Thursday, September20, 2018 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Bucksport, ME

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
9/17/2018 XTide broke when 1and1 "upgraded" my server. It has been esculated. I am sorry for the problem.

Sunrise 6:19AMSunset 6:37PM Thursday September 20, 2018 4:20 AM EDT (08:20 UTC) Moonrise 4:44PMMoonset 1:37AM Illumination 78% Phase: Waxing Gibbous; Moon at 10 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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ANZ151 Penobscot Bay- 310 Am Edt Thu Sep 20 2018
Today..NE winds 5 to 15 kt with gusts up to 25 kt, becoming E 5 to 10 kt this afternoon. Seas 1 to 2 ft.
Tonight..S winds around 5 kt. Seas 1 foot or less.
Fri..SE winds 5 to 10 kt with gusts up to 20 kt, becoming S 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas 1 to 2 ft, building to 2 to 3 ft in the afternoon.
Fri night..S winds 15 to 20 kt, becoming sw 10 to 20 kt after midnight. Gusts up to 35 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. A chance of showers in the evening, then showers likely with a chance of tstms after midnight.
Sat..W winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 30 kt, becoming nw 5 to 10 kt with gusts up to 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas 2 to 4 ft. A chance of showers in the morning.
Sat night..N winds around 5 kt. Seas 1 foot or less.
Sun..W winds around 5 kt. Seas 1 foot or less.
Sun night..N winds 5 to 10 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Seas 1 foot or less.
Mon..E winds 5 to 10 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Seas 1 foot or less.
Mon night..E winds 5 to 10 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Seas 1 foot or less. Winds and seas higher in and near tstms.
ANZ100 310 Am Edt Thu Sep 20 2018
Synopsis for stonington me to merrimack river ma out to 25 nm.. High pressure over the region will slowly begin moving east into the maritimes today and tonight allowing a light east wind to continue. An increasing return south to southwest flow will develop Friday into Friday night in advance of an approaching strong cold front. The front will pass across the waters late Friday night with north to northwest winds behind the front. High pressure builds across the waters over the weekend allowing winds to diminish and become light. &&


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Bucksport, ME
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location: 44.57, -68.8     debug


Area Discussion for - Caribou, ME
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Fxus61 kcar 200805
afdcar
area forecast discussion
national weather service caribou me
405 am edt Thu sep 20 2018

Synopsis
High pressure will build over the area today into this evening.

Strong low pressure will track north of the area Friday. An
associated cold front will move through Friday night.

Near term through tonight
Stratus very stubborn to dissipate, with only a few breaks in
the overcast showing up in the pre-dawn hours mainly in the
bangor region. Look for mostly cloudy skies today with a very
slow clearing trend. Seasonably cool with upper 50s to mid 60s
and light winds.

Expect clouds finally breaking up this evening with partly
cloudy skies. Temperatures should fall nicely in any breaks in
the clouds. Very localized frost is possible across mainly the
north and northeast, but not enough to issue any hazards. Could
see patchy lowland radiation fog also where any clearing occurs
thanks to the light winds and high pressure. Late tonight, the
short-lived high pressure moves off to our east and we see
thickening higher clouds ahead of the next system. Any rain
should hold off until Friday. See section below for more on the
upcoming storm system.

Short term Friday through Saturday night
A strong area of low pressure will pass to our northwest across
quebec on Friday while high pressure remains east of new
england. This will result in a rather strong pressure gradient
with gusty south winds. The 925mb-850mb layer winds are progged
increase to 45 to 50 knots, especially across the northern half
of the area Friday afternoon, and even increase a bit just
ahead of the cold front Friday night. Model soundings are
showing the stronger winds aloft remaining above the frontal
inversion through Friday evening. Current indications are that
gust potential maxes out at around 45 knots, or perhaps as high
as 50 knots over the higher terrain. As such, decision was made
to transition the current high wind watch to a wind advisory
starting Friday afternoon. The wind advisory may need to be
extended further south into downeast Friday night, as winds are
expected to increase there just ahead of the cold front.

A few showers are possible, mainly across the northern zones on
Friday, otherwise expect mainly cloudy skies on Friday. The
chance for showers increases Friday evening and overnight Friday
just ahead and along the approaching cold front. There is some
elevated instability expected just ahead of the front Friday
evening, so the mention of a chance for a thunderstorm was
maintained. Another concern is the potential for some of the
stronger winds aloft to mix down with any convective activity,
thus will continue to reference gusty winds in any
thunderstorms Friday evening. Considering the very strong
westerly flow aloft just above the frontal inversion, couldn't
rule out a few damaging wind gusts in any convective elements
along the front Friday night. Later shifts may need to beef up
the gusty winds wording in any thunderstorms with the front
Friday night.

