Tuesday, May22, 2018 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Willsboro, NY

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
5/20/2018 -- NOAA is having problems with the data feed that I use to draw the graphs. They are aware of the issue and working to resolve it. Sometimes changing the location by about a mile will give a correct graph. 3/3/2018 - There is a new GOES Satellite for the east coast that required rewriting that part of the code. Please report any issues.

Sunrise 5:15AMSunset 8:23PM Tuesday May 22, 2018 3:20 PM EDT (19:20 UTC) Moonrise 12:55PMMoonset 2:04AM Illumination 54% Phase: First Quarter Moon; Moon at 8 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Willsboro, NY
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location: 44.32, -73.32     debug


Area Discussion for - Burlington, VT
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Fxus61 kbtv 221903
afdbtv
area forecast discussion
national weather service burlington vt
303 pm edt Tue may 22 2018

Synopsis
Showers associated with weak low pressure moving across the region
will end this evening with high pressure building in after midnight.

A cold front will cross the area Wednesday with a few additional
showers or perhaps an isolated thunderstorm across northern
counties. Behind this front, fair and seasonably warm weather is
expected through the remainder of the work week.

Near term through Wednesday night
As of 253 pm edt Tuesday... Weak surface low pressure located
over the eastern great lakes this afternoon will continue to
provide the north country with periods of showers this afternoon
and evening before shifting east. Main batch of precipitation
is pushing through central and eastern area currently, and
expect there to be a brief break later this afternoon into the
early evening before additional showers develop around sunset
across northern new york and track eastward through vermont
through midnight. After midnight, high pressure noses into the
area with gradual clearing expected by sunrise. With mild
overnight temps in the 50s, mainly light winds and today's
rainfall, areas of fog are a good bet, especially in the climo
favored river valleys.

For Wednesday, mainly dry conditions are expected with mostly
clear skies in the morning giving way to increasing cumulus
clouds across central and northern areas as a well defined cold
front drops southward through the region. As mentioned by
previous forecasts, we'll be on the back side of this front and
parent upper trough with the best moisture and forcing generally
off to our northeast. Guidance continues to hint at some
isolated to widely scattered shower activity developing during
peak heating mainly across northern vermont, with some weak
instability around supporting the idea of perhaps an isolated
thunderstorm as well. Continued this idea from previous
forecasts with any activity dissipating rapidly with the loss of
insolational heating after sunset. In addition, steep low level
lapse rates will promote good mixing from aloft with winds
becoming brisk out of the northwest at 15-25 mph in the
afternoon. After a normal to slightly cool Tuesday, Wednesdays
highs will be back above normal in the mid upper 70s.

A clear, quiet and cool night is on tap for Wednesday night
with high pressure centering over the region. Low confidence on
fog overnight despite the clearing skies as boundary level winds
look strong enough to inhibit development. Lows will run mainly
in the 40s, with a few spot upper 30s possible in the colder
hollows of the adirondacks and northeast vermont.

Short term Thursday through Thursday night
As of 245 pm edt Tuesday... Large ridge of surface high pressure
will be over the region for Thursday and Thursday night. Dry
weather with warmer than normal temperatures can be expected.

Long term Friday through Tuesday
As of 300 pm edt Tuesday... More active weather will return for
the upcoming weekend after one more dry day on Friday. Surface
high pressure will slide eastward Friday, and warm southerly
return flow will bump temps up into the upper 70s and lower 80s.

Model guidance is still indicating that Saturday will be the
wetter of the two weekend days, but can't say that Sunday will
be completely dry just yet. A cold front will drop south across
our area on Saturday, widespread rain showers are expected,
during the morning across our northern zones and afternoon
across our southern zones. Then the front will stall out to our
south just off the coast of new york and remain there into early
next week. With this boundary to our south, it's tough to rule
out precipitation in the Sunday through Tuesday timeframe as
this front may drift north or south during this time period.

With clouds and precipitation, temperatures will trend cooler
than seasonal normals.

Aviation 19z Tuesday through Sunday
Through 18z Wednesday... CurrentVFR will gradually trend to
MVFR ceilings from southwest to northeast this afternoon with
periods of showers continuing but no restrictions to
visibility. MVFR ceilings continue through the overnight with
ares of ifr likely, especially across northern new york at kmss
and kslk. After 12z, conditions improve quickly toVFR with some
diurnal cumulus developing with a chance for isolated showers
possible across northeast areas.

Outlook...

Wednesday night:VFR. No sig wx.

Thursday:VFR. No sig wx.

Thursday night:VFR. No sig wx.

Friday:VFR. Slight chance shra.

Friday night:VFR. Chance shra.

Saturday: MVFR ifr conditions possible. Chance shra.

Saturday night:VFR. Chance shra.

Sunday: mainlyVFR, with local MVFR possible. Chance shra.

Btv watches warnings advisories
Vt... None.

Ny... None.

Synopsis... Lahiff
near term... Lahiff
short term... Neiles
long term... Neiles
aviation... Lahiff


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
45166 32 mi36 min SSW 5.8 G 7.8 56°F 52°F1 ft52°F

Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Burlington, Burlington International Airport, VT14 mi27 minS 510.00 miOvercast62°F55°F80%1017 hPa
Plattsburgh International Airport , NY24 mi28 minSE 910.00 miLight Rain59°F55°F87%1016.6 hPa

Wind History from BTV (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrN9
G16
NW10N11
G19
N7N5CalmCalmCalmE3SE3E3E3CalmCalmSE5E4S7S7S7S9SW14
G23
SW7E4S5
1 day agoNW10NW13
G20
NW12W7W6W4NW5W4SW3CalmE3NE3CalmCalmE4CalmE3S4S10S9SW64SW5W9
2 days agoS9S10S11S10S13
G21
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G24
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G27
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G29
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G25
S12S11
G18
S15
G21
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G17
SW6N7N5N10N4NW7N6NW8

Tide / Current Tables for
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Weather Map and Satellite Images
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wmap_A
GOES Local Image of Northeast    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
target = "new">Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Burlington, VT (15,3,4,5)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Burlington, VT
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.