Tuesday, May21, 2019 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Winter Harbor, ME

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
10/6/2018 Colors of tide XTide graphs changed to emphasize that they were upgraded. See next note. Comments welcome.
10/4/2018 I have fixed XTide and updated the harmonic files. There were some name changes so you might have to click EDIT to find the new station name.

Sunrise 4:58AMSunset 8:04PM Tuesday May 21, 2019 7:35 PM EDT (23:35 UTC) Moonrise 10:53PMMoonset 7:10AM Illumination 91% Phase: Waning Gibbous; Moon at 18 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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ANZ050 Coastal Waters From Eastport, Me To Schoodic Point, Me Out 25 Nm- 607 Pm Edt Tue May 21 2019
.small craft advisory in effect until 6 am edt Wednesday...
Tonight..NW winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts up to 30 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft.
Wed..N winds 15 to 20 kt, diminishing to 5 to 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas 3 to 5 ft, subsiding to 2 to 3 ft in the afternoon.
Wed night..NW winds around 5 kt. Seas 1 to 2 ft.
Thu..W winds around 5 kt, becoming sw in the afternoon. Seas 1 foot or less.
Thu night..S winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 25 kt. Seas 1 to 2 ft, building to 2 to 4 ft after midnight. A chance of rain in the evening, then rain after midnight.
Fri..SE winds 10 to 15 kt, becoming ne in the afternoon. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Rain, mainly in the morning.
Fri night..NE winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming W after midnight. Seas 2 to 4 ft.
Sat..W winds around 5 kt, becoming S in the afternoon, then increasing to 10 to 15 kt in the evening, increasing to 15 to 20 kt after midnight. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Rain likely through the night.
Sun..S winds 15 to 20 kt, diminishing to 10 to 15 kt in the afternoon, then becoming sw around 5 kt in the evening, becoming nw after midnight. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Rain likely in the morning.
ANZ005 607 Pm Edt Tue May 21 2019
Synopsis for eastport me to stonington me out 25 nm.. Low pres tracks E across the maritimes through Wed. High pressure will build over the waters Wed night. Low pres will track across the waters late Thu night into Fri with high pressure building in on Sat.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Winter Harbor, ME
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location: 44.4, -67.97     debug


Area Discussion for - Caribou, ME
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Fxus61 kcar 212149
afdcar
area forecast discussion
national weather service caribou me
549 pm edt Tue may 21 2019

Synopsis
Higher pressure builds eastward over the area tonight into
Thursday. Another area of low pressure will track across the
region Thursday night into early Friday.

Near term through Wednesday
5:48 pm update: a breezy and cool evening as low pressure
visible on satellite pictures across the maritimes slowly shifts
east tonight. There are still a few showers showing up on area
radars, mainly across the northern and eastern portions of the
fa. The showers will slowly diminish this evening, but at least
isolated showers will be possible until around midnight. A gusty
northwest wind will diminish a bit this evening, but enough of
a gradient will remain overnight and with the atmosphere not
expected to decouple it will still remain on the breezy side all
night. Made only minor edits to the ongoing forecast based on
the latest satellite pictures, radar, observations, and near
term models and model trends.

Previous discussion:
upr low is gradually becoming stacked with cldy and rainy wx
continuing acrs the NW this evening. Fortunately it wl be far
enuf away to bring showers to an end by midnight tonight leaving
cld advection and cldy skies in it's wake. Min temps wl be able
to drop into the 30s acrs the far northwest and l40s for
downeast zones. Opted not to add in any frost mention for the
overnight due to how short the time wl be.

For tomorrow, expect winds wl gust again out of the NW late mrng
to early aftn bfr ridge starts to build in drg the evng. Temps
wl warm into the m50s acrs the north and to nr 60s ovr srn
areas. Skies wl vry slowly clr fm SW to NE drg the day.

Short term Wednesday night through Friday night
High pressure will dominate the weather at the start of the
period. A low over the western portions of the great lakes with
its associated frontal system that will be organizing will
extend southwest into north texas. By Thursday afternoon the low
will move to the eastern great lakes, the associated front will
move into western maine. By late evening Thursday, the low will
move to southern quebec, and its warm front will move into
central maine bringing another round of rain to the area. Friday
morning the low will track south across maine towards the
coast. Wrap around showers will affect from Friday morning into
early afternoon. The low will move SE into the north atlantic
south of nova scotia by the end of the period.

Though there were a few minor difference in the models they were
in good agreement overall through the short term of the forecast
period. Loaded a blend of the GFS nam ECMWF gem to smooth out
the minor differences in the models. Used nwpscg1car for seas in
the coastal waters. Used gyx wnd gust tool for gusts used
consall for qpf.

