am Est Thu Jan 24 2019
.gale warning in effect from 8 am est this morning through this evening...
Today..S winds 15 to 25 kt, increasing to 20 to 30 kt this afternoon. Gusts up to 40 kt. Seas 4 to 7 ft, building to 7 to 10 ft this afternoon. Rain. Areas of fog this morning. Patchy fog this afternoon. Vsby 1 to 3 nm.
Tonight..W winds 15 to 20 kt, becoming nw 10 to 20 kt after midnight. Gusts up to 30 kt. Seas 6 to 9 ft, subsiding to 4 to 7 ft after midnight. A chance of rain in the evening. Patchy fog. Vsby 1 to 3 nm.
Fri..W winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming 5 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas 2 to 4 ft.
Fri night..W winds 10 to 15 kt, becoming nw 5 to 15 kt after midnight. Gusts up to 25 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Light freezing spray after midnight.
Sat..W winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Light freezing spray in the morning.
Sat night..SW winds around 5 kt, becoming se after midnight. Seas 2 to 4 ft.
Sun..S winds 5 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. A chance of snow showers. Vsby 1 to 3 nm.
Sun night..SW winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. A chance of snow showers. Vsby 1 to 3 nm.
Mon..W winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft.
Mon night..N winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft.
ANZ100 330 Am Est Thu Jan 24 2019
Synopsis for stonington me to merrimack river ma out to 25 nm.. Southerly winds will be on the increase today as low pressure passes to the west of the waters. A cold front will sweep across the area this evening. Weak low pressure will approach from the west Friday with high pressure to follow Saturday. Another low will track through southeast canada on Sunday, before sweeping an arctic front across the region Sunday night. &&


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Farmingdale, ME
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location: 44.28, -69.78     debug


Area Discussion for - Gray/Portland, ME
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Fxus61 kgyx 240900
afdgyx
area forecast discussion
national weather service gray me
400 am est Thu jan 24 2019

Synopsis
Low pressure will drag a trailing cold front across the area
today as it passes by to our north and west. Weak low pressure
will approach from the west Friday, before crossing the region
Friday night. A weak ridge of high pressure will pass over the
region Saturday. Low pressure will track through southeastern
canada Sunday, before a cold front sweeps across the region
Monday. High pressure will follow on Tuesday. Yet another area
of low pressure will pass by to our north and west Tuesday night
into early Wednesday.

Near term until 6 pm this evening
Synoptic scale flow is currently dominated by a highly
meridional ridge over the west coast, with a deep trough
covering most of the central conus. The east coast also has a
ridge along the length of it. The coldest center of the trough
was located well to the north near hudson bay, where
temperatures are in the -30 to -40f range. A piece of the polar
low will dip down into the northern plains today and push a
downstream short wave across our forecast area. At the surface,
a warm front was located in southern canada with a surface low
progged to deepen as it moves east from the great lakes.

Precipitation associated with broad warm advection was spreading
across northern new england this morning with a mix of
precipitation types as the warmer air advanced northward. In
general, the winter wx advisories across southern nh and
southern maine were allowed to expire with p-type having changed
to light rain. Elsewhere to the north advisories remain in
place mainly for freezing rain which will last longest over
northern coos, n. Oxford, n. Franklin, and central somerset
counties.

Even as the winter weather threat begins to come to an end
there are still a couple more hazards we have to deal with,
including moderate to heavy rain and strong winds. Concerning
the rain, cams are showing several slugs of rainfall moving
through today, some of which will be concentrated on a trailing
cold front moving through later this afternoon. Pw values are
around 225% to 250% of normal, and this combined with poor
drainage due to snow and ice has prompted a flood watch for
southern nh and SW maine (basically where their is not as much
snowpack to absorb the rain). Ensemble river forecasts are also
pointing towards several rivers reaching minor flood stage.

In tandem with low pressure moving across the forecast area
today, a strong LLJ approaches from the south and pivots over
the region, peaking around 100 kts offshore. A wind advisory
remains in place for the coast for today and tonight with gusts
to 40-50 mph possible. Temperatures warm into the 40s to near 50
today, which will help mix winds aloft down to the surface. In
addition, the strong winds are not very far off the ground, less
than a 1k ft in some cases, and the heavier rain expected will
also help bring the winds down to the surface.

Short term 6 pm this evening through 6 pm Friday
Clouds and showers linger for the mountains overnight with lows
in the teens north to 20s south. Cooler tomorrow with highs in
the mid 20s to mid 30s with clearing skies downwind. A trough
crosses the forecast area bringing light snow showers to the
mountains and the ct river valley.

