Wednesday, August16, 2017 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Ellsworth, ME

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
6/25/2017 - NOAA is having a major issue that impact the 7 day forecast load times. Many users are reporting problems. The issue has been reported.
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.

Sunrise 5:38AMSunset 7:40PM Wednesday August 16, 2017 11:23 AM EDT (15:23 UTC) Moonrise 12:17AMMoonset 3:13PM Illumination 31% Phase: Waning Crescent; Moon at 24 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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ANZ052 Intra Coastal Waters From Schoodic Point, Me To Stonington, Me- 1108 Am Edt Wed Aug 16 2017
.small craft advisory for hazardous seas in effect from 6 pm edt this evening through Thursday afternoon...
This afternoon..NW winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 to 2 ft.
Tonight..NW winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft.
Thu..W winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft.
Thu night..NW winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft.
Fri..NE winds around 5 kt...becoming se around 5 kt in the afternoon. Seas 2 to 3 ft.
Fri night..SE winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Rain likely... Mainly after midnight with vsby 1 to 3 nm.
Sat..S winds 5 to 10 kt...becoming sw after midnight. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Rain likely in the morning...then a chance of showers. Vsby 1 to 3 nm in the morning.
Sun..W winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft. A chance of showers in the morning.
ANZ005 1108 Am Edt Wed Aug 16 2017
Synopsis for eastport me to stonington me out 25 nm.. A cold front will cross the waters this morning. Hurricane gert will pass by well to the south of the gulf of maine tonight and Thu. High pres will build in later Thu.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Ellsworth, ME
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location: 44.5, -68.43     debug


Area Discussion for - Caribou, ME
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Fxus61 kcar 161510
afdcar
area forecast discussion
national weather service caribou me
1110 am edt Wed aug 16 2017

Synopsis
High pressure will build toward the region from the west today
and Thursday, and will crest over the area Thursday night. Low
pressure in the great lakes region Friday will send a warm front
across the area Friday night.

Near term through tonight
11 am update. Trended skies clearer through midday. However,
still expected a few cumulus across mainly central and northern
areas. Otherwise, no major changes this hour.

Previous discussion... A cold front will continue to slide
southward across the state early this morning and should reach
the coast by this afternoon. Drier and cooler air will follow
behind the front, allowing skies to become mostly sunny for most
locations. However, an upper low will swing down across ontario
and quebec later today and tonight, keeping at least some cloud
cover across the north. Gusty winds are expected this afternoon
as cooler air aloft results in good mixing. Highs will range
from around 70 in northern aroostook county to around 80 in
interior downeast.

Tonight... The aforementioned upper low will skirt by to our
north, keeping partly cloudy skies across the saint john valley.

However, low levels will be too dry to allow for any showers.

Lows will be in the 40s most locations, though areas downeast
and along the coast will bottom out in the lower 50s.

Short term Thursday through Friday
An upper low in the western gulf of saint lawrence at 12z Thu will
track east into the northwest atlantic by Fri morning. As the
low pulls away from the region it will be followed by mid upper
level ridging for Thu night into fri. At the surface, as low
pressure exits through the maritimes high pressure builds into
the area from the west and crests over maine Fri morning and
then moves east. Low pressure across the northern great lakes
region Fri morning will push a warm front into the eastern great
lakes by Fri afternoon.

As far as the sensible weather, it should be nice Thu and Fri with
seasonable temperatures and comfortable humidity levels. A bit more
cloud cover in the north Thu as moisture wraps around the departing
low and will likely develop a decent CU field, but any showers would
be very isolated at best with almost all areas to be dry. Downslope
flow will mean a mostly sunny day Thu toward the coast. A decent
gradient between the departing low and building high will lead
to a breezy day with a northwest wind of 10 to 20 mph with a few
higher gusts. Dry and comfortably cool Thu night. Fri will
feature an increase in clouds with the approaching low, but most
of the day will be dry with the best chance of an afternoon
shower across the western zones. It will likely remain dry east
of the katahdin region until after sunset Fri evening.

Long term Friday night through Tuesday
A warm front moving through Fri night will likely bring rain to the
region with the best chance across the downeast region into central
portions of the CWA which will likely continue into Sat morning. Any
steadier rain should become more showery in nature Sat afternoon.

The cold front associated with the system moves through Sat night
with a few more showers. An upper trough follows Sun with the
chance of a few more showers and perhaps a thunderstorm. High
pressure follows mon-tue with fair weather and it looks like a
fairly warm air mass with highs likely to top 80f for many
inland areas each afternoon. Most of the longer range guidance
brings the next weather system through either Tue night or wed.

