Wednesday, May22, 2019 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Ellsworth, ME

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
10/6/2018 Colors of tide XTide graphs changed to emphasize that they were upgraded. See next note. Comments welcome.
10/4/2018 I have fixed XTide and updated the harmonic files. There were some name changes so you might have to click EDIT to find the new station name.

Sunrise 4:57AMSunset 8:05PM Wednesday May 22, 2019 9:30 AM EDT (13:30 UTC) Moonrise 11:45PMMoonset 8:02AM Illumination 87% Phase: Waning Gibbous; Moon at 18 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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ANZ052 Intra Coastal Waters From Schoodic Point, Me To Stonington, Me- 925 Am Edt Wed May 22 2019
Rest of today..N winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt, diminishing to 5 to 10 kt this afternoon. Seas 2 to 3 ft, subsiding to 1 to 2 ft this afternoon.
Tonight..W winds around 5 kt. Seas 1 foot or less.
Thu..SW winds around 5 kt, becoming S in the afternoon. Seas 1 foot or less.
Thu night..S winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Rain. Vsby 1 to 3 nm after midnight.
Fri..NE winds 5 to 10 kt, increasing to 10 to 15 kt in the afternoon. Gusts up to 25 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Rain in the morning, then a chance of showers in the afternoon. Vsby 1 to 3 nm in the morning.
Fri night..N winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft.
Sat..NW winds around 5 kt, becoming sw in the afternoon, then becoming S 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft in the morning, then 1 foot or less, then, then 2 to 3 ft. A chance of rain in the afternoon. Rain through the night.
Sun..S winds 10 to 15 kt, becoming sw 5 to 10 kt in the afternoon, then diminishing to around 5 kt in the evening, becoming nw around 5 kt after midnight. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Rain in the morning, then a chance of showers in the afternoon.
ANZ005 925 Am Edt Wed May 22 2019
Synopsis for eastport me to stonington me out 25 nm.. Low pres tracks E across the maritimes through Wed. High pres will build over the waters tonight. Low pres will track across the waters late Thu night into Fri with high pres building in on Sat.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Ellsworth, ME
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location: 44.5, -68.43     debug


Area Discussion for - Caribou, ME
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Fxus61 kcar 221029
afdcar
area forecast discussion
national weather service caribou me
629 am edt Wed may 22 2019

Synopsis
High pressure builds today into Thursday. Low pressure will
track across the region Thursday night into early Friday. High
pressure returns later Friday until later Saturday.

Near term through tonight
630am update... Increased cloud cover for this morning based on
metsat, sfc obs and latest guidance.

Previous discussion...

the northerly flow and tight pressure gradient in the wake of a
departing low in the canadian maritimes will diminish today. The
low will continue moving east as high pressure builds east over
the area. This morning, there is a lot of h925 h850 moisture
that will result in widespread cloud cover. This cloud cover
will slowly erode from the west as the day progresses and all
areas will become clear by early this evening. The surface ridge
will be accompanied by a high amplitude upper ridge that builds
over the area through tonight. The resulting warm advection and
subsidence will help propel today's highs some 5 to 10f warmer
than yesterday's chilly readings. Temperatures will drop off
this evening, but prospects for frost diminished as upper level
clouds increase after midnight when the upper ridge crests.

Short term Thursday through Friday night
Increasing clouds Thursday ahead of the next system, with warmer
temperatures and highs mainly in the mid to upper 60s. Fairly
potent weather system for Thursday night with a surface and
upper low sliding southeast out of quebec and through the state.

An area of moderate rain is expected along and north of the
surface low track. At this time, the heaviest rain axis is
mostly likely to run from northern somerset southeast to
downeast maine, where totals around three quarters of an inch
are expected. Models have been trending a bit south with the
system's track. It is possible that extreme NE maine could miss
out on the rain, and have put the northern edge of the likely
pops just north of caribou. Confident enough to go with 100 pops
from northern somerset southeast to downeast.

Rain tapers off to a chance of showers by midday Friday with
partial clearing late in the afternoon. Cool Friday with highs
in the 50s, and have gone closer with the cooler raw model
guidance temps rather than mos. High pressure building in Friday
night and cool with lows in the upper 30s to mid 40s.

