Friday, March24, 2017 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Ellsworth, ME

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.
3/12/2015 - Added section for Gulf current for users in the GMZ marine zones.
This was requested by a user. If you have requests, please let me know.

Sunrise 6:27AMSunset 6:55PM Friday March 24, 2017 12:12 AM EDT (04:12 UTC) Moonrise 4:37AMMoonset 3:04PM Illumination 13% Phase: Waning Crescent; Moon at 26 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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ANZ052 Intra Coastal Waters From Schoodic Point, Me To Stonington, Me- 943 Pm Edt Thu Mar 23 2017
Rest of tonight..NW winds 15 to 20 kt...becoming W 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 to 2 ft. Light freezing spray late this evening and early morning.
Fri..SW winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt...increasing to 20 to 25 kt with gusts up to 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas 1 to 2 ft...building to 2 to 3 ft in the afternoon. Showers with a chance of snow showers in the afternoon with vsby 1 to 3 nm.
Fri night..SW winds 20 to 25 kt...becoming W 15 to 20 kt after midnight. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Showers likely... Mainly in the evening. Vsby 1 to 3 nm.
Sat..N winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Seas 1 to 2 ft.
Sat night..NE winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 25 kt. Seas 1 to 2 ft.
Sun..NE winds 5 to 10 kt with gusts up to 20 kt...becoming se in the afternoon. Seas 1 to 2 ft in the morning...then 1 foot or less.
Sun night..SE winds around 5 kt. Seas 1 to 2 ft. A chance of rain in the evening. A chance of snow. Vsby 1 to 3 nm.
Mon..E winds 5 to 10 kt...increasing to 10 to 15 kt. Seas 1 to 2 ft...building to 2 to 3 ft. Snow likely through the day. Rain likely. A chance of snow showers through the night. Vsby 1 to 3 nm.
Tue..E winds 10 to 15 kt...diminishing to 5 to 10 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft. A chance of rain and snow showers... Then a chance of rain and snow after midnight. Vsby 1 to 3 nm.
ANZ005 943 Pm Edt Thu Mar 23 2017
Synopsis for eastport me to stonington me out 25 nm.. High pres will build across the region tonight. A warm front will cross the waters Fri with a cold front following Fri night through early Sat. High pres will build across the region later Sat into Sun.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Ellsworth, ME
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location: 44.5, -68.43     debug


Area Discussion for - Caribou, ME
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Fxus61 kcar 240146
afdcar
area forecast discussion
national weather service caribou me
946 pm edt Thu mar 23 2017

Synopsis
High pressure will slide south of the area tonight. A warm front
will cross the region on Friday followed by a cold front Friday
night. High pressure will build down from the northwest Saturday
into Sunday.

Near term /through Friday/
9:45 pm update... Satellite pictures continue to show a clear
sky across the CWA with cirrus approaching from the west. High
clouds will begin to overspread the area from the west over the
next several hours. Most areas have not fully decoupled yet as
there is still a bit of wind, but expect most of the valleys
will decouple over the next few hours, especially across the
western zones. The challenge for the overnight remains the low
temperatures. Clouds may begin to have an impact after midnight
in the far west along the quebec border, but not until a couple
hours prior to sunrise in the east. The dew points remain below
zero, and there will remain a window for temps to continue to
fall. Made a few add'l tweaks to lower the temps in the valleys.

Previous discussion... Another cold night on tap for the region
as high pressure will crest over the area. High clouds
associated with our next weather system will begin to spread
into western areas late tonight which should help keep
temperatures a bit warmer than what we saw last night. Lows will
be in the single digits north and east, while more southwestern
portions of our forecast area and along the coast will bottom
out at 10 to 20.

Low pressure will slide eastward well to our north, dragging a cold
front/surface trough through the great lakes on Friday and into the
northeast late in the day. This will bring another round of
precipitation to our area, mainly in the afternoon and evening
hours. Although this may start out as snow, temperatures will warm
into the lower and mid 30s by afternoon, so expect many central and
downeast locations will end up seeing a rain/snow mix or just plain
rain for the bulk of the event, mainly along and south of a danforth
to millinocket to dover-foxcroft line. This is a fast-moving system,
so don't expect much in the way of any snow accumulation, even in
those areas that remain cold enough for all snow. Most spots will
see an inch or less, with some amounts up to 2 inches possible in
the higher terrain of the north woods.

Short term /Friday night through Sunday/
A cold front will push across the state Friday evening with some
light rain or snow showers still possible, mainly downeast, during
the evening as the front pushes through. Northern areas will begin
clearing overnight. A large high pressure system will then begin
building down from central canada on Saturday bringing a mostly
sunny and seasonable day across the north with partial clearing
downeast. This will be followed by a mostly clear and cold night
Saturday night. The high will be ridging over the area on Sunday as
northern areas remain partly to mostly sunny. Some clouds will start
to increase downeast as a warm front begins to move in from a large
low pressure system approaching form the great lakes.

