Tuesday, November20, 2018 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Ellsworth, ME

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
10/6/2018 Colors of tide XTide graphs changed to emphasize that they were upgraded. See next note. Comments welcome.
10/4/2018 I have fixed XTide and updated the harmonic files. There were some name changes so you might have to click EDIT to find the new station name.

Sunrise 6:38AMSunset 4:03PM Tuesday November 20, 2018 3:35 PM EST (20:35 UTC) Moonrise 4:03PMMoonset 4:17AM Illumination 95% Phase: Waxing Gibbous; Moon at 13 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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ANZ052 Intra Coastal Waters From Schoodic Point, Me To Stonington, Me- 308 Pm Est Tue Nov 20 2018
.small craft advisory in effect until 2 am est Wednesday...
.gale warning in effect from Wednesday afternoon through late Thursday night...
Tonight..NW winds 10 to 15 kt. Gusts up to 25 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Snow and rain early this evening, then a chance of snow late this evening. A slight chance of snow after midnight. Vsby 1 nm or less, increasing to 1 to 3 nm late this evening.
Wed..NW winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt, becoming sw 20 to 25 kt with gusts up to 35 kt in the afternoon. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Scattered rain and snow showers in the afternoon with vsby 1 to 3 nm.
Wed night..NW winds 25 to 30 kt with gusts up to 40 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. A chance of snow and rain showers in the evening with vsby 1 to 3 nm.
Thu..NW winds 25 to 30 kt with gusts up to 40 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft.
Thu night..NW winds 25 to 30 kt, diminishing to 20 to 25 kt after midnight. Gusts up to 40 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft.
Fri..NW winds 15 to 20 kt, diminishing to 10 to 15 kt in the afternoon. Gusts up to 30 kt. Seas around 2 ft in the morning, then 1 foot or less.
Fri night..W winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft.
Sat..W winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming S after midnight. Seas 2 to 3 ft. A chance of rain and snow after midnight with vsby 1 to 3 nm.
Sun..E winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming ne 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. A chance of rain and snow. Vsby 1 to 3 nm in the morning, then 1 to 3 nm.
ANZ005 308 Pm Est Tue Nov 20 2018
Synopsis for eastport me to stonington me out 25 nm.. Low pres will exit into the canadian maritimes tonight. A strong cold front will cross the waters late Wed followed by bitter cold gusty winds on thanksgiving. High pres will build in Fri and Sat.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Ellsworth, ME
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location: 44.5, -68.43     debug


Area Discussion for - Caribou, ME
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Fxus61 kcar 201710
afdcar
area forecast discussion
national weather service caribou me
1210 pm est Tue nov 20 2018

Synopsis
Low pressure will cross the gulf of maine today then exit across
the maritimes tonight. A strong cold front will cross the area
late Wednesday. High pressure will build in Friday and Saturday.

Near term through tonight
12pm update...

no changes needed to the forecast. Snow cranking up pretty good
now finally downeast. The snow will continue into early evening
and slowly spread north.

Previous discussion...

intensifying low pressure will track across the gulf of maine
today, then exit across the maritimes tonight. Snow will develop
across downeast areas this morning then expand north across the
forecast area through the morning into the afternoon.

Precipitation will generally remain in the form of snow, though
the snow could mix with rain at times near the immediate
downeast coast this afternoon. Snow will persist early tonight,
then taper to snow showers with mostly cloudy skies overnight in
the wake of the exiting low. The greatest storm total snow
accumulations, generally 3 to 5 inches through early tonight,
are still expected across downeast areas where winter weather
advisories remain in effect through early tonight. Snow
accumulations will decrease northward across the remainder of
the forecast area. Accumulations of 2 to 4 inches are expected
across central portions of the forecast area, tapering to around
an inch or less across northern areas. High temperatures today
will range from the lower to mid 20s north, to around 30
interior downeast with lower to mid 30s along the downeast
coast. Low temperatures tonight will range from the mid to upper
teens north, to the lower 20s interior downeast with mid 20s
along the downeast coast.

Short term Wednesday through Thursday night
Low pressure will approach from the west Wednesday morning and
then move across the southern portion of the region late in the
afternoon and during the evening. The low will then move
eastward across nova scotia late Wednesday night. This system
will produce light amounts of snow across the region. Winds are
expected to increase Thursday as the low intensifies east of the
region, resulting in blowing snow across northern and central
areas. Also, a very cold air mass will move into the region
Thursday and combine with the gusty winds lowering wind chill
equivalent temperatures.

