Wednesday, June28, 2017 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Bucksport, ME

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
6/25/2017 - NOAA is having a major issue that impact the 7 day forecast load times. Many users are reporting problems. The issue has been reported.
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.

Sunrise 4:50AMSunset 8:26PM Wednesday June 28, 2017 1:10 AM EDT (05:10 UTC) Moonrise 10:08AMMoonset 11:43PM Illumination 17% Phase: Waxing Crescent; Moon at 4 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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ANZ151 Penobscot Bay- 932 Pm Edt Tue Jun 27 2017
Overnight..S winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 foot or less. A chance of showers with a slight chance of tstms late this evening, then a slight chance of showers with isolated tstms. Patchy fog. Vsby 1 to 3 nm.
Wed..SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 to 2 ft in the morning, then 1 foot or less. Patchy fog in the morning with vsby 1 to 3 nm.
Wed night..W winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 foot or less.
Thu..SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 to 2 ft in the morning, then 1 foot or less. A chance of showers in the afternoon.
Thu night..S winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming sw 10 to 15 kt after midnight. Gusts up to 25 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Showers likely.
Fri..SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. A chance of showers.
Fri night..SW winds around 5 kt, becoming se after midnight. Seas 2 to 3 ft. A chance of showers.
Sat..SE winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas around 2 ft. A chance of showers.
Sat night..S winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft. A chance of showers.
Sun..SW winds 5 to 10 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft. A chance of showers.
Sun night..SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 to 2 ft. A chance of showers. Winds and seas higher in and near tstms.
ANZ100 932 Pm Edt Tue Jun 27 2017
Synopsis for stonington me to merrimack river ma out to 25 nm.. A cold front crosses the waters tonight. A warm front will approach from the southwest on Thursday and move over the waters Thursday night. Another low pressure system will move to the west of the waters on Saturday.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Bucksport, ME
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location: 44.57, -68.8     debug


Area Discussion for - Caribou, ME
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Fxus61 kcar 280419
afdcar
area forecast discussion
national weather service caribou me
1219 am edt Wed jun 28 2017

Synopsis
An upper level trough will remain to our west through mid week.

Weather disturbances moving out of the trough will cross the
overnight into Wednesday. A larger area of low pressure may
approach late Thursday.

Near term through today
Update 12:15 am have adjusted wind, dew point, and temperature
based on latest observations. No other changes.

Previous discussion...

radar showed activity filling in as the upper S WV lifts up
across the region as seen on the latest satl WV imagery. 18z
surface analysis showed area of mid to upper 50 dewpoint air
nosing up into the eastern side of the CWA while lower 50
dewpoints hold back to the west. Expecting the column to moisten
more as shown by the latest rap and nam. Jet streak of 30-35 kt
noted at 925 mbs to lift N into the evening to provide lift.

Llvls have warmed enough thanks to sunshine returning.

Atmosphere will destabilize more into the evening allow to tstms
to fire. Cold temps aloft(-20c at 500 mbs) will allow for the
potential for hail and inverted type sounding will lead to some
strong wind gusts. Associated cold front is expected to lift
across the region later in the evening into the overnight
period. Hail potential still a threat but things appear to shift
to strong winds gusts as noted by the latest hrrr and very
heavy rainfall. Storms moving over areas that have been hit
earlier could lead to some localized flooding. Added patchy fog
w the sse flow expected overnight and moist blyr.

The cold front continues to slide across the area on Wednesday
w more action setting up for the day. There looks like there
could be a reprieve in rainfall through mid morning. Another
round of shower activity expected later by the afternoon. Steep
lapse rates around 6.5 c km and CAPE of 400-700 joules will
allow for the threat for tstm. This activity will be fueled by
the upper level trough swinging across the region. Once again,
the risk for some hail and gusty winds is there but at this
point, confidence is low and decided to leave out enhanced
wording for now. Daytime temps will be somewhat similar to today
w upper 60s to lower 70s. As pointed out by the midnight crew,
well below normal for late june.

Short term tonight through Friday
The upper trof will exit through the canadian maritime
provinces early Wednesday evening followed by partly to mostly
cloudy skies. Lows will drop back to the low 50s north and mid
to upper 50s downeast. The next in a series of upper impulses
will cross the region Thursday with a more showers and chance
for thunderstorms mainly across the north. Unsettled weather
continues Thursday night and as a warm front lifts north of the
region. Expect mainly cloudy skies with the chance for showers
and thunderstorms. Friday will continue unsettled with more
showers and thunderstorms expected as a cold front crosses the
region from the northwest. High temperatures both Thursday and
Friday are expected to be near normal in the low to mid 70s,
except cooler along the coast.

