Friday, January19, 2018 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Bar Harbor, ME

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
6/25/2017 - NOAA is having a major issue that impact the 7 day forecast load times. Many users are reporting problems. The issue has been reported.
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.

Sunrise 7:04AMSunset 4:27PM Friday January 19, 2018 6:24 PM EST (23:24 UTC) Moonrise 9:30AMMoonset 8:03PM Illumination 10% Phase: Waxing Crescent; Moon at 3 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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ANZ052 Intra Coastal Waters From Schoodic Point, Me To Stonington, Me- 617 Pm Est Fri Jan 19 2018
.small craft advisory in effect from 4 am est Saturday through Saturday evening...
Tonight..SW winds 5 to 10 kt with gusts up to 20 kt... Increasing to 15 to 20 kt with gusts up to 25 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. A slight chance of snow after midnight. A chance of freezing rain, sleet, a slight chance of rain and snow late. Vsby 1 to 3 nm late.
Sat..W winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts up to 30 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft.
Sat night..W winds 15 to 20 kt...diminishing to 10 to 15 kt after midnight. Seas 2 to 4 ft.
Sun..NW winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 to 2 ft.
Sun night..N winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 to 2 ft in the evening... Then 1 foot or less.
Mon..NE winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 to 2 ft.
Mon night..E winds 5 to 10 kt...increasing to 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt after midnight. Seas 2 to 4 ft. A chance of snow. Vsby 1 to 3 nm.
Tue..SE winds 15 to 20 kt...becoming S 10 to 15 kt in the evening...then becoming W 15 to 20 kt after midnight. Seas 4 to 6 ft...building to 5 to 8 ft in the afternoon and evening...then subsiding to 3 to 5 ft after midnight. Rain and snow in the morning...then showers through the night. A chance of showers after midnight. Vsby 1 nm or less...increasing to 1 to 3 nm in the afternoon.
Wed..W winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft.
ANZ005 617 Pm Est Fri Jan 19 2018
Synopsis for eastport me to stonington me out 25 nm.. High pres will move east of the waters tonight. Low pres will track N of the region Sat drawing a cold front across the waters Sat night. High pres will cross the region early Mon then exit across the maritimes late. Low pres will cross the region Tue.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Bar Harbor, ME
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location: 44.39, -68.19     debug


Area Discussion for - Caribou, ME
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Fxus61 kcar 192310
afdcar
area forecast discussion
national weather service caribou me
610 pm est Fri jan 19 2018

Synopsis
High pressure will move east of the region tonight. A warm
front will approach tonight from the southwest as low pressure
tracks north of the region Saturday. A cold front from the
northwest will then cross the region Saturday evening followed
by canadian high pressure building across the region Sunday
into Monday.

Near term through Saturday
6:10 pm update: the latest observations and radar returns show
the last of the flurries have exited the area. Given fairly
extensive stratus can't rule out a few flakes of snow, but for
the most part we await a shot of overrunning snow that will
develop across northern portions of the CWA after midnight as
low pressure in ontario tracks east into quebec. Only very minor
tweaks to the ongoing forecast based mainly on the latest 6 pm
observations, radar and satellite trends, and the near term
model trends.

Previous discussion...

latest radar imagery shows most of the flurries about to exit
nrn ptns of the fa late this aftn, leaving a short break of no
snfl before warm advcn snfl associated with sfc low pres and
deep low to mid lvl warm advcn apchs msly NRN ptns of the rgn
from cntrl can late tngt. Temps will not fall much tngt, and
will likely begin rising late ngt as lgt ovrrng snfl commences.

Lgt snfl will cont into Sat morn across NE ptns of the rgn as
late as mid morn before all sn exits into nb prov. Behind a warm
front, temps will be much milder with aftn high temps ranging
from lower to mid 30s across the N to arnd 40 ovr the lower
penobscot vly. A cold front from hudson bay will be entering far
nw me by erly eve sat, with sct sn shwrs xpctd just ahead of
the front ovr the NW third of the rgn late in the aftn. W winds
will be on the rise durg the aftn as the lower atmos
destabilizes and allows fairly strong winds alf in the
925-850mb layer to mix down in gusts that could reach 30 mph and
even a little stronger ovr hi trrn.

Short term Saturday night through Monday night
The model guidance is in good agreement through the short term
period of the forecast. A low northeast of the area in the gulf
of st lawrence will bring wrap around precipitation into
northern maine at the start of the period. Higher pressure will
building in behind the precipitation will move into northwestern
maine early Sunday morning, moving the precipitation into
central maine, then out of the state by Sunday morning. A low in
the southern midwest will deepen and move northeast Sunday into
early Monday moving into SW mo, its associated warm front will
extend into nh. Monday afternoon the warm front moves into sw
maine.

Loaded a blend of the GFS nam ECMWF to smooth out the minor
differences in the models. Used nawave4 for seas in the coastal
waters. Loaded windgust by factor tool 20%, 26% for the coastal
waters. For QPF used gfs.

