Friday, November16, 2018 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Calais, ME

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
10/6/2018 Colors of tide XTide graphs changed to emphasize that they were upgraded. See next note. Comments welcome.
10/4/2018 I have fixed XTide and updated the harmonic files. There were some name changes so you might have to click EDIT to find the new station name.

Sunrise 7:23AMSunset 4:54PM Friday November 16, 2018 6:11 PM AST (22:11 UTC) Moonrise 2:13PMMoonset 12:00AM Illumination 64% Phase: Waxing Gibbous; Moon at 9 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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ANZ050 Coastal Waters From Eastport, Me To Schoodic Point, Me Out 25 Nm- 423 Pm Est Fri Nov 16 2018
.small craft advisory in effect through Saturday afternoon...
Tonight..NW winds 15 to 20 kt, becoming W 20 to 25 kt late. Seas 9 to 14 ft, subsiding to 8 to 11 ft after midnight. Scattered showers early this evening, then isolated rain and snow showers late this evening. Vsby 1 to 3 nm this evening.
Sat..W winds 20 to 25 kt, diminishing to 15 to 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas 7 to 10 ft, subsiding to 5 to 8 ft in the afternoon.
Sat night..NW winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 7 ft, subsiding to 3 to 5 ft after midnight.
Sun..NW winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt, diminishing to 5 to 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas 2 to 4 ft.
Sun night..W winds around 5 kt, becoming sw after midnight. Seas around 2 ft. A chance of snow in the evening, then rain likely with a chance of snow after midnight. Vsby 1 to 3 nm.
Mon..W winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Rain likely. Vsby 1 to 3 nm in the morning.
Mon night..NW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft.
Tue..NW winds 10 to 15 kt, diminishing to 5 to 10 kt in the afternoon, then increasing to 15 to 20 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. A chance of rain in the afternoon.
Wed..NW winds 15 to 20 kt, diminishing to 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft.
ANZ005 423 Pm Est Fri Nov 16 2018
Synopsis for eastport me to stonington me out 25 nm.. Coastal low pres will cross the northern gulf of maine this afternoon, then exit across the maritimes tonight and Sat. High pres from the W will approach the region Sun.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Calais, ME
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location: 45.08, -67.1     debug


Area Discussion for - Caribou, ME
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Fxus61 kcar 162057
afdcar
area forecast discussion
national weather service caribou me
357 pm est Fri nov 16 2018

Synopsis
Low pressure near southwest nova scotia this eve move toward the
eastern maritimes. After a break between systems, a cold front
will cross Saturday night and bring more arctic air for Sunday
and early next week.

Near term through Saturday night
Hvy sn banding from the dynamic lift ptn of this event is
already exiting E into new brunswick. Following a brief break
in snfl erly this eve, a pd of steady lgt sn later this eve
into the ovrngt will return across the N associated with a
weakening trowal zone crossing this ptn of the fa from qb prov.

Elsewhere across cntrl and downeast areas, sn is in the process
of winding down to sct sn shwrs, with advs wrngs to be dropped
shortly. Some places will receive upwards to 10+ inches in the
wrng area, but most lctns will receive between 6 to 10 inches.

Steady snow across the N will taper off to sct sn shwrs late
ngt, ending at most lctns, xcpt the mtns of the NW where isold
to sct sn shwrs will be possible into sat. Otherwise, the
immediate air mass behind the departing storm will not be as
cold as the one preceding it on sat, allowing for "milder" but
still below avg hi temps. A cold front with colder semi-arctic
air will cross the region Sat ngt.

Short term Sunday through Monday
Sunday will be nearly 10f colder then Saturday with caa, with
building high pres and subsidence reducing cloud cover in
comparison to Saturday. Temperatures plummet initially Sunday
night, but clouds increase later in the night with an
approaching shortwave moving northward in the southern stream.

Some light snow could break out towards bangor and the down east
region later in the night towards daybreak. Further north in
the saint john valley, lows will drop into the single digits.

At this point, it looks like weak cyclogenesis could occur
towards washington county Monday morning as the southern stream
system starts to phase with a northern stream shortwave and
associated arctic front. The system is moving fast so looks like
a light snowfall event at best. Confidence still remains low
with spread continuing but have trended pops up a little with a
little more agreement. Still looks like high end guidance only
has 2 to 3 inches of snow across washington county.

Long term Monday night through Friday
Record cold threat for holiday week...

arctic air builds behind the front Monday night and will likely
be locked in place until the end of the week with abnormally
cold temperatures and no major weather systems. With that being
said there is still some big spread in the Tuesday to Wednesday
period in regards to an arctic front alberta clipper system.

