Saturday, May25, 2019 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Honor, MI

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
10/6/2018 Colors of tide XTide graphs changed to emphasize that they were upgraded. See next note. Comments welcome.
10/4/2018 I have fixed XTide and updated the harmonic files. There were some name changes so you might have to click EDIT to find the new station name.

Sunrise 5:13AMSunset 8:21PM Saturday May 25, 2019 8:21 AM CDT (13:21 UTC) Moonrise 1:15AMMoonset 11:08AM Illumination 60% Phase: Waning Gibbous; Moon at 21 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
    EDIT      (on/off)   Help
LMZ345 Point Betsie To Sleeping Bear Point Mi- Manistee To Point Betsie Mi- 309 Am Edt Sat May 25 2019
.small craft advisory in effect from 2 pm edt this afternoon through this evening...
Today..Southwest wind 10 to 15 knots with gusts to around 25 knots. Numerous showers and scattered Thunderstorms early in the morning, then slight chance of showers in the morning. Waves 2 feet or less building to 2 to 3 feet in the afternoon.
Tonight..North wind 10 to 15 knots with gusts to around 20 knots. Slight chance of showers. Waves 2 to 3 feet.
Sunday..North wind 5 to 10 knots. Mostly Sunny. Waves 2 feet or less.
Sunday night..Light winds. Mostly clear. Waves 2 feet or less. Winds and waves higher in the vicinity of Thunderstorms. SEe the open lakes forecast for days 3 through 5.
LMZ345 Expires:201905251515;;422125 FZUS53 KAPX 250709 NSHAPX Nearshore Marine Forecast National Weather Service Gaylord MI 309 AM EDT Sat May 25 2019 For waters within five nautical miles of shore on Lakes Huron... Michigan and Superior. Waves are the significant wave height - the average of the highest 1/3 of the wave spectrum. Occasional wave height is the average of the highest 1/10 of the wave spectrum. LMZ345-346-251515-


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Honor, MI
   Hourly   EDIT   Help
location: 44.69, -86     debug


Area Discussion for - Gaylord, MI
      (on/off)   Help   NOTE: mouseover dotted underlined text for definition
Fxus63 kapx 251045
afdapx
area forecast discussion
national weather service gaylord mi
645 am edt Sat may 25 2019

Near term (today through tonight)
issued at 307 am edt Sat may 25 2019

Warmer today with chances of showers and storms...

high impact weather potential... A few strong to marginally severe
storms early this morning... With damaging winds and large hail the
primary threats.

Pattern synopsis forecast... Low pressure has reached the minnesota
canadian border early this morning. Associated warm front is lifting
thru wisconsin and lower michigan attm... Producing several areas of
showers and thunderstorms across this region. Shower and
thunderstorm activity is steadily increasing across our CWA in
response to increasing low level moisture and strengthening
instability north of the warm front. Strengthening low level jet is
certainly lending in hand in updraft organization and maintenance.

As we head into today... Warm front will continue to lift into lower
michigan very early this morning... With the upstream wind shift line
sliding thru our region by mid to late morning. Strengthening low
level jet across lower michigan coinciding with increasing
destabilization (mucapes building to 1000-1500 j kg) within the 850
mb theta E ridge axis will lend to continued development of
widespread showers and thunderstorms as the warm front lifts thru
lower michigan early this morning. SPC has dropped our area in the
general thunder category... But given the window of descent shear
that develops early this morning as the low level jet punches into
our region... Still cannot rule out an isold strong marginally severe
storm with damaging winds and large hail the primary threats.

Shower thunderstorm chances will quickly diminish after 12z as the
initial wind shift line slides thru the region during the remainder
of the morning hours.

Arrival of upstream cold front will not take place until
tonight... So ongoing WAA ahead of the cold front combined with the
potential for some sunshine this afternoon will push high temps into
the mid 70s to near 80 degrees across much of northern lower
michigan (cooler near the lakeshores). Afternoon highs in eastern
upper michigan will reach into the mid 60s to around 70 as they will
remain north of the warm front.

Associated cold front will sweep thru michigan tonight... Shifting
winds from SW to N as CAA begins. Renewed chances of showers and a
few thunderstorms will take place from NW to SE across our cwa...

beginning in the afternoon for eastern upper michigan and the
straits area and then progressing thru northern lower michigan
during the evening hours. Severe storms are not expected during this
time. Dry conditions will return overnight under partly cloudy skies
as high pressure begins to build into the region. Overnight lows
will range from the mid 40s in eastern upper michigan to the mid 50s
near saginaw bay as CAA continues.

Short term (Sunday through Monday)
issued at 307 am edt Sat may 25 2019
high impact weather potential: none
primary forecast concerns challenges: timing of precipitation Monday
afternoon evening.

Pattern synopsis forecast...

high pressure will continue to provide northern michigan with
precipitation free weather through at least early Monday. Models
differ a bit on the timing of the next precipitation threat for
Monday as an area of low pressure over the central great plains
draws gulf moisture on southerly winds to the forecast area. This
along with a warm front from aforementioned low pressure will
produce chances of showers and possibly thunderstorms as it treks
closer to northern michigan. High temperatures will be a bit cooler
Sunday as we sit on the eastern periphery of said high
pressure... Producing a northerly flow. Temperatures will warm
slightly Monday, although the increased cloudiness ahead of the warm
front will inhibit much warmer temperatures than Sunday will see.

Long term (Monday night through Friday)
issued at 307 am edt Sat may 25 2019
high impact weather potential: minimal. An overall wet and cool-ish
week ahead.

