Sunday, March26, 2017 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Machias, ME

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.
3/12/2015 - Added section for Gulf current for users in the GMZ marine zones.
This was requested by a user. If you have requests, please let me know.

Sunrise 6:23AMSunset 6:57PM Sunday March 26, 2017 5:17 AM EDT (09:17 UTC) Moonrise 5:45AMMoonset 5:17PM Illumination 2% Phase: Waning Crescent; Moon at 28 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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ANZ050 Coastal Waters From Eastport, Me To Schoodic Point, Me Out 25 Nm- 314 Am Edt Sun Mar 26 2017
Today..N winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt... Diminishing to around 5 kt this afternoon. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Light freezing spray early this morning.
Tonight..S winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft.
Mon..SE winds 10 to 15 kt...increasing to 15 to 20 kt in the afternoon. Gusts up to 30 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Rain likely, a chance of snow, freezing rain likely with a chance of sleet in the morning...then rain in the afternoon. Vsby 1 to 3 nm... Decreasing to 1 nm or less in the afternoon.
Mon night..SE winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts up to 30 kt... Becoming E 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt after midnight. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Rain...mainly in the evening. Vsby 1 nm or less... Increasing to 1 to 3 nm after midnight.
Tue..NE winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. A chance of rain in the morning...then a chance of showers in the afternoon. Vsby 1 to 3 nm in the morning.
Tue night..E winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. A chance of showers in the evening...then a chance of rain and snow showers likely after midnight with vsby 1 to 3 nm.
Wed..NE winds 5 to 10 kt...becoming N in the afternoon...then becoming nw 10 to 15 kt in the evening...becoming N 15 to 20 kt after midnight. Seas 3 to 5 ft. A chance of showers. Vsby 1 to 3 nm in the morning.
Thu..N winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft.
ANZ005 314 Am Edt Sun Mar 26 2017
Synopsis for eastport me to stonington me out 25 nm.. High pres will remain across the region today. A warm front will approach the region Mon. Low pres will track across the waters Mon night.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Machias, ME
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location: 44.62, -67.75     debug


Area Discussion for - Caribou, ME
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Fxus61 kcar 260721
afdcar
area forecast discussion
national weather service caribou me
321 am edt Sun mar 26 2017

Synopsis
High pressure will crest over the region on today. Low pressure
will approach from the west tonight into Monday.

Near term /through tonight/
Strong high pressure will crest over the region today then move
to the east tonight. At the same time an area of low pressure
will be moving northeast into the great lakes. This system will
spread over-running precipitation into the area late tonight.

Expect the precipitation to begin as snow in all areas then
gradually change to mixed precipitation from south to north
towards Monday morning. For precipitation type will use the
precipitation type from thickness tool run on a 50/50 blend of
the NAM & GFS using 33 degrees for the frozen cut-off
temperature. For snow amounts will use the snow ratio blender
run on the GFS using the cobb method.

Short term /Monday through Tuesday night/
System currently spinning in the ms rvr vly tonight wl eject
northeast twd the area this weekend. By 12z mon, most of the area to
the north and east of bangor shud be all snow. Strong h8 winds mvg
in fm SRN new england wl quickly increase h8 temps aft this time
with a mixed bag of pcpn acrs SRN and WRN zones, most lkly in the
form of snow and sleet. Expect this transition wl quickly spread to
the north and east thru the day with with downeast areas going
quickly to rain by noon. Coastal low wl dvlp late in the aftn and
enhance QPF acrs the coast.

Temps aloft still look to be in question tho regarding ptype. GFS is
colder than the NAM tho it appears to be related to juxtaposition of
h8 jet. Latest NAM has 40-50kt jet acrs most of new england in the
aftn while 00z GFS splits LLJ into two with a relative minimum acrs
cntrl sxns of cwa. With event being three periods away, hv gone with
a blend of nam/gfs for ptype and can fine-tune as we get closer.

Pcpn wl gradually wind down late Mon ngt but expect pcpn to continue
acrs the far north in wrap-arnd cyclonic flow with upr-lvl trof
lurking nr the region. With temps well abv frzg on Tue expect that
most locales wl hv gone to rain by aftn tho questions continue to
cntr acrs the far north as the GFS rmns warmest with temps aloft
while nam, cmc and ec indicate a mix of snow/sleet thru the day.

Guidance still rmns up in the air for Tue night tho nam/gfs continue
to be consistent with ec and cmc slowly coming more in line with
soln. Hv gone with superblend for Tue night, leaning twd lkly acrs
far east zones and hichc elsewhere.