This pattern has the potential to impact holiday travel, so will
watch closely. Kept chance pops going with so much spread in
this period and below average confidence. Confidence remains
high on the potential record cold with the naefs percentile
graphics already showing 30 year return interval frequency for
850 and 700mb temps.

Aviation 21z Friday through Wednesday
Near term: vlifr NRN taf sites to ifr downeast sites in sn will
make slow improvement to ifr NRN taf sites and MVFR downeast
sites ovrngt in lighter sn sn shwrs and then to MVFR lowVFR
clgs NRN taf sites andVFR downeast sites on sat.

Short term: all sites will becomeVFR Sunday afternoon and
evening. Another round of MVFR tempo ifr occurs for all sites
later Sunday night into Monday morning due to CIGS and
snow,threat looks highest at kbhb and khul TAF sites. No major
storms expected thanksgiving holiday week, but there could be some
weak alberta clipper waves that could bring tempo ifr
conditions at times.

Marine
Near term: the gale wrng has been dropped in lieu of an SCA for
all of our waters xpctd to cont til at least late Sat aftn. Had
to lean more with higher ww3 WV guidance to cvr very hi seas ovr
the outer waters this while retaining nwps WV guidance for the
immediate coastal waters area, trending more toward nwps late
tngt and sat.

Short term: no significant coastal low pressure systems are
expected over the waters Sunday through mid-week. Some sca
conditions are possible behind some cold fronts on Monday night
and maybe again on Thursday put confidence is still very low at
this point.

Car watches warnings advisories
Me... Winter storm warning until 2 am est Saturday for mez002.

Winter storm warning until 8 pm est this evening for
mez003>006-010-011-015-031-032.

Winter weather advisory until 2 am est Saturday for mez001.

Winter weather advisory until 8 pm est this evening for mez016-
017-029-030.

Marine... Small craft advisory until 6 pm est Saturday for anz050>052.

Near term... Vjn
short term... Dumont
long term... Dumont
aviation... Vjn dumont
marine... Vjn dumont


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
PSBM1 - 8410140 - Eastport, ME 14 mi47 min NNW 21 G 26 31°F 48°F995.3 hPa
CFWM1 - Cutler Farris Wharf, ME (8411060) 30 mi41 min NNE 8.9 G 20 29°F 48°F994.1 hPa
ATGM1 - 8413320 - Bar Harbor, ME 75 mi41 min N 12 G 19 29°F 44°F997.9 hPa
44034 - Buoy I0103 - Eastern Maine Shelf 86 mi67 min N 27 G 35 34°F 50°F16 ft994.8 hPa

Wind History for Eastport, ME
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Bar Harbor, Hancock County-Bar Harbor Airport, ME80 mi15 minN 10 G 175.00 miLight Snow Fog/Mist26°F24°F92%999.1 hPa

Wind History from BHB (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrN3N3CalmN4N3N4N4NE4NE5NE8NE11NE8NE12NE14
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NW7NW10NW7N4NW4NW4NW74N6N63CalmN3Calm
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Tide / Current Tables for Robbinston, Maine
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Robbinston
Click for Map
Fri -- 05:04 AM EST     17.30 feet High Tide
Fri -- 06:27 AM EST     Sunrise
Fri -- 11:20 AM EST     3.35 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 01:13 PM EST     Moonrise
Fri -- 03:58 PM EST     Sunset
Fri -- 05:26 PM EST     17.71 feet High Tide
Fri -- 11:48 PM EST     2.38 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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3.76.49.713.216.117.316.514.211.38.15.23.53.86.19.112.415.517.517.415.412.59.15.73.1

Tide / Current Tables for Grand Manan Channel (Bay of Fundy Entrance), New Brunswick Current
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Grand Manan Channel (Bay of Fundy Entrance)
Click for Map
Fri -- 02:02 AM AST     1.51 knots Max Flood
Fri -- 05:45 AM AST     -0.00 knots Slack
Fri -- 07:25 AM AST     Sunrise
Fri -- 08:53 AM AST     -0.93 knots Max Ebb
Fri -- 11:32 AM AST     0.00 knots Slack
Fri -- 02:12 PM AST     Moonrise
Fri -- 02:22 PM AST     1.14 knots Max Flood
Fri -- 04:58 PM AST     Sunset
Fri -- 05:33 PM AST     -0.00 knots Slack
Fri -- 09:11 PM AST     -1.14 knots Max Ebb
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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0.71.31.51.30.90.4-0.1-0.5-0.8-0.9-0.8-0.30.30.81.11.10.70.3-0.2-0.6-1-1.1-1-0.7

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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wmap_A
GOES Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Wind Forecast for Caribou, ME (17,4,5,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Caribou, ME
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.