Monday, June26, 2017 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Bar Harbor, ME

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
6/25/2017 - NOAA is having a major issue that impact the 7 day forecast load times. Many users are reporting problems. The issue has been reported.
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.

Sunrise 4:49AMSunset 8:27PM Monday June 26, 2017 6:32 PM EDT (22:32 UTC) Moonrise 7:47AMMoonset 10:28PM Illumination 8% Phase: Waxing Crescent; Moon at 3 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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ANZ052 Intra Coastal Waters From Schoodic Point, Me To Stonington, Me- 256 Pm Edt Mon Jun 26 2017
Tonight..S winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft.
Tue..S winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft.
Tue night..S winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft. A chance of showers. Patchy fog after midnight with vsby 1 to 3 nm.
Wed..SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 to 2 ft. Patchy fog in the morning with vsby 1 to 3 nm.
Wed night..W winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Seas 1 to 2 ft.
Thu..W winds 5 to 10 kt...becoming sw 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas 1 to 2 ft. A chance of showers in the afternoon.
Thu night..S winds 5 to 10 kt...increasing to 10 to 15 kt after midnight. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Showers likely. Vsby 1 to 3 nm.
Fri..SW winds 10 to 15 kt...becoming W around 5 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft...subsiding to 2 to 3 ft after midnight. Showers likely... Mainly in the morning with vsby 1 to 3 nm.
Sat..N winds around 5 kt...becoming S around 5 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft. A chance of showers.
ANZ005 256 Pm Edt Mon Jun 26 2017
Synopsis for eastport me to stonington me out 25 nm.. A cold front will slowly approach the region overnight into Tue. The front is expected to cross the waters later Tue night into Wed.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Bar Harbor, ME
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location: 44.39, -68.19     debug


Area Discussion for - Caribou, ME
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Fxus61 kcar 262214
afdcar
area forecast discussion
national weather service caribou me
614 pm edt Mon jun 26 2017

Synopsis
A trough of low pressure will remain to our west through mid week.

Weather disturbances lifting out of the trough will cross the area
Tuesday afternoon and again on Wednesday. A larger area of low
pressure may approach late Thursday.

Near term through Tuesday
6:14 pm... It is pleasant evening across northern and eastern
maine with comfortable temperatures and dew points mostly in the
40s. Most of the diurnal CU will dissipate with the loss of
daytime heating. Low pressure across the great lakes is
generating showers and some thunderstorms across parts of ny
state and western new england. As is moves slowly closer to the
area clouds will begin to increase early Tuesday morning with
the chance of showers across central portions of the cwa. Will
hold off on any changes to the pop grids for now, but feel that
with later updates may need to consider slowing the movement of
the shower activity into the area later tonight. Mainly just
some very minor tweaks to the ongoing forecast based on the 6 pm
observations and the latest satellite pictures.

Previous discussion... Attention will turn to the potential for
strong tstms on Tuesday.

Skies are expected to go mostly clear this evening W the loss of
diurnal effects. Winds will lighten up as well. A cooler airmass
in place coupled W the clearing and light winds will lead to a
cool night coming up. We are talking temperatures dropping into
the 40s across the northern 1 2 of the CWA W some sites back
across the crown seeing upper 30s. This will be especially true
for the low lying sites. Central and downeast sites will see
50-55. Decided on some patchy fog by early Tuesday
morning(09-12z) as blyr winds turn to the se.

Tuesday could be a challenging day as the short range guidance
in including the NAM gem and GFS suggest the potential for some
convection. Atmosphere is forecast to destabilize during the day
as a weak warm front at the surface lifts n. Aloft, cold temps
and a decent jet streak of 40 kts is forecast to be in place.

Question is how quickly will the clouds make their way into the
region which could dampen strong convection. The 12z run of the
nam and GFS show enough heating to allow for convective
initiation. CAPE of 500-700 joules W shear of 30 kts in the
0-6km layer is noted. Plus, steep low mid level lapse rates
allowing for updraft potential. V-notch in the llvls favorable
for downburst potential if storms can build. Given all this and
per collaboration W gyx and btv, decided to add enhanced wording
to the forecast for hail and gusty winds. Would not be
surprised to see a few cells reach near severe limits. Again,
this all hinges on duration of sufficient heating. Attm, SPC has
the region in a general risk but they do mention the threat for
small hail potential for northern new england with cold pool
aloft. Another threat to consider is the heavy rainfall
potential as storms will be oriented along a ssw direction
w some training of cells. Daytime temps are forecast to be in
the upper 60s to lower 70s across the N and W while central and
downeast should see low to mid 70s.

Short term Tuesday night through Thursday
A shortwave lifting across the area Tuesday evening will bring
showers and some embedded thunderstorms early. By midnight, the
shortwave should lift northeast and out of the area as skies remain
partly to mostly cloudy. Another shortwave, associated with the
upper level trough lifting out will cross the area on Wednesday
bringing another chance for showers and some thunderstorms. Capes
are modest Tuesday evening and again Wednesday up to 500 j kg across
the area. The forecast challenge may be in determining how much
heating occurs each day with skies generally expected to be partly
to mostly cloudy leading up to Tuesday evening and again on
Wednesday. Showers will taper off Wednesday evening. Another low in
the fast west to east flow will approach on Thursday bringing
another chance for showers, especially during the afternoon.