Aviation 15z Wednesday through Sunday
Near term: patchy fog will be the main focus through 12z
Wednesday, with local ifr lifr possible, especially at the
southern terminals. Otherwise,VFR will prevail through the next
24 hours.

Short term: predominatelyVFR Thu and fri, but with some pockets of
high end MVFR possible thu, mainly across the saint john valley at
kfve as a decent CU field develops. Conditions are expected to
lower to ifr in rain Fri night into Sat morning, especially at kbgr
and kbhb, with MVFR and possible ifr at the northern terminals from
khul to kfve. Variable conditions Sat afternoon into sun, but
mostly MVFR toVFR.

Marine
Near term: have issued a small craft advisory for hazardous seas for
this evening and overnight. Hurricane gert passing by well to
the south will result in long period south swell of 4-7 ft
during this period. A high surf advisory is in effect as well.

Short term: the main concern will be long period swell from
hurricane gert and a small craft advisory has been issued or
seas only through Thu afternoon. High surf and rip currents are
also expected Thu due to the long period swell. The next
potential small craft advisory will be Sat into Sat night ahead
of low pressure to the west of the area.

Tides coastal flooding
Long period swell of around 13 seconds will affect the downeast
coast of maine from this evening through late in the day thu.

The seas will build to around 6 ft on the coastal waters tonight
into Thursday morning with the largest component of the seas
being long period swell from gert. High surf will affect the
beaches producing rip currents and localized beach erosion.

Car watches warnings advisories
Me... High surf advisory from 6 pm this evening to 6 pm edt Thursday
for mez029-030.

Marine... Small craft advisory for hazardous seas from 6 pm this evening
to 6 pm edt Thursday for anz050>052.

Near term... Hastings
short term... Cb
long term... Cb
aviation... Hastings cb
marine... Hastings cb
tides coastal flooding... Cb


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
ATGM1 - 8413320 - Bar Harbor, ME 14 mi53 min N 8 G 11 71°F 59°F1011.1 hPa
44034 - Buoy I0103 - Eastern Maine Shelf 32 mi79 min WNW 3.9 G 7.8 59°F 54°F3 ft1010.8 hPa
MDRM1 - Mt Desert Rock, ME 40 mi83 min 59°F 1011.6 hPa (+0.8)
44033 - Buoy F0103 - West Penobscot Bay 43 mi79 min NNE 3.9 G 5.8 66°F 61°F2 ft1011 hPa

Wind History for Bar Harbor, ME
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Bar Harbor, Hancock County-Bar Harbor Airport, ME4 mi27 minNNW 10 G 1610.00 miMostly Cloudy74°F59°F60%1011.8 hPa

Wind History from BHB (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrSE6SW12SW9SW9SW7SE10S9S6S6SW7SW5S5SW7SW6SW6--CalmCalmNW3Calm4NW7N6NW10
G16
1 day agoS9S11S13S13SW12SW12SW11S7SW8S5S5SW6SW5CalmS4S4SW4S5SW4S6SW7SE3SE5SE6
2 days agoSW9SW11
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SW11466NW7
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NW6NW3W3W3W3CalmSW3SW3W3SW5SW5CalmS4SW5--S5S9

Tide / Current Tables for Union River, Maine
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Union River
Click for Map
Wed -- 12:17 AM EDT     Moonrise
Wed -- 05:37 AM EDT     Sunrise
Wed -- 06:07 AM EDT     10.29 feet High Tide
Wed -- 12:12 PM EDT     0.56 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 03:12 PM EDT     Moonset
Wed -- 06:31 PM EDT     11.63 feet High Tide
Wed -- 07:37 PM EDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
0.10.82.65.17.79.510.39.98.46.13.61.50.612.557.810.211.511.510.48.25.32.6

Tide / Current Tables for Mount Desert Narrows, Maine
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Mount Desert Narrows
Click for Map
Wed -- 12:17 AM EDT     Moonrise
Wed -- 05:37 AM EDT     Sunrise
Wed -- 06:08 AM EDT     10.38 feet High Tide
Wed -- 12:12 PM EDT     0.57 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 03:12 PM EDT     Moonset
Wed -- 06:32 PM EDT     11.73 feet High Tide
Wed -- 07:36 PM EDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
0.10.92.65.17.79.610.4108.56.23.61.50.612.557.810.211.511.610.58.35.42.6

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
wmap_A
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
east_satellite

GOES Local Image of Northeast    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for Caribou, ME (11,2,3,4)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Caribou, ME
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.