Monday, May29, 2017 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Machias, ME

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.

Sunrise 4:51AMSunset 8:13PM Monday May 29, 2017 1:07 PM EDT (17:07 UTC) Moonrise 8:57AMMoonset 11:51PM Illumination 18% Phase: Waxing Crescent; Moon at 4 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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ANZ050 Coastal Waters From Eastport, Me To Schoodic Point, Me Out 25 Nm- 1235 Pm Edt Mon May 29 2017
This afternoon..E winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft.
Tonight..SE winds around 5 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Patchy fog after midnight with vsby 1 to 3 nm.
Tue..SE winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Patchy fog in the morning with vsby 1 to 3 nm.
Tue night..S winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Showers likely... Mainly after midnight. Patchy fog after midnight with vsby 1 to 3 nm.
Wed..S winds around 10 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Showers likely... Mainly in the morning. Patchy fog. Vsby 1 to 3 nm.
Wed night..SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft. A chance of showers. Patchy fog.
Thu..W winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Patchy fog in the morning.
Fri..SW winds 5 to 10 kt...increasing to 10 to 15 kt in the afternoon and evening...then diminishing to 5 to 10 kt after midnight. Seas 2 to 4 ft...building to 4 to 6 ft. A chance of showers.
ANZ005 1235 Pm Edt Mon May 29 2017
Synopsis for eastport me to stonington me out 25 nm.. High pres will remain N of the area through Tuesday as a cold front slowly approaches from the w.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Machias, ME
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location: 44.62, -67.75     debug


Area Discussion for - Caribou, ME
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Fxus61 kcar 291643
afdcar
area forecast discussion
national weather service caribou me
1243 pm edt Mon may 29 2017

Synopsis
A stationary front will remain over northern maine today. An
weakening occluded front will cross the region later tonight
into Tuesday morning. Another frontal boundary is expected to
cross the region Tuesday night.

Near term through Tuesday
1240 pm update: showers have msly ended across our fa. Cldnss
has also shown sig breaks across cntrl and downeast ptns of the
fa which has had some LCL impacts on temps beyond the the prior
fcst of hi temps. Utilizing the current hrly temps, we tried to
factor rgnl differences of sunshine to in modifying fcst hi
temps for later this aftn.

Orgnl disc: after some morning showers across far N and nw, the
cwa will become rain-free into the evening as the stalled
frontal boundary lifts back to the maine-canadian border. The
latest run of the rap was matched up well W this setup as high
pres wedges down from the ne. Satl imagery showed quite a bit of
cloudiness across the CWA this morning. Rap soundings showed
some potential for some breaks in the clouds early on, but as
the day progresses clouds should fill back in W a sse wind. This
will lead to a rather cool day W daytime temps topping out in
the upper 50s to lower 60s W the warmer temps away from the
bangor- bar harbor region.

Clouds will thicken up in earnest this evening from S to N as an
occluded front lifts across the region. There does appear to be
enough forcing in the mid levels to generate some shower activity
across the the SW and then the activity moves NE overnight. Decided
to go W 40% pops overnight into Tuesday morning W QPF amounts around
0.10".

Short term Tuesday night through Thursday
Cloudy conditions with highs in the lower 60s are anticipated
Tuesday with the risk of showers increasing later in the day
with the occluded front. Most of the shower activity with the
front will occur Tuesday night. There is just enough elevated
instability to include a slight chance of thunderstorms for
northern aroostook county later Tuesday evening. For Wednesday,
a more southerly flow than previously expected will keep cooler
marine air streaming over most of the area and minimize surface
based convection except towards the western border on Wednesday
afternoon. Shower activity is expected through the day ahead of
an upper level shortwave. Some elevated convection is possible
Wednesday night and may have to include in the next forecast
package. With the passage of a cold front Wednesday night, drier
conditions and a westerly flow is expected for Thursday. There
may be some remaining shower activity, but it would be light and
widely scattered.

Long term Thursday night through Sunday
The persistent upper low that caused the unsettled weather
through the week will drift towards maine during Friday and a
vigorous shortwave will move through the region Friday afternoon
and evening. The amount of shear and cold air advection aloft
raises concern for some severe storms with this shortwave. The
upper low will move over the state Saturday with more showery
activity and a cool northerly flow, but showers will tend to
decrease Sunday and Sunday night as the upper low finally moves
east into the canadian maritimes.

