Wednesday, September19, 2018 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Machias, ME

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
9/17/2018 XTide broke when 1and1 "upgraded" my server. It has been esculated. I am sorry for the problem.

Sunrise 6:18AMSunset 6:38PM Wednesday September 19, 2018 1:30 PM EDT (17:30 UTC) Moonrise 4:01PMMoonset 12:39AM Illumination 73% Phase: Waxing Gibbous; Moon at 10 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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ANZ050 Coastal Waters From Eastport, Me To Schoodic Point, Me Out 25 Nm- 1130 Am Edt Wed Sep 19 2018
This afternoon..NE winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft.
Tonight..NE winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft.
Thu..NE winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt, diminishing to 5 to 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas 2 to 4 ft.
Thu night..NE winds around 5 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft.
Fri..SE winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming S 15 to 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas 2 to 4 ft. A chance of rain in the afternoon.
Fri night..SW winds 20 to 25 kt with gusts up to 35 kt. Seas 6 to 9 ft. Rain likely in the evening, then showers likely after midnight.
Sat..W winds 15 to 20 kt, becoming N 5 to 10 kt in the afternoon and evening, then becoming ne after midnight. Seas 5 to 8 ft, subsiding to 2 to 4 ft. A chance of showers in the morning.
Sun..E winds around 5 kt, becoming S in the afternoon and evening, then becoming E after midnight. Seas around 2 ft in the morning, then 1 foot or less, then, then 2 to 3 ft.
ANZ005 1130 Am Edt Wed Sep 19 2018
Synopsis for eastport me to stonington me out 25 nm.. High pres will build in from the nw through tonight and will crest over the waters Thu into Thu night. Strong low pres will track nw of the region on Fri drawing a cold front across the waters Fri night.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Machias, ME
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location: 44.62, -67.75     debug


Area Discussion for - Caribou, ME
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Fxus61 kcar 191533
afdcar
area forecast discussion
national weather service caribou me
1133 am edt Wed sep 19 2018

Synopsis
High pressure will build into the region today and Thursday and
will crest over the area Thursday evening. A strong area of low
pressure will pass to the northwest of the area Friday bringing
wind to the area. A strong cold front will cross the area Friday
night bringing a much cooler air mass to the region Saturday.

Near term through tonight
11:30 am update... Radar and satellite imagery is showing some
drizzle persisting in the stratus over central and northwestern
areas so added patchy drizzle through early afternoon in these
areas. Otherwise, the low overcast persists and the air remains
cool.

Previous discussion:
cloudy and cool today and tonight. A low level northeast flow
will continue with stratocu today into tonight. The model
soundings are nearly saturated across the north from 950-700h
with a smaller saturated layer down east where there could be a
brief peak or two of Sun in a few spots this afternoon.

Temperatures today will be about 5 to 10 degrees below average
and will range from the low to mid 50s in the far north to the
l m 60s down east. Clouds may break up a bit tonight across the
southern half of the fa with stratocu hanging tough in the north
and and into the central highlands. A passing shower is
possible today into tonight, but much of the time will be dry.

Lows tonight will be mostly in the 40s.

Short term Thursday through Friday
High pressure overhead for Thursday, but low clouds will be slow
to erode in many areas. Mostly cloudy with light winds and
seasonably cool with highs around 60.

High pressure moves east Thursday night as the next system
already begins to approach from the west. A rapidly
strengthening area of low pressure will track from the great
lakes to labrador Thursday night to Friday night. As it does so,
look for a warm front crossing our area during the day Friday
with a period of rain mainly in the north. We enter the warm
sector late Friday into Friday evening, then a cold front moves
through overnight with another shot of rain. Main concern with
the system is winds, especially late Friday into Friday evening
in the warm sector. Winds aloft a couple thousand feet off the
ground are quite strong topping out at 70 to 75 knots over
northern maine. However, low level lapse rates are not favorable
for mixing the strongest winds to the surface. Possible
exception is with the cold front passage Friday night. Think
that surface gusts to 40 mph in the north are a possibility,
with gusts 25 to 35 mph downeast. Any higher terrain will have
stronger winds as well. An important factor concerning impacts is
that all the leaves are still on the trees, which makes it
easier to see tree damage with winds that aren't terribly
strong. One other interesting factor with this system is that we
expect high temperatures Friday to come after dark just ahead of
the cold front rather than during the day Friday.

Long term Friday night through Tuesday
Seasonably cool and dry Saturday and Saturday night. Some models
have a weak system perhaps impacting mainly northern maine
either Sunday or Monday, but not enough confidence in it to go
any more than 20 percent precip chances. Remaining seasonably
cool into Monday. Next weather system with rain looks to come
Tuesday or Wednesday, though models disagree a fair amount on
its timing.

Aviation 16z Wednesday through Sunday
Near term: predominately MVFR today and tonight, but with areas
with ifr ceilings, especially this morning. There is the
potential that the ceilings may improve toVFR tonight at the
down east terminals.

Short term: mix of MVFR andVFR to start the day Thursday, with
most places becomingVFR by day's end. MostlyVFR Thursday
night, but MVFR ifr developing Friday and persisting Friday
night as a weather system crosses the area. Windy with low level
wind shear as well. System exits for the weekend with generally
vfr over the weekend.

Marine
Near term: the wind and seas are expected to remain below small
craft advisory levels through tonight.

Short term: strong weather system will bring small craft
conditions Friday Friday night, and can't rule out gale. Seas
building to 5 to 9 feet Friday night. Conditions improving to
below small craft levels by Saturday afternoon.

Car watches warnings advisories
Me... None.

Marine... None.

Near term... CB mcb
short term... Foisy
long term... Foisy
aviation... CB foisy
marine... CB foisy


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
CFWM1 - Cutler Farris Wharf, ME (8411060) 29 mi36 min ENE 9.9 G 15 59°F 55°F1014.4 hPa
ATGM1 - 8413320 - Bar Harbor, ME 29 mi36 min NE 5.1 G 7 56°F 60°F1015.8 hPa
44027 33 mi40 min NNE 16 G 19 55°F 58°F3 ft1014.5 hPa (+1.3)55°F
44034 - Buoy I0103 - Eastern Maine Shelf 41 mi86 min NNE 14 G 16 55°F 55°F4 ft1014.4 hPa
PSBM1 - 8410140 - Eastport, ME 45 mi36 min N 9.9 G 14 57°F 56°F1016.2 hPa
MDRM1 - Mt Desert Rock, ME 49 mi30 min N 18 G 19 55°F 1015.4 hPa (+1.0)

Wind History for Cutler Farris Wharf, ME
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Bar Harbor, Hancock County-Bar Harbor Airport, ME35 mi34 minNE 710.00 miOvercast59°F54°F83%1016.5 hPa

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Last 24hrS3S3CalmSE4S4CalmCalmNE6N12
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1 day agoSW14S15S13S12S13S10S8SW7S6SW6SW7SW5SW7SW7SW4SW6SW6SW4SW4S6SW9SW9S10Calm
2 days agoCalmNE5SE4E4E4E53CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmS3S4S8SW7S8SW6SW9S11S11SW13S13

Tide / Current Tables for Addison, Pleasant River, Maine
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Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.


Tide / Current Tables for Milbridge, Narraguagus River, Maine
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Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.


Weather Map and Satellite Images
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wmap_A
GOES Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Caribou, ME (13,3,4,5)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Caribou, ME
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.