Saturday, February24, 2018 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Brewer, ME

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
6/25/2017 - NOAA is having a major issue that impact the 7 day forecast load times. Many users are reporting problems. The issue has been reported.
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.

Sunrise 6:18AMSunset 5:18PM Saturday February 24, 2018 1:01 PM EST (18:01 UTC) Moonrise 12:30PMMoonset 2:44AM Illumination 70% Phase: Waxing Gibbous; Moon at 9 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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ANZ151 Penobscot Bay- 1157 Am Est Sat Feb 24 2018
Rest of today..W winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming nw 10 to 15 kt this afternoon. Seas 1 to 2 ft.
Tonight..NW winds 5 to 15 kt, becoming ne 10 to 15 kt after midnight. Seas 1 to 2 ft.
Sun..E winds 10 to 20 kt, becoming se 15 to 20 kt in the afternoon. Gusts up to 30 kt. Seas 1 to 2 ft, building to 2 to 3 ft in the afternoon. Snow likely in the morning, then rain or snow in the afternoon with vsby 1 to 3 nm.
Sun night..E winds 10 to 20 kt with gusts up to 30 kt, becoming ne 5 to 10 kt after midnight. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Rain in the evening with vsby 1 to 3 nm.
Mon..NW winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming W in the afternoon. Seas 1 to 2 ft.
Mon night..NW winds 5 to 10 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Seas 1 to 2 ft in the evening, then 1 foot or less.
Tue..W winds 5 to 10 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Seas 1 foot or less.
Tue night..W winds 5 to 10 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft.
Wed..W winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas around 2 ft.
Wed night..N winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 to 2 ft.
ANZ100 1157 Am Est Sat Feb 24 2018
Synopsis for stonington me to merrimack river ma out to 25 nm.. A cold front will drop in through the region today with high pressure to follow. Low pressure will intensify and move over the western great lakes on Sunday morning sending complex frontal systems to the eastern seaboard. At the same time, a secondary area of low pressure will form over long island new york Sunday afternoon. This system will cross through the gulf of maine Sunday night. High pressure will then slowly build towards the mid atlantic coast Monday and Tuesday. A weak front will move cross the waters Wednesday. A storm will then likely form over the coastal waters south of new england late in the week.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Brewer, ME
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location: 44.8, -68.77     debug


Area Discussion for - Caribou, ME
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Fxus61 kcar 241727
afdcar
area forecast discussion
national weather service caribou me
1227 pm est Sat feb 24 2018

Synopsis
High pressure will build across the area through tonight. Low
pressure will cross north of the region later Sunday into
Sunday night. High pressure will then build back in through mid
week.

Near term through tonight
1230 pm update...

winds continue to gust out of the NW this aftn as 1025mb high
building east fm canada. Updated temps and dwpt values and
bumped sky cvr into this evng but no other chgs needed at this
time.

Previous discussion
northwest flow can be expected today as high pressure builds
east from central canada. Mainly cloudy skies this morning will
give way to partly to mainly sunny skies this afternoon. High
temperatures will range from the mid to upper 30s north and mid
to upper 40s down east. High pressure will build to our north
tonight with mainly clear skies followed by increasing high
clouds late. This will result in some radiational cooling
potential across the north tonight as high clouds will not reach
there until toward daybreak Sunday. Thus have leaned a bit
colder for lows across the far north for tonight where lows will
generally range from 5 below to 5 above zero. Elsewhere, across
central and down east, lows will range from the low to mid
teens as thicker cloud cover will reach this area earlier in the
night, limiting much in the way of any radiational cooling
potential.

Short term Sunday through Monday night
After a fair and chilly start to the day, model guidance has
been consistent with the idea of another warm occlusion system
apchg the rgn from the W later Sun and crossing the area sun
ngt. The primary low tracks well N of our rgn while the triple
point low tracks sig S of the rgn. Deep layer moisture ahead of
the occluded front between these two lows will result in a
rapid increase in cldnss late Mon morn into aftn, with sn
breaking out by mid aftn. This deep moisture band, however, will
quickly move out of the rgn by late eve, limiting snfl
potential spcly ovr ERN ptns of the rgn where the band will have
weakened traversing from WRN ptns of the fa.

Persistent supercooled low cldnss in the immediate wake of the
occluded front will likely bring intermittent fzdz to the rgn
inland of the downeast coast later Sun ngt into erly Mon morn
with abv fzg temps resulting in drizzle alg the immediate coast.