Long term /Sunday night through Thursday/
Low pressure will approach Sunday night into Monday as clouds
increase from southwest to northeast. Some snow may begin to spread
into southeastern areas overnight Sunday night then continue on
Monday with snow possibly reaching the north late Monday. The snow
may taper off or decrease in intensity Monday night as an initial
wave of low pressure slides off to the east. A larger low will then
approach late Tuesday into Tuesday night spreading snow back across
the area which may change to rain downeast. Snow north and rain
downeast are then likely Wednesday as one low lifts north across
canada and a secondary forms south of the coast and pushes offshore.

The system should consolidate and lift northeast through the
maritimes on Thursday as drier air returns behind the low.

Aviation /01z Friday through Tuesday/
Near term: conditions will remainVFR for much of the forecast
period. Clouds will gradually filter in late tonight and then
lower through the day on Friday as precipitation associated with
an approaching cold front moves into the region. While light
snow showers will be possible at all sites by late morning, kbhb
and kbgr will transition to all rain by 18z while northern
locations remain all snow. Conditions will lower to MVFR at all
terminals around 18z and remain so through the rest of the day.

The northern sites will likely drop to ifr occasionally in light
snow.

Short term: ifr conditions are likely Friday evening.

Conditions should then improve to MVFR thenVFR from north to
south late Friday night into Saturday morning.VFR conditions
are expected across the area Saturday afternoon through Sunday.

Conditions should lower to MVFR or ifr downeast Sunday night
then be ifr across the area on Monday in low clouds and some
snow.

Marine
Near term: the wind will continue to diminish overnight as high
pressure settles over the waters. Will cancel the small craft
advisory as only a few gusts to around 25 knots are expected
over the next couple of hours on the coastal waters. However,
once the high moves to the east, winds and seas will build once
again on Friday, reaching SCA levels early Friday afternoon.

Additional headlines will likely be needed.

Short term: a SCA may be needed Friday evening for
southwesterly winds gusting up to 25kt. Winds should be below
sca late Friday night through Saturday then may reach SCA again
Saturday evening in gusts up to 25kt. Winds should be below sca
Sunday into morning as high pressure crest over the area. Winds
may increase to SCA Monday afternoon into Monday night ahead of
approaching low pressure.

Climate
The high temperature this afternoon of 21f at caribou, ties with
2008 for the lowest high temperature ever observed at caribou on
march 23rd.

Car watches/warnings/advisories
Me... None.

Marine... None.

Near term... Hastings/cb
short term... Bloomer
long term... Bloomer
aviation... Hastings/bloomer/cb
marine... Hastings/bloomer/cb
climate... Cb


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
ATGM1 - 8413320 - Bar Harbor, ME 14 mi43 min NW 5.1 G 8.9 22°F 33°F1030.9 hPa
44034 - Buoy I0103 - Eastern Maine Shelf 32 mi69 min NNW 18 G 19 27°F 39°F3 ft1031.3 hPa
MDRM1 - Mt Desert Rock, ME 40 mi73 min 26°F 1032 hPa (+3.0)2°F
44033 - Buoy F0103 - West Penobscot Bay 43 mi69 min NW 12 G 14 27°F 36°F1 ft1032.3 hPa

Wind History for Bar Harbor, ME
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Bar Harbor, Hancock County-Bar Harbor Airport, ME4 mi17 minWNW 410.00 miFair18°F0°F43%1032.4 hPa

Wind History from BHB (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrN19
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1 day agoSW4SW4SW4W5CalmCalmCalmS44W11
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2 days agoN3CalmCalmCalmCalmS3CalmCalmCalmNW6N9NW8N8NW65W85SW9SW5SW4S4W4SW5S3

Tide / Current Tables for Union River, Maine
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Union River
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Fri -- 02:31 AM EDT     1.61 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 04:37 AM EDT     Moonrise
Fri -- 06:29 AM EDT     Sunrise
Fri -- 08:45 AM EDT     10.25 feet High Tide
Fri -- 03:04 PM EDT     Moonset
Fri -- 03:07 PM EDT     0.77 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 06:51 PM EDT     Sunset
Fri -- 09:21 PM EDT     9.78 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
4.52.71.71.72.74.56.78.71010.29.57.85.43.11.40.81.22.64.87.18.99.79.68.4

Tide / Current Tables for Mount Desert Narrows, Maine
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Mount Desert Narrows
Click for Map
Fri -- 02:31 AM EDT     1.63 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 04:37 AM EDT     Moonrise
Fri -- 06:28 AM EDT     Sunrise
Fri -- 08:46 AM EDT     10.34 feet High Tide
Fri -- 03:04 PM EDT     Moonset
Fri -- 03:07 PM EDT     0.78 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 06:51 PM EDT     Sunset
Fri -- 09:22 PM EDT     9.87 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
4.52.71.81.72.74.56.88.81010.39.67.95.53.11.50.81.22.64.87.18.99.89.78.5

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
wmap_A
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
east_satellite

GOES Local Image of Northeast    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for Caribou, ME (0,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Caribou, ME
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.