Thursday, March30, 2017 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Bucksport, ME

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.
3/12/2015 - Added section for Gulf current for users in the GMZ marine zones.
This was requested by a user. If you have requests, please let me know.

Sunrise 6:15AMSunset 7:02PM Thursday March 30, 2017 12:34 PM EDT (16:34 UTC) Moonrise 8:06AMMoonset 10:13PM Illumination 11% Phase: Waxing Crescent; Moon at 3 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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ANZ151 Penobscot Bay- 1003 Am Edt Thu Mar 30 2017
This afternoon..N winds 10 to 15 kt with occasional gusts up to 25 kt. Seas 1 to 2 ft.
Tonight..N winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 25 kt. Seas 1 to 2 ft.
Fri..N winds 5 to 10 kt with gusts up to 20 kt... Becoming nw in the afternoon. Seas 1 to 2 ft in the morning...then 1 foot or less.
Fri night..SE winds around 5 kt...becoming E 5 to 15 kt with gusts up to 25 kt after midnight. Seas 1 foot or less...then 1 to 2 ft after midnight. Rain and snow likely... Mainly after midnight. Vsby 1 to 3 nm.
Sat..NE winds 10 to 20 kt with gusts up to 30 kt. Seas around 2 ft. Rain and snow likely...mainly in the morning. Vsby 1 to 3 nm.
Sat night..NE winds 5 to 15 kt with gusts up to 25 kt...becoming N 5 to 10 kt after midnight. Seas 1 to 2 ft. A chance of snow showers. Vsby 1 to 3 nm.
Sun..NW winds around 5 kt. Seas 1 to 2 ft.
Sun night..NW winds 5 to 10 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft.
Mon..NW winds 5 to 10 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Seas 1 foot or less.
Mon night..N winds around 5 kt. Seas 1 foot or less.
ANZ100 1003 Am Edt Thu Mar 30 2017
Synopsis for stonington me to merrimack river ma out to 25 nm.. High pressure crosses the gulf of maine tonight and Friday. Low pressure will move by south of cape cod Friday night into Saturday. Another low may take a similar track next Tuesday.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Bucksport, ME
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location: 44.57, -68.8     debug


Area Discussion for - Caribou, ME
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Fxus61 kcar 301216
afdcar
area forecast discussion
national weather service caribou me
816 am edt Thu mar 30 2017

Synopsis
High pressure in northern quebec will build down into the area
through tonight. The high will begin to move east of the region
Friday. Low pressure will track off the new jersey coast Friday
night and will pass south of the gulf of maine during the day
Saturday.

Near term /through tonight/
8:15 am update... Modified cloud cover a bit to reflect stratus
covering much of northwest, but clearer skies south and east.

Stratus is beginning to break up across the north so trended
skies partially clearer into midday.

Previous discussion...

an upper trough across eastern new brunswick early this morning
will move east of the maritimes today. An upper low in the
central plains will move into the ohio valley tonight. At the
surface, high pressure in northern quebec will gradually nose
down into maine later today into tonight. Stratocu across parts
of the CWA early this morning will give way to more breaks of
sunshine this afternoon across northern areas, with the sky to
become mostly sunny across the downeast region. Highs today will
range from the mid 30s across the saint john valley to the low
40s in the greater bangor region. Tonight will be clear and cold
with lows mostly in the teens north to the low to mid 20s
downeast. The northern valleys will likely fully decouple and
with a clear sky and deep snow pack temperatures may drop to
near zero in some of the broad northwest valleys.

Short term /Friday through Saturday/
High pressure will slowly slide across eastern new england
Friday, leading to a dry day with highs in the mid 30s north to
lower 40s downeast. Clouds will increase through the day,
particularly across western and southern portions of the
forecast area as our next storm system approaches from the west.

Low pressure will develop over the mid atlantic states Friday night
and then slide offshore on Saturday. Precipitation will attempt an
eastward push into western maine Friday night, but don't expect it
to make much progress as it encounters the retreating high. Heading
into Saturday, there is considerable model spread when it comes to
the placement of the low and its associated precipitation. The
models currently fall into two camps; the nam, ecwmf, and SREF have
the low center further north, particularly at 700 mb, where the low
is slower to close off off across the southern gulf of maine and the
trough extends northwest into quebec. The GFS and canadian,
meanwhile, are quicker to close the 700mb low off and keep it well
south of CAPE cod. The difference in the two solutions would mean
the difference of steady rain and/or snow across much of the region,
particularly in the central highlands and downeast, versus just some
isolated to scattered rain and snow showers over the higher terrain
of the north woods. Have gone with a model blend that weighs a bit
heavier toward the nam/ecmwf/sref solution. This would potentially
result in a few inches of snow west of an allagash to ellsworth
line; locations further east would see an inch or less. That being
said, forecast confidence is low in any snow amounts at this time;
not only due to the aforementioned model differences, but also due
to the fact that Saturday's highs will be in the lower and mid 30s,
meaning many locations will likely see a rain/snow mix by afternoon.