Long term Saturday through Tuesday
Active weather pattern continuing for the holiday weekend into
early next week.

Saturday looks mostly dry and mild with increasing clouds. Rain
may move in very late in the day, and more likely Saturday
night, when rain looks like a good bet as a warm front moves
through the area from west to east. Fairly juicy airmass in
place for Sunday behind the warm front with a chance of storms,
though dynamics don't look terribly impressive. Another chance
of storms on Monday with perhaps some better upper level
dynamics and a decent cold front approaching. Timing still
fairly uncertain, though if the front coincides with the best
daytime heating Monday, could be an active storm day. Neither
Sunday nor Monday look like washouts or all day rains by any
means, but they will be days to keep an eye to the sky.

Model agreement falls apart Monday night into Tuesday with some
models having an upper low closing off over the region and
others having high pressure building in.

Aviation 12z Wednesday through Sunday
Near term: MVFR CIGS north of hul and gnr will give way toVFR
conditions this afternoon through tonight. Ifr CIGS at fve will
lift to MVFR this morning.

Short term:VFR Thursday, then MVFR and ifr likely Thursday
night into early Friday areawide with rain and low clouds.

Vfr again late Friday into Saturday afternoon. MVFR ifr possible
again Saturday night with more rain.

Marine
Near term: the small craft advisory will remain in place early
this morning, but not seeing much reason to extend it. Winds and
seas will diminish through today and tonight as high pressure
builds.

Short term: small craft conditions likely Thursday night into
Friday, then possibly again Saturday night.

Car watches warnings advisories
Me... None.

Marine... None.

Near term... Mcw
short term... Foisy
long term... Foisy
aviation... Mcw foisy
marine... Mcw foisy


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
ATGM1 - 8413320 - Bar Harbor, ME 14 mi42 min 49°F 46°F1017.8 hPa
44034 - Buoy I0103 - Eastern Maine Shelf 32 mi86 min NNW 18 G 19 46°F 42°F3 ft1016.8 hPa
44033 - Buoy F0103 - West Penobscot Bay 43 mi86 min N 16 G 21 48°F 45°F2 ft1017.5 hPa

Wind History for Bar Harbor, ME
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Bar Harbor, Hancock County-Bar Harbor Airport, ME4 mi34 minNNW 13 G 2210.00 miOvercast51°F37°F59%1018.8 hPa

Wind History from BHB (wind in knots)
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1 day agoSE6SE3SW5SW5SW4CalmS5S7CalmSE3CalmCalmSE5CalmCalmCalmCalmS4CalmCalmCalmCalm6NW9
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2 days agoS7S5CalmS8SE5E4S4S8SE4S7S5S3E4E5N4E4E5CalmS4S3Calm4Calm3

Tide / Current Tables for Union River, Maine
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Union River
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Wed -- 01:51 AM EDT     11.81 feet High Tide
Wed -- 04:59 AM EDT     Sunrise
Wed -- 08:02 AM EDT     Moonset
Wed -- 08:19 AM EDT     -0.40 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 02:34 PM EDT     10.39 feet High Tide
Wed -- 08:01 PM EDT     Sunset
Wed -- 08:27 PM EDT     1.22 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 11:44 PM EDT     Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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9.611.311.8118.9630.7-0.3-0.11.546.7910.210.39.27.14.62.51.31.42.74.9

Tide / Current Tables for Mount Desert Narrows, Maine
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Mount Desert Narrows
Click for Map
Wed -- 01:52 AM EDT     11.91 feet High Tide
Wed -- 04:59 AM EDT     Sunrise
Wed -- 08:02 AM EDT     Moonset
Wed -- 08:19 AM EDT     -0.40 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 02:35 PM EDT     10.48 feet High Tide
Wed -- 08:01 PM EDT     Sunset
Wed -- 08:27 PM EDT     1.23 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 11:43 PM EDT     Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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9.711.411.911.196.13.10.8-0.3-0.11.546.8910.310.49.37.24.62.51.41.42.74.9

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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wmap_A
GOES Local Image of Northeast    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Wind Forecast for Caribou, ME (9,2,3,4)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Caribou, ME
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.