Thursday, November22, 2018

Marine Weather and Tides
Stowe, VT

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
10/6/2018 Colors of tide XTide graphs changed to emphasize that they were upgraded. See next note. Comments welcome.
10/4/2018 I have fixed XTide and updated the harmonic files. There were some name changes so you might have to click EDIT to find the new station name.

Sunrise 6:57AMSunset 4:20PM Thursday November 22, 2018 5:33 AM EST (10:33 UTC) Moonrise 5:23PMMoonset 6:52AM Illumination 100% Phase: Full Moon; Moon at 14 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
    EDIT      (on/off)   Help

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Stowe, VT
   Hourly   EDIT   Help
location: 44.47, -72.68     debug

Area Discussion for - Burlington, VT
      (on/off)   Help   NOTE: mouseover dotted underlined text for definition
Fxus61 kbtv 220854
area forecast discussion
national weather service burlington vt
354 am est Thu nov 22 2018

High pressure continues to build down from canada today and
will settle over the north country tonight. This system is
bringing well below normal temperatures to the region. Both high
and low temperatures today and tonight will be on the order of
20 to 30 degrees below normal. Other than a few mountain snow
showers dry weather is generally expected... Especially tonight
and Friday with high pressure right over the area. A slow
warming trend will take place on Friday with highs in the 20s.

Warmer and wetter weather is expected for the weekend.

Near term through Friday
As of 350 am est Thursday... Coldest air aloft is moving over
the area early this morning with 850 millibar temperatures
expected to be as low as -25c. Continued cold air advection
today in the northwest flow aloft pattern will result in high
temperatures only in the 8 to 16 degree range... Which is about
20 to 30 degrees below normal for this time of year. The
northwest flow aloft will result in continued clouds in the
mountains and some lingering snow showers... Especially over
vermont due to the upslope flow. Any additional accumulations
will be less than an inch. Gusty northwest winds combined with
the below normal temperatures will keep wind chill values below
zero for a better part of the day today. Coldest values will be
at the higher elevations... Generally above 2000 feet.

The high settles over the area tonight and Friday morning. This
will allow for clear skies and light winds to develop. Coldest
air aloft will be east of the area and some warm air advection
begins to take place. Lows will generally range between 5 above
and 5 below with saranac lake getting down to around 12 below.

A slow warming trend takes place on Friday as the high shifts to
the east and a south to southwest return flow develops. Highs
temperatures will climb into the 20s... Still about 20 degrees
below normal for this time of year. No precipitation is expected
with just some increasing clouds in the afternoon.

Short term Friday night through Saturday
As of 350 am est Thursday... Friday night will be the last
really cold night for the next week. Surface high pressure will
begin to slide east of the area, though upper level ridge will
remain. Single digits in the northeast kingdom, with teens
elsewhere. Then on Saturday surface low will form over delmarva
area, and clouds and moisture increase late in the period.

Saturday will finally feature near normal temperatures with
highs in the mid 30s to lower 40s.

Long term Saturday night through Wednesday
As of 350 am est Thursday... Precipitation will spread into our
area from the southwest on Saturday night, spreading across our
entire forecast area by Sunday morning. Aforementioned surface
low will lift northeastward into southern new england. Minimum
temperatures Saturday night will range from the upper 20s to the
mid 30s, therefore a mix of snow and rain is expected. This low
will pass through the area pretty quickly, with precipitation
ending by about 00z Monday. QPF will range from a couple tenths
of an inch to a half an inch. Will have a quick break in the
action Sunday night, then a much stronger low will lift through
the great lakes region, along with upper level low on Monday.

More widespread precipitation is anticipated for Monday, likely
a mix of rain and snow once again. This pattern remains a bit
stuck over the north country into the middle of next week.

Aviation 09z Thursday through Monday
Through 06z Friday... MVFRVFR ceilings will exist through
12z... But should transition toVFR between 12z and 18z as cloud
cover gradually decreases in areal coverage. Visibilities will
generally beVFR... But could see brief periods of ifr visibilities
at kslk and kmpv due to snow showers and haze until 12z. Gusty
northwest winds will continue through 00z with gusts in the 15
to 25 knot range. Winds will lower under 10 knots after 00z.


Friday:VFR. No sig wx.

Friday night:VFR. No sig wx.

Saturday:VFR. Slight chance shra.

Saturday night: mainlyVFR, with local ifr possible. Definite
shra, definite shsn.

Sunday: mainly MVFR, with local ifr possible. Chance shra.

Sunday night: mainly MVFR, with localVFR possible. Chance shra,
chance shsn.

Monday: mainly MVFR, with localVFR possible. Likely shra.

A lake wind advisory remains in effect today as winds will
continue to be from the northwest at 15 to 25 knots. This will
create 2 to 4 foot waves and rather choppy conditions... Especially
on the east side of the lake. The winds will begin to taper off
tonight and become more southerly on Friday.

The record low MAX temperature for burlington for thanksgiving day
is 19 degrees, set on thanksgiving day (november 24th) 1938.

Below are some daily climate records for november 22nd and 23rd.

November 22nd:
record low daily MAX record low daily min
burlington: 22 (2008) 3 (1969)
plattsburgh: 24 (2008) 6 (1972)
montpelier: 18 (2008) 2 (1964)
st. Johnsbury: 22 (2008) 12 (2014)
saranac lake: 10 (1987) -2 (2000)
massena: 22 (1989) 0 (1972)
november 23rd:
record low daily MAX record low daily min
burlington: 20 (1914) 2 (1972)
plattsburgh: 23 (1989) 6 (2000)
montpelier: 21 (2000) -1 (1972)
st. Johnsbury: 22 (2000) 7 (2000)
saranac lake: 18 (2000) -11 (1932)
massena: 18 (2008) 0 (2000)

Btv watches warnings advisories
Vt... None.

Ny... None.

Synopsis... Evenson
near term... Evenson
short term... Neiles
long term... Neiles
aviation... Evenson
marine... Evenson
climate... Rsd

Weather Reporting Stations
   EDIT       (on/off)   Help   NOTE: Click on distance to see the station location on a map

Airport Reports
    EDIT      (on/off)   Help   Click EDIT to display multiple airports
AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Morrisville-Stowe State Airport, VT6 mi39 minN 82.50 miLight Snow2°F-2°F80%1026.1 hPa
Barre / Montpelier, Knapp State Airport, VT19 mi42 minVar 33.00 miFog/Mist1°F-2°F83%1026.1 hPa

Wind History from MVL (wind in knots)
Last 24hrSW5S34SW11SW8S5S5N6N7NW17
1 day agoCalmCalmN4N4N3N3CalmCalmN3NE3N3CalmNE3N8N6N65CalmCalmCalmN34SW3SW3
2 days agoCalmCalmCalmS5S64SW6N4CalmE3CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmN5CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalm

Tide / Current Tables for
   EDIT   RT Ports Option   Weekend mode (on/off)   (on/off)   Help
Tide / Current Tables for
   EDIT      (on/off)   Help
Weather Map and Satellite Images
       (on/off)   HelpWeather Map
GOES Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Burlington, VT (5,6,7,8)
      (on/off)   Help

Ground Weather Radar Station Burlington, VT
   (on/off)   Help
weather_mapweather_map weather_map

Ad by Google

The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.