Friday, March24, 2017 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Ellsworth, ME

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.
3/12/2015 - Added section for Gulf current for users in the GMZ marine zones.
This was requested by a user. If you have requests, please let me know.

Sunrise 6:27AMSunset 6:55PM Friday March 24, 2017 10:06 AM EDT (14:06 UTC) Moonrise 4:37AMMoonset 3:04PM Illumination 10% Phase: Waning Crescent; Moon at 27 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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ANZ052 Intra Coastal Waters From Schoodic Point, Me To Stonington, Me- 944 Am Edt Fri Mar 24 2017
.small craft advisory in effect through Saturday morning...
Today..SW winds 5 to 10 kt...increasing to 20 to 25 kt with gusts up to 30 kt. Seas 1 to 2 ft. A slight chance of snow late this morning. A chance of snow with a slight chance of rain early this afternoon...then rain late. Vsby 1 to 3 nm late this morning and afternoon.
Tonight..SW winds 20 to 30 kt...becoming W 15 to 20 kt with gusts up to 25 kt after midnight. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Rain likely with a chance of snow in the evening...then a chance of rain and snow after midnight. Vsby 1 to 3 nm.
Sat..N winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas around 2 ft.
Sat night..N winds 5 to 10 kt...becoming ne 10 to 15 kt after midnight. Seas 2 to 3 ft.
Sun..NE winds 10 to 15 kt...becoming E around 5 kt in the afternoon. Seas 1 to 2 ft.
Sun night..SE winds around 5 kt. Seas 1 to 2 ft. A chance of rain in the evening. A chance of snow. Vsby 1 to 3 nm.
Mon..E winds 5 to 10 kt...increasing to 10 to 15 kt. Seas 1 to 2 ft...building to 2 to 3 ft after midnight. Snow likely. Rain likely. Vsby 1 to 3 nm.
Tue..E winds 10 to 15 kt...diminishing to 5 to 10 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Snow likely in the morning. A chance of rain. A chance of snow after midnight. Vsby 1 to 3 nm.
ANZ005 944 Am Edt Fri Mar 24 2017
Synopsis for eastport me to stonington me out 25 nm.. A warm front will cross the waters today with a cold front following tonight through early Sat. High pres will build across the region later Sat into Sun. A warm front will approach the region Mon.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Ellsworth, ME
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location: 44.5, -68.43     debug


Area Discussion for - Caribou, ME
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Fxus61 kcar 241343
afdcar
area forecast discussion
national weather service caribou me
943 am edt Fri mar 24 2017

Synopsis
A warm front will cross the region today with a cold front
crossing tonight. High pressure will build across the region
Saturday into Sunday.

Near term /through tonight/
940 am update...

adjusted the hrly temps/dewpoints based on the latest obs. Also
adjusted the sky conditions to bring in line w/the latest satl
imagery showing clouds overspreading the region. Radar loop
showing returns moving into western and southern sections w/most
of this very light and hitting dry air in the llvls. Highest
returns still back across the west. Atmosphere is expected to
moisten later this morning w/precip able to reach the blyr. The
canadian gem aligned pretty well w/the radar and followed its
trend w/bringing snow into the region by mid/late morning from
sw to ne. Temps were warming quickly along the coast(around 30)
and will continue to do so this morning. Some light precip could
be in form of sleet or rain/snow mixed for a time as temps hit
mid 30s. Dewpoints however, are expected to remain below 32f
which could allow for the sleet for brief time. Kept the
snowfall and QPF as is for now.

Previous discussion...

a warm front will cross the region today with a cold front
crossing tonight. High pressure will begin to build across the
region later tonight. Light snow will develop across the region
through the morning into the afternoon. Generally expect
precipitation to remain in the form of snow today, though rain
could mix the snow at times downeast particularly closer to the
coast. Snow accumulations across the forecast area today will
be generally around an inch or less. Light snow will diminish
early tonight with a chance of snow showers along the cold
front. Any additional snow accumulation tonight is expected to
be less than an inch. Cloud cover will then decrease later
tonight with building high pressure. High temperatures today
will range from the lower 30s north, to the mid to upper 30s
downeast. Low temperatures tonight will range from around 20 to
the lower 20s north, to the upper 20s to around 30 downeast.

Short term /Saturday through Sunday/
Strong high pressure is expected to build in from the north
Saturday morning and crest over the region mid day Sunday. The
high will then move to the east late in the day Sunday. Expect
mostly clear conditions under the influence of this system.

Long term /Sunday night through Thursday/
Clouds are expected to increase over the region Sunday night as
low pressure moves northeast towards the great lakes Sunday
night. This will result in overrunning precipitation developing
across the region late Sunday night and continuing into Monday.

