Sunday, June25, 2017

Marine Weather and Tides
Milton, VT

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
6/25/2017 - NOAA is having a major issue that impact the 7 day forecast load times. Many users are reporting problems. The issue has been reported.
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.

Sunrise 5:07AMSunset 8:43PM Sunday June 25, 2017 11:38 PM EDT (03:38 UTC) Moonrise 6:57AMMoonset 10:04PM Illumination 4% Phase: Waxing Crescent; Moon at 2 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Milton, VT
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location: 44.64, -73.09     debug

Area Discussion for - Burlington, VT
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Fxus61 kbtv 260005
area forecast discussion
national weather service burlington vt
805 pm edt Sun jun 25 2017

Unsettled weather will continue across the region throughout the
entire week with a daily threat of showers and a few thunderstorms.

Some of the rainfall may trend heavy, especially later in the week
as a more humid airmass moves into the area. Temperatures will
remain close to seasonal early summer norms through the period.

Near term through Monday night
As of 805 pm edt Sunday... Isolated thunderstorms embedded
within scattered showers continues to affect the region this
evening. Vigorous shortwave, easily seen on water vapor imagery,
continues to progress eastward into the st lawrence valley and
will continue to produce showers and possible rumble of thunder
over the north country before weakening and exiting east after

More active weather still on tap for Monday as yet another
strong shortwave drops into the central great lakes area. Low
level surface trough boundary connecting today's shortwave (then
across the canadian maritimes) to the great lakes feature will
serve as focus for low level convergence and additional
showers isolated thunderstorms by tomorrow afternoon. Best
coverage to occur during peak heating hours of noon to 6 pm or
so before covering slowly wanes into the evening and especially
overnight hours. Low to mid level lapse rates are poorer than
today and with cooler boundary layer temperatures per 925-850 mb
progs updraft strength in convective cores will not be as
robust. Thus no strong to severe storms are expected. Highs
tomorrow mainly from the mid 60s to lower 70s with lows Monday
night from 45 to 55.

Short term Tuesday through Tuesday night
As of 400 pm edt Sunday... Strong upper level trough will cross
the area on Tuesday. Lots of clouds will keep temperatures mild
on Tuesday, highs around five to ten degrees below normal.

Temperatures aloft are even cooler which results in a bit of
instability, so have mentioned showers as well as thunderstorms
in the afternoon and evening. Cold air aloft means low wet bulb
zero heights so won't be surprised to see some small hail in any
deeper convection. Have chance for showers mentioned early
Tuesday evening across our northeastern zones but chances will
lessen overnight with upper level and surface ridging building
into the area.

Long term Wednesday through Sunday
As of 400 pm edt Sunday... The extended portion of the forecast
looks wet and near normal for temperatures. It will not be
cloudy and rainy continuously, but weather pattern is active and
there will be several rounds of precipitation, tough to find a
dry day in the next week. Upper level flow is progressive and
fast with west to east flow. Shortwaves passing through upper
level flow will enhance chance for showers and thunderstorms.

Still tough to time these shortwaves, and have continued with
previous forecaster thinking of a model blend from day to day.

Gfs and ECMWF continue to show a large upper level trough
developing to our west on Saturday, deep southerly flow develops
and brings some very moist air to the region. Temperatures will
start out slightly below seasonal normals then trend back
towards seasonal normals towards the end of the week.

Aviation 00z Monday through Friday
Through 00z Tuesday... Gradually diminishing coverage of showers
and thunderstorms this evening will leave mostlyVFR conditions
for the first half of the night. Expect vigorous shortwave to
exit east of vermont between 06z-09z early Monday morning. This
will bring an end to showers storms. Bufkit model data showing
20kts jet just off the deck, which should keep the boundary
layer mixed and inhibit fog development at kbtv, kpbg, krut.

Have included tempo for MVFR ifr conditions at kmpv and MVFR
conditions at kmss and kslk. Expect more showers at kmss
overnight to possibly bring a brief period of MVFR conditions.

At kslk and kmpv, after 07z winds may abate at the surface
allowing for brief periods of MVFR ifr conditions.

After sunrise Monday morning, winds will pick up out of the
west to northwest at 6-12kts. Lake breeze at kpbg expected to
prevail through most of the day. More showers and thunderstorms
expected to develop during the afternoon on Monday.


Monday night:VFR. Chance shra... Slight chance tsra.

Tuesday:VFR. Chance shra... Slight chance tsra.

Tuesday night:VFR. Chance shra.

Wednesday:VFR. Chance shra... Slight chance tsra.

Wednesday night:VFR. Slight chance shra.

Thursday:VFR. Likely shra.

Thursday night: MVFR. Likely shra... Slight chance tsra.

Friday:VFR MVFR. Chance shra... Slight chance tsra.

Btv watches warnings advisories
Vt... None.

Ny... None.

Synopsis... Jmg
near term... Jmg kgm
short term... Neiles
long term... Neiles
aviation... Kgm

Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
45166 13 mi38 min WSW 5.8 G 7.8 63°F 66°F55°F
45178 16 mi53 min S 7.8 58°F 64°F1012.4 hPa

Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Burlington, Burlington International Airport, VT12 mi44 minN 010.00 miPartly Cloudy62°F53°F73%1012.2 hPa
Plattsburgh International Airport , NY20 mi45 minSSW 310.00 miPartly Cloudy58°F54°F87%1012 hPa
Franklin County State Airport, VT21 mi43 minN 010.00 miPartly Cloudy56°F55°F99%1011.8 hPa

Wind History from BTV (wind in knots)
Last 24hrW4SW4S3NE3CalmNE4CalmNE3S6S6SW74SE10S5S8S6SW9N12NE9NE4N9E5S5Calm
1 day agoS9S10W9W5SE3S3S3CalmW5NW4W5NW8
2 days agoCalmS6S7SW6N3E7S4S7S6SE7S7S7S13

Tide / Current Tables for
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
IR Satellite Image from GEOS

GOES Local Image of Northeast    EDIT

Wind Forecast for Burlington, VT (23,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Burlington, VT
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

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The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.