Guidance varies quite a bit on the speed of this system with the nam
bringing a well organized rainstorm in late Thursday but the gfs
just bringing an increased chance for showers as the new system
approaches.

Long term Thursday night through Monday
Showers will be likely Thursday night as low pressure approaches and
warm, humid air is pulled north over relatively cooler air across
our area. A period of steady rain may fall across the north. Showers
and maybe some embedded thunderstorms will continue to be likely on
Friday with the upper low sliding across the region. Yet another low
may approach Saturday into Sunday bringing a chance for more rain,
possibly heavy in some areas with ample moisture lifting north over
the region. Unsettled weather may continue into the following week
with an active west to east flow and shortwaves sliding in from the
west. There are some signs that longwave ridging could eventually
push our way very late next week or early the week afternoon
bringing a possibility of warmer, less rainy weather as we approach
the second week in july.

Aviation 22z Monday through Saturday
Near term: generallyVFR W a brief period of MVFR vsbys for
patchy fog Tuesday morning. The threat for tstms Tuesday
afternoon could lead to MVFR and perhaps ifr briefly.

Short term: ifr conditions in low clouds and rain are likely
Tuesday night, improving to MVFR orVFR as clouds lift early
Wednesday morning. Conditions may drop to MVFR at times
Wednesday as more clouds and variable low cloudiness push
across. MainlyVFR to occasionally MVFR conditions are likely
Thursday, possibly dropping to MVFR or ifr late in the day in
rain.

Marine
Near term: no headlines expected this term. Ssw winds to pick up
later Tuesday at 10-15 kts W seas to build to 4 ft especially
over the outer zones.

Short term: winds and seas are expected to be below SCA Tuesday
through the end of the week. Fog may limit visibilities over
the water as humid air lifts north across the gulf of maine.

Car watches warnings advisories
Me... None.

Marine... None.

Near term... CB hewitt
short term... Bloomer
long term... Bloomer
aviation... CB hewitt bloomer
marine... CB hewitt bloomer


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
ATGM1 - 8413320 - Bar Harbor, ME 1 mi45 min WNW 9.9 G 13 72°F 53°F1011.2 hPa
44034 - Buoy I0103 - Eastern Maine Shelf 20 mi89 min SW 9.7 G 12 55°F 50°F3 ft1012.4 hPa
44027 47 mi43 min 49°F3 ft1012.5 hPa (+0.6)
44033 - Buoy F0103 - West Penobscot Bay 49 mi89 min SSW 9.7 G 12 60°F 58°F2 ft1012.3 hPa

Wind History for Bar Harbor, ME
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Bar Harbor, Hancock County-Bar Harbor Airport, ME11 mi37 minW 410.00 miFair71°F51°F49%1013 hPa

Wind History from BHB (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrSW9SW6SW9CalmW3E4SW4S3W3W4S3SW4S5SW4NW565W7NW7W755NW8W4
1 day agoW4CalmW4SW4W33CalmSW3W5W5CalmCalmW3NW75NW963SW11
G15
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S12S15SW9
2 days ago3SE4S9S7S10S8S12S12SW7SW8S10S10S12S9SW8SW9S11SW10SW10S10SW10NW844

Tide / Current Tables for Bar Harbor, Frenchman Bay, Maine
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Bar Harbor
Click for Map
Mon -- 12:41 AM EDT     13.38 feet High Tide
Mon -- 04:49 AM EDT     Sunrise
Mon -- 07:08 AM EDT     -1.97 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 07:47 AM EDT     Moonrise
Mon -- 01:20 PM EDT     11.97 feet High Tide
Mon -- 07:25 PM EDT     -0.56 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 08:21 PM EDT     Sunset
Mon -- 10:28 PM EDT     Moonset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
1313.311.98.95.21.7-0.9-2-1.314.47.810.511.911.69.86.83.61-0.4-0.31.54.58

Tide / Current Tables for Salsbury Cove, Maine
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Salsbury Cove
Click for Map
Mon -- 12:45 AM EDT     13.71 feet High Tide
Mon -- 04:50 AM EDT     Sunrise
Mon -- 07:14 AM EDT     -2.05 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 07:47 AM EDT     Moonrise
Mon -- 01:29 PM EDT     12.07 feet High Tide
Mon -- 07:28 PM EDT     -0.52 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 08:21 PM EDT     Sunset
Mon -- 10:28 PM EDT     Moonset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
13.213.712.59.762.1-0.7-2-1.50.63.97.510.411.911.910.37.54.11.2-0.3-0.31.44.48

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
wmap_A
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
east_satellite

GOES Local Image of Northeast    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for Caribou, ME (18,4,5,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Caribou, ME
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.