Long term Tuesday through Friday
The extended models are in good agreement at the start of the
period. There will be a high pressure ridge in place at the
start of the period across the local area. A deepening low over
central mo with a warm front extending NE into the eastern great
lakes. Monday morning the low further deepens and move NW into
southern ia as the low occludes, the leading edge of the warm
front will move into ERN nh SW me. Monday evening the low moves
east to NRN il, the warm front moves into SW me. Tuesday morning
the cold front moves into WRN me. Tuesday evening the cold
front moves to ERN me, to this point the GFS ECMWF gem are all
in pretty good agreement. All three are showing secondary
development of a low along the frontal boundary. The GFS gem
show the low over NRN me, the ECMWF shows it south near
portland. Development of the low depending upon location will
greatly affect precipitation amounts and temperature advection.

By Wednesday morning the low and front will be east of our area.

Wrap around precipitation will continue across NRN me Friday
morning as higher pressure build in. A ridge of higher pressure
will remain through the end of the period.

Loaded a blend to smooth out the differences in the models,
however the solution leans more towards the ECMWF solution. Used
nawave4 for seas in the coastal waters. Used windgust by factor
tool.

Aviation 00z Saturday through Wednesday
Near term: MVFR ceilings this evening to the north of khul with
vfr from khul south to kbhb. The TAF sites will transition to
ifr and MVFR from north to south respectfully late tngt in
sn... Then transition back to MVFR and thenVFR from SW to ne
durg the day Sat as sn tapers to sct sn shwrs in the morn then
ends across downeast areas Sat aftn while contg across nrn
sites.

Short term: MVFR with scattered snowshowers early becomingVFR
north, then the area of precipitation will move south to the
coast by morning, MVFR conditions will move south through the
overnight hours, with clearing skies,VFR conditions building
in behind the area of precipitation as higher pressure builds
in. MVFR conditions return Monday evening as a warm front moves
into the area at the start of the period for bhb and bgr. Ifr
conditions for bhb and bgr Monday evening before 10 pm. MVFR
conditions spread to hul and northern maine, by midnight. Ifr
conditions spread th hul and northern maine by 3 am. Ifr
conditions will continue until Wednesday morning for bhb, bgr,
and hul becoming MVFR the clearing and becomingVFR by mid
morning. Northern maine will clear to MVFR mid morning, but will
remain MVFR with scatter snowshower through the end of period.

Marine
Near term: we still xpct SCA conditions to onset very late tngt,
then cont thru the day sat. Kept close to blended ww3 nwps
guidance for fcst WV hts for this ptn of the fcst.

Short term: a small craft advisory will likely be in effect at
the start of the period for winds and sea. The winds and seas
are expected to subside quickly after the start of the period.

Winds and seas will be below SCA criteria by around 9 pm as
higher pressure builds across the region and will remain below
through Monday.

Car watches warnings advisories
Me... None.

Marine... Small craft advisory from 4 am Saturday to midnight est
Saturday night for anz050>052.

Near term... CB vjn
short term... Norton
long term... Norton
aviation... CB vjn norton
marine... CB vjn norton


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
ATGM1 - 8413320 - Bar Harbor, ME 1 mi55 min S 1.9 G 2.9 28°F 33°F1012.3 hPa
MDRM1 - Mt Desert Rock, ME 29 mi85 min SW 2.9 G 2.9 30°F 1012.9 hPa (+0.0)23°F
44027 47 mi95 min 45°F1 ft1012.4 hPa (+0.0)
44033 - Buoy F0103 - West Penobscot Bay 49 mi81 min SSW 1.9 G 1.9 31°F 33°F1 ft1012.5 hPa

Wind History for Bar Harbor, ME
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Bar Harbor, Hancock County-Bar Harbor Airport, ME11 mi29 minSW 310.00 miOvercast26°F21°F84%1013.1 hPa

Wind History from BHB (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrCalmW4NW4NW6NE3CalmCalmCalmNW3CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmS3S5S5SW4S3SW5CalmSW3
1 day agoN4N5N3N3NW3N6NW4NW4CalmN3S3S3CalmCalmCalmN6NW7N9
G15
4NW7NW54CalmW4
2 days agoCalmCalmCalmNW3CalmN3N4N4N3N3N3N4N4N53N4N6N6N6N6N6N6N6N6

Tide / Current Tables for Bar Harbor, Frenchman Bay, Maine
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Bar Harbor
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Fri -- 05:59 AM EST     0.97 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 07:03 AM EST     Sunrise
Fri -- 08:29 AM EST     Moonrise
Fri -- 12:05 PM EST     11.30 feet High Tide
Fri -- 04:24 PM EST     Sunset
Fri -- 06:26 PM EST     0.06 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 07:03 PM EST     Moonset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
10.49.785.53.21.511.63.468.710.511.310.896.33.61.30.20.31.646.78.9

Tide / Current Tables for Salsbury Cove, Maine
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Salsbury Cove
Click for Map
Fri -- 12:05 AM EST     10.03 feet High Tide
Fri -- 05:58 AM EST     0.90 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 07:03 AM EST     Sunrise
Fri -- 08:29 AM EST     Moonrise
Fri -- 12:07 PM EST     11.19 feet High Tide
Fri -- 04:24 PM EST     Sunset
Fri -- 06:29 PM EST     -0.05 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 07:03 PM EST     Moonset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
109.685.73.21.50.91.53.35.88.510.411.210.79.16.63.71.40.10.11.33.56.28.5

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
wmap_A
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
east_satellite

GOES Local Image of Northeast    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for Caribou, ME (18,4,5,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Caribou, ME
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.