Wednesday, October18, 2017

Marine Weather and Tides
Lincoln Beach, OR

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
6/25/2017 - NOAA is having a major issue that impact the 7 day forecast load times. Many users are reporting problems. The issue has been reported.
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.

Sunrise 7:32AMSunset 6:23PM Wednesday October 18, 2017 9:52 AM PDT (16:52 UTC) Moonrise 5:16AMMoonset 5:23PM Illumination 3% Phase: Waning Crescent; Moon at 28 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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PZZ255 Coastal Waters From Cascade Head To Florence Or Out 10 Nm- 909 Am Pdt Wed Oct 18 2017
.gale warning in effect from 2 pm pdt this afternoon through Thursday morning...
Today..S wind 20 to 25 kt. Gusts to 35 kt in the afternoon. Wind waves S 6 ft at 7 seconds. Combined seas 8 ft dominant period 10 seconds building to 12 ft in the afternoon. Chance of rain.
Tonight..S wind 25 to 30 kt. Gusts to 35 kt, becoming 40 kt after midnight. Combined seas 15 ft dominant period 11 seconds. Chance of rain in the evening, then rain after midnight.
Thu..S wind 20 to 25 kt with gusts to 30 kt, becoming sw 15 to 20 kt in the afternoon. Wind waves sw 5 ft at 7 seconds. W swell 14 ft at 11 seconds, building to 18 ft at 16 seconds in the afternoon. Rain in the morning, then showers in the afternoon.
Thu night..SW wind 10 to 15 kt. Gusts to 20 kt after midnight. Wind waves sw 3 ft at 5 seconds. W swell 20 ft at 17 seconds. Showers and a slight chance of tstms.
Fri..SW wind 10 to 15 kt. Gusts to 20 kt in the morning. Wind waves sw 3 ft at 5 seconds. W swell 18 ft at 15 seconds. Showers.
Fri night..SW wind 10 to 15 kt, becoming S 20 to 25 kt with gusts to 30 kt after midnight. Wind waves S 5 ft at 6 seconds. W swell 14 ft at 15 seconds. Rain.
Sat..S wind 20 to 25 kt. Wind waves 7 ft. W swell 14 ft.
Sun..S wind 10 to 15 kt. Wind waves 3 ft. W swell 13 ft.
PZZ200 909 Am Pdt Wed Oct 18 2017
Synopsis for southern washington and northern oregon coast.. Gales today and tonight as a warm front lifts north through the coastal waters today, followed by a cold front tonight moving se across the waters. A trough of low pres will linger over the waters Thu, then a weak ridge of high pres builds in Fri. A west to nw swell arriving Thu brings seas to 20 ft for Thu afternoon through Thu night. Another strong frontal system arrives Fri night and Sat.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Lincoln Beach, OR
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location: 44.86, -124.04     debug

Area Discussion for - Portland, OR
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Fxus66 kpqr 181035
area forecast discussion
national weather service portland or
334 am pdt Wed oct 18 2017

Synopsis A series of progressively moister fronts bring a
prolonged period of wet weather through next weekend. Breezy
conditions are expected today and Thursday as well as periods of
heavy rain. Snow levels will lower to near the cascade passes Friday
and Saturday. A ridge building in early next week may dry us out for
a period of mild, dry weather.

Short term Today through Friday... We are currently in a break
between systems, but the next round can be seen on radar off the
coast of washington. Rain will make it to the north oregon south
washington coast this morning, but inland may stay mostly dry,
especially in oregon, with a bit higher chance of precipitation in
inland washington. Models show a breezy day in store for today, with
the strongest winds in along beaches and headlands north of cascade
head, and in the willapa hills and north oregon coast range. Have
upgraded the high wind watches to high wind warnings to reflect
increasing confidence in winds up to 60 mph today.

This evening, expect the trailing cold front to start to creep
southeastward into our area, bringing substantial rain across our
forecast area tonight through Thursday. The high amount of available
moisture provides greater confidence that rain will be heavy at
times. This cold front stalls as it moves across our area, bringing
heavy rain on and off through the day on Thursday. An additional 1 to
3 inches of rain is possible for the higher terrain of SW washington
and north oregon Wednesday night through Thursday evening. Other
areas (including lane county) can expect 0.75 to 1.5 inch of rain.

The cold front will also bring a period of gusty winds to the region.

The winds will not be as strong as Wednesday but will become
noticeable in most areas.

The trailing upper-level trough will continue showers Thursday night
into Friday behind the cold front. These showers will be more
unstable Thursday night into early Friday along the coast, with the
possibility for a thunderstorm or two over the coastal waters or
along our coastline. Snow levels will be lower, near the cascade
passes as well Thursday night into Friday. The higher cascades could
see 4 to 8 inches of new snow Thursday night through Friday
afternoon. Localized spots near the passes could see 1 to 3 inches
of snow. those travelling through the cascades on Friday should be
prepared to encounter some snow on the passes. -mccoy

Long term Friday night through Tuesday... .Snow levels will start
to rise as Saturday approaches. Another frontal system will start to
pass through the region on Saturday, which has the potential to bring
another round of significant rain into the area, possibly even more
than we see with the system on Thursday. Expect gusty winds
especially along the coast and in the higher terrain of the coast
range through Saturday. Models show this system stalling over our
area, with the trailing cold front not moving through until as late
as Sunday evening or early Monday. Timing and location of heaviest
rainfall may continue to change with future updates, so those with
plans this weekend should keep an eye on the forecast as this weekend

Going into early next week, upper-level ridging starts to build into
the pacific northwest, bringing us an extended break in the rain.

