Saturday, February24, 2018 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Ellsworth, ME

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
6/25/2017 - NOAA is having a major issue that impact the 7 day forecast load times. Many users are reporting problems. The issue has been reported.
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.

Sunrise 6:18AMSunset 5:18PM Saturday February 24, 2018 10:36 PM EST (03:36 UTC) Moonrise 12:29PMMoonset 2:42AM Illumination 74% Phase: Waxing Gibbous; Moon at 10 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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ANZ052 Intra Coastal Waters From Schoodic Point, Me To Stonington, Me- 942 Pm Est Sat Feb 24 2018
.small craft advisory in effect from 7 am est Sunday through late Sunday night...
Overnight..NE winds 10 to 15 kt. Gusts up to 20 kt. Seas 1 to 2 ft.
Sun..E winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts up to 30 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. A chance of snow in the morning, then rain or snow in the afternoon. Vsby 1 to 3 nm, decreasing to 1 nm or less in the afternoon.
Sun night..SE winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts up to 30 kt, becoming ne 10 to 15 kt after midnight. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Drizzle, mainly in the evening.
Mon..NW winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming W 10 to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 2 to 4 ft.
Mon night..NW winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft.
Tue..W winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft, subsiding to 1 to 2 ft in the afternoon.
Tue night..W winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Seas 1 to 2 ft.
Wed..W winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming nw in the afternoon, then becoming ne in the evening, increasing to 5 to 10 kt after midnight. Seas 1 to 2 ft.
Thu..E winds 10 to 15 kt, increasing to 15 to 20 kt after midnight. Seas 1 to 2 ft, building to 2 to 4 ft.
ANZ005 942 Pm Est Sat Feb 24 2018
Synopsis for eastport me to stonington me out 25 nm.. High pressure builds to the north late overnight. Low pressure moves south of the waters Sun night. High pres will then build toward the waters through mid week.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Ellsworth, ME
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location: 44.5, -68.43     debug


Area Discussion for - Caribou, ME
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Fxus61 kcar 242322
afdcar
area forecast discussion
national weather service caribou me
622 pm est Sat feb 24 2018

Synopsis
High pressure will build across the area through tonight. A
frontal system will move through the region later Sunday into
Sunday night. High pressure will then build back in through mid
week.

Near term through Sunday
620 pm update...

no significant changes as the forecast matching up with the
latest conditions. Just some tweaking made to the hrly temps.

Satl imagery showed clearing trend continuing W temps falling
off W the clearing. NW winds still hold up keep llvls mixed.

These winds are expected to continue to drop off overnight
w sites across the N and W seeing near 0f or lower. Daycrew has
this handled well.

Previous discussion...

1026mb sfc high sitting just north of ottawa ontario wl
continue building east drg the ovrngt hrs. This wl allow clds to
dissipate this evng with loss of diurnal htg and with winds
bcmg near calm radn'l cooling wl allow temps to drop blo 0f acrs
cldr vly locations in the north woods. Min ovr NRN aroostook wl
appch zero in notoriously colder locales. S WV mvg thru oh
valley this aftn and bringing rain to portions of the northeast
wl skirt well south of CWA as high blocks nwrd mvmnt.

Next system on tap to spread pcpn into the region is currently
spinning acrs the NRN plains. High cirrus wl begin to appch swrn
sxns twd daybreak with winds veering around to serly direction in
advance of sfc bndry. Overrunning pcpn lkly to start by mid-mrng sun
and spread north and east fm there thru the aftn hrs.

As pcpn begins entire airmass wl be blo 0c with ice in the cld. As
the aftn progresses into evng, expect that dendrite lyr wl lose
moisture leaving drizzle freezing drizzle in its wake twd the late
aftn hrs. Snow drg the aftn looks to be fm 1-3 inches bfr cld loses
ice and turns to more of a drizzle scenario. Wl allow later shifts
to refine timing of frzg drizzle and issue winter weather advisory
for tomorrow afternoon evening. Expect that high temps on Sun wl top
out right around normal for this time of year.

Short term Sunday night through Tuesday
Snow will be ending early Sunday evening and remaining
precipitation will transition to freezing drizzle with less a
tenth an inch of ice accumulation. The decaying warm occlusion
will allow cold air damming to persist through the night. With
a good supply of low level moisture... And none of it at levels
colder than -10c... Freezing drizzle seems like the most likely
outcome. The exception will be towards the coast where
temperatures will be above freezing on Sunday night. No diurnal
curves were necessary for Sunday night temperatures as readings
will tend to rise overnight. The freezing precipitation may
prompt advisories rather than the modest snowfall from this
system. On Monday morning, a drying southwest wind will scour
the frontal inversion and high pressure will build eastward from
the ohio river valley region. Cold air advection aloft will
prompt gusty winds and cumulus development by afternoon with
isolated snow showers possible. After the relatively mild lows
Monday morning, temperatures will rise into the 40s for most of
the area by early Monday afternoon. Moisture will refreeze
Monday night as temperatures fall into the 20s, but the air mass
is not particularly cold and highs will return to the upper 30s
and 40s on Tuesday. More gusty NW winds and cumulus development
are anticipated by Tuesday afternoon. The high pressure ridge
will crest over the area later Tuesday afternoon.

