Saturday, February23, 2019 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Bangor, ME

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
10/6/2018 Colors of tide XTide graphs changed to emphasize that they were upgraded. See next note. Comments welcome.
10/4/2018 I have fixed XTide and updated the harmonic files. There were some name changes so you might have to click EDIT to find the new station name.

Sunrise 6:21AMSunset 5:15PM Saturday February 23, 2019 4:09 PM EST (21:09 UTC) Moonrise 11:22PMMoonset 9:52AM Illumination 80% Phase: Waning Gibbous; Moon at 19 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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ANZ151 Penobscot Bay- 222 Pm Est Sat Feb 23 2019
.storm watch in effect from Monday morning through late Monday night...
Tonight..SW winds up to 10 kt, becoming se with gusts up to 20 kt after midnight. Seas 1 foot or less.
Sun..SE winds 10 to 20 kt with gusts up to 30 kt, increasing to 20 to 30 kt with gusts up to 45 kt in the afternoon. Seas around 2 ft, building to 3 to 5 ft in the afternoon. Snow. Rain in the afternoon. Vsby 1 to 3 nm.
Sun night..S winds 20 to 30 kt with gusts up to 45 kt, becoming W 15 to 25 kt with gusts up to 35 kt after midnight. Seas 4 to 6 ft. Rain in the evening. Vsby 1 to 3 nm.
Mon..W winds 20 to 30 kt, increasing to 30 to 40 kt in the afternoon. Seas 3 to 5 ft.
Mon night..NW winds 30 to 40 kt with gusts up to 50 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Heavy freezing spray.
Tue..NW winds 25 to 35 kt with gusts up to 45 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Heavy freezing spray.
Tue night..NW winds 20 to 30 kt with gusts up to 40 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Heavy freezing spray.
Wed..NW winds 15 to 25 kt with gusts up to 35 kt. Seas around 2 ft. Moderate freezing spray.
Wed night..W winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 25 kt. Seas 1 foot or less. Moderate freezing spray.
Thu..NW winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 25 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Light freezing spray.
Thu night..NW winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 25 kt. Seas 1 foot or less. Light freezing spray.
ANZ100 222 Pm Est Sat Feb 23 2019
Synopsis for stonington me to merrimack river ma out to 25 nm.. High pressure will slowly shift east of the waters tonight before strong low pressure moves into the great lakes on Sunday...with a secondary low forming over the gulf of maine Sunday night. This low will strengthen rapidly as it moves into the canadian maritimes on Monday with widespread gales and possibly storm force winds out of the west behind it. These winds will very gradually subside through Tuesday and Wednesday as high pressure builds into the region from the west. &&


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Bangor, ME
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location: 44.86, -69     debug


Area Discussion for - Caribou, ME
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Fxus61 kcar 232057
afdcar
area forecast discussion
national weather service caribou me
357 pm est Sat feb 23 2019

Synopsis
High pressure will move east this evening while low pressure
approaches from the great lakes later tonight. A second low is
to develop along the maine and intensify as moves to the
northeast Sunday through Monday.

Near term through tonight
Increasing clouds can be expected overnight ahead of our next
storm system approaching from the west. Could be a few hours of
radiational cooling this evening, especially across the north,
before clouds move in late tonight and temperatures begin to
stabilize. Have gone a few degrees colder than guidance across
the north overnight.

Short term Sunday through Monday night
Snow will begin to overspread the area mid-Sunday morning, with
much of the state under precip by early afternoon. Much remains
on track with prev forecast, just went a little slower with pop
onset. Deterministic trends have pushed center of parent low
further west with time since yesterday, not giving the coastal
development as much northerly velocity. This tones down a bit on
the aforementioned convergence supporting longer period of snow
in the north, but balances out with quicker closed
intensification of coastal low.

All areas will begin as snow, with a transition to rain
downeast. Exit region of mid-level jet streak remains poised to
promote strengthening of coastal low Sunday evening. This low
will track along the coast into downeast maine Sunday evening
and overnight. The low will allow cold air to remain in place
across the north, limiting the northern extent of warm air
advection. Downeast will see light snow accumulation before the
transition to rain. If the surface low took a more southerly
track, cooler air would be in place to hold on to more snow, but
guidance is in good agreement of tracking the low from portland
to around danforth. Precip totals will see about an inch of qpf
downeast with help from coastal front, with widespread three-
quarters across rest of fa. As mentioned above, no large changes
in snowfall forecast.

Beside widespread precip affecting Sunday afternoon and evening
travel, wind will be another factor, especially along coast.

There is potential for around a 6-hour period of high wind gusts
along the hancock and washington county coast and waters sun
evening. Strong LLJ associated with the intensification of
coastal low will ramp up with 925 and surface wind vectors
nearly parallel. High winds within a stable low-level layer
could be brought down to surface, especially with rain ongoing
along the coast. As a result, a high wind watch has been issued
where winds could gust to 55 to 60 mph, especially along
immediate coast and higher elevations. Low will exit to NE and
related winds will slacken.

With passage of low, winds will slacken Sunday night across the
fa. Flow will shift NW and again winds ramp up with shortwave
entering longwave pattern over the great lakes. Winds will
possibly remain elevated for a longer duration, from Monday
afternoon into Wednesday afternoon in the long term. Will hold
off on headlines at this time, but gusts could reach 45 mph,
especially across higher terrain.

