Friday, June22, 2018 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Omena, MI

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
5/20/2018 -- NOAA is having problems with the data feed that I use to draw the graphs. They are aware of the issue and working to resolve it. Sometimes changing the location by about a mile will give a correct graph. 3/3/2018 - There is a new GOES Satellite for the east coast that required rewriting that part of the code. Please report any issues.

Sunrise 5:56AMSunset 9:26PM Friday June 22, 2018 10:36 PM EDT (02:36 UTC) Moonrise 3:07PMMoonset 1:56AM Illumination 72% Phase: Waxing Gibbous; Moon at 10 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
    EDIT      (on/off)   Help
LMZ323 Grand Traverse Bay South Of A Line Grand Traverse Light To Norwood Mi- 339 Pm Edt Fri Jun 22 2018
Tonight..Northeast wind 5 to 10 knots. Slight chance of showers after midnight. Waves 2 feet or less.
Saturday..Northeast wind 5 to 10 knots. Slight chance of showers. Waves 2 feet or less.
Saturday night..Northeast wind 5 to 10 knots. Mostly cloudy. Waves 2 feet or less.
Sunday..North wind 5 to 10 knots. Partly Sunny. Waves 2 feet or less. SEe the open lakes forecast for days 3 through 5.
LMZ323 Expires:201806230345;;947066 FZUS53 KAPX 221939 NSHAPX Nearshore Marine Forecast National Weather Service Gaylord MI 339 PM EDT Fri Jun 22 2018 For waters within five nautical miles of shore on Lakes Huron... Michigan and Superior LMZ323-230345-

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Omena, MI
   Hourly   EDIT   Help
location: 45, -85.48     debug


Area Discussion for - Gaylord, MI
      (on/off)   Help   NOTE: mouseover dotted underlined text for definition
Fxus63 kapx 221947
afdapx
area forecast discussion
national weather service gaylord mi
347 pm edt Fri jun 22 2018

Near term (through tonight)
issued at 345 pm edt Fri jun 22 2018

Showers arriving tonight for some areas...

high impact weather potential... None.

Pattern synopsis forecast... A surface ridge extending across the
northern great lakes continues to be nudged farther north as a
cutoff low spinning over indiana slowly makes its way northeast. An
expansive cirrus deck, thick in some areas, has spread across
northern michigan this afternoon ahead of this low. E NE surface
flow has been pulling in dry air from the surface high downstream of
us. Afternoon mixing has led to a significant drop in rh in some
locations across interior northern lower to 25% or less.

Temperatures also managed to creep into the mid to upper 70s in many
areas, with wind gusts to 15-20 mph at times. This has led to some
mid to late afternoon fire weather concerns, but rh will quickly
recover early this evening as temperatures decline and as moisture
advection develops ahead of the slowly approaching cutoff low.

Pwats will steadily rise from southeast to northwest overnight,
likely in excess of 1.5" across much of the forecast area by
daybreak Saturday. Isentropic ascent and warm air advection will
strengthen a bit across our southeast overnight, with upper level
divergence and a few vort maxes also contributing to the lifting
cause... But overall forcing does not look all that impressive.

Still, given the significant jump in deep layer atmospheric moisture
(forecast soundings across northeast lower becoming nearly saturated
in the low-mid levels later tonight), think it will not be tough to
trigger some showers, especially east of i-75. Do not anticipate any
thunder given instability is very low across northern michigan. Only
some weak elevated instability may creep in near saginaw bay towards
daybreak with MUCAPE < 100 j kg. Hi-res guidance supports localized
rainfall perhaps in excess of a quarter inch across portions of
northeast lower, but generally most locations expected to pick up
less than a tenth of an inch. As the low pinwheels counterclockwise
towards toledo by late tonight, showers will spread from near
saginaw bay this evening to portions of northwest lower late
tonight, with the highest chances found over northeast lower. With
increasing clouds and moisture tonight, it will not be as cool as
last night with lows ranging from the low 50s north to upper 50s
south.

Short term (Saturday through Monday)
issued at 345 pm edt Fri jun 22 2018

Seasonable weather continues...

high impact weather potential: none.

Pattern synopsis forecast: a more active weather pattern begins with
a low pressure system tracking through the southeastern great lakes
and then into quebec. Cloudy conditions and rain chances continue
through Saturday and into Sunday as said system marches
northeastward. The best forcing and deeper moisture will be
juxtaposed with the center of the nearly vertically stacked low.

This will bring the best chances of rain and higher QPF amounts to
northeast lower... Although storm totals appear to be less than a
tenth of an inch at this time by Sunday morning. A couple models are
hinting at a lobe of moisture and shortwave swinging through
northern lower on the backside of the departing system possibly
putting out more rain amounts than Saturday. Will increase chances
for precipitation Sunday. Precipitation chances will diminish Sunday
evening night as high pressure centered over hudson bay builds into
northern michigan along with much drier air and aforementioned low
pressure system departs to the northeast. This high pressure will
diminish cloud cover from north to south beginning Sunday night and
provide a mostly clear Monday afternoon. A fairly light wind regime
will remain throughout the forecast period.

Highs Saturday may only reach into the low to mid 60s, while Sunday
and Monday reach back into the 70s.

