Tuesday, January16, 2018 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Spring Park, MN

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
6/25/2017 - NOAA is having a major issue that impact the 7 day forecast load times. Many users are reporting problems. The issue has been reported.
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.

Sunrise 7:45AMSunset 5:03PM Tuesday January 16, 2018 3:17 AM CST (09:17 UTC) Moonrise 7:23AMMoonset 4:54PM Illumination 0% Phase: New Moon; Moon at 29 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Spring Park, MN
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location: 44.92, -93.62     debug


Area Discussion for - Twin Cities, MN
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Fxus63 kmpx 160506 aab
afdmpx
area forecast discussion... Updated
national weather service twin cities chanhassen mn
1106 pm cst Mon jan 15 2018

Short term (this evening through Tuesday)
issued at 300 pm cst Mon jan 15 2018
the short term concern remain winch chill headlines and
advisories.

Some light snow flurries will continue across the eastern portion
of the CWA into the evening. This as the remnants of the upper
trough exits to the southeast. Little in the way of significant
visibility reduction has been seen over west central wisconsin
this afternoon, and this trend is expected to continue into the
evening. Little additional accumulation is expected. Therefore we
will cancel the winter weather advisory for west central
wisconsin.

Still have gusty northwest winds funneling along west central mn
along the minnesota river valley. Decent blowing snow observed
across a portion of west central mn into a portion of south
central mn that received some of the heavier snowfall from the
exiting system. Winds will continue gusty into the evening, but
are expected to diminish across mn through about 06z. Following
this, clouds should thin over the west with cold wind chills of
30 to 40 below expected. We will continue the warning over west
central minnesota through expiration. Will remove a portion of
central mn from the warning and continue as an advisory. Winds
chills of 20 to 30 below will be seen over the advisory area. We
may have to extend the headline an hour or two, especially over
the west Tuesday morning. But the overall trend will be for the
wind chills to improve through the rest of the morning.

Long term (Tuesday night through Monday)
issued at 300 pm cst Mon jan 15 2018
the overall long term trend if for warming Wednesday into the
weekend. We should see readings warm to 10 to 15 degrees above
normal through the end of the week.

Precipitation looks meager until a possible snowstorm developing
for central midwest Sunday into Monday. Models diverge greatly in
handling the parent trough, with both the GFS and ECMWF holding on
to their previous overall forecast track. The GFS continues its
split flow and tracking the storm generally south of the area.

The ECMWF is stronger with the trough and lifts northeast over
much of the area. Looking at the 12z GEFS probability plots for
the event, the higher probabilities of greater than one inch snow
in 12 hours is favoring a more southerly storm track, affecting
mainly iowa into southeast mn.

Aviation (for the 06z tafs through 06z Tuesday night)
issued at 1106 pm cst Mon jan 15 2018
patches of MVFR clouds will continue for much of the night.

Trended a bit more pessimistic for CIGS in this TAF issuance,
especially over central mn where widespread CIGS less than fl015
have developed. The lower levels will dry out for Tuesday, leaving
just some mid level clouds for afternoon.

Kmsp... More of the same from this evening for the overnight.

Occasional MVFR CIGS likely, but don't feel they will persist long
enough for even a tempo mention.

Outlook for kmsp
wed-fri...VFR. Wind SW at 5-10 kts.

Mpx watches warnings advisories
Wi... None.

Mn... Wind chill advisory until 9 am cst Tuesday for mnz042>045-
049>053-058>063-066>070-075>078-083>085-092-093.

Wind chill warning until 9 am cst Tuesday for mnz041-047-048-
054>057-064-065-073-074-082-091.

Short term... Dwe
long term...

aviation... Borghoff


Weather Reporting Stations
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Minneapolis - Flying Cloud Airport, MN10 mi25 minNW 810.00 miFair0°F-6°F76%1039.1 hPa
Minneapolis, Crystal Airport, MN17 mi25 minNW 710.00 miFair-2°F-9°F72%1039.2 hPa
Buffalo, Buffalo Municipal Airport, MN20 mi23 minNW 610.00 miOvercast1°F-3°F82%1037.9 hPa
Minneapolis, Minneapolis-St. Paul International Airport, MN21 mi25 minNW 710.00 miMostly Cloudy-1°F-5°F82%1039.3 hPa

Wind History from FCM (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrNW13
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NW11NW16NW16
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1 day agoSE6SE4SE6SE5S5S9S14S12S13S9
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S8SE8SE5SE5SE4W14
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2 days agoNW6NW4NW5NW4CalmNW4CalmCalmW3W5W3NW3CalmS4SW4SW4CalmCalmS5S3S3S5S4S5

Tide / Current Tables for
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
wmap_A
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
east_satellite

GOES Local Image of Midwest    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for Twin Cities, MN (4,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Minneapolis, MN
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.