Low clds and fzdz dz will dissipate later Mon morn with skies
becoming prtly to msly sunny Mon aftn, with sig abv fzg, mild
hi temps. Fair and mild conditions will cont Mon ngt.

Long term Tuesday through Friday
A developing blocking pattern is xpctd ovr NE can durg the long
term, with S wvs from upper midwest great lks S cntrl can movg
ese, msly S or affecting the SRN periphery of the fa. MAX pop
chcs have been kept in the slgt to low chc range for now durg
this tm frame with this update given the potential of at or
below normal precip, until we get better model confirmation of a
more coherent event worthy of higher pops as we get closer to
this pd. With little on the way of arctic air available, both hi
and low temps will be milder than seasonal norms during the long
term.

Aviation 18z Saturday through Thursday
Near term:VFR next 24 hours as lowVFR CIGS dissipate with
building high pressure around 00z. Next system affect bgr and
bhb very late in the TAF period with a return ofVFR CIGS after
16z. NW winds gust to near 16-20kts this afternoon bfr
diminishing this evening.

Short to long term: initiallyVFR all TAF sites into erly aftn,
then lowering to ifr in sn Sun aftn and eve, with a rn sn mix
possible downeast sites. Cont'd ifr in sn Sun eve across NRN taf
sites, transitioning to lgt fzdz ovrngt Sun while downeast sites
xprnc sn, rn, and possible fzdz. All sites becomeVFR again mon
morn and cont so thru wed.

Marine
Near term: expect another SCA will need to be issued for sun
aftn as winds increase to AOA 25kts.

Short to long term: winds and seas will increase back to sca
conditions Sun aftn into Sun ngt ahead of and with the passage
of low pres S of the waters. Winds and seas will then gradually
subside below SCA thresholds on Mon and cont below SCA Tue and
wed. Kept close to a blend of ww3 and nwps WV guidance for these
ptns of the fcst.

Car watches warnings advisories
Me... None.

Marine... None.

Near term... Duda farrar
short term... Vjn
long term... Vjn
aviation... Duda farrar vjn
marine... Duda farrar vjn


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
ATGM1 - 8413320 - Bar Harbor, ME 41 mi44 min NNW 22 G 27 45°F 38°F1015.3 hPa
44033 - Buoy F0103 - West Penobscot Bay 53 mi118 min NW 12 G 16 44°F 37°F2 ft1016.9 hPa

Wind History for Bar Harbor, ME
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Bangor, Bangor International Airport, ME3 mi69 minNW 12 G 1810.00 miMostly Cloudy46°F27°F47%1016 hPa

Wind History from BGR (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrS11S8S9S11S9S7S5S10S12S11S11
G16
S10S6SW4SW5SW6SW5CalmW4W7W5NW9NW12
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1 day agoNW5NW4NW7NW7CalmCalmNW4N3N6NW5N3N3CalmCalmN4N3N3CalmNE3SE4SE4SE7SE7S5
2 days agoS9S8S8W5W11
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G25
NW14NW18NW15NW10NW12NW11NW11NW9NW10N8N5N53N4

Tide / Current Tables for Bangor, Penobscot River, Maine
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Bangor
Click for Map
Sat -- 01:44 AM EST     Moonset
Sat -- 05:10 AM EST     14.40 feet High Tide
Sat -- 06:21 AM EST     Sunrise
Sat -- 11:30 AM EST     Moonrise
Sat -- 11:52 AM EST     0.45 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 05:15 PM EST     Sunset
Sat -- 05:39 PM EST     13.04 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
1.73.96.18.612.114.313.310.897.14.31.40.51.83.85.88.912.312.810.99.17.95.72.8

Tide / Current Tables for South Orrington, Penobscot River, Maine
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South Orrington
Click for Map
Sat -- 01:44 AM EST     Moonset
Sat -- 05:02 AM EST     13.03 feet High Tide
Sat -- 06:21 AM EST     Sunrise
Sat -- 11:31 AM EST     Moonrise
Sat -- 11:32 AM EST     0.18 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 05:16 PM EST     Sunset
Sat -- 05:47 PM EST     11.49 feet High Tide
Sat -- 11:49 PM EST     0.90 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
1.94.17.110.112.21312.410.67.84.61.90.40.31.63.96.89.411.111.510.68.763.21.4

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
wmap_A
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
east_satellite

GOES Local Image of Northeast    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for Caribou, ME (13,3,4,5)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Caribou, ME
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.