Long term Friday through Tuesday
Strong high pressure is expected to build in from the west
Friday and is expected to crest over the region late Friday.

The high will then move to the east of the area Saturday. A
frontal system is expected to bring snow showers to the region
Sunday into Monday. Moderating temperatures are also expected
Sunday into Monday.

Aviation 17z Tuesday through Saturday
Near term: MVFR, with occasional ifr, conditions will occur
across northern areas late this afternoon through early
tonight as light snow develops. Generally ifr lifr conditions
are expected downeast this afternoon through early tonight in
snow. Occasional MVFR conditions are expected across the north
and mountains later tonight, withVFR conditions developing
downeast.

Short term: expectVFR conditions early Wednesday then MVFR ifr
conditions expected late Wednesday into Wednesday evening.

Occasional MVFR conditions are possible across the north and
mountains during thanksgiving, with generallyVFR conditions
downeast.VFR conditions are expected across the entire region
Friday into Saturday. Northwest winds will increase in the wake
of the strong cold front Wednesday night. Strong gusty
northwest winds are expected across the entire region during
thanksgiving.

Marine
Near term: a small craft advisory remains in effect for the
waters today into tonight. Visibilities will be reduced in
snow rain today into tonight.

Short term: will use the NAM to initialize winds. For waves:
southwesterly wind wave is expected to be the primary wave
system Wednesday with waves building to around 8 feet 8-9
seconds by the early evening. Off-shore wind wave will be the
primary wave system on Thursday. Gale force winds are possible
late Wednesday into Thursday.

Car watches warnings advisories
Me... Winter weather advisory until 10 pm est this evening for
mez015>017-029-030.

Marine... Gale watch from Wednesday afternoon through Thursday evening
for anz050>052.

Small craft advisory until 2 am est Wednesday for anz050>052.

Near term... Foisy norcross
short term... Mignone
long term... Mignone
aviation... Foisy norcross mignone
marine... Foisy norcross mignone


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
ATGM1 - 8413320 - Bar Harbor, ME 14 mi35 min NE 8.9 G 11 32°F 44°F1010.6 hPa (-2.1)
44034 - Buoy I0103 - Eastern Maine Shelf 32 mi91 min N 18 G 21 35°F 49°F3 ft1009.8 hPa
MDRM1 - Mt Desert Rock, ME 40 mi35 min N 22 G 24 35°F 1009.5 hPa (-2.4)
44033 - Buoy F0103 - West Penobscot Bay 43 mi91 min NE 16 G 19 34°F 46°F2 ft1010.3 hPa

Wind History for Bar Harbor, ME
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Bar Harbor, Hancock County-Bar Harbor Airport, ME4 mi39 minN 60.75 miLight Snow Fog/Mist30°F28°F96%1011.3 hPa

Wind History from BHB (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrN4N6N4N3N3CalmCalmNW4CalmCalmCalmCalmN3N4N4N4N6N8N9N7N7N7N9N6
1 day agoCalmCalmCalmCalmN4N4CalmN3N3N4N4N3N3CalmNW3NW3CalmCalmN3CalmN4N4N6N3
2 days agoCalm--CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmW3NW76N7NW6NW8NW3NW44N8N9
G14
--5NW6N4NE4

Tide / Current Tables for Union River, Maine
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Union River
Click for Map
Tue -- 02:06 AM EST     0.88 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 03:17 AM EST     Moonset
Tue -- 06:36 AM EST     Sunrise
Tue -- 08:21 AM EST     10.76 feet High Tide
Tue -- 02:36 PM EST     0.51 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 03:02 PM EST     Moonrise
Tue -- 04:01 PM EST     Sunset
Tue -- 08:45 PM EST     10.34 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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3.31.60.91.32.95.27.89.710.710.59.274.320.70.61.73.76.38.61010.39.57.5

Tide / Current Tables for Mount Desert Narrows, Maine
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Mount Desert Narrows
Click for Map
Tue -- 02:06 AM EST     0.89 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 03:17 AM EST     Moonset
Tue -- 06:36 AM EST     Sunrise
Tue -- 08:22 AM EST     10.86 feet High Tide
Tue -- 02:36 PM EST     0.51 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 03:02 PM EST     Moonrise
Tue -- 04:01 PM EST     Sunset
Tue -- 08:46 PM EST     10.43 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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3.31.60.91.32.95.37.89.810.810.69.374.320.70.61.73.76.38.710.110.49.67.6

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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wmap_A
GOES Local Image of Northeast    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

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Wind Forecast for Caribou, ME (15,3,4,5)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Caribou, ME
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.