Sunday, April22, 2018 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Ellsworth, ME

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
3/3/2018 - There is a new GOES Satellite for the east coast that required rewriting that part of the code. Please report any issues.
6/25/2017 - NOAA is having a major issue that impact the 7 day forecast load times. Many users are reporting problems. The issue has been reported.
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.

Sunrise 5:35AMSunset 7:31PM Sunday April 22, 2018 2:06 PM EDT (18:06 UTC) Moonrise 11:15AMMoonset 1:34AM Illumination 49% Phase: First Quarter Moon; Moon at 7 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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ANZ052 Intra Coastal Waters From Schoodic Point, Me To Stonington, Me- 135 Pm Edt Sun Apr 22 2018
Rest of today..NW winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 foot or less.
Tonight..NW winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 foot or less.
Mon..NW winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming sw in the afternoon. Seas 1 foot or less, then around 2 ft in the afternoon.
Mon night..SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas around 2 ft.
Tue..SW winds 5 to 10 kt, increasing to 10 to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 2 to 4 ft.
Tue night..SW winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft.
Wed..S winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming se 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. A chance of rain in the morning, then rain. Vsby 1 to 3 nm.
Thu..S winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming w. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Rain likely in the morning, then a chance of rain through the night. A chance of showers after midnight. Vsby 1 to 3 nm.
ANZ005 135 Pm Edt Sun Apr 22 2018
Synopsis for eastport me to stonington me out 25 nm.. High pres will build toward the waters from the W today. The high will settle across the area Mon and begin to move E Tue. Low pres will approach from the sw Wed then cross the region Thu.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Ellsworth, ME
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location: 44.5, -68.43     debug


Area Discussion for - Caribou, ME
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Fxus61 kcar 221318
afdcar
area forecast discussion
national weather service caribou me
918 am edt Sun apr 22 2018

Synopsis
High pressure across the great lakes and middle atlantic states
will build across the region through Monday. The high will then
exit to the east Tuesday. Low pressure will begin to approach
Wednesday.

Near term through tonight
9:15 am update: cleaned up the grids this morning and just
tweaked the wind gusts up a little for this afternoon with deep
mixing expected over the open areas of the cwa. Should be a nice
day overall.

6:02 am update: web cams and satellite pictures show nothing
more than cirrus in some spots early this morning. Updated with
the latest observed conditions, but other than some very minor
tweaks no updates to the forecast at this time.

Previous discussion:
sfc high pressure to the west of the region will settle into
eastern ny state and western new england tonight. Today will
feature sunshine and just a few fair weather cu. The model
soundings are a lot less moist compared to yesterday. The air
mass moderates just a bit today with 925-850h temps around 2c
warmer than yesterday, and with a bit more sunshine highs will
be about 5f milder than Saturday. There will be decent low level
mixing, so a breezy day is expected, although a bit less so
than Saturday. Tonight will be clear with the wind going very
light calm as the atmosphere decouples. Temperatures will be on
the cold side with lows mostly in the 20s, with some teens
possible in the normally colder northwest valleys, and low 30s
along the coast.

Short term Monday through Wednesday
High pressure will cross the region Monday through Monday night,
then exit to the east Tuesday through Tuesday night. Mostly
clear skies are expected across the region Monday Monday night.

Partly sunny skies are expected across northern areas Tuesday,
with still mostly sunny skies downeast. The return flow around
exiting high pressure will draw moisture across the region from
low pressure along the mid-atlantic coast Tuesday night. Clouds
will increase across the forecast area Tuesday night.

Temperatures will be at above normal levels Monday Tuesday.

Long term Wednesday night through Saturday
Uncertainty exists with the timing and track of the low
Wednesday through Thursday. The low will bring rain to the
region Wednesday into Thursday, though amounts are still
uncertain. The low should exit across the maritimes Friday
leaving mostly cloudy skies across the forecast area along with
a slight chance of rain showers. Another low should approach
from the west later Saturday with a chance of rain showers.

Near normal, to slightly above normal, level temperatures are
expected Wednesday through Saturday.

Aviation 13z Sunday through Thursday
Near term:VFR through 12z Monday. A northwest wind will pick
up this morning with gusts to around 20 knots. The wind will
diminish rapidly by sunset this evening.