Long term Friday night through Wednesday
Ensemble and deterministic model solutions remain in good agreement
on the long wave pattern through the upcoming weekend and well into
next week. The current high amplitude pattern across the CONUS will
remain locked in place featuring the west coast ridge and a deep
trough across the remainder of the lower 48. The real question
this forecast period is when and to what degree phasing occurs
between northern and southern stream energy. Otherwise... We're
left with a dominant northern stream and below normal temperatures
with repeated outbreaks of arctic air across the region punctuated
by brief warm ups ahead of several disturbances. At present... Models
are suggesting the potential for a significant winter system
Tuesday into Wednesday next week. However some uncertainty remains
as energy responsible for this system is still well out over the
data sparse pacific ocean at moment.

Aviation 08z Thursday through Monday
Short term... Conditions are ranging from ifr to MVFR this
morning in fzra and ra. Hie should be the last to change over to
plain rain and this should occur later this morning. Winds will
increase out of the south tomorrow with gusty winds along the
coast reaching 30kts. Aloft a very strong LLJ will result in
llws at all sites through the day. Rain comes to an end towards
00z today.

Long term...

sat... Sct MVFR in mtn -shra.

Sun... Areas of MVFR in -sn.

Marine
Short term... Increasing southerly flow will reach storm force
on the eastern waters as a very strong low level jet moves
through the region. In the bays and further west have left
gales as the core of the jet will pass to the east... However a
few gusts to storm force are possible.

Long term...

sat - mon... Sca's psb outside the bays.

Tides coastal flooding
High astronomical tides will continue today. High water levels
will combine with building seas to produce beach erosion and
splash-over near the time of the early afternoon high tide. A
coastal flood statement has been issued for early this
afternoon.

Gyx watches warnings advisories
Me... Winter weather advisory until 8 am est this morning for
mez012>014.

Flood watch through this evening for mez018-019-023-024.

Wind advisory from 8 am this morning to 9 pm est this evening
for mez023>028.

Winter weather advisory until 11 am est this morning for
mez007>009.

Nh... Winter weather advisory until 8 am est this morning for
nhz001>006.

Flood watch through this evening for nhz007>015.

Wind advisory from 8 am this morning to 9 pm est this evening
for nhz014.

Marine... Gale warning from 8 am this morning to 9 pm est this evening
for anz151-153-154.

Storm warning from 8 am this morning to 9 pm est this evening
for anz150-152.

Near term... Hanes
short term... Hanes
long term... Schwibs


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
44033 - Buoy F0103 - West Penobscot Bay 44 mi94 min SW 12 G 14 41°F 36°F4 ft
44032 - Buoy E0104 - Central Maine Shelf 45 mi94 min S 18 G 21 44°F 40°F8 ft1008.1 hPa
CASM1 - 8418150 - Portland, ME 50 mi50 min 38°F 34°F

Wind History for Wells, ME
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Augusta, Augusta State Airport, ME3 mi45 minSSW 42.00 miFog/Mist38°F37°F100%1008.2 hPa
Waterville, Waterville Robert LaFleur Airport, ME19 mi42 minno data8.00 miOvercast36°F34°F93%1009.7 hPa
Wiscasset Airport, ME23 mi45 minSSW 45.00 miFog/Mist41°F41°F100%1008.8 hPa

Wind History from AUG (wind in knots)
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W7W7W9W6W6W5W5SW3CalmSW3SE3CalmS3S3
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Tide / Current Tables for Hallowell, Kennebec River, Maine
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Hallowell
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Thu -- 04:58 AM EST     4.86 feet High Tide
Thu -- 07:05 AM EST     Sunrise
Thu -- 09:28 AM EST     Moonset
Thu -- 12:05 PM EST     -0.44 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 04:37 PM EST     Sunset
Thu -- 05:14 PM EST     5.26 feet High Tide
Thu -- 09:08 PM EST     Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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-0.9-0.21.33.14.44.94.63.92.91.70.6-0.1-0.4-01.334.55.25.14.53.52.21-0.1

Tide / Current Tables for Nehumkeag Island, Kennebec River, Maine
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Nehumkeag Island
Click for Map
Thu -- 04:25 AM EST     6.00 feet High Tide
Thu -- 07:04 AM EST     Sunrise
Thu -- 09:28 AM EST     Moonset
Thu -- 10:48 AM EST     -0.54 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 04:37 PM EST     Sunset
Thu -- 04:41 PM EST     6.49 feet High Tide
Thu -- 09:08 PM EST     Moonrise
Thu -- 11:23 PM EST     -0.95 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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-0.11.63.55.15.95.95.13.82.20.7-0.3-0.50.11.63.55.26.36.55.94.62.91.2-0.2-0.9

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Wind Forecast for Gray/Portland, ME (5,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Portland, ME
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The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.