Wednesday, November14, 2018 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Winter Harbor, ME

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
10/6/2018 Colors of tide XTide graphs changed to emphasize that they were upgraded. See next note. Comments welcome.
10/4/2018 I have fixed XTide and updated the harmonic files. There were some name changes so you might have to click EDIT to find the new station name.

Sunrise 6:30AMSunset 4:08PM Wednesday November 14, 2018 11:22 AM EST (16:22 UTC) Moonrise 1:14PMMoonset 11:05PM Illumination 41% Phase: Waxing Crescent; Moon at 7 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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ANZ050 Coastal Waters From Eastport, Me To Schoodic Point, Me Out 25 Nm- 941 Am Est Wed Nov 14 2018
.gale warning in effect through late tonight...
Today..NW winds 25 to 30 kt with gusts up to 45 kt. Seas 7 to 10 ft.
Tonight..NW winds 25 to 30 kt with gusts up to 45 kt, diminishing to 20 to 25 kt with gusts up to 35 kt after midnight. Seas 6 to 9 ft.
Thu..NW winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts up to 30 kt, becoming N 5 to 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas 3 to 5 ft.
Thu night..NE winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming E 15 to 20 kt with gusts up to 30 kt after midnight. Seas 1 to 2 ft. A chance of snow in the evening, then snow likely after midnight. Vsby 1 to 3 nm, decreasing to 1 nm or less after midnight.
Fri..E winds 20 to 25 kt, becoming ne 25 to 30 kt in the afternoon. Gusts up to 40 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft, building to 6 to 9 ft in the afternoon. Snow in the morning. Rain. Vsby 1 nm or less.
Fri night..N winds 20 to 25 kt, becoming nw 15 to 20 kt after midnight. Seas 7 to 10 ft. A chance of rain in the evening with vsby 1 to 3 nm.
Sat..NW winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 6 to 9 ft, subsiding to 3 to 5 ft.
Sun..NW winds 10 to 15 kt, becoming W 5 to 10 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. A chance of rain and snow through the night. Vsby 1 to 3 nm.
ANZ005 941 Am Est Wed Nov 14 2018
Synopsis for eastport me to stonington me out 25 nm.. Low pres will continue to intensify as it moves ne through the maritimes today and tonight. High pres will build over the waters on Thu. Low pres will approach Thu night into Fri.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Winter Harbor, ME
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location: 44.4, -67.97     debug


Area Discussion for - Caribou, ME
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Fxus61 kcar 141551
afdcar
area forecast discussion
national weather service caribou me
1051 am est Wed nov 14 2018

Synopsis
Low pressure over the gulf of st. Lawrence will rapidly
intensify as it moves away to the northeast today. High
pressure will build in from the west tonight and crest over the
area Thursday. Low pressure will approach from the southwest
Thursday night into Friday.

Near term through tonight
1015 am update: fcst was updated to reflect latest Sat imagery
trends for clds and sfc obs trends for temp dwpts going into the
aftn hrs. We also updated the npw to include reference to wind
chills ovr all of the rgn and to unusually erly blsn ovr nrn
aroostook county, where sn from ystdy's event was not weighted
down by a transition pd of rnfl.

Orgnl disc: the combination of intensifying low pressure moving
away to the northeast and high pressure building in from the
west will bring strong gusty winds and advection of bitter cold
air today. Some flurries and snow showers will be scattered
about mainly from the cold air gathering a bit of moisture off
the st lawrence seaway. Most of the snow shower activity will be
around the katahdin region and across the northwest. A wind
advisory is being issued today for some gusts possibly reaching
40 to 45 mph. Temperatures today will range from the mid teens
north to the low to mid 20s downeast... Cold even for mid-winter
standards. Wind chills will be near zero over the north and 10
downeast. Winds will diminish tonight as high pressure builds
over bringing a clear and very cold night across the region.

Short term Thursday through Friday
Thursday will be tranquil and cold as 1035mb high pressure builds
over the state in the aftn. MAX temps expected to range fm 10-15
degrees blo normal for the day with h9 temps rising to -9 or -10c.

This wl lead to highs rmng in the 20s acrs most of the area with
arnd 30f along the coast. A closed upr lvl low located ovr the srn
plains tonight wl begin to eject into the ms vly by Thu morning. At
the same time a NRN stream WV wl mv into the upr midwest and deepen
throughout the day.

Snow wl begin to spread into the CWA fm the southwest as we go thru
the ovrngt hours on thur night. At this point trof wl begin to
take on a negative tilt as it lifts into the northeast. Sfc low
that dvlpd off of the southeast coast Thu mrng wl begin to head
up along the coast drg the day with a position in the vicinity
of the ny bight by 12z fri.