Temperatures climb back up into the 60s as well, but because of all
the recent rain temperatures will be hampered by morning fog. Expect
dry weather to continue through Tuesday. -mccoy

Aviation MVFR stratus predominant flight conditions early this
morning. Ifr fog has diminished as overrunning clouds from
approaching warm moves in to the area. There is also a little
more wind. Ifr CIGS or fog may still continue for the next
several hours however.

A warm front lifting across our northern sites Wednesday morning
should result in more persistent ifr and MVFR conditions as
light rain spreads across the area. The warm front lifts north of
taf site late morning and increasing southerly winds should bring
MVFR toVFR conditions across the area inland. Coastal areas
will probably be mostly MVFR all day.

Kpdx and approaches... MVFR is expected to be the predominant
flight category through this morning. However there's still a
possibility of ifr conditions in the area early this morning and
with rain associated with a warm front later this morning. Should
see a trend toVFR by late morning or early afternoon as the warm
front lifts north of the area. Additionally, south winds
increase around 18z with gusts pushing 25 kt at times in the
afternoon. Mh

Marine A warm front will lift northeastward across the
northern waters this morning to bring gale force southerly wind
gusts of 35 to 40 kt into the northern waters in morning before
gradually filling in across the central oregon waters later in
the day. A trailing cold front will then drop southeastward and
bring an end to the gale force winds late this evening across
the northern waters and towards daybreak on Thursday across the
central oregon waters. In addition, coastal jet development will
likely produce locally stronger wind gusts of 45 kt within 10 nm
of the coast. Either way, the strong winds should allow seas to
climb into at least the mid teens across the waters.

Winds will likely drop into low end small craft advisory criteria
behind the front, which should allow seas to drop into the low
teens early Thursday. However, this decrease in the seas will
likely be short lived as a large westerly swell of 20 to 22 ft
with periods of 15 to 17 seconds appears likely to impact the
waters beginning midday Thursday. High surf advisories will
likely be needed. An additional storm system capable of producing
at least gale force wind gusts appears on track for either late
Friday or Saturday as well. Mh neuman

Pqr watches warnings advisories
Or... High wind warning from noon today to 11 pm pdt this evening for
coast range of northwest oregon-north oregon coast.

Wa... High wind warning from noon today to 11 pm pdt this evening for
south washington coast-willapa hills.

Pz... Gale warning until 11 pm pdt this evening for coastal waters
from CAPE shoalwater wa to cascade head or out 10 nm-
waters from CAPE shoalwater wa to cascade head or from 10
to 60 nm.

Gale warning from 2 pm this afternoon to 9 am pdt Thursday for
coastal waters from cascade head to florence or out 10 nm-
waters from cascade head to florence or from 10 to 60 nm.

Small craft advisory for rough columbia river bar until 6 am
pdt early this morning.

Small craft advisory for rough columbia river bar from 2 pm
this afternoon to 3 am pdt Thursday.

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Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
NWPO3 - Newport, OR 17 mi53 min S 17 G 21 55°F 1015 hPa (-1.1)
46050 - STONEWALL BANKS - 20NM West of Newport, OR 28 mi43 min S 19 G 25 54°F 55°F1014.1 hPa54°F
TLBO3 - 9437540 - Garibaldi, Tillamook Bay, OR 48 mi53 min 53°F1013.3 hPa (-1.9)

Wind History for South Beach, Yaquina River, OR
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1 day
2 days

Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Newport, Newport Municipal Airport, OR19 mi78 minS 13 G 1910.00 miOvercast55°F53°F94%1016.3 hPa

Wind History from ONP (wind in knots)
Last 24hrS11S10S11
1 day agoCalmN5NW7NW8NW8N10N11
2 days agoE3CalmE4NW7N9N10N11N9N7N6CalmCalmCalmE3CalmCalmCalmCalmE5CalmN4E4E4E4

Tide / Current Tables for Kernville, Siletz River, Oregon
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Wed -- 12:30 AM PDT     5.51 feet High Tide
Wed -- 06:15 AM PDT     Moonrise
Wed -- 07:01 AM PDT     0.52 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 07:36 AM PDT     Sunrise
Wed -- 12:46 PM PDT     6.09 feet High Tide
Wed -- 06:22 PM PDT     Moonset
Wed -- 06:25 PM PDT     Sunset
Wed -- 07:36 PM PDT     0.23 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

Tide / Current Tables for Newport, Yaquina Bay and River, Oregon
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Wed -- 05:50 AM PDT     0.84 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 06:15 AM PDT     Moonrise
Wed -- 07:36 AM PDT     Sunrise
Wed -- 12:06 PM PDT     8.22 feet High Tide
Wed -- 06:22 PM PDT     Moonset
Wed -- 06:25 PM PDT     0.36 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 06:25 PM PDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
IR Satellite Image from GEOS

GOES Local Image of PacificNorthwest    EDIT

Wind Forecast for Portland, OR (12,3,4,5)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Portland, OR
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The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.