Sunrise 5:02 AM   Sunset 8:00 PM Moonrise 12:58 PM   Moonset 2:15 AM

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ANZ050 Coastal Waters From Eastport, Me To Schoodic Point, Me Out 25 Nm- 422 Am Edt Thu May 16 2024
Today - S winds around 5 kt, becoming se around 5 kt this afternoon. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Wave detail: S 2 ft at 10 seconds and S 1 foot at 4 seconds. Areas of fog early this morning, then patchy fog late this morning. Isolated showers late. Vsby 1 nm or less this morning. Tonight - NE winds around 5 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Wave detail: S 4 ft at 10 seconds and S 1 foot at 4 seconds. Patchy fog in the evening, then areas of fog after midnight. Vsby 1 nm or less. Fri - E winds around 10 kt. Seas 3 to 4 ft. Wave detail: S 4 ft at 9 seconds. Areas of fog in the morning, then patchy fog in the afternoon. Vsby 1 nm or less, increasing to 1 to 3 nm in the afternoon. Fri night - S winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming se after midnight. Seas 3 to 4 ft. Wave detail: S 4 ft at 9 seconds. Patchy fog. Vsby 1 to 3 nm. Sat - NE winds around 10 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Wave detail: se 3 ft at 8 seconds and ne 1 foot at 3 seconds. Patchy fog in the morning with vsby 1 to 3 nm. Sat night - SE winds around 10 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Wave detail: se 3 ft at 8 seconds and ne 1 foot at 3 seconds. Sun - E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Sun night - NE winds around 10 kt, becoming nw after midnight. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Mon - NE winds around 10 kt, becoming sw in the afternoon. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Mon night - SW winds around 10 kt. Seas around 2 ft.

ANZ005 422 Am Edt Thu May 16 2024
Synopsis for eastport me to stonington me out 25 nm - A cold front will gradually settle across the waters today through Fri. High pres then ridges across the waters through the weekend into early next week.

FXUS61 KCAR 160421 AFDCAR

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Caribou ME 1221 AM EDT Thu May 16 2024

SYNOPSIS
A stalled frontal boundary will result in afternoon shower and thunderstorm chances through the end of the week along with seasonably mild temperatures. The shower chances continue through the weekend...although a washout is not expected. Somewhat drier and warmer conditions are expected for the start of next week.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH TODAY/
12:21 AM update... No major changes with this update. Showers continue to fall along and north of a stalled frontal boundary located just south of a line from Greenville to Houlton. Made minor tweaks to temperatures and winds to account for latest trends.

Previous Discussion... High Impact Weather Potential: Isolated thunderstorms with locally heavy rain possible through this evening. Patchy fog will develop overnight.

Pattern: A band of showers has developed across northern New England this afternoon along a diffuse frontal boundary draped across the region. SBCAPEs have reached around 500 J/kg with PWATs along the boundary around 1 inch.

Through this Evening: Showers will continue through this evening under cloudy skies. Local downpours are possible as unidirectional hodographs suggest some backbuilding/training potential. Instability will be a limiting factor for any severe potential with no severe expected. Temperatures through 7pm will fall back into the 60s.

Tonight: Diminishing instability will cause this afternoon/s convective activity to wane...though showers will continue along the front as mid level shortwave moves overhead with modest mid level forcing for ascent. Further south for BGR south and east along the Downeast coast, expect that we/ll remain precipitation free through the night...but a gradually building NE llevel flow will cause ceilings to lower and fog to develop. Low temperature should remain pretty uniform...in the upper 40s to around 50.

SHORT TERM /TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT/
Weak shortwave passes east of the region Thursday morning with mid level heights slowly building and high pressure over Atlantic Canada pushing its way south and west into the region
Despite this
weak llevel convergence will continue as cold front draped across the region sags towards the coast. This boundary will continue to provide a focus for shower development though the lack of forcing will keep coverage minimal and any rainfall amounts light. Very similar temperatures aloft suggests little change for daytime highs which should again reach the upper 60s across the north...with lower 70s across interior portions of central and Downeast Maine.

Any shower activity should come to an end Thursday night leaving conditions dry and partly cloudy. Expect some patchy fog development as temperatures fall to around 50.

LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/
Split flow across NOAM through early next week with high pressure centered over maritime Canada. With shortwaves passing north of the region Friday and Saturday...there will be some diurnal shower chances
Given the maritime high position
the pattern does not favor much in the way of instability and thus...do not foresee much thunder threat for Friday/Saturday. Beyond this the northern stream lifts north with a dry period more likely for Sunday and Monday. By the middle of next week a building eastern Pacific Jet will lend additional shortwave energy that will dig further south across the CONUS and allow for an increasing chance for precipitation as we move into the middle of next week.

With the overall trough-ridge setup across NOAM...temperatures aloft will be above normal throughout the long term forecast period with the guidance consensus favoring this translating to high temperatures above May normals except for coastal areas where the maritime high pressure will favor robust sea breezes and temperatures closer to...or a bit below normal.

AVIATION /04Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/
NEAR TERM: BHB expected to deteriorate to MVFR after 06z and then to IFR after 07z with LIFR cigs expected between 08-13z.
Improvement to VFR after 13z Thu. BGR may see SCT004 with MVFR vsbys toward daybreak before improving after 13z.

Aroostook terminals to see VFR showers this evening and overnight. Conditions diminish to MVFR after 06z with IFR toward daybreak. Improving to MVFR after mid-late morning.

SHORT TERM: Thunder is not expected across the terminals on Thursday and Thursday night.

Beyond Thursday night...a few afternoon showers may bring isolated restrictions for HUL/CAR and points north for Friday/Saturday with any overnight fog most likely at BHB.

MARINE
Fog is expected over the waters with light winds and relatively calm waters as a cold front remains draped across the region. At this time...winds/waves look to remain SCA levels through at least Tuesday of next week.

CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
ME...None.
MARINE...None.

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Addison
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Thu -- 12:19 AM EDT     2.71 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 02:15 AM EDT     Moonset
Thu -- 05:01 AM EDT     Sunrise
Thu -- 06:26 AM EDT     11.06 feet High Tide
Thu -- 12:56 PM EDT     1.81 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 12:57 PM EDT     Moonrise
Thu -- 07:11 PM EDT     10.64 feet High Tide
Thu -- 07:53 PM EDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

Addison, Pleasant River, Maine, Tide feet

Milbridge
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Thu -- 12:10 AM EDT     2.58 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 02:15 AM EDT     Moonset
Thu -- 05:02 AM EDT     Sunrise
Thu -- 06:06 AM EDT     10.55 feet High Tide
Thu -- 12:47 PM EDT     1.72 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 12:58 PM EDT     Moonrise
Thu -- 06:51 PM EDT     10.15 feet High Tide
Thu -- 07:54 PM EDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

Milbridge, Narraguagus River, Maine, Tide feet

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