Marine Weather and Tides
10/6/2018 Colors of tide XTide graphs changed to emphasize that they were upgraded. See next note. Comments welcome.
10/4/2018 I have fixed XTide and updated the harmonic files. There were some name changes so you might have to click EDIT to find the new station name.
|Sunrise 5:35AM||Sunset 8:44PM||Wednesday May 22, 2019 4:30 AM CDT (09:30 UTC)||Moonrise 11:29PM||Moonset 7:44AM||Illumination 88%|
7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Minneapolis, MNHourly EDIT Help
Area Discussion for - Twin Cities, MN  (on/off)  Help NOTE: mouseover dotted underlined text for definition
|Fxus63 kmpx 220854|
area forecast discussion
national weather service twin cities chanhassen mn
354 am cdt Wed may 22 2019
Short term (today through Thursday)
issued at 354 am cdt Wed may 22 2019
the main short term concern is overall trend of showers today into
the evening. Thunder threat remains mainly to the east into the
afternoon, but some threat of thunder mainly south central into the
Water vapor imagery showing rain band deeper moisture is lifting
north this morning. Upper low positioned over northeast nebraska
should continue it trek north today. Band of moisture showers and
isolated thunder is lifting out ahead of the upper trough axis. This
will move into southern and central mn this morning. Will have to
continue higher end pops at least through mid morning into the south
before this pivots more north northwest. The occluded surface low
lifts north into west central mn this afternoon and a weak triple
point instability axis rotates northeast over western mn late
morning afternoon. Could see some scattered thunder develop as the
system exits to the northeast into the evening. The strong easterly
wind of last night should gradually shift more south southwest into
the afternoon. Looks to be gusty as well, especially over the
southern areas with gusts to 30kts possible once again.
May see some sunshine into west central wi during the afternoon and
could generate better instability. Looks like the window for any
stronger storms would be pretty narrow, perhaps 18z-21z. Cloud
cover should remain over the western area today and will limit
heating potential. The GFS and hrrr have been trying to develop
thunder into west central mn during the afternoon with limited
cape with mucapes generally less than 200 j kg. Did trim
temperatures a degree or two, especially west with clouds and
The system exits the area tonight. Clouds may linger and move east
into the night leaving mostly cloudy conditions for a time into
Thursday. We will warm it into the lower and mid 60s for the most
part, but could be a bit warmer if we see more sun.
Long term (Thursday night through Tuesday)
issued at 354 am cdt Wed may 22 2019
looking at the large scale perspective, not much is expected to
change with ridging dominating the southeast CONUS and troughing
over the rockies out into the plains. This may finally start to
break down and shift the middle of next week, but that's the
earliest we'll see any significant changes to to the general flow
pattern. The good news in all of this, is it looks like we'll time
one of the longer dry periods we've seen in a while with the
memorial day weekend.
Thursday, the next strong shortwave coming out of the western trough
will be heading out on to the plains. A strengthening LLJ associated
with this wave will be heading our direction Thursday night, with a
band of showers and thunderstorms expected to be spread out across
the mpx area Friday morning. This will be a better than 50 kt llj,
with strong moisture convergence at the noose of it. All the models
are showing an enhanced area of QPF (1-2") on the nose of the jet,
but differ on where it goes. The nam GFS canadian GEFS have the
nose of the LLJ angling up to or just south of la crosse, the ecmwf
angles it more toward mankato. At this point, we stayed with the
nbm qpf, which is more in line with the non ECMWF cluster.
From the severe weather perspective, there may have been some|
potential with this storm system, but its timing is not ideal, with
the warm occluded front moving through late Thursday night into
Friday morning. There's potential for some elevated hail producers
Thursday night, but other than that, by Friday afternoon, the severe
threat area will be off to our southeast as seen with SREF sigtor
ingredients probabilities and SPC day 3 outlook.
For the holiday weekend, Saturday will have convergent flow aloft in
the wake of Friday's system. This will promote subsidence, a
surface high and pleasant conditions. Sunday, models continue to
show a weak cold front dropping across the area. The upper wave
driving this front will dive southeast across southern canada, while
the deep moisture will be down across the central plains into the
mid mississippi valley, so it's unlikely we'll see anything with
this Sunday into Sunday night. The main impact we'll see with this
front is it knock highs Saturday and Sunday near 70 back down into
the lower 60s for memorial day.
Models continue to show the front that will be to our south over the
weekend lifting back north as a warm front Monday night. The warm
front again looks to stay south of mn, but it will get far enough
north to spread rain and thunder back into southern mn Monday night
into Tuesday morning.
Aviation (for the 06z tafs through 06z Wednesday night)
issued at 1107 pm cdt Tue may 21 2019
the broad area of steady and a little heavier rain continues to
shift north and east, in concert with the deepest layer moisture.
More rain continues to develop into southwest mn in pinwheeling
fashion ahead of the upper low. Some of this development will also
move into southeast mn and western wi, but not as much. Even so,
ceilings will be lowering to MVFR and ifr over most areas and will
stay that way into Wednesday midday. In fact, the low clouds may
lift a bit but remain as MVFR in central mn through the afternoon
East winds will diminish only slightly tonight, and finally turn
southeast, then eventually southwest later Wednesday as the low
patchy areas of rain will develop through the rest of the night,
leading to occasions of MVFR coverage interspersed withVFR. That
should evolve into all MVFR later tonight and stay that way into
the afternoon on Wednesday. East winds will lessen a little bit,
but will still be gusting over 20 knots into late morning.
Outlook for kmsp
thu... MVFR cigs. Wind NW 5-10 kts.
Fri... Chc MVFR. Winds SE becoming SW at 15g30 kts.
Sat...VFR with MVFR possible early. Wind wnw at 10 kts.
Mpx watches warnings advisories
Short term... Dwe
long term... Mpg
Weather Reporting StationsEDIT (on/off)  Help NOTE: Click on distance to see the station location on a map
Airport ReportsEDIT (on/off)  Help Click EDIT to display multiple airports
|Minneapolis, Minneapolis-St. Paul International Airport, MN||6 mi||37 min||E 13||6.00 mi||Fog/Mist||48°F||46°F||93%||1002.8 hPa|
|Minneapolis, Crystal Airport, MN||10 mi||37 min||E 11 G 20||4.00 mi||Fog/Mist||48°F||46°F||96%||1002.4 hPa|
|South St. Paul Municipal-Richard E. Flemi, MN||11 mi||35 min||ESE 7 G 14||5.00 mi||Fog/Mist||49°F||47°F||95%||1003 hPa|
|Minneapolis - Flying Cloud Airport, MN||12 mi||37 min||E 20 G 28||6.00 mi||Fog/Mist and Breezy||49°F||46°F||90%||1001.5 hPa|
|Downtown Holman Field, MN||13 mi||37 min||ESE 9 G 20||5.00 mi||Fog/Mist||48°F||45°F||89%||1003.5 hPa|
|Minneapolis / Blaine, MN||15 mi||34 min||ESE 11 G 22||3.00 mi||Light Rain||48°F||48°F||100%||1003 hPa|
|Minneapolis, Airlake Airport, MN||22 mi||55 min||ESE 13||7.00 mi||Overcast||48°F||48°F||100%||1002 hPa|
|Lake Elmo Airport, MN||24 mi||55 min||ESE 13 G 19||10.00 mi||48°F||44°F||87%||1004.4 hPa|
Wind History from MSP (wind in knots)
|1 day ago||Calm||SW||Calm||N||N||NE||Calm||N|
|2 days ago||NE|
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Wind Forecast for Twin Cities, MN (5,6,7,8)(on/off)  Help
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