Precipitation type is expected to be mostly snow in the north
and central areas and a mixture of snow and rain in the south. A
second low pressure system is then expected to approach from
the southwest Tuesday and move across the region Wednesday.

Precipitation with this low is expected to be mostly rain and
snow mixed south and driven by diurnal temperature change across
the north.

Aviation /14z Friday through Tuesday/
Near term: MVFR conditions will develop across the region
today, with occasional ifr conditions also possible.

Precipitation will be mostly in the form of snow today through
tonight, though rain could mix with snow at times this afternoon
into tonight downeast particularly near the coast. Similar
conditions will persist early tonight. Conditions will then
improve later tonight.

Short term: expectVFR conditions Saturday and Sunday. MVFR/ifr
conditions are expected Monday and Tuesday.

Marine
Near term: winds will increase today along with building seas.

A small craft advisory is in effect for the waters from later
this morning through tonight. Visibilities will be reduced in
rain/snow later this morning into tonight.

Short term: have blended the gfs, ecmwf, and the NAM for
sustained winds for Saturday and Sunday then transition to the
super blend winds. For waves: a longer period wave system (5
feet/7-8 seconds) will be the primary wave group Saturday
morning. This wave group was generated the day before in a fetch
which was confined to the gulf of maine, so should subside
rapidly during the day Saturday as a new northeast wind wave
system develops. Combined seas will continue to subside Sunday
under light wind conditions. A new southeasterly fetch will
develop Monday. Will use the near shore prediction system for
wave heights.

Car watches/warnings/advisories
Me... None.

Marine... Small craft advisory until 8 am edt Saturday for anz050>052.

Near term... Hewitt/norcross
short term... Mignone
long term... Mignone
aviation... Hewitt/norcross/mignone
marine... Hewitt/norcross/mignone


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
ATGM1 - 8413320 - Bar Harbor, ME 14 mi48 min S 6 G 8.9 30°F 33°F1030.7 hPa
44034 - Buoy I0103 - Eastern Maine Shelf 32 mi122 min S 7.8 G 9.7 31°F 39°F1 ft1031.1 hPa
MDRM1 - Mt Desert Rock, ME 40 mi66 min 31°F 1031.7 hPa (-1.0)6°F
44033 - Buoy F0103 - West Penobscot Bay 43 mi122 min SSW 12 G 14 32°F 35°F1 ft1030.8 hPa

Wind History for Bar Harbor, ME
(wind in knots)    EDIT      (on/off)   Help
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N18
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G24
N20
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N2
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G29
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G33
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G35
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G38
NW34
NW27
G33
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G36
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N24
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N26
G39
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G39
N25
G34
N26
G34
N22
G28
NW22
G27
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N9
G12
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N4
G9
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G13
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G13
W8
G13
W6
G11
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G10
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G5
W1
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G8
W5
G9
W4
W4
NW2
G7
NW9

Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Bar Harbor, Hancock County-Bar Harbor Airport, ME4 mi10 minSSW 1410.00 miOvercast31°F14°F49%1031.3 hPa

Wind History from BHB (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrNW13
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3NW3W4W5W4SW3SW3CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmS14
1 day agoNW10
G18
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G30
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N8
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--NW8NW7NW8NW10
G18
N13
G22
2 days agoN9NW8N8NW65W85SW9SW5SW4S4W4SW5S3SW4SW4SW4W5CalmCalmCalmS44W11
G18

Tide / Current Tables for Union River, Maine
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Union River
Click for Map
Fri -- 02:31 AM EDT     1.61 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 04:37 AM EDT     Moonrise
Fri -- 06:29 AM EDT     Sunrise
Fri -- 08:45 AM EDT     10.25 feet High Tide
Fri -- 03:04 PM EDT     Moonset
Fri -- 03:07 PM EDT     0.77 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 06:51 PM EDT     Sunset
Fri -- 09:21 PM EDT     9.78 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
4.52.71.71.72.74.56.78.71010.29.57.85.43.11.40.81.22.64.87.18.99.79.68.4

Tide / Current Tables for Mount Desert Narrows, Maine
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Mount Desert Narrows
Click for Map
Fri -- 02:31 AM EDT     1.63 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 04:37 AM EDT     Moonrise
Fri -- 06:28 AM EDT     Sunrise
Fri -- 08:46 AM EDT     10.34 feet High Tide
Fri -- 03:04 PM EDT     Moonset
Fri -- 03:07 PM EDT     0.78 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 06:51 PM EDT     Sunset
Fri -- 09:22 PM EDT     9.87 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
4.52.71.81.72.74.56.88.81010.39.67.95.53.11.50.81.22.64.87.18.99.89.78.5

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
wmap_A
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
east_satellite

GOES Local Image of Northeast    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for Caribou, ME (10,2,3,4)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Caribou, ME
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.