Aviation 14z Monday through Friday
Near term: ifr for kbgr and kbhb this morning W MVFR-vfr across
the northern terminals. Conditions across the northern terminals
will beVFR W periods of MVFR CIGS today into tonight. Kbgr and
kbhb will see ifr to improve to MVFR but will start dropping
back to ifr later tonight W some fog possible.

Short term: Tuesday will start ifr towards bgr and bhb, butVFR
further north. All sites will beVFR by afternoon. On Tuesday
night, conditions will deteriorate to ifr CIGS by later in the
night into Wednesday morning. CIGS will only improve to MVFR
before returning to ifr Wednesday night into Thursday morning.

Vfr conditions are forecast by later Thursday morning through
Friday morning.

Marine
Near term: no headlines expected this term. Sse winds will pick
up some later this afternoon into the evening at speeds of 10
to 15 kts. The winds will drop back to around 10 kts or less by
midnight. Seas look like they will remain 2 to 3 ft through
tonight.

Short term: fog will be a factor starting later Tuesday night
and continuing into Thursday morning. There is a chance of some
higher swell starting Friday and continuing into Saturday.

Car watches warnings advisories
Me... None.

Marine... None.

Near term... Vjn
short term... Mcw
long term... Mcw
aviation... Vjn mcw
marine... Vjn mcw


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
CFWM1 - Cutler Farris Wharf, ME (8411060) 29 mi50 min E 5.1 G 7 50°F 43°F1020.5 hPa
ATGM1 - 8413320 - Bar Harbor, ME 29 mi50 min SSE 9.9 G 14 46°F 47°F1019.9 hPa
44027 33 mi78 min 44°F2 ft1021.1 hPa (-0.3)
44034 - Buoy I0103 - Eastern Maine Shelf 40 mi124 min E 9.7 G 9.7 44°F 44°F2 ft1020.5 hPa
PSBM1 - 8410140 - Eastport, ME 45 mi50 min N 6 G 7 47°F 43°F1022.1 hPa
MDRM1 - Mt Desert Rock, ME 49 mi68 min 44°F 1020.2 hPa (-0.6)

Wind History for Cutler Farris Wharf, ME
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Bar Harbor, Hancock County-Bar Harbor Airport, ME35 mi72 minVar 610.00 miMostly Cloudy50°F44°F80%1021.2 hPa

Wind History from BHB (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrS7S15SW12SW11S9SW9--SW4S5S4S3CalmCalmCalmS6SE4S5SE5E7E76E86E10
1 day agoNE7E4SE73CalmSW5SW5CalmCalmW4W3CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmE4S5S8S8E8SE6
2 days agoNE6NE9NE8NE9N10N7N8N6N7N6N6N7N6N5N7N6N7N8N12NE10N13
G16
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G19

Tide / Current Tables for Addison, Pleasant River, Maine
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Addison
Click for Map
Mon -- 02:10 AM EDT     15.04 feet High Tide
Mon -- 04:50 AM EDT     Sunrise
Mon -- 08:41 AM EDT     -2.00 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 08:57 AM EDT     Moonrise
Mon -- 02:56 PM EDT     13.28 feet High Tide
Mon -- 08:06 PM EDT     Sunset
Mon -- 08:57 PM EDT     -0.13 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 11:50 PM EDT     Moonset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
10.913.81514.412.28.54.30.6-1.6-1.9-0.42.76.610.212.513.312.49.96.53.10.7-0.10.83.4

Tide / Current Tables for Milbridge, Narraguagus River, Maine
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Milbridge
Click for Map
Mon -- 01:50 AM EDT     14.35 feet High Tide
Mon -- 04:51 AM EDT     Sunrise
Mon -- 08:32 AM EDT     -1.91 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 08:58 AM EDT     Moonrise
Mon -- 02:36 PM EDT     12.66 feet High Tide
Mon -- 08:07 PM EDT     Sunset
Mon -- 08:48 PM EDT     -0.12 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 11:51 PM EDT     Moonset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
11.313.714.313.310.87.13.20.1-1.7-1.70.13.47.210.512.312.611.38.75.42.30.4-0.11.13.9

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
wmap_A
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
east_satellite

GOES Local Image of Northeast    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for Caribou, ME (13,3,4,5)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Caribou, ME
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.