Long term Tuesday night through Saturday
A weak clipper system will affect the forecast area Tuesday
night into Wednesday. At this time, will go with no more than
slight chance pops and mostly cloudy skies. It's a small-scale
system with little moisture and little model consensus.

The relatively mild pattern will continue as a zonal pattern
transitions to a blocking pattern dominated by a large upper
level high retrograding from the north atlantic into eastern
canada. This high will cause a moist and mild flow of maritime
air into the area by later in the week. The high looks like it
could suppress a vertically stacked low pressure system to the
south of the forecast area later in the week. However, in
dealing with the evolution of a cut-off low at nearly 144 hours
out, it's certainly possible it could drift further north into
the area.

Aviation 23z Saturday through Thursday
Near term:VFR next 24 hours as lowVFR CIGS dissipate with
building high pressure around 00z. Next system affect bgr and
bhb very late in the TAF period with a return ofVFR CIGS after
16z. NW winds gust to near 16-20kts this afternoon bfr
diminishing this evening.

Short term: ifr CIGS and vis are expected Sunday night with snow
changing to freezing drizzle.VFR conditions return for all
terminals on Monday into Thursday. There is a chance of ifr vis
in snow north of hul Tuesday night. Chances for widespread MVFR
cigs increase towards Thursday.

Marine
Near term: winds will increase to AOA 25kts after 06z tonight
for the outer waters and for the intracoastal zones twd 12z thus
an SCA has been issued thru the day Sunday. Winds may approach
gale conditions late in the afternoon for a brief period of
time. Seas will build late in the afternoon in serly swell.

Short term: SCA conditions will continue Sunday evening and end
later in the night. The next marine threat will occur towards
Friday into Saturday when a gale is possible.

Car watches warnings advisories
Me... None.

Marine... Small craft advisory from 7 am Sunday to 1 am est Monday for
anz052.

Small craft advisory from 1 am Sunday to 1 am est Monday for
anz050-051.

Near term... Farrar hewitt
short term... Mcw
long term... Mcw
aviation... Farrar hewitt mcw
marine... Farrar hewitt mcw


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
ATGM1 - 8413320 - Bar Harbor, ME 14 mi49 min N 9.9 G 14 35°F 38°F1025 hPa
MDRM1 - Mt Desert Rock, ME 40 mi37 min NNW 22 G 26 37°F 1024.6 hPa (+3.3)24°F
44033 - Buoy F0103 - West Penobscot Bay 43 mi93 min N 14 G 16 38°F 37°F2 ft1024.4 hPa

Wind History for Bar Harbor, ME
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Bar Harbor, Hancock County-Bar Harbor Airport, ME4 mi41 minN 810.00 miFair33°F18°F54%1025.5 hPa

Wind History from BHB (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrSW11SW10SW10SW7SW7W5W5W8W5W5NW4NW65--NW8
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NW73NW3NW8N8
1 day agoN4N6N4CalmN4N4N3NE5NE7E7E86E5E7E7SE5S9S9S8S11S12S14S14S13
2 days agoNW12
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5NW5NW5N6N5N95N9N6N8N6N6N7N3NW3CalmNW4NW3N5N5

Tide / Current Tables for Union River, Maine
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Union River
Click for Map
Sat -- 01:41 AM EST     Moonset
Sat -- 04:52 AM EST     11.01 feet High Tide
Sat -- 06:19 AM EST     Sunrise
Sat -- 11:23 AM EST     0.15 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 11:30 AM EST     Moonrise
Sat -- 05:14 PM EST     Sunset
Sat -- 05:37 PM EST     9.70 feet High Tide
Sat -- 11:40 PM EST     0.76 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
1.93.96.48.910.51110.38.66.23.51.30.20.41.63.76.18.39.59.68.874.72.41

Tide / Current Tables for Mount Desert Narrows, Maine
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Mount Desert Narrows
Click for Map
Sat -- 01:41 AM EST     Moonset
Sat -- 04:53 AM EST     11.10 feet High Tide
Sat -- 06:19 AM EST     Sunrise
Sat -- 11:23 AM EST     0.15 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 11:29 AM EST     Moonrise
Sat -- 05:14 PM EST     Sunset
Sat -- 05:38 PM EST     9.79 feet High Tide
Sat -- 11:40 PM EST     0.77 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
1.93.96.48.910.611.110.48.76.33.51.30.20.41.63.76.28.39.69.78.97.14.72.51

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
wmap_A
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
east_satellite

GOES Local Image of Northeast    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for Caribou, ME (22,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Caribou, ME
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.