Short term:VFR conditions are expected across the region
Monday into Tuesday night. Conditions will lower to ifr lifr
levels Wednesday, with similar conditions then persisting
through early Thursday. MVFR ifr conditions are expected later
Thursday.

Marine
Near term: the wind and seas will remain well below small craft
advisory levels through tonight as high pressure builds toward the
waters from the west.

Short term: conditions are expected to be below small craft
advisory levels Monday Monday night. Small craft advisory
conditions are then possible Tuesday into Tuesday night.

Hydrology
The ice finally went out at the caribou dam yesterday afternoon.

Until all of the ice is flushed out of the northern rivers there
is always the risk that it gets hung up with a local ice jam.

Warmer weather and significant snowmelt early this week should
flush the remaining ice out of the northern rivers. Water levels
on the northern rivers will be rising this week and will likely
be running fast and high by late in the week. Whether there is
any flooding will likely depend on how much rain falls later in
the week, and we will continue to closely monitor the situation.

Some of the GEFS and naefs ensemble river forecasts bring the
rivers to action or flood stage by Thursday or Friday, but again
whether there is any flooding remains uncertain at this time.

Climate
Yesterday marked 132 consecutive days with 6" or more of snow
on the ground at caribou. The snow depth is now down to 4" as of
2 am this morning. This ranks as the 7th longest such stretch
on record. The all-time record of 144 days was set in the winter
of 2007-08. Last winter came in at a tie for 3rd place with 137
days.

Car watches warnings advisories
Me... None.

Marine... None.

Near term... CB dumont
short term... Norcross
long term... Norcross
aviation... CB dumont norcross
marine... CB dumont norcross
hydrology...

climate...



Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
ATGM1 - 8413320 - Bar Harbor, ME 14 mi49 min N 7 G 9.9 50°F 41°F1024.5 hPa
44034 - Buoy I0103 - Eastern Maine Shelf 32 mi123 min W 3.9 G 5.8 43°F 41°F1 ft1024.5 hPa
MDRM1 - Mt Desert Rock, ME 40 mi67 min WSW 13 G 14 44°F 1025.2 hPa (+0.0)25°F
44033 - Buoy F0103 - West Penobscot Bay 43 mi123 min SE 3.9 G 3.9 45°F 44°F1 ft1025.9 hPa

Wind History for Bar Harbor, ME
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Bar Harbor, Hancock County-Bar Harbor Airport, ME4 mi71 minNNE 10 G 1610.00 miFair52°F18°F26%1024.9 hPa

Wind History from BHB (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrNW13
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NW7NW8
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NW4NW4NW4W4W4CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmNW3NW5NW7NW8N10
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1 day ago6N8
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NE4N10NW8CalmW3W4W5W54NW4NW3NW5NW6W4NW4NW6N11
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2 days agoSW7S4SE4E3CalmCalmCalmNW4NW7NW3NW3NW4NW5NW5NW4NW5NW46NW7N8N10
G17
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G15
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G16

Tide / Current Tables for Union River, Maine
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Union River
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Sun -- 01:33 AM EDT     Moonset
Sun -- 04:19 AM EDT     11.64 feet High Tide
Sun -- 05:38 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sun -- 10:50 AM EDT     -0.32 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 11:14 AM EDT     Moonrise
Sun -- 05:10 PM EDT     10.34 feet High Tide
Sun -- 05:46 PM EDT     First Quarter
Sun -- 07:27 PM EDT     Sunset
Sun -- 11:10 PM EDT     0.95 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
2.95.58.310.511.611.4107.64.61.90.1-0.30.52.45.17.79.610.3108.56.33.81.81

Tide / Current Tables for Mount Desert Narrows, Maine
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Mount Desert Narrows
Click for Map
Sun -- 01:33 AM EDT     Moonset
Sun -- 04:20 AM EDT     11.74 feet High Tide
Sun -- 05:37 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sun -- 10:50 AM EDT     -0.33 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 11:14 AM EDT     Moonrise
Sun -- 05:11 PM EDT     10.44 feet High Tide
Sun -- 05:46 PM EDT     First Quarter
Sun -- 07:26 PM EDT     Sunset
Sun -- 11:10 PM EDT     0.96 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
2.95.58.310.611.711.510.17.74.71.90.1-0.30.52.55.17.79.610.410.18.66.33.81.81

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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wmap_A
GOES Local Image of Northeast    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
target = "new">Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Caribou, ME (14,3,4,5)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Caribou, ME
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.