Long term (Monday night through Friday)
issued at 345 pm edt Fri jun 22 2018
high impact potential: possible thunder
another low pressure system developing over the dakotas will bring
our next chances of rain Monday night through at least Wednesday as
it tracks through the northern great lakes. Thunder chances will be
best Tuesday night and Wednesday. Surface high pressure and upper
ridge then build over the great lakes ending precip chances and
moderating temperatures to near 90 by Thursday.

Aviation (for the 18z tafs through 18z Saturday afternoon)
issued at 154 pm edt Fri jun 22 2018
a broken cirrus deck has lifted all the way north into eastern
upper, though still with some pockets of sunshine at times. As
additional moisture steadily streams northward ahead of the
approaching low to our south, we'll eventually see cloud cover
thicken tonight with ceilings gradually lowering from southeast to
northwest. Models are in good agreement for the possibility of
MVFR to perhaps ifr CIGS developing after 06z and lingering
through at least Saturday morning. Ceilings will likely be lowest
across northeast lower where rain chances will also be highest.

Light showers sprinkles are expected to pinwheel counterclockwise
from near saginaw bay this evening into northwest lower and
eastern upper before daybreak... Gradually diminishing after 12z
Saturday. Winds will generally remain light (<10 knots) out of the
east to northeast through the period.

Marine
Issued at 345 pm edt Fri jun 22 2018
a low pressure system slowly lifts to near detroit Saturday
morning, then through the eastern great lakes and over into new
england Saturday night and Sunday. A general easterly wind turning
light north over this time. No advisory level speeds anticipated,
but could see some decent gustiness funneling through the straits
again today. Periodic light rain and sprinkles are expected
across primarily lake huron tonight into Saturday and possibly
again on Sunday as the low pressure system swings through srn
michigan.

Apx watches warnings advisories
Mi... None.

Lh... None.

Lm... None.

Ls... None.

Near term... Mk
short term... Tl
long term... Tl
aviation... Mk
marine... Tl


Weather Reporting Stations
   EDIT       (on/off)   Help   NOTE: Click on distance to see the station location on a map
Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
GTLM4 - Grand Traverse Light, MI 15 mi56 min ENE 14 G 17 63°F 1010.2 hPa
45183 19 mi36 min NNE 9.7 G 9.7 61°F 56°F1010.2 hPa (-0.8)
45022 35 mi36 min E 9.7 G 12 62°F 59°F1 ft1010.7 hPa (-0.8)52°F
MACM4 - 9075080 - Mackinaw City, MI 67 mi54 min SE 8.9 G 9.9 59°F 1010.2 hPa44°F

Wind History for Mackinaw City, MI
(wind in knots)    EDIT      (on/off)   Help
11
PM
12
AM
1
AM
2
AM
3
AM
4
AM
5
AM
6
AM
7
AM
8
AM
9
AM
10
AM
11
AM
12
PM
1
PM
2
PM
3
PM
4
PM
5
PM
6
PM
7
PM
8
PM
9
PM
10
PM
Last
24hr
E6
SE6
SE5
E4
E6
SE4
SE3
E3
SE4
E5
SE4
SE10
SE10
SE11
E4
G7
E2
E5
SE13
SE7
E7
E7
SE9
SE9
SE9
1 day
ago
NW4
N5
NE3
E3
E10
E14
G17
E14
E13
G17
E16
E17
E17
SE19
SE18
G22
E15
E17
SE15
SE18
E12
E11
E12
SE11
SE10
SE6
E4
G7
2 days
ago
NE3
S1
--
S2
SW2
NW2
NW2
S1
S2
--
SE2
NE4
NE3
E2
NE3
NW4
NW7
NW7
G10
W10
NW9
NW7
G10
NW8
W7
NW6

Airport Reports
    EDIT      (on/off)   Help   Click EDIT to display multiple airports
AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Bellaire, Antrim County Airport, MI15 mi41 minN 010.00 miFair62°F48°F61%1009.5 hPa
Cherry Capital Airport, MI19 mi43 minENE 310.00 miMostly Cloudy70°F48°F46%1008.5 hPa
Charlevoix, Charlevoix Municipal Airport, MI24 mi54 minENE 810.00 miFair66°F46°F49%1010.8 hPa

Wind History from ACB (wind in knots)
11
PM
-12
PM
1
AM
2
AM
3
AM
4
AM
5
AM
6
AM
7
AM
8
AM
9
AM
10
AM
11
AM
12
PM
1
PM
2
PM
3
PM
4
PM
5
PM
6
PM
7
PM
8
PM
9
PM
10
PM
Last 24hrCalmCalmN3CalmCalmNW3CalmN3N3CalmNE4NE4NE4E6E5SE10E4E6NE4NE9
G14
E6SE3CalmCalm
1 day agoCalmCalmCalmCalmCalm----CalmNE6E5SE6E6E7E6E4NE8NE8E8E6E8NE9E7NE3NE3
2 days agoCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmN3CalmNE3N5W6W8N4N5N4N5CalmCalm

Tide / Current Tables for
   EDIT   RT Ports Option   Weekend mode (on/off)   (on/off)   Help
Tide / Current Tables for
   EDIT      (on/off)   Help
Weather Map and Satellite Images
       (on/off)   HelpWeather Map
wmap_A
GOES Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
target = "new">Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Gaylord, MI (22,6,7,8)
      (on/off)   Help

Ground Weather Radar Station Gaylord, MI
   (on/off)   Help
weather_mapweather_map weather_map

Ad by Google

Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.