The cold front is expected to cross northern areas around
midnight Friday and then push off the coast by daybreak
Saturday. Any lingering showers or thunderstorms are expected
to end with the passage of the front. However, gusty northwest
winds are expected in the wake of the front Saturday morning.

Therefore, the wind advisory was extended into Saturday
morning. Otherwise, expect diminishing winds Saturday afternoon
along with increasing sunshine as a large ridge of high
pressure builds across. Saturday night will be mainly clear and
cold. Lows will range from the mid 30s north to low to mid 40s
downeast. Frost not looking like a big concern Saturday night as
there may be enough mixing to keep the atmosphere from
decoupling.

Long term Sunday through Wednesday
Fair and unseasonably cool weather is expected Sunday through
Tuesday. A widespread frost is possible regionwide Sunday night
and early Monday morning as large canadian high pressure settles
across the region. The next chance for showers will come by mid
week along with somewhat milder temperatures.

Aviation 07z Thursday through Monday
Near term: generally lowVFR ceilings at TAF sites early this
morning into this afternoon. There are some MVFR and ifr
ceilings around, but they seem to be mostly near higher terrain.

Notably, kgnr (not a TAF site) presently has a 200 foot
ceiling. Very gradual decrease in clouds through the day into
this evening. However, could see patchy fog this evening in the
areas that do clear. But generally, looking forVFR conditions
tonight.

Short term:VFR much of Friday. Gusty south winds are expected
to develop Friday afternoon in advance of an approaching cold
front. A few showers are possible across the far north Friday
morning. Llws may be a concern as well. Otherwise expect a
better chance for showers along with the chance for a
thunderstorm with the passage of the front Friday night with
possible brief MVFR possible. The front is expected to reach
the kfve terminal around 06z Saturday and progress southeast
reaching kbhb by 12z Saturday. Northwest winds will be gusty at
times Saturday morning in the wake of the front then diminish
Saturday afternoon.VFR is then expected Saturday night through
early next week.

Marine
Near term: a decent NE breeze 15 to 20 knots with seas to 4
feet early this morning... Just below small craft levels. Expect
winds and seas to subside today into this evening as high
pressure briefly builds in before the upcoming strong weather
system.

Short term: have issued a gale watch for later Friday afternoon
and into Saturday morning. Expect gusty southwest winds to
develop in advance of an approaching cold front later Friday and
Friday night with the potential for gusts as high as 45 knots.

Expect winds to become northwest in the wake of the cold front
Saturday morning. Seas will build to 5 to 9 feet Friday night
into Saturday.

Car watches warnings advisories
Me... Wind advisory from 2 pm Friday to 11 am edt Saturday for
mez001>006.

Marine... Gale watch from Friday evening through Saturday morning for
anz050>052.

Near term... Foisy
short term... Duda
long term... Duda
aviation... Foisy duda
marine... Foisy duda


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
ATGM1 - 8413320 - Bar Harbor, ME 34 mi39 min 53°F 59°F1021.8 hPa
44033 - Buoy F0103 - West Penobscot Bay 37 mi77 min NNE 14 G 16 56°F 60°F2 ft1020.5 hPa
44034 - Buoy I0103 - Eastern Maine Shelf 49 mi77 min NE 18 G 19 55°F 55°F5 ft1020.5 hPa

Wind History for Bar Harbor, ME
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Bangor, Bangor International Airport, ME17 mi28 minN 710.00 miFair49°F46°F90%1022.6 hPa
Bar Harbor, Hancock County-Bar Harbor Airport, ME24 mi25 minNNE 410.00 miOvercast53°F48°F83%1022.5 hPa

Wind History from BGR (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrN9N10N9N10N10N9N11NE10N9N9N9N10NE11N8N7N5N7NE5NE6NE9NE6N7N5N7
1 day agoSW5S5SW3S7S6S6S8SW5S4E3SE4E3S6S5N13
G22
NE14N13N11N11N11N8N8N7N8
2 days agoS6S7S8S6S8S10S11S10S11S11S11S14S13S12S6S8S8S7S5S6S4SW3S6S5

Tide / Current Tables for Bucksport, Penobscot River, Maine
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Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.


Tide / Current Tables for Fort Point, Penobscot River, Maine
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Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.


Weather Map and Satellite Images
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wmap_A
GOES Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Wind Forecast for Caribou, ME (4,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Portland, ME
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.