Wednesday, June28, 2017 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Little Sturgeon, WI

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
6/25/2017 - NOAA is having a major issue that impact the 7 day forecast load times. Many users are reporting problems. The issue has been reported.
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.

Sunrise 5:08AMSunset 8:42PM Wednesday June 28, 2017 9:08 PM CDT (02:08 UTC) Moonrise 10:27AMMoonset 12:00AM Illumination 25% Phase: Waxing Crescent; Moon at 5 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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LMZ522 Green Bay South Of Line From Cedar River To Rock Island Passage And North Of A Line From Oconto Wi To Little Sturgeon Bay Wi- Green Bay South Of Line From Oconto Wi To Little Sturgeon Bay Wi- 413 Pm Cdt Wed Jun 28 2017
.small craft advisory in effect through late tonight...
Tonight..S wind 15 to 25 kts veering sw. Waves 3 to 5 ft subsiding to 1 to 3 ft after midnight. Periods of showers and Thunderstorms in the evening, then scattered showers and isolated Thunderstorms after midnight.
Thursday..W wind 10 to 20 kts. Waves 1 to 2 ft. A slight chance of showers in the morning.
Thursday night..NW wind 10 to 15 kts. Waves 2 ft or less. Mostly cloudy.
Friday..NW wind 5 to 10 kts veering ne mid-day, then veering E early in the afternoon. Waves 2 ft or less. A chance of showers.
LMZ522 Expires:201706290430;;969991 FZUS53 KGRB 282113 NSHGRB Nearshore Marine Forecast National Weather Service Green Bay WI 413 PM CDT Wed Jun 28 2017 For waters within five nautical miles of shore on Lake Michigan LMZ521-522-290430-

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Little Sturgeon, WI
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location: 44.8, -87.62     debug


Area Discussion for - Green Bay, WI
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Fxus63 kgrb 282343
afdgrb
area forecast discussion
national weather service green bay wi
643 pm cdt Wed jun 28 2017
updated aviation portion for 00z TAF issuance

Update
Issued at 640 pm cdt Wed jun 28 2017
late aftn runs of hrrr showed hints of storm evolution that we are
seeing presently. Two areas of convection formed, west and south
of grb service area. Southern bow echo will be main show, with
more scattered storms in west-central wisconsin. Most short-term
models continue this trend with western convection gradually
weakening and southern storms staying south.

Short term Tonight and Thursday
issued at 240 pm cdt Wed jun 28 2017
it's still tough to get a firm grasp on the severe potential late
today and this evening. Rain persists across much of the area,
though it is diminishing from the west. Mid-level dry slot is
pushing into western wisconsin, but convection continues to fire
at the nose of the dry slot. Will stick with convective scenario
set forth in the previous afd and mid-day hwo. Storms are likely
to develop over west-central and northwest wisconsin during the
middle to late this afternoon, and push across the forecast area
this evening. A separate band of storms developing over southeast
minnesota and northeast iowa may graze the southern part of the
forecast area earlier. The late-day evening storms will pose a
risk of damaging winds and large hail. The risk of tornadoes will
also be present, mainly with any storms near the warm front
lifting into the area.

Tapered pops down later tonight, though isolated showers could
linger well past midnight. Gusty west winds are expected Thursday.

Stuck with dry forecast for most of the area, but went with a
chance of showers across the north.

Long term Thursday night through Wednesday
issued at 240 pm cdt Wed jun 28 2017
the weather pattern will remain busy at least through the weekend,
though there are indications that quieter conditions will finally
occur next week. Will use a multi-model blend for much of this
forecast.

Thursday night through Saturday... Conditions will start out quiet on
Thursday night as weak high pressure will initially be present. But
will then see clouds increase late when low pressure moves into
iowa. With lift increasing ahead of the low, showers could push
into central and east-central wi by sunrise. The models are
trending weaker and further south with the system for Friday.

Scattered light showers will remain possible, but heavier rainfall
looks to occur south of the area. Will keep a slight chance of
thunderstorms across the southern 2 rows of counties, though not
confident that thunderstorms will reach this far north. Skies should
partially clear behind the system for late Friday night into
Saturday morning. However, upper troughing will remain overhead,
which should lead to scattered showers and isolated storms popping
up with heating on Saturday. No significant changes to temps.

Rest of the forecast... Sunday is looking like the better day of the
weekend. A shortwave trough will be dropping southeast across the
lake superior region and most likely will not have much impact on
our sensible weather. However, it could provide a few showers to
the region on Sunday night as it pushes a cold front south over the
state. As it stands now, early to middle of next week looks
relatively quiet with high pressure in control.

Aviation For 00z TAF issuance
issued at 640 pm cdt Wed jun 28 2017
showers still expected this evening, with isolated thunderstorms
still possible. Occasional ifr ceilings for a time, but improving
conditions after 12z. In addition, llws expected until system
moves through overnight.

Grb watches warnings advisories
Beach hazards statement through Thursday morning for wiz022-040-
050.

Aviation update. Jkl
short term... .. Skowronski
long term... ... Mpc


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
45014 7 mi38 min S 18 G 19 65°F 1003.7 hPa
MN4 - 9087088 - Menominee, MI 21 mi50 min SSE 12 G 14 1003.2 hPa
KWNW3 - 9087069- Kewaunee, WI 24 mi50 min S 16 G 20 57°F 1004.5 hPa
CBRW3 - Chambers Island, WI 31 mi88 min SE 6 G 11 61°F 1005.1 hPa
NPDW3 - Northport Pier at Death's Door WI 48 mi68 min SSE 11 G 16 60°F 1005.4 hPa (-2.4)

Wind History for Menominee, MI
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Door County Cherryland Airport, WI14 mi72 minS 17 G 246.00 miFog/Mist61°F60°F97%1006.2 hPa
Menominee - Marinette Twin County Airport, MI22 mi72 minSSE 54.00 miFog/Mist62°F60°F93%1005.9 hPa

Wind History from SUE (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrS7S6S7S7S9S7--S9S8S9S15
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1 day agoCalmS3SW4SW4SW5W5W3W3------NW6W5N64W7W8SW10SE11S8S9SE6S5S6
2 days agoW9W10NW12W8
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W11--W9
G14
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G16
W10NW9NW8N10N9NW8W4Calm

Tide / Current Tables for
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
wmap_A
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
east_satellite

GOES Local Image of GreatLakes    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for Green Bay, WI (22,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Green Bay, WI
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.