Tuesday, September18, 2018 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Ellsworth, ME

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Sunrise 6:17AMSunset 6:40PM Tuesday September 18, 2018 5:46 PM EDT (21:46 UTC) Moonrise 3:20PMMoonset 12:00AM Illumination 65% Phase: Waxing Gibbous; Moon at 9 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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ANZ052 Intra Coastal Waters From Schoodic Point, Me To Stonington, Me- 429 Pm Edt Tue Sep 18 2018
Tonight..NE winds 10 to 15 kt. Gusts up to 20 kt late. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Areas of fog early this evening. Scattered showers, mainly this evening. Vsby 1 nm or less early this evening.
Wed..NE winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft.
Wed night..NE winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft.
Thu..NE winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt, becoming S around 5 kt in the afternoon. Seas around 2 ft in the morning, then 1 foot or less.
Thu night..W winds around 5 kt in the evening, becoming light and variable. Seas 1 foot or less.
Fri..SE winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt, becoming S 20 to 25 kt with gusts up to 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas 1 foot or less, then 2 to 4 ft in the afternoon. A chance of showers.
Fri night..SW winds 20 to 25 kt, diminishing to 15 to 20 kt after midnight. Gusts up to 35 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. A chance of showers.
Sat..NW winds 10 to 15 kt, becoming N 5 to 10 kt in the evening, then becoming ne after midnight. Seas 2 to 4 ft, then 1 foot or less. A chance of showers in the morning.
Sun..E winds around 5 kt, becoming sw around 5 kt. Seas 1 foot or less, then around 2 ft after midnight.
ANZ005 429 Pm Edt Tue Sep 18 2018
Synopsis for eastport me to stonington me out 25 nm.. Low pres will exit E of nova scotia tonight, with a cold front crossing the waters early tonight. High pres will build in from the nw Wed into Wed night and crest over the area Thu into Thu night. Strong low pres will track nw of the region on Fri drawing a cold front across the waters Fri night.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Ellsworth, ME
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location: 44.5, -68.43     debug


Area Discussion for - Caribou, ME
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Fxus61 kcar 182116
afdcar
area forecast discussion
national weather service caribou me
516 pm edt Tue sep 18 2018

Synopsis
A cold front will exit the downeast coast early tonight. High
pressure will build in from the northwest Wednesday into
Wednesday night and crest over the area Thursday. Strong low
pressure will lift northwest of the region Thursday night into
Friday.

Near term through Wednesday
A cold front will exit the downeast coast early tonight, with
high pressure then building toward the region overnight into
Wednesday. Scattered showers are expected across the forecast
area early tonight, which could linger across mostly the north
and mountains overnight. A disturbance crossing the region
Wednesday could keep a chance of showers across mostly the north
and mountains. Otherwise, cloudy mostly cloudy skies are
expected across the region tonight through Wednesday. Low
temperatures tonight will range from the lower to mid 40s north,
to the mid 50s downeast. Temperatures will be cooler Wednesday
ranging from the lower to mid 50s north, to the lower to mid 60s
downeast.

Short term Wednesday night through Friday
Low pressure will be well southeast of the area Wednesday night as
high pressure builds in from the northwest. The chilly air in the
mid levels over the relatively warmer ground will likely result in
lots of stratocumulus lingering across the area Wednesday night into
Thursday, especially over the north. Otherwise, Thursday will be a
tranquil and cool day as surface high pressure crests over the area.

Partial clearing is likely late Thursday as the surface high moves
to the northeast and upper level ridging builds in from the west.

Our attention then focuses on a very large and strong autumnal storm
lifting northeast through the great lakes Thursday night. Clouds
will increase Thursday night as a warm front lifts into the region.

A south wind will increase and showers will be likely by early
Friday morning as the warm front pushes in. Strong low pressure will
lift northwest of the area on Friday bringing a strong south wind,
low overcast and some showers and drizzle. Wind advisories may
be needed for part or all of the area for south winds possibly
gusting over 45 mph. Most of the showers will be early Friday
morning as the warm front is lifting across the area. The rest
of the day will be cloudy but with only spotty showers or
drizzle.

