Thursday, June20, 2019 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Machias, ME

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6/2/2019. Many thanks to a user for reporting an error on one of the Edit pages. The switch to PHP 7.2 caused many pages that previously worked to quit working. I fixed many but I still depend on users to report ones I missed. Please report errors HERE or send an email to me at L-36.com. Allen

Sunrise 4:47AMSunset 8:26PM Thursday June 20, 2019 10:11 AM EDT (14:11 UTC) Moonrise 10:59PMMoonset 7:40AM Illumination 91% Phase: Waning Gibbous; Moon at 18 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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ANZ050 Coastal Waters From Eastport, Me To Schoodic Point, Me Out 25 Nm- 601 Am Edt Thu Jun 20 2019
Today..E winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas around 2 ft. A chance of showers until late afternoon, then rain late. Areas of fog. Vsby 1 nm or less.
Tonight..E winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming ne after midnight. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Rain. Areas of fog. Vsby 1 nm or less.
Fri..NE winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming N 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Areas of fog in the morning. Rain. Vsby 1 nm or less, increasing to 1 to 3 nm in the afternoon.
Fri night..NW winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. A chance of showers in the evening.
Sat..NW winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. A chance of showers in the afternoon.
Sat night..NW winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft.
Sun..NW winds 10 to 15 kt, diminishing to 5 to 10 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft.
Mon..NW winds around 5 kt, becoming sw around 5 kt. Seas 1 to 2 ft.
ANZ005 601 Am Edt Thu Jun 20 2019
Synopsis for eastport me to stonington me out 25 nm.. Low pressure will approach from the west on today and track across the gulf of maine tonight into Friday morning. The low will slowly pull away into the maritimes Friday night through Sunday.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Machias, ME
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location: 44.62, -67.75     debug


Area Discussion for - Caribou, ME
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Fxus61 kcar 201001
afdcar
area forecast discussion
national weather service caribou me
601 am edt Thu jun 20 2019

Synopsis
High pressure will move away to the east as a frontal boundary
stalls across the north. Low pressure will approach today and
track across the gulf of maine tonight.

Near term through tonight
Update 6:00 am: have made adjustments based on latest
observations. No other changes.

A cold front is expected to stall across the the region during
the day today. An area of low pressure is then expected to move
from southwest to northeast along the front today and tonight
producing rain across the region. In addition an upper low
pressure system will approach from the northwest today and begin
to move across the state tonight and produce additional rain and
showers.

Short term Friday through Saturday night
By 12z Fri sfc lopres wl be ovr the gulf of maine with rain ovr srn
and cntrl zones. Cannot rule out locally heavy rain ovr downeast
areas thru 15z Fri mrng. As low heads twd the bay of fundy Fri aftn,
expect rain to slowly wind down ovr the north and west. H5 low wl
cont to spin ovr the canadian maritimes on Sat with minor
disturbances rippling thru in NW flow with contd chcs for showers.

Best chc for showers looks to be Sat aftn as upr lvl cold pool mvs
ovr cwa.

Sat wl lkly feature high temperatures similar to Friday's values
though likely warmer ovr downeast with offshore flow and less rain
expected. Expect Sat wl feature breezy conds as NW winds wl lkly
gust upwards of 30mph, especially acrs the north.

Long term Sunday through Wednesday
Sunday wl feature cont'd cyclonic flow tho upr lvl ridge axis wl
slowly build twd the northeast fm the midwest. Sun and Mon wl both
feature pleasant wx acrs the entire area with temps near to slightly
abv normal each day.

Med range guidance disagrees on the extent the ridge breaks down on
tue with operational GFS breaking it down faster than the 00z cmc
and 12z ec. 00z GFS ensemble mean is slower to break the ridge down
as well, therefore hv backed slightly off on pops drg the day tue.

By mid-week med range guidance begin to differ even more with regard
to upr lvl pattern. 00z GFS bcms more zonal and mvs wave thru
quickly with chcs for showers thru the end of the week. Meanwhile
00z cmc keeps ridge over CWA thru 00z Thu bfr breaking it down as
deep h5 trof digs into the great lks. 00z ec breaks ridge down by
00z Wed with chcs for showers thru the end of the week.