Long term Saturday through Tuesday
Unsettled weather will continue through the long term period. A
high pressure system will be ridging through the area at the
start of the period. A low over hudson bay and its associated
frontal system extending south through the central great lakes
will move east into with the frontal system moving into western
maine Saturday evening. By Sunday afternoon the front will move
through wrap around precipitation will remain across northern
maine Sunday afternoon. Higher pressure ridges in Monday
morning, and moves rapidly southeast as the next frontal system
lines up along maine western border by Monday afternoon. This
front will move east Monday evening, higher pressure will again
rapidly move through as the next front approaches western maine
by the end of the period.

Loaded a blend to smooth out the differences in the models,
however the solution leans more towards the ECMWF solution. Used
nawave4 for seas in the coastal waters. Used windgust by factor
tool.

Aviation 21z Tuesday through Sunday
Near term: MVFR condition will continue across northern
terminals next 24 hours.VFR expected in downeast terminals.

Light rain continues into this evening north of hul. Gusty nw
winds continue until midnight and then pick up again after 14z
wed.

Short term:VFR conditions for all sites to start the period as
a high pressure ridge will be in place across the area.

Increasing clouds and decreasing ceilings Thursday as a warm
front approaches from the west. By last afternoon a high
overcast across the region, by last afternoon ceilings will fall
below 10kft. Late evening rain will begin with ceiling falling
belowVFR criteria. MVFR at all sites by around midnight
Thursday night. Ifr in rain by early Friday morning. Friday
morning bgr and bhb will become MVFR in showers, MVFR extends to
hul by late morning. All sites toVFR Friday evening as the low
moves SE south of nova scotia. Higher pressure will ridge across
the area through Saturday afternoon. By Saturday evening the
next frontal system moves into western maine. Conditions will
fall to MVFR Saturday evening as the front moves into maine,
then to ifr in rain through the end of the period.

Marine
Near term: NW winds wl expected to gust behind cold front this
evening and tonight at SCA levels. Seas wl appch 5 ft on the
outermost outer waters tonight before diminishing during the
morning. Winds will diminish shortly after daybreak.

Short term: a small craft advisory may be required for Friday as
a low tracks through the gulf of maine, otherwise winds and seas
will be below criteria.

Car watches warnings advisories
Me... None.

Marine... Small craft advisory until 6 am edt Wednesday for anz050>052.

Near term... CB farrar
short term... Norton
long term... Norton
aviation... CB farrar norton
marine... CB farrar norton


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
ATGM1 - 8413320 - Bar Harbor, ME 12 mi41 min 53°F 47°F1004.6 hPa
44034 - Buoy I0103 - Eastern Maine Shelf 22 mi91 min NW 16 G 19 50°F 42°F4 ft1004 hPa
44027 36 mi45 min W 18 G 19 50°F 45°F4 ft1002.9 hPa (+2.2)41°F
CFWM1 - Cutler Farris Wharf, ME (8411060) 44 mi41 min NNW 8.9 G 23 53°F 43°F1002.4 hPa

Wind History for Bar Harbor, ME
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Bar Harbor, Hancock County-Bar Harbor Airport, ME22 mi2.7 hrsNW 11 G 2210.00 miMostly Cloudy57°F39°F51%1004 hPa

Wind History from BHB (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrSE3CalmCalmSE5CalmCalmCalmCalmS4CalmCalmCalmCalm6NW9
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1 day agoS7S5S3E4E5N4E4E5CalmS4S3Calm4Calm3SE6SE3SW5SW5SW4CalmS5S7Calm
2 days agoN4CalmCalmSW6S4S4CalmCalmSW3CalmCalmCalmCalmS3S4S7S5CalmS8SE5E4S4S8SE4

Tide / Current Tables for Corea Harbor, Maine
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Corea Harbor
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Tue -- 12:51 AM EDT     12.35 feet High Tide
Tue -- 04:58 AM EDT     Sunrise
Tue -- 07:10 AM EDT     Moonset
Tue -- 07:21 AM EDT     -0.86 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 01:32 PM EDT     10.89 feet High Tide
Tue -- 07:29 PM EDT     0.77 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 07:58 PM EDT     Sunset
Tue -- 10:52 PM EDT     Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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11.812.311.59.26.12.90.5-0.8-0.61.13.96.99.410.710.89.57.24.52.20.912.34.87.8

Tide / Current Tables for Pinkham Bay, Dyer Bay, Maine
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Pinkham Bay
Click for Map
Tue -- 12:53 AM EDT     12.89 feet High Tide
Tue -- 04:58 AM EDT     Sunrise
Tue -- 07:10 AM EDT     Moonset
Tue -- 07:23 AM EDT     -0.90 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 01:34 PM EDT     11.36 feet High Tide
Tue -- 07:31 PM EDT     0.81 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 07:58 PM EDT     Sunset
Tue -- 10:52 PM EDT     Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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12.312.9129.76.53.10.5-0.8-0.61.13.97.19.711.111.2107.64.82.4112.44.98

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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wmap_A
GOES Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Wind Forecast for Caribou, ME (19,4,5,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Caribou, ME
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.