Tuesday, September26, 2017 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Winterport, ME

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
6/25/2017 - NOAA is having a major issue that impact the 7 day forecast load times. Many users are reporting problems. The issue has been reported.
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.

Sunrise 6:26AMSunset 6:25PM Tuesday September 26, 2017 7:08 AM EDT (11:08 UTC) Moonrise 12:40PMMoonset 10:22PM Illumination 33% Phase: Waxing Crescent; Moon at 6 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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ANZ151 Penobscot Bay- 652 Am Edt Tue Sep 26 2017
Today..SW winds around 5 kt, becoming S this afternoon. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Areas of dense fog.
Tonight..SW winds up to 10 kt, becoming se after midnight. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Areas of fog. Vsby variable to less than one quarter nm.
Wed..SE winds around 5 kt, becoming S in the afternoon. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Areas of fog in the morning. Areas of fog in the afternoon. Vsby variable to less than one quarter nm in the morning.
Wed night..SW winds 5 to 10 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Areas of fog in the evening. A chance of showers. Vsby 1 to 3 nm in the evening.
Thu..NW winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft.
Thu night..NW winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft.
Fri..NW winds 5 to 10 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft.
Fri night..N winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 to 2 ft.
Sat..N winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 to 2 ft.
Sat night..NW winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 to 2 ft.
ANZ100 652 Am Edt Tue Sep 26 2017
Synopsis for stonington me to merrimack river ma out to 25 nm.. High pressure will hold over the waters through the middle of the week. A cold front will cross the waters Thursday bringing scattered showers. Maria will pass well south and east of the region late in the week...with the only impacts being increased long period swell.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Winterport, ME
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location: 44.64, -68.84     debug


Area Discussion for - Caribou, ME
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Fxus61 kcar 261033
afdcar
area forecast discussion
national weather service caribou me
633 am edt Tue sep 26 2017

Synopsis
A weak cold front will move across northern maine this
afternoon then stall. The front will move back north in the
form of a warm front later tonight and Wednesday. A strong
cold front will cross the region Wednesday night through
early Thursday.

Near term through tonight
Update...

have issued a dense fog advisory for coastal portions of
washington and hancock counties through 10 am. Have also
updated to adjust for current conditions.

Previous discussion...

a weak cold front will move across northern maine today then
stall across central portions of the forecast area. The front
will begin to lift back north in the form of a warm front later
tonight. An isolated shower is possible across northern areas
with the weak cold front this afternoon. Otherwise, partly sunny
skies are expected across the region today along with record
setting warmth. Areas of fog are also expected across downeast
areas early this morning which could be locally dense along the
coast, with patchy fog across the remainder of the region.

Partly to mostly cloudy skies are expected across the region
tonight along with isolated scattered showers. Low clouds and
fog from the gulf of maine could again move inland across
downeast areas tonight, with patchy fog across the remainder of
the region. High temperatures today will range from the upper
70s to mid 80s north, to the upper 80s to around 90 interior
downeast with upper 70s to lower 80s along the downeast coast.

Low temperatures tonight will generally range from the mid 50s
to around 60 across the forecast area.

Short term Wednesday through Thursday
Low pressure is expected to pass to the north of new england
Wednesday and Wednesday night. A cold front will move across
the region behind the low early Thursday resulting in showers.

Scattered thunderstorms are possible ahead of the approaching
front Wednesday afternoon and evening. Hurricane maria is
expected to pass out to sea well to the south of new england
late Thursday. Showers are expected to end during the day
Thursday as the cold front moves offshore.

Long term Thursday night through Monday
A colder air mass will move across the region Friday into
Saturday as strong high pressure builds in from the west. The
high will approach from the west Sunday then crest over the
region Monday then slowly move to the east on Tuesday and
Wednesday. Dry conditions are expected from Saturday into
Wednesday under the strong high.

Aviation 12z Tuesday through Saturday
Near term: ifr to vlifr conditions are expected along the
downeast coast with low clouds and fog early this morning.

Variable conditions will occur with any fog across the remainder
of the region early this morning.VFR conditions are expected
across the region later this morning into the afternoon.

Conditions will lower to MVFR ifr levels across much of the
forecast area tonight, with lifr vlifr conditions again possible
along the downeast coast.

Short term: expect MVFRVFR conditions Wednesday into Wednesday
night.VFR conditions are expected Thursday into Saturday.