Aviation 10z Thursday through Monday
Near term: expect MVFR ifr conditions today and tonight.

Short term: ifr expected Fri morning for all terminals but
expect improvement for terminals north of hul by mid-late
morning to MVFR. Downeast terminals likely to remain ifr thru
18z Fri before slowly improving. All terminals likely to beVFR
mid-late afternoon Fri but northern terminals may see showers
sat afternoon.VFR expected all terminals into Monday under high
pressure.

Marine
Near term: have used the NAM to initialize the wind grids and
will reduce the model wind speed by 15 percent due to relatively
cold sea surface temperature. For waves: currently intermediate
period swell (1 - 2 feet 6-7 seconds) is the primary wave
system. Expect this wave group to persist today and tonight.

Long period southeasterly swell (around 1 foot 12-13 seconds)
has also been showing up in spectra from 44027 and expected this
system to also persist into tonight as a secondary wave system.

Total water level: current observations along the coast
indicate a +0.40 to +0.50 anomaly so will adjust the base tide
anomaly to +0.40 through Friday morning then slowly reduce it
over the next several days.

Short term: areas of fog likely lingering over the waters on
Friday morning. Winds and seas will remain below SCA levels
through the weekend.

Car watches warnings advisories
Me... None.

Marine... None.

Near term... Mignone
short term... Farrar
long term... Farrar
aviation... Mignone farrar
marine... Mignone farrar


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
ATGM1 - 8413320 - Bar Harbor, ME 29 mi54 min 53°F 51°F1008.3 hPa
CFWM1 - Cutler Farris Wharf, ME (8411060) 29 mi60 min SE 2.9 G 4.1 50°F 48°F1008.3 hPa
44027 33 mi82 min SE 7.8 G 7.8 49°F 49°F1 ft1009 hPa (-0.3)49°F
44034 - Buoy I0103 - Eastern Maine Shelf 41 mi68 min E 3.9 G 5.8 50°F 48°F2 ft1008.4 hPa
PSBM1 - 8410140 - Eastport, ME 45 mi60 min N 2.9 G 4.1 51°F 47°F1009.7 hPa

Wind History for Cutler Farris Wharf, ME
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Bar Harbor, Hancock County-Bar Harbor Airport, ME35 mi16 minESE 53.00 miFog/Mist56°F55°F100%1008.7 hPa

Wind History from BHB (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrS7S8S12S13SW10SW13SW12SW12--S6SW5S6S4S7S6SW5S4SE3SE3SE3S3CalmE4SE5
1 day agoS5E5S8SW8S7SW7CalmS5S4SW4SW6S9S6SW3CalmS3SW4S3SW6S6S4S7S6S7
2 days agoNW8
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654SW4SW4SW5CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmN3CalmCalmE3

Tide / Current Tables for Addison, Pleasant River, Maine
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Addison
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Thu -- 01:36 AM EDT     13.17 feet High Tide
Thu -- 04:45 AM EDT     Sunrise
Thu -- 07:40 AM EDT     Moonset
Thu -- 08:07 AM EDT     -0.13 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 02:19 PM EDT     11.58 feet High Tide
Thu -- 08:12 PM EDT     1.58 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 08:19 PM EDT     Sunset
Thu -- 10:58 PM EDT     Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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11.412.913.111.89.36.130.8-0.10.42.45.38.310.511.511.39.87.34.62.51.623.76.4

Tide / Current Tables for Milbridge, Narraguagus River, Maine
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Milbridge
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Thu -- 01:17 AM EDT     12.56 feet High Tide
Thu -- 04:46 AM EDT     Sunrise
Thu -- 07:41 AM EDT     Moonset
Thu -- 07:58 AM EDT     -0.12 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 01:59 PM EDT     11.04 feet High Tide
Thu -- 08:03 PM EDT     1.50 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 08:19 PM EDT     Sunset
Thu -- 10:58 PM EDT     Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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11.412.512.210.78.15.12.30.5-0.10.72.85.88.510.41110.48.76.33.92.21.52.146.8

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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GOES Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Wind Forecast for Caribou, ME (10,2,3,4)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Caribou, ME
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.