Long term Friday night through Tuesday
The cold front will stall out across central portions of the
region Friday night and then begin to move back north as a warm
front Saturday and Saturday night. This will continue the
unsettled weather pattern with the chance for showers and
thunderstorms. Showers and thunderstorm chances continue on
Sunday as a cold front moves across the region. It finally looks
like a drier weather pattern may finally be in the offing next
week as a large ridge of high pressure builds toward the region.

High temperatures will be close to normal through the period.

Aviation 04z Wednesday through Sunday
Near term: mostlyVFR this evening, but with brief ifr in
heavier showers and thunderstorms. Conditions across the region
will likely lower to ifr late tonight W lower CIGS and vsby due
to some fog. Improvement to MVFR and evenVFR early Wednesday
and then a drop back to MVFR and perhaps ifr by afternoon W the
showers and possible tstms.

Short term: the main story with regard to aviation weather will
be the potential for showers and thunderstorms Friday right
through Sunday. Overall most of the time will remainVFR
outside of possible MVFR or even lower conditions in any times
of showers and thunderstorms.

Marine
Near term: no headlines anticipated through the period. Some
elevated convection expected overnight W some fog to limit vsbys
at times. Winds expected to remain around 10 kts W seas around 3
ft.

Short term: a small craft advisory may be needed mainly for
seas Friday into the upcoming weekend.

Car watches warnings advisories
Me... None.

Marine... None.

Near term... Mignone


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
ATGM1 - 8413320 - Bar Harbor, ME 34 mi40 min SSE 4.1 G 5.1 57°F 50°F1012.7 hPa
44033 - Buoy F0103 - West Penobscot Bay 37 mi66 min S 5.8 G 5.8 55°F 55°F1 ft1013.2 hPa
44034 - Buoy I0103 - Eastern Maine Shelf 49 mi66 min SSE 5.8 G 7.8 52°F 50°F2 ft1013.7 hPa

Wind History for Bar Harbor, ME
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Bangor, Bangor International Airport, ME17 mi17 minSSE 59.00 miOvercast58°F57°F97%1012.8 hPa
Bar Harbor, Hancock County-Bar Harbor Airport, ME24 mi14 minSSE 410.00 miA Few Clouds57°F54°F90%1014 hPa

Wind History from BGR (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrS4CalmCalmS3CalmS3S6S5SW8S8S11S11S8S12S13S9S11S9S8S5S4S4S5SE5
1 day agoS4SW4CalmCalmS3W7446W86NW9NW6W8W7N9W5W7SW3SW3S3S5S3Calm
2 days agoSW3NW3W3S3CalmW35NW6NW9W76SW8SW8W11
G20
SW9SW7SW8S7SW5S4NW8SW5S3W3

Tide / Current Tables for Bucksport, Penobscot River, Maine
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Bucksport
Click for Map
Wed -- 02:25 AM EDT     13.10 feet High Tide
Wed -- 04:52 AM EDT     Sunrise
Wed -- 09:07 AM EDT     -1.24 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 10:08 AM EDT     Moonrise
Wed -- 03:09 PM EDT     11.97 feet High Tide
Wed -- 08:24 PM EDT     Sunset
Wed -- 09:27 PM EDT     0.20 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 11:42 PM EDT     Moonset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
8.511.412.912.911.48.65.21.9-0.3-1.2-0.51.85.28.510.91211.59.7741.60.30.42.1

Tide / Current Tables for Fort Point, Penobscot River, Maine
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Fort Point
Click for Map
Wed -- 02:45 AM EDT     12.44 feet High Tide
Wed -- 04:52 AM EDT     Sunrise
Wed -- 09:07 AM EDT     -1.17 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 10:08 AM EDT     Moonrise
Wed -- 03:29 PM EDT     11.37 feet High Tide
Wed -- 08:23 PM EDT     Sunset
Wed -- 09:27 PM EDT     0.19 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 11:42 PM EDT     Moonset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
7.510.31212.411.38.85.42.1-0.2-1.2-0.61.44.47.59.911.211.29.87.24.11.70.30.41.8

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
wmap_A
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
east_satellite

GOES Local Image of Northeast    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for Caribou, ME (1,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Portland, ME
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.