Northern michigan will remain on the northern periphery of ridging
anchored over the SE gulf coast states through at least midweek with
more of less zonal flow across the great lakes and stalled boundary
draped across the lower lakes ohio valley region. Aforementioned low
pressure ejecting out of the plains along the boundary is still
looking to bring a round of rainfall through the region Monday night
into Tuesday, with another wave and round of showers later Tuesday
into Wednesday. Longer range guidance today continues to advertise a
fairly substantial closed low and core of cold air dropping down out
of canada into the great lakes for the latter half of the week.

Guidance (ecmwf in particularly) is not quite as cold in great lakes
vs yesterdays solutions. But regardless... More shower potential
while temperatures get knocked back to several degrees below normal
to bring a close to meteorological "spring" 2019.

Aviation (for the 12z tafs through 12z Sunday morning)
issued at 645 am edt Sat may 25 2019
low pressure centered along the minnesota canadian border will
continue to push NE toward james bay today and tonight. Widespread
showers and thunderstorms that developed in advance of this system
early this morning will gradually come to an end this morning.

MVFR ifr conditions will also gradually improve toVFR as this
precip comes to a close. Winds will shift to the SW at 10 to 20
kts today and then to the NW at 10 kts tonight as the associated
cold front sweeps thru the region.

Marine
Issued at 307 am edt Sat may 25 2019
winds and waves will reach SCA criteria this afternoon into early
evening across portions of our lakes michigan and huron nearshore
areas along and ahead of an approaching front. Widespread showers
and thunderstorms will impact much of our region this morning... With
some diminish in the afternoon as the initial front slides east of
michigan. A cold front will sweep thru michigan tonight... Providing
small chances of shower and a few storms. Cooler and drier air will
filter into the region in the wake of the cold front late
tonight... With dry weather expected for Sunday.

Apx watches warnings advisories
Mi... None.

Lh... Small craft advisory from 2 pm this afternoon to 8 pm edt this
evening for lhz345-347.

Lm... Small craft advisory from 2 pm this afternoon to 8 pm edt this
evening for lmz342-344>346.

Ls... None.

Near term... Mr
short term... Tl
long term... Tl
aviation... Mr
marine... Mr


Weather Reporting Stations
   EDIT       (on/off)   Help   NOTE: Click on distance to see the station location on a map
Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
BSBM4 - Big Sable Point, MI 52 mi42 min S 11 G 16 56°F 1009.8 hPa

Wind History for Ludington, MI
(wind in knots)    EDIT      (on/off)   Help
10
AM
11
AM
12
PM
1
PM
2
PM
3
PM
4
PM
5
PM
6
PM
7
PM
8
PM
9
PM
10
PM
11
PM
12
AM
1
AM
2
AM
3
AM
4
AM
5
AM
6
AM
7
AM
8
AM
9
AM
Last
24hr
NE6
G10
E1
SW1
G5
SW1
SW2
SE6
G11
E7
G12
S6
G9
SE8
SE8
SE6
G14
SE8
G13
E10
G14
E9
G14
E8
G11
SE7
G16
E7
G12
E7
G11
E4
G8
S7
G12
S4
G12
--
S7
SW6
G12
1 day
ago
SW4
G7
SW4
G7
SW5
G12
SW4
G8
SW4
G10
SW5
G11
SW2
G7
SW3
G8
SW3
SW2
SW2
SW2
NW3
G6
W3
G6
SW1
W1
NE1
NE1
--
E2
N4
NE3
E3
E5
2 days
ago
SE12
G18
SE9
G17
SE9
G17
SE7
G12
SE7
G19
S7
G12
S7
G17
S9
G13
S15
G23
S15
G22
S13
G21
S14
G22
S19
G25
S10
G16
SW13
G16
S14
G20
S18
G25
S15
G19
S16
G22
SW10
G15
W4
G7
SW5
G13
SW5
G9

Airport Reports
    EDIT      (on/off)   Help   Click EDIT to display multiple airports
AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Frankfort, Frankfort Dow Memorial Field Airport, MI12 mi27 minWSW 610.00 miMostly Cloudy70°F63°F81%1008.8 hPa
Cherry Capital Airport, MI22 mi29 minS 610.00 miMostly Cloudy67°F64°F91%1007.3 hPa

Wind History from FKS (wind in knots)
10
AM
11
AM
12
PM
1
PM
2
PM
3
PM
4
PM
5
PM
6
PM
7
PM
8
PM
9
PM
10
PM
11
PM
12
AM
1
AM
2
AM
3
AM
4
AM
5
AM
6
AM
7
AM
8
AM
9
AM
Last 24hrE3E6NE3SE3CalmCalmS7SE6SE5CalmS5CalmSE6SE7SE6
G14
SE7SE7SE11SE10
G14
N4SE5CalmCalmSE3
1 day agoW6W12
G19
W10
G14
W12
G19
W8
G15
W9W11
G18
W10
G15
SW6
G14
W11
G16
W11
G16
W5NW9N6N3CalmN3CalmNE4CalmCalmCalmCalmCalm
2 days agoS5
G16
SE11
G18
SE11
G18
SE9SE11
G19
SE13
G17
SE14
G19
SE11
G14
SE6SE7SE6SE4SE5S5S6S14
G25
S13
G19
S15
G27
S12
G20
SW6S9
G14
W4CalmSW4

Tide / Current Tables for
   EDIT   Weekend mode (on/off)   (on/off)   Help
Tide / Current Tables for
   EDIT      (on/off)   Help
Weather Map and Satellite Images
       (on/off)   HelpWeather Map
wmap_A
GOES Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Gaylord, MI (9,2,3,4)
      (on/off)   Help

Ground Weather Radar Station Gaylord, MI
   (on/off)   Help
weather_mapweather_map weather_map

Ad by Google

Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.