By Fri aftn at 18z, models begin to diverge on location of sfc low.

Gfs conts to rmn furthest out to sea but has trended more in twd the
gulf of maine. All guidance, including ec ensemble members, indicate
sfc low by this time approx 100 miles to the northeast of CAPE cod.

Still some questions center arnd ptype on the immediate coast with
potential for mixing with sleet or rain drg the aftn hrs twd
interior downeast. For the time being hv btwn 2-4 inches of
snow sleet falling in coastal hancock and washington counties with
btwn 6-8 inches acrs cntrl sxns of the area. As is typically the
case with coastal storms, lesser amnts appear likely in the
north woods as this area may be on the far NRN fringe of qpf
depending on track of sfc low. At this time it appears the
heaviest pcpn wl occur Fri aftn.

Long term Friday night through Tuesday
Long wave trof in wake of departing low wl keep chcs for snow
showers for Fri night. May see addnl accums acrs the far north into
sat mrng. Unsettled pd expected thru the long term as wvs continue
to ripple thru at random intervals due to ERN u.S. Trof bcmg
established thru the end of the week. Blo normal temps expected but
med range guidance conts to differ on timing of shots of cold air.

Aviation 16z Wednesday through Sunday
Near term:VFR to occasionally MVFR conditions can be expected
across the north today with some snow showers, withVFR
conditions expected downeast. Strong gusty winds and deep mixing
will result in choppy and turbulent conditions.VFR conditions
are expected tonight with diminishing winds.

Short term:VFR expected through thur night before beginning to
lower as coastal storm approaches. Ifr at downeast terminals in
light sn will move north during the day on Friday. Snow
expected at all terminals with possibly exception of bhb where
mixed precipitation may mix in for a time during the afternoon.

Improvement toVFR in downeast on Sat with restrictions
continuing across the north in -sn and low-level stratocu into
sat evng.

Marine
Near term: a gale warning will remain up today into this evening
for wind gusts up to 45 kt. Winds will diminish late tonight.

Short term: winds and seas likely to be blo SCA levels on thur
before increasing ahead of coastal storm Fri morning. Potential
exists for another round of gale force winds on Fri with seas
ranging fm 5-10 feet in southeasterly swell.

Car watches warnings advisories
Me... Wind advisory until 6 pm est this evening for mez001>006-010-
011-015>017-029>032.

Marine... Gale warning until 1 am est Thursday for anz050>052.

Near term... Vjn
short term... Farrar
long term... Farrar
aviation... Vjn farrar
marine... Vjn farrar


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
MDRM1 - Mt Desert Rock, ME 31 mi23 min W 33 G 40 26°F 1018.9 hPa (+2.1)
44027 36 mi33 min W 29 G 39 28°F 50°F12 ft1015.6 hPa (+3.4)15°F

Wind History for Bar Harbor, ME
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Bar Harbor, Hancock County-Bar Harbor Airport, ME22 mi27 minW 15 G 2510.00 miFair22°F3°F44%1019.9 hPa

Wind History from BHB (wind in knots)
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W8W3W33W4CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmN3NW3CalmCalmCalmN3N3CalmSE7SE8SE9
2 days agoW12
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W8W6W7W545W65Calm3W5W4Calm4W6NW8
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Tide / Current Tables for Corea Harbor, Maine
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Corea Harbor
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Wed -- 03:11 AM EST     9.37 feet High Tide
Wed -- 06:26 AM EST     Sunrise
Wed -- 09:08 AM EST     2.20 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 12:13 PM EST     Moonrise
Wed -- 03:14 PM EST     10.03 feet High Tide
Wed -- 04:05 PM EST     Sunset
Wed -- 09:48 PM EST     1.26 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 10:05 PM EST     Moonset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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5.17.28.79.39.17.96.14.22.82.22.53.75.67.79.3109.88.76.84.62.71.51.31.9

Tide / Current Tables for Pigeon Hill Bay, Maine
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Pigeon Hill Bay
Click for Map
Wed -- 03:15 AM EST     9.94 feet High Tide
Wed -- 06:26 AM EST     Sunrise
Wed -- 09:10 AM EST     2.33 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 12:13 PM EST     Moonrise
Wed -- 03:18 PM EST     10.65 feet High Tide
Wed -- 04:05 PM EST     Sunset
Wed -- 09:50 PM EST     1.33 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 10:05 PM EST     Moonset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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5.37.59.29.99.78.56.64.532.32.73.95.98.19.810.610.49.37.452.91.71.32

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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GOES Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Wind Forecast for Caribou, ME (11,2,3,4)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Caribou, ME
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.