Marine
Near term: a small craft advisory for hazardous seas remains in
effect for the waters today through tonight due to a long
period south swell. Visibilities will be significantly reduced
in fog today through tonight.

Short term: have used the NAM to initialize the wind grids.

With sea surface temperature running in the mid 50s will lower
wind speed by 20 percent to account for high model bias. For
waves: long period swell from hurricane maria (6-7 feet 14
seconds) will continue to arrive on Wednesday and Thursday and
is expected to be the primary wave system across the gulf of
maine.. The eastern maine coast will be partially protected from
the storm on Wednesday but as maria moves to the east Thursday
some larger swell is possible. Longer period waves will shoal
and break in much deeper water than shorter period waves and it
is recommended that mariners exercise extra caution in shoaling
areas. A secondary southerly wind wave is expected Wednesday
which will become off-shore Thursday. Long period swell is
expected to slowly subside over the weekend. Will use the
nearshore wave prediction system (nwps) to initialize the wave
grids. Will adjust wave heights lower by 1 foot to correct
expected high bias.

Tides coastal flooding
Currently long period swell from maria which is running at
14-15 seconds 5-6 feet is entering the gulf of maine. The long
period swell is expected to persist through Wednesday as
hurricane marine moves out to sea well to the south of new
england Thursday.

Long period waves have a high impact in the surf zone, and can
run up much higher on the shore than shorter period waves
resulting in the danger of spectators being washed into the
ocean. Dangerous rip currents are also expected. A high surf
advisory will therefore be issued.

Coastal flooding or beach erosion is not expected at this time.

Car watches warnings advisories
Me... Dense fog advisory until 10 am edt this morning for mez029-030.

High surf advisory until 6 pm edt this evening for mez029-030.

Marine... Small craft advisory for hazardous seas until 8 pm edt
Wednesday for anz050>052.

Near term... Norcross
short term... Mignone
long term... Mignone
aviation... Norcross mignone
marine... Norcross mignone
tides coastal flooding... Mignone


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
ATGM1 - 8413320 - Bar Harbor, ME 38 mi50 min SSE 1.9 G 2.9 59°F 58°F1016.8 hPa
44033 - Buoy F0103 - West Penobscot Bay 41 mi124 min S 3.9 G 5.8 60°F 60°F3 ft1016 hPa
44034 - Buoy I0103 - Eastern Maine Shelf 54 mi124 min S 7.8 G 7.8 56°F 55°F6 ft1016.3 hPa

Wind History for Bar Harbor, ME
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Bangor, Bangor International Airport, ME12 mi75 minS 410.00 miMostly Cloudy63°F60°F90%1016.2 hPa

Wind History from BGR (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrCalmN3NE5E3CalmCalmSW4SE3S8S9S9S9S7S7S6S4S5S6S6S6S8S8S5S4
1 day agoCalmCalmSW3SW46W4W5SW6NW4W6S7S6S5S6SW5CalmSW3S3S3CalmS4CalmCalmCalm
2 days ago--NW3CalmSW3CalmCalmSW5NW4CalmS4SW6SW4SW3S6CalmCalmSE4CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmNW3

Tide / Current Tables for Winterport, Penobscot River, Maine
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Winterport
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Tue -- 03:26 AM EDT     10.97 feet High Tide
Tue -- 06:27 AM EDT     Sunrise
Tue -- 09:45 AM EDT     1.43 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 12:39 PM EDT     Moonrise
Tue -- 03:41 PM EDT     11.48 feet High Tide
Tue -- 06:24 PM EDT     Sunset
Tue -- 10:19 PM EDT     1.03 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 10:23 PM EDT     Moonset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
4.77.49.710.810.89.67.55.131.71.52.44.67.39.711.211.410.58.66.13.721.11.3

Tide / Current Tables for Hampden, Penobscot River, Maine
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Hampden
Click for Map
Tue -- 03:59 AM EDT     12.05 feet High Tide
Tue -- 06:27 AM EDT     Sunrise
Tue -- 09:58 AM EDT     2.07 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 12:40 PM EDT     Moonrise
Tue -- 04:10 PM EDT     12.70 feet High Tide
Tue -- 06:24 PM EDT     Sunset
Tue -- 10:22 PM EDT     Moonset
Tue -- 10:35 PM EDT     1.49 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
4.179.711.41211.49.77.14.52.72.12.74.57.19.811.812.712.310.88.35.431.71.6

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
wmap_A
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
east_satellite

GOES Local Image of Northeast    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for Caribou, ME (7,2,3,4)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Portland, ME
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.