Monday, September25, 2017 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Baileys Harbor, WI

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
6/25/2017 - NOAA is having a major issue that impact the 7 day forecast load times. Many users are reporting problems. The issue has been reported.
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.

Sunrise 6:42AMSunset 6:43PM Monday September 25, 2017 10:53 PM CDT (03:53 UTC) Moonrise 12:01PMMoonset 9:57PM Illumination 30% Phase: Waxing Crescent; Moon at 5 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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LMZ541 Rock Island Passage To Sturgeon Bay Wi- Sturgeon Bay To Two Rivers Wi-two Rivers To Sheboygan Wi- 842 Pm Cdt Mon Sep 25 2017
Rest of tonight..S wind 5 to 10 kts. Waves 2 ft or less. Mostly clear.
Tuesday..SW wind 10 to 15 kts. Waves 2 ft or less. Isolated showers and Thunderstorms in the morning, then scattered showers and Thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Tuesday night..W wind 10 to 15 kts veering nw 10 to 20 kts in the late evening and overnight. Waves 1 to 3 ft. Mostly cloudy.
Wednesday..NW wind 10 to 20 kts. Waves 1 to 3 ft. Partly cloudy.
LMZ541 Expires:201709261015;;935802 FZUS53 KGRB 260142 NSHGRB Nearshore Marine Forecast National Weather Service Green Bay WI 842 PM CDT Mon Sep 25 2017 For waters within five nautical miles of shore on Lake Michigan LMZ541>543-261015-

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Baileys Harbor, WI
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location: 45.07, -87.14     debug


Area Discussion for - Green Bay, WI
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Fxus63 kgrb 260347
afdgrb
area forecast discussion
national weather service green bay wi
1047 pm cdt Mon sep 25 2017
updated aviation portion for 06z TAF issuance

Short term Tonight and Tuesday
issued at 243 pm cdt Mon sep 25 2017
the main forecast focus to be on precipitation trends both tonight
and Tuesday as a slow-moving cold front shifts across the state.

The 19z msas surface analysis showed the cold front stretched from
roughly ironwood south-southwest to la crosse and then farther
southwest through central ia. All the showers thunderstorms have
been along and behind the frontal boundary with one cluster of
storms that will impact central wi by late afternoon. Temperatures
were once again unseasonably warm with record or near record high
temperatures over eastern wi.

The stalled synoptic pattern across the CONUS finally begins to
move starting tonight as the upper trough over the western conus
lifts northeastward toward the northern plains and helps shove the
cold front into central wi. Models also show a weak surface wave
lifting north along the frontal boundary tonight which would tend
to slow the front down or even briefly stall its eastward
progress. Deeper moisture and stronger forcing to remain behind
the front, thus highest pops will be placed across north-central
wi where the front should reach first. Eastern wi may see a stray
shower toward daybreak, but anticipate a mainly dry night. One
more mild night can be expected with min temperatures around 60
degrees north-central wi, lower to middle 60s east-central wi.

The upper trough is forecast to move from the northern plains
toward northern sections of the upper ms valley southwest ontario
on Tuesday and gradually weaken in the process. Meanwhile, the
slow-moving cold front edges farther east and should reach lake mi
by 00z Wednesday. The deeper moisture modest instability finally
overspreads the rest of northeast wi on Tuesday, therefore showers
should become more likely. Since forcing is weak, thunderstorms
should be scattered about, but no severe weather is anticipated.

Max temperatures will be noticeably cooler with readings around 70
degrees north-central, upper 70s to around 80 degrees east-central
wi.

Long term Tuesday night through Monday
issued at 243 pm cdt Mon sep 25 2017
cooler and less humid air will return to wisconsin
Wednesday night and continue through the end of the week, as upper
flow becomes northwest and a surface high drops south from
central canada into the great lakes. A shortwave trough moving
through the upper flow should produce enough upper support to
produce scattered showers and thunderstorms Thursday afternoon and
evening. Temperatures will be close to normal Thursday through
Saturday.

Warmer temperatures will return Sunday and Monday as heights rise
and winds become southerly as the large surface high moves east.

There should be some showers and thunderstorms Monday as upper
flow becomes southwest and a weak surface front approaches from
the west.

Aviation For 06z TAF issuance
issued at 1047 pm cdt Mon sep 25 2017
an approaching cold front will bring an increased chance for
showers and thunderstorms during the TAF period as it slowly
tracks east through the western great lakes. The best chance for
thunderstorms will be Tuesday afternoon, save for rhi where there
will be less instability. Otherwise showers are mainly expected
as this front moves to the east. The eastern TAF sites should stay
dry until later tonight or early Tuesday morning given the later
arrival of the front. Conditions are expected to drop to MVFR,
with ifr possible as the front moves through. Behind the front
conditions are expected to remain at MVFR as winds turn to the
west later Tuesday afternoon and into Tuesday evening.

Grb watches warnings advisories
None.

Short term... ..Kallas
long term... ... Rdm
aviation... ... .Kurimski


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
NPDW3 - Northport Pier at Death's Door WI 18 mi74 min S 4.1 G 8.9 74°F 1013.2 hPa
MN4 - 9087088 - Menominee, MI 24 mi54 min S 5.1 G 6 74°F 1013 hPa (+0.4)64°F
45014 38 mi54 min S 7.8 G 9.7 72°F 70°F1013.1 hPa
45002 - N MICHIGAN- Halfway between North Manitou and Washington Islands. 43 mi64 min SSE 7.8 G 9.7 68°F 67°F1 ft1014.3 hPa (+0.4)
FPTM4 - Fairport, MI 46 mi74 min NNE 2.9 G 4.1 68°F 1013.9 hPa
KWNW3 - 9087069- Kewaunee, WI 46 mi54 min S 2.9 G 4.1 65°F 1012.9 hPa (+0.0)

Wind History for Menominee, MI
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Door County Cherryland Airport, WI20 mi58 minS 710.00 miFair73°F61°F66%1014.9 hPa

Wind History from SUE (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrS7S5S6S6S7S8S8S8S7S7SW6S6S5SE4E6SE7SE11SE9
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1 day agoS5S6S7S7S8S7S8S6S5S9S8SE7S7S10S8SE8S10S14
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2 days agoS9S9S9S8S7S6S6SW6SW7SW5SW7SW9SW9SW10W14
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
wmap_A
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
east_satellite

GOES Local Image of GreatLakes    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for Green Bay, WI (23,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Green Bay, WI
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.