Friday, August18, 2017 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Champlain, NY

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
6/25/2017 - NOAA is having a major issue that impact the 7 day forecast load times. Many users are reporting problems. The issue has been reported.
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.

Sunrise 5:59AMSunset 7:55PM Friday August 18, 2017 11:37 PM EDT (03:37 UTC) Moonrise 2:21AMMoonset 5:40PM Illumination 10% Phase: Waning Crescent; Moon at 26 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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SLZ024 Saint Lawrence River From Cape Vincent To Saint Regis 1031 Pm Edt Fri Aug 18 2017
Overnight..Southwest winds 5 to 10 knots. Partly to mostly cloudy.
Saturday..Southwest winds 5 to 15 knots. Scattered showers and Thunderstorms late.
Saturday night..Southwest winds 5 to 15 knots becoming west less than 10 knots. A chance of showers and scattered Thunderstorms in the evening...then a chance of showers overnight.
Sunday..West winds 10 knots or less becoming southwest 10 to 15 knots. Mostly Sunny.
Sunday night..Southwest winds 5 to 10 knots. Becoming mainly clear.
Monday..Southwest winds 5 to 15 knots. Mainly clear...then becoming partly cloudy.
Tuesday..Southwest winds 5 to 15 knots. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms during the day...then showers likely with a chance of Thunderstorms Tuesday night.
Wednesday..West winds 5 to 15 knots diminishing to less than 10 knots. Showers likely with a chance of Thunderstorms during the day...then a chance of showers and Thunderstorms Wednesday night. Winds and waves higher in and near Thunderstorms.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Champlain, NY
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location: 44.97, -73.44     debug


Area Discussion for - Burlington, VT
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Fxus61 kbtv 190222
afdbtv
area forecast discussion
national weather service burlington vt
1022 pm edt Fri aug 18 2017

Synopsis
The weekend will feature slightly unsettled weather Saturday
and Saturday night with a few light showers. Sunday will be
mostly sunny, dry and warm. That sunny and warm weather will
continue Monday, allowing for perfect conditions to view the
solar eclipse. Increasing chances for showers and thunderstorms
return for late Tuesday and into Wednesday.

Near term through Saturday night
As of 1022 pm edt Friday... Line of convection continues to move
into western champlain valley with waning instability. Expect
heavy showers to continue eastward into vermont but gradually
dissipate as the air over central and eastern vermont is not as
moist and lacking instability. Air behind this initial surface
trough producing showers continues to have relatively high
dewpoints, in the mid-upper 60s tonight. Temperatures will
remain mild and it will feel muggy. With the high humidity, we
may see a light fog haze develop in most areas overnight.

Perhaps a few patches of denser fog in eastern vermont.

Saturday: another day that will be on the slightly warm and
humid side, but not an uncommon mid-summer day. At upper levels,
there will be a trough off to our west, putting us in deep
southwest flow. However the mid upper levels will still be
relatively dry, so this will limit the potential for convective
activity. Hi-res models do indicate a few hit or miss (but
mostly miss) showers developing during the day. As such, have
some 20-35% pops, highest across the higher terrain of northern
vermont. High temperatures will be a few degrees above normal,
with upper 70s to lower 80s.

Saturday night: models all indicate the upper trough will be
passing overhead, and this passage will be accompanied by clouds
and a few light showers. Kept pops in the 25-35% range.

Short term Sunday through Sunday night
As of 350 pm edt Friday... If you love outdoor summer activities,
Sunday will definitely be a day to take advantage of it. Plenty
of sunshine, temperatures in the mid 70s to lower 80s, and most
importantly lower dewpoints -- all thanks to high pressure
ridging and a west northwest flow bringing in the drier air.

Long term Monday through Friday
As of 350 pm edt Friday... First... Eclipse. Partial for
cwa... Basically 58-65 percent. Sky conditions looking very
favorable. Partial begins at btv around 1725 utc and ends around
1953 utc according to nasa eclipse sight.