Long term /Wednesday through Saturday/
Hipres wl be building in starting thur and persist thru the end of
the week. Models consistently showing next system wl mv in fm the
west Sat mrng. Latest GFS is suppressed well to our south as it
heads east off the virgina capes. Ec brings robust sfc low off of
the ny bight with some lgt QPF spreading into CWA sat/sat night ahd
of h5 trof. 00z cmc is most bullish with pcpn acrs entire fa sat
into Sat night. Hv allowed for chc pcpn ovr the weekend tho
confidence is vry low with this system. Thru the end of the long
term pd temps wl settle out arnd normal.

Aviation /07z Sunday through Thursday/
Near term: expectVFR conditions today then ifr conditions by
late tonight.

Short term: expect to be ifr Mon morning at all sites in low
clouds and mixed precipitation. Improvement for southern
terminals possible on Tuesday though confidence is very low at
this time as to whether another system will impact all sites
thru Wed morning. MVFR restrictions may continue at northern
sites through the end of the pd in low clouds.

Marine
Near term: have used a 50/50 blend of the NAM and GFS for
surface winds. For waves: a longer period wave system (2-3
feet/8 seconds) continues to move northward into the gulf of
maine. This has been the primary wave system for the last 12
hours under light winds, however a secondary wind wave system
has developed and could become the primary wave group this
morning but is expected to subside later this morning and this
afternoon as high pressure crests over the waters. Expect long
period swell to continue to dominate this afternoon and tonight.

Will use the near shore prediction system as boundary
conditions appear to verify well.

Short term: SCA looks to be needed Monday/mon night for gusty
southeast winds ahead of sfc low crossing the gulf along with
serly swell. SCA for hazardous seas looks to be needed Tue night
into Wed with small craft levels continuing into Thursday.

Car watches/warnings/advisories
Me... None.

Marine... None.

Near term... Mignone
short term... Farrar
long term... Farrar
aviation... Mignone/farrar
marine... Mignone/farrar


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
CFWM1 - Cutler Farris Wharf, ME (8411060) 29 mi48 min N 2.9 G 7 23°F 37°F1031.6 hPa
ATGM1 - 8413320 - Bar Harbor, ME 29 mi48 min NNE 7 G 13 28°F 35°F1031.4 hPa
44027 33 mi88 min 19 G 25 40°F4 ft1030.9 hPa (+1.7)
44034 - Buoy I0103 - Eastern Maine Shelf 40 mi74 min NNE 19 G 23 32°F 40°F3 ft1031.2 hPa
PSBM1 - 8410140 - Eastport, ME 45 mi48 min NW 9.9 G 13 25°F 36°F1032.8 hPa
MDRM1 - Mt Desert Rock, ME 49 mi78 min 31°F 1031.4 hPa (+1.0)6°F

Wind History for Cutler Farris Wharf, ME
(wind in knots)    EDIT      (on/off)   Help
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N10
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G24
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--

Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Bar Harbor, Hancock County-Bar Harbor Airport, ME35 mi22 minN 410.00 miFair24°F5°F44%1033.7 hPa

Wind History from BHB (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrCalmCalmN354N9N11N8
G14
4NW6NW655NW4W3NW3NW5N5CalmN4N6N8NE7N4
1 day agoCalmCalmCalmCalmS14S15SW14
G22
S13S12S17S13--S15S13S10S8SW3CalmCalmCalmNW3N3NW6N4
2 days agoNW8NW7NW8NW10
G18
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G25
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3NW3W4W5W4SW3SW3Calm

Tide / Current Tables for Addison, Pleasant River, Maine
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Addison
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Sun -- 04:20 AM EDT     0.34 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 05:45 AM EDT     Moonrise
Sun -- 06:22 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sun -- 10:30 AM EDT     12.92 feet High Tide
Sun -- 04:47 PM EDT     -0.37 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 05:16 PM EDT     Moonset
Sun -- 06:51 PM EDT     Sunset
Sun -- 10:56 PM EDT     12.71 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
9.97.24.11.60.40.72.45.28.511.312.712.711.38.65.22.10.1-0.30.83.36.79.91212.7

Tide / Current Tables for Milbridge, Narraguagus River, Maine
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Milbridge
Click for Map
Sun -- 04:11 AM EDT     0.32 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 05:45 AM EDT     Moonrise
Sun -- 06:23 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sun -- 10:10 AM EDT     12.33 feet High Tide
Sun -- 04:38 PM EDT     -0.36 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 05:17 PM EDT     Moonset
Sun -- 06:52 PM EDT     Sunset
Sun -- 10:36 PM EDT     12.13 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
8.86.13.31.20.30.82.75.78.911.312.311.910.27.44.31.5-0.1-0.31.13.87.210.111.812

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
wmap_A
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
east_satellite

GOES Local Image of Northeast    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for Caribou, ME (5,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Caribou, ME
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.