Long term Friday night through Tuesday
A cold front will quickly follow Friday evening bringing another
round of showers and gusty winds. The front will push offshore late
Friday night. Cool high pressure will then build in on Saturday
bringing a mostly sunny day downeast and partial sunshine across the
north. The air is expected to be dry with this high, but the cooler
air over the warmer ground may again cause stratocumulus to linger
over mainly northern areas. High pressure will crest over the area
Saturday night bringing a calm and chilly night. A return flow
behind the high will then bring some clouds to the area, mostly
central and north, on Sunday as downeast remains mostly clear.

A cold front will push across the area Monday with some showers.

High pressure from canada is then expected to push some very
chilly and dry air into the area Monday night through Tuesday
following the front.

Aviation 21z Tuesday through Sunday
Near term: MVFR ifr, with local lifr, conditions are expected
across northern areas tonight through early Wednesday. MVFR
conditions, mostly ceilings, are expected across northern areas
Wednesday afternoon. Conditions will lower to MVFR ifr levels
across downeast areas this evening, with similar conditions
then persisting tonight through early Wednesday.VFR MVFR
conditions are expected downeast Wednesday afternoon.

Short term:VFR conditions downeast with MVFR toVFR conditions
across the north are likely Wednesday night into Thursday as
some stratocumulus lingers over the north. Conditions should
improve toVFR everywhere Thursday into Thursday evening.

Conditions will then lower to ifr in low clouds from south to
north late Thursday night. Ifr conditions in low clouds, and ssw
wind shear, is expected Friday into Friday evening. Conditions
should improve to MVFR north andVFR downeast Saturday morning,
thenVFR everywhere Saturday afternoon.VFR conditions are
expected Sunday.

Marine
Near term: a small craft advisory remains in effect for much of
the waters, with the exception of the intracoastal waters, from
later this evening into Wednesday morning. Visibilities will be
reduced in rain and fog early tonight.

Short term: winds and seas should be below SCA Wednesday night
through Thursday night. A strong SCA or a gale will likely be
needed Friday into Friday night for strong SW winds and building
seas. Winds should diminish on Saturday following a cold front.

Car watches warnings advisories
Me... None.

Marine... Small craft advisory from 10 pm this evening to 10 am edt
Wednesday for anz050-051.

Near term... Norcross
short term... Bloomer
long term... Bloomer
aviation... Norcross bloomer
marine... Norcross bloomer


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
ATGM1 - 8413320 - Bar Harbor, ME 14 mi28 min SSE 5.1 G 8 64°F 59°F1005.5 hPa
44034 - Buoy I0103 - Eastern Maine Shelf 32 mi102 min SE 3.9 G 12 60°F 58°F3 ft1004.9 hPa
MDRM1 - Mt Desert Rock, ME 40 mi46 min NNW 5.1 G 5.1 61°F 1006.1 hPa (-0.9)
44033 - Buoy F0103 - West Penobscot Bay 43 mi102 min NNW 1.9 G 3.9 62°F 61°F2 ft1004.8 hPa

Wind History for Bar Harbor, ME
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Bar Harbor, Hancock County-Bar Harbor Airport, ME4 mi50 minSE 410.00 miFair70°F66°F87%1005.9 hPa

Wind History from BHB (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrS13S10S8SW7S6SW6SW7SW5SW7SW7SW4SW6SW6SW4SW4S6SW9SW9S10CalmS3S3CalmSE4
1 day agoE4E53CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmS3S4S8SW7S8SW6SW9S11S11SW13S13SW14S15S13S12
2 days agoS10S11SW5SW7SW5SW6SW4SW4SW3SW3SW4S3CalmCalmCalmSE3NE33NE5NE3CalmNE5SE4E4

Tide / Current Tables for Union River, Maine
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Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.


Tide / Current Tables for Mount Desert Narrows, Maine
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Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.


Weather Map and Satellite Images
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wmap_A
GOES Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Caribou, ME (17,4,5,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Caribou, ME
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.