Long term /Saturday night through Wednesday/
The aforementioned model differences continue through Saturday
night, with the nam, ecmwf, and SREF all spitting out a fairly
significant amount of QPF across eastern portions of the
forecast area (in the case of the nam, an additional half inch
or more for downeast maine), while the GFS and canadian produce
very little additional precipitation. Have stayed close to an
overall model blend, which gives chance pops for Saturday night
into Sunday. High pressure builds across the region thereafter,
leading to dry weather Monday. Then another potential weather
maker arrives Tuesday and Tuesday night, at least according to
the gfs, which takes low pressure across quebec and develops a
secondary low off the new england coast, with an associated band
of precipitation to cross the northeast CONUS Tuesday and
Tuesday night. The ECMWF meanwhile keeps the low and
precipitation much further south, leaving the pine tree state
high and dry. Again, have stayed close to a model blend to
account for these differences. Temperatures through next week
look to be near seasonal normal.

Aviation /12z Thursday through Monday/
Near term: a few pockets of MVFR early this morning, mainly at
kfve. OtherwiseVFR for the next 24 hours.

Short term:VFR conditions will prevail Friday under increasing
mid and high clouds. Clouds will then thicken and lower Friday
night ahead of approaching low pressure. MVFR conditions are
possible at kbgr and kbhb after 06z Sat due to ceilings and
light snow. These conditions will spread eastward to the other
sites after 12z Sat and continue through 12z sun. Rain and snow
will be likely, particularly at kbhb and kbgr, which may produce
occasional ifr visibility 18z Sat through 06z sun. MVFR will
gradually improve toVFR from south to north after 12z Sun with
just a few lingering rain or snow showers at the northern
terminals.VFR to prevail at all sites after 00z mon.

Marine
Near term: a small craft advisory remains in effect through 8 pm
this evening. A north wind will gust as high as 25 to 30 knots
at times through early this evening, with seas as high as 5 feet
across the offshore portion of the coastal zones. The wind will
diminish and the seas subside tonight as high pressure builds
across the waters from the north.

Short term: high pressure will lead to fairly quiet conditions on the
waters Friday into Friday night. Low pressure will move south of the
waters late Friday night through Saturday, resulting in increasing
east to northeast winds and building seas. Small craft conditions
will likely be met by daybreak Saturday as winds gust 25-30 kt, so
an SCA is anticipated to be needed early Saturday morning into
Saturday night.

Climate
Today is the 121st consecutive day with a foot or more of snow
on the ground at caribou, maine. This breaks the record of 120
days during the winter of 1968-1969.

Car watches/warnings/advisories
Me... None.

Marine... Small craft advisory until 8 pm edt this evening for
anz050>052.

Near term... Cb
short term... Hastings
long term... Hastings
aviation... Cb/hastings
marine... Cb/hastings
climate... Cb


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
ATGM1 - 8413320 - Bar Harbor, ME 34 mi47 min N 16 G 20 37°F 36°F1018.5 hPa
44033 - Buoy F0103 - West Penobscot Bay 37 mi91 min 37°F1 ft
44034 - Buoy I0103 - Eastern Maine Shelf 49 mi91 min NNW 19 G 23 37°F 39°F4 ft1018.8 hPa

Wind History for Bar Harbor, ME
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Bangor, Bangor International Airport, ME17 mi42 minNNW 13 G 1910.00 miMostly Cloudy37°F23°F57%1020.4 hPa
Bar Harbor, Hancock County-Bar Harbor Airport, ME24 mi39 minN 10 G 2010.00 miOvercast37°F21°F52%1020 hPa

Wind History from BGR (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrNW12N10NW12N12N8N9NW12N11NW6NW7N11NW12N15NW13NW9NW8NW12NW8W6NW11N13NW14NW12
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1 day agoS5S5S4S4SE5S5CalmS3S3SE3CalmCalmCalmCalmN4N5N5N7N9N10N10N11N11N11
2 days agoSE12SE8E10E7E6E6E7NE6NE6NE7N6N6N6N9N6N6N6NE7N5NE5NE4E5E4SE4

Tide / Current Tables for Bucksport, Penobscot River, Maine
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Bucksport
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Thu -- 12:38 AM EDT     13.20 feet High Tide
Thu -- 06:19 AM EDT     Sunrise
Thu -- 07:11 AM EDT     -1.79 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 08:06 AM EDT     Moonrise
Thu -- 01:08 PM EDT     12.70 feet High Tide
Thu -- 07:00 PM EDT     Sunset
Thu -- 07:30 PM EDT     -1.16 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 10:13 PM EDT     Moonset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
12.813.111.89.25.72.1-0.6-1.8-1.11.24.88.611.512.712.110.27.23.70.7-0.9-0.90.94.28.1

Tide / Current Tables for Fort Point, Penobscot River, Maine
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Fort Point
Click for Map
Thu -- 12:58 AM EDT     12.53 feet High Tide
Thu -- 06:19 AM EDT     Sunrise
Thu -- 07:11 AM EDT     -1.70 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 08:06 AM EDT     Moonrise
Thu -- 01:28 PM EDT     12.06 feet High Tide
Thu -- 07:00 PM EDT     Sunset
Thu -- 07:30 PM EDT     -1.10 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 10:12 PM EDT     Moonset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
11.812.511.79.462.4-0.4-1.7-1.20.947.510.411.911.810.37.540.9-0.9-0.90.73.57

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
wmap_A
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
east_satellite

GOES Local Image of Northeast    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for Caribou, ME (12,3,4,5)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Portland, ME
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.