Saturday, September23, 2017 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Falcon Heights, MN

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
6/25/2017 - NOAA is having a major issue that impact the 7 day forecast load times. Many users are reporting problems. The issue has been reported.
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.

Sunrise 7:00AMSunset 7:08PM Saturday September 23, 2017 4:49 PM CDT (21:49 UTC) Moonrise 9:27AMMoonset 8:14PM Illumination 11% Phase: Waxing Crescent; Moon at 3 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Falcon Heights, MN
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location: 44.96, -93.16     debug


Area Discussion for - Twin Cities, MN
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Fxus63 kmpx 232000
afdmpx
area forecast discussion
national weather service twin cities chanhassen mn
300 pm cdt Sat sep 23 2017

Short term (this evening through Sunday)
issued at 300 pm cdt Sat sep 23 2017
the cold front stretches from near redwood falls, mn to ely, mn
this afternoon, as witnessed by a 30-degree temperature spread
from west to east across the area (upper 50s in the west to upper
80s east). Showers and thunderstorms will continue generating
along the front over west southwest mn this afternoon and early
eve. Expect the bulk of the activity to stay west of a new ulm to
mora line, although a few "popcorn" showers will be possible as
far east as areas surrounding the i-35 corridor. A few storms
could pulse up to produce large hail and damaging winds, although given
the anafrontal nature of the convection (stronger lift on the
cool side of the front), most activity will be elevated with less
of a severe threat. As storms continue to train over western mn
we will also need to monitor the heavy rainfall potential, given
precipitable water values are nearing 200 percent of normal for
this time of the year.

By Sunday morning, the front looks to retreat back into the
eastern dakotas. This will make for another warm and humid day
across the eastern half of the forecast area, with cooler temps
and continued precip chances across the far west closer to the
boundary.

Long term (Sunday night through Saturday)
issued at 300 pm cdt Sat sep 23 2017
the upper trough that has been over the western us for much of the
past week will start to move eastward tomorrow, and will slowly push
across our area during the first half of the week. A very pronounced
ridge will develop over the west during the second half of the week,
with northwest flow over our area as the upper trough re-amplifies
to our east. The medium range guidance is in decent agreement on
this overall evolution of things, with the typical differences in
some of the details, particularly during the second half of the
week. This is all in fairly good agreement with the going forecast,
so only minimal changes were needed to blend with the latest
numerical guidance consensus.

The frontal boundary stalled to our west will finally start to move
east tomorrow night as the western upper trough starts to push east.

This will bring shower thunderstorm chances eastward across the
central and eastern portion of the forecast area from Sunday night
through Monday night. The upper trough isn't going to move too
quickly, so the surface front will also be slow to move, keeping
chances for precipitation going across the eastern portion of the
area through Tuesday. High pressure will then build into the area
with seasonably cool but dry conditions Tuesday night through
Wednesday night. It still appears we'll see a bit of a backdoor
front and reinforcing shot of cold air on Thursday, which could
bring some showers with it. This will be followed by the arrival of
stout canadian high pressure, will will build across the region
Friday through Saturday, with cool but dry weather.

Aviation (for the 18z tafs through 18z Sunday afternoon)
issued at 1248 am cdt Sat sep 23 2017
ifr MVFR CIGS will primarily affect the far northwest part of the
taf area (kaxn), although fleeting broken CIGS around 3kft or
just under will be possible slightly farther east and south
(kstc krwf kmkt) during the afternoon. Shra TS chances are
expected to stay confined to kaxn as well. As the front wobbles
back into the eastern dakotas overnight, precipitation and low
cigs retreat back west as well. This will mean kaxn will mostly
likely be precip-free after 05z, withVFR CIGS arriving by early
Sunday. Other sites should therefore stay dry tonight withVFR
conditions. With the front back over the dakotas, southerly winds
are expected to return for Sunday, with gusts into the upper teens
to lower 20s (knots). Showers and thunderstorm chances will inch
into the western portion of the area again on Sunday p.M.

Kmsp...

expecting precip and MVFR CIGS to stay to the west and northwest
of msp through the period.

Outlook for kmsp
mon... MVFR tsra. Winds S 5-10 kts.

Tue... Chc MVFR tsra early. Winds NW 5-10 kts.

Wed...VFR. Winds W 5-10 kts.

Mpx watches warnings advisories
Wi... None.

Mn... None.

Short term... Ls
long term...

aviation... Ls


Weather Reporting Stations
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Downtown Holman Field, MN6 mi57 minSE 1010.00 miMostly Cloudy88°F72°F59%1012.6 hPa
Minneapolis, Minneapolis-St. Paul International Airport, MN6 mi57 minS 1110.00 miMostly Cloudy89°F70°F53%1012.5 hPa
South St. Paul Municipal-Richard E. Flemi, MN8 mi57 minSSW 710.00 miPartly Cloudy87°F68°F53%1013.5 hPa
Minneapolis, Crystal Airport, MN14 mi57 minS 710.00 miPartly Cloudy85°F66°F55%1012.3 hPa
Minneapolis / Blaine, MN14 mi60 minS 710.00 miMostly Cloudy88°F69°F55%1013.5 hPa
Lake Elmo Airport, MN16 mi59 minS 97.00 miMostly Cloudy86°F71°F62%1014.2 hPa
Minneapolis - Flying Cloud Airport, MN18 mi57 minS 910.00 miPartly Cloudy86°F70°F59%1012.4 hPa
Minneapolis, Airlake Airport, MN23 mi58 minS 410.00 miPartly Cloudy84°F69°F62%1013.9 hPa

Wind History from MSP (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrS17S12
G23
S11S10S10S15
G21
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G23
S9S7S12
G19
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G17
S4S9SE4SE4S7S6S8S9S11S8S8S11
1 day agoSE14SE9E10SE13SE12SE9SE7SE9SE10SE10SE8SE9SE13SE10S8SE6SE8S7S84S8S13
G20
S12
G23
S18
G22
2 days agoW7W6W5NW6NW4NW5CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmE3CalmSE6E5E13SE12SE12SE13SE11SE10SE15
G21
SE12
G19

Tide / Current Tables for
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
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IR Satellite Image from GEOS
east_satellite

GOES Local Image of Midwest    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for Twin Cities, MN (17,4,5,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Minneapolis, MN
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.