Zonal flow across area on Monday with surface high south of
area, this will eventually allow for some increased humidity and
clouds but really not til Tuesday. A pretty nice eclipse day
with highs in the 80s and sunshine.

The next system has been delayed as its awaiting a sharp, deep
shortwave from central canada to drop across the northern plains
Tuesday and then rotate across the great lakes Tuesday night
and lift NE into ontario quebec on Wednesday. The timing looking
like more of a Tue ngt-wed feature. However... Surface temps in
the m-u80s with rich dewpoints in the 60s and pwats approaching
1.75 inches should produce sfc based capes in the 1000-1500
range at least. Also... Despite the main dynamics and surface
front still across the great lakes, there are falling
heights... Diffluent flow aloft and indications of some pre-
frontal trof, thus chance for t-storms will increase toward
evening... ESP ny and intl border. Wind dynamics don't look too
favorable and timing may just be too late but still worth
watching as they will increase Tue ngt.

Leading, strong shortwave and surface front move through tue
ngt- midday wed. By Wed aftn... Front should be just east of cwa.

Trof axis still west of CWA Wed ngt-thu with surface high still
west as well. Therefore, some unstable flow but pwats fall to
around 0.50 inches on thu. Current thinking is largely mountain
upslope shower sprinkle. Highs on Thu l-m70s.

Thu ngt-fri deep trof axis passes area with surface high
pressure building into region thus primarily dry and cooler
temperatures. Highs in u60s-l-m70s. A cool start with lows in
the 40s 50s and some possible upper 30s. Friday ngt-sat morning
should be as cool or cooler.

Aviation 02z Saturday through Wednesday
Through 00z Sunday... We'll continue to see a mix of aviation wx
conditions across the north country during the overnight hours.

Stratus deck remains in place east of the green mtns, and
should continue to hold thru the overnight period, with ceilings
ranging from 500 to 1500 ft with trrn obscd. Better mixing west
of the green mtns with primarilyVFR conditions. May see some
localized MVFR ceilings vcnty of slk mss after 06z, but
otherwise sct-bkn conditions expected. Upper trough passing to
our north is providing just enough forcing for ascent that a few
showers and tstms will remain possible through 03z or so this
evening. Main impacts will be south of slk with perhaps tsra at
rut 01-03z time frame as line of tstms across central ny moves
ewd. Brief heavy rainfall and isold cloud to ground lightning is
expected to be the main threat with any tstms. Generally
looking atVFR conditions areawide after 13z Saturday.

Outlook...

Saturday night:VFR. Chance shra.

Sunday:VFR. No sig wx.

Sunday night:VFR. No sig wx.

Monday:VFR. No sig wx.

Monday night:VFR. No sig wx.

Tuesday:VFR. Chance shra... Chance tsra.

Tuesday night:VFR. Likely shra... Chance tsra.

Wednesday:VFR. Chance shra.

Btv watches warnings advisories
Vt... None.

Ny... None.

Synopsis... Nash
near term... Kgm nash
short term... Nash
long term... Slw
aviation... Banacos nash


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
45178 25 mi37 min NW 12 65°F 71°F1009 hPa (+3.4)

Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Franklin County State Airport, VT18 mi42 minSSE 310.00 miMostly Cloudy67°F66°F98%1007.1 hPa
Plattsburgh International Airport , NY22 mi44 minVar 41.25 miHeavy Rain Fog/Mist72°F70°F94%1007.3 hPa

Wind History from FSO (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrE5E6E6E7E8E7E6CalmSE5SE4S5S14
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S7E7SE4SE8SE6E5Calm
1 day agoCalmCalmCalmCalmS3S4S4CalmS3S4SW4S5S4SW4CalmW4SW4CalmCalmCalmCalmE3SE3SE3
2 days agoCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmNW5N8N5N7N4N7N6CalmW5NW6NW4W5CalmW4CalmCalmCalmCalmCalm

Tide / Current Tables for
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
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IR Satellite Image from GEOS
east_satellite

GOES Local Image of Northeast    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for Burlington, VT (23,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Burlington, VT
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.