Saturday, June24, 2017 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Baileys Harbor, WI

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.

Sunrise 5:06AMSunset 8:42PM Saturday June 24, 2017 12:28 AM CDT (05:28 UTC) Moonrise 5:49AMMoonset 9:10PM Illumination 0% Phase: New Moon; Moon at 0 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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LMZ541 Green Bay South Of Line From Cedar River To Rock Island Passage And North Of A Line From Oconto Wi To Little Sturgeon Bay Wi- Green Bay South Of Line From Oconto Wi To Little Sturgeon Bay Wi- Rock Island Passage To Sturgeon Bay Wi- Sturgeon Bay To Two Rivers Wi-two Rivers To Sheboygan Wi- 839 Pm Cdt Fri Jun 23 2017
Rest of tonight..NW wind 10 to 15 kts. Waves 2 ft or less. A slight chance of showers in the evening.
Saturday..W wind 10 to 15 kts. Waves 2 ft or less. A chance of showers in the morning. A chance of Thunderstorms. Rain showers likely in the afternoon.
Saturday night..NW wind 10 to 15 kts. Waves 2 ft or less. A chance of showers.
Sunday..W wind 10 to 15 kts. Waves 2 ft or less. A chance of showers.
LMZ541 Expires:201706241015;;720654 FZUS53 KGRB 240139 NSHGRB Nearshore Marine Forecast National Weather Service Green Bay WI 839 PM CDT Fri Jun 23 2017 For waters within five nautical miles of shore on Lake Michigan LMZ521-522-541>543-241015-

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Baileys Harbor, WI
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location: 45.07, -87.14     debug


Area Discussion for - Green Bay, WI
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Fxus63 kgrb 240334
afdgrb
area forecast discussion
national weather service green bay wi
1034 pm cdt Fri jun 23 2017
updated aviation portion for 06z TAF issuance

Short term Tonight and Saturday
issued at 235 pm cdt Fri jun 23 2017
instability showers developed across northeast minnesota and
northwest wisconsin this afternoon. The showers were moving to
the southeast and will move into portions of the area during
the remainder of the afternoon into early evening, especially
north and west of the fox valley. An isolated thunderstorm
can not be ruled out north and west of the fox valley. If
any thunderstorm that does develop could produce gusty winds
to around 35 mph and small hail.

Cyclonic flow should leave some cloudiness through the night,
thus partly cloudy skies should suffice. Late tonight, next
shortwave energy could bring a chance of showers to the far
north late tonight. The more potent shortwave will move across
the region. Very cold air aloft at 500mb noted tomorrow with
temperatures approaching -25c. The combination of daytime
heating and cold air aloft would support scattered showers
and thunderstorms through the day. Total totals approaching 55,
and the 50 surface dewpoint and -20c at 500mb rule would also
support the possibility of an isolated severe hail report
Saturday afternoon. It will be very cool with highs around
60 north to around 70 across northeast and east-central
wisconsin.

Long term Saturday night through Friday
issued at 235 pm cdt Fri jun 23 2017
a similar pattern in the long term forecast as what models have
shown for the past few days. Focus is on timing of precipitation
and temperatures.

Showers and some thunderstorms are likely to be scattered across
the area at the start of the period. This will begin tapering off
through the late evening as instability is lost and the potent
mid-level short wave moves east.

A brief break in activity is expected Saturday night into Sunday
morning before another shortwave comes through late Sunday morning
and afternoon. Shear remains weak (less than 15 knots), with some
instability by mid- afternoon (mucape 800-1200 j kg). While these
parameters lead to low confidence in severe criteria thunderstorms,
low and mid- level lapse rates remain steep (7-8 c km) with low
wet- bulb zero heights around 6500 ft. Some small hail and strong
gusty winds cannot be ruled out within any stronger storms that
develop.

There should once again be a quiet period late Sunday early Monday
with another shortwave pushing through Monday morning.

Thunderstorms chances appear weaker on Monday as the strongest
shortwave energy may be east before peak heating. There will also
be high pressure building in at the surface. Will continue a
chance showers slight chance thunderstorms through Monday
afternoon, but models seem to be trending towards ending this
activity earlier in the day.

Tuesday still looks dry as high pressure builds in at the surface.

Beyond Tuesday, models are in slightly more agreement that flow
will turn west southwest by midweek with a surface warm front
pushing across the area and strong WAA to bring thunderstorm
chances to the area Wednesday and Thursday. Continued with the
blended model solution for this time period. It is too early to
determine the potential strength of these storms.

Temperatures will be below normal through the weekend and early
next week while the upper level trough remains over the great
lakes. Temperatures will moderate closer to seasonal normal by
midweek when the trough moves east.

Aviation For 06z TAF issuance
issued at 1034 pm cdt Fri jun 23 2017
vfr conditions expected tonight into Saturday morning.

Mainly mid level clouds will be on the increase form the northwest
as an upper trough appraoches the region. An upper low pressure
system dropping into the state later Saturday may produce more
showers along with a few thunderstorms. Scattered MVFR CIGS may
develop across parts of the area with the showers.

Grb watches warnings advisories
None.

Short term... ..Eckberg
long term... ... Klb
aviation... ... .Tdh


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
CBRW3 - Chambers Island, WI 15 mi49 min WSW 2.9 G 6 63°F 1007.1 hPa
NPDW3 - Northport Pier at Death's Door WI 18 mi49 min WNW 5.1 G 8.9 65°F 1006.8 hPa
MN4 - 9087088 - Menominee, MI 24 mi41 min W 5.1 G 8.9 1006.8 hPa
45014 38 mi29 min W 12 G 14 65°F 1007.8 hPa (+1.9)
45002 - N MICHIGAN- Halfway between North Manitou and Washington Islands. 43 mi39 min WSW 1.9 G 3.9 61°F 57°F1 ft1007.2 hPa (+1.7)
FPTM4 - Fairport, MI 46 mi49 min Calm G 0 57°F 1006.4 hPa
KWNW3 - 9087069- Kewaunee, WI 46 mi41 min WNW 4.1 G 6 62°F 1007.7 hPa

Wind History for Menominee, MI
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Door County Cherryland Airport, WI20 mi33 minW 510.00 mi63°F52°F68%0 hPa

Wind History from SUE (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrSW4W5W4NW5W5SW3W7NW6NW8W8W8W7W13
G18
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NW13W12W10W8W9W7NW6W5
1 day agoS6S11S14S9SW7S9SW7SW8W13SW11SW9W10W4SW9NW8SW4SW6S7SW5S5NW3CalmSW4S4
2 days agoCalm--CalmCalmCalmCalmNW4NW4NW4N3NW5W8SE5SE5SE11SE11S13S11
G17
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G17
S10S8S8S9S9

Tide / Current Tables for
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
wmap_A
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
east_satellite

GOES Local Image of GreatLakes    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for Green Bay, WI (1,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Green Bay, WI
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.