Long term Tuesday through Friday
As stated by the midnight crew, the strong pressure gradient
around the intense low in newfoundland will continue through
Tuesday night. This will produce strong gusty NW winds leading
considerable blowing and drifting of the snow across the
northern 1 2 of the region. Gust potential of up to 45 mph and
even higher across the higher terrain is expected. This is
supported by the long range guidance including the gfs ECMWF and
canadian global. An upper trof will allow for some snow showers
or light snow W some minor accumulations. All being said,
conditions do look to be rough for travel and snow removal. The
gfs and ECMWF both show 925mb temps hitting AOB -25 c and
perhaps lower Tuesday night into Wednesday morning. Very cold
temps coming in the NW winds will in turn lead to dangerously
cold wind chills.

Conditions look like they finally start to improve during the
day on Wednesday although winds could still be gusting to around
25 mph as that low slowly pulls away. Continued very cold and
w sustained winds expected to stay up, wind chills could be an
issue once again especially Wednesday night. The ECMWF wants to
keep winds up holding the low in bit longer. The GFS on the
other hand, wants to bring the high pres in quicker from canada.

Decided on a blend and some wind into Wednesday night at around
10 mph. Daytime temps are expected to run well below normal for
late february throughout the region. Could be looking at a very
cold night Wednesday night as high pres works it way into the
region and winds drop off. The very cold air in place, deep
snowpack, light winds along W some clearing are the recipe for
cold temps W many sites going below 0f especially from maine
central highlands northward. Another low pres system forecast to
apch the region from the W on Thursday. The GFS and some its
ensemble members show this system bringing a light snowfall to
the bangor and downeast region. The ECMWF is further S W this
system and keep the CWA dry as it matches W a number of its
ensemble members. Attm, decided to go W the blend of the
guidance and brought in 20% pops to the downeast region. A
moderation in the airmass is expected by the end of the week.

Aviation 20z Saturday through Thursday
Near term:VFR conditions tonight. Widespread ifr developing
Sunday morning all terminals in developing snow Sunday with
ifr continuing through Sunday afternoon.

Short term: ifr across TAF sites as precip onsets Sunday
morning. Snow overspreads, transitioning to rain downeast.

Northern sites will see ifr or lifr into Monday. MVFR will be
possible into Wed as low stratus effects northern sites. Gusty
winds Mon evening will increase possibility for blowing snow
across sites in north, continuing through Tuesday evening.

Conditions improve Wed into thurs toVFR.

Marine
Near term: winds seas will remain below headline levels
overnight.

Short term: precipitation will overspread area Sunday morning,
with increasing winds. Highest winds will occur with passage of
surface low pressure Sunday evening associated with storm watch.

Winds slacken briefly Sunday night before coming up Monday
through Tuesday and possibly into Wednesday. Waves will build
and remain elevated through Tuesday morning, 10-12 ft.

Car watches warnings advisories
Me... Winter storm warning from 10 am Sunday to 7 am est Monday for
mez001>006-010-011-031-032.

Winter weather advisory from 10 am Sunday to 7 am est Monday
for mez015>017.

High wind watch from 4 pm Sunday to 11 pm Sunday for
mez029-030.

Marine... Storm watch from Monday afternoon through late Monday
night for anz050>052.

Near term... Duda
short term... Cornwell
long term... Cornwell hewitt
aviation... Duda cornwell
marine... Duda cornwell


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
ATGM1 - 8413320 - Bar Harbor, ME 53 mi39 min 34°F 33°F1027.9 hPa
44033 - Buoy F0103 - West Penobscot Bay 56 mi125 min NE 5.8 G 5.8 35°F 35°F1 ft1027.8 hPa
44034 - Buoy I0103 - Eastern Maine Shelf 70 mi125 min W 14 G 16 34°F 38°F1 ft1027.9 hPa

Wind History for Bar Harbor, ME
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Bangor, Bangor International Airport, ME10 mi76 minNW 710.00 miPartly Cloudy33°F10°F40%1028.5 hPa

Wind History from BGR (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrNW9NW7NW9NW7NW8NW7NW6W5CalmCalmCalmCalmW6W7CalmCalmW3NW8W10NW11
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1 day agoSW8SW6W4W6W4NW8NW8NW17
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2 days agoCalmS3S3S4S6S6S5SE3SE4CalmE4E4SE3CalmCalmN4N3CalmCalmCalmS5SW6SW5W7

Tide / Current Tables for Hampden, Penobscot River, Maine
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Hampden
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Sat -- 01:36 AM EST     15.18 feet High Tide
Sat -- 06:23 AM EST     Sunrise
Sat -- 07:46 AM EST     -1.67 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 08:51 AM EST     Moonset
Sat -- 02:00 PM EST     14.91 feet High Tide
Sat -- 05:14 PM EST     Sunset
Sat -- 08:12 PM EST     -1.41 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 10:20 PM EST     Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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12.714.81513.39.85.51.5-1-1.6-0.23.17.211.21414.91411.37.33.10-1.4-0.81.75.5

Tide / Current Tables for Bangor, Penobscot River, Maine (2)
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Bangor
Click for Map
Sat -- 01:04 AM EST     15.93 feet High Tide
Sat -- 06:23 AM EST     Sunrise
Sat -- 07:47 AM EST     -1.75 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 08:51 AM EST     Moonset
Sat -- 01:28 PM EST     15.65 feet High Tide
Sat -- 05:14 PM EST     Sunset
Sat -- 08:13 PM EST     -1.48 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 10:20 PM EST     Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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14.515.915.212.794.81.1-1.2-1.70.148.913.115.415.413.710.66.52.6-0.2-1.4-0.72.36.8

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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GOES Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Wind Forecast for Caribou, ME (16,3,4,5)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Caribou, ME
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.