Wednesday, May22, 2019 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Menominee, MI

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
10/6/2018 Colors of tide XTide graphs changed to emphasize that they were upgraded. See next note. Comments welcome.
10/4/2018 I have fixed XTide and updated the harmonic files. There were some name changes so you might have to click EDIT to find the new station name.

Sunrise 5:15AMSunset 8:21PM Wednesday May 22, 2019 8:35 AM CDT (13:35 UTC) Moonrise 12:00AMMoonset 8:19AM Illumination 87% Phase: Waning Gibbous; Moon at 18 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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LMZ521 Green Bay South Of Line From Cedar River To Rock Island Passage And North Of A Line From Oconto Wi To Little Sturgeon Bay Wi- Green Bay South Of Line From Oconto Wi To Little Sturgeon Bay Wi- 434 Am Cdt Wed May 22 2019
.small craft should exercise caution from early this morning through this afternoon...
Today..SE wind 10 to 15 kts. Brief gusts to 30 knots early this mornign. Waves 1 to 3 ft. Showers ending. Chance of Thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Tonight..SE wind 5 to 10 kts veering sw in the late evening and overnight. Waves 2 ft or less. Patchy fog in the evening. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the evening.
Thursday..W wind 10 to 20 kts. Waves 1 to 3 ft. Partly Sunny.
Thursday night..N wind 5 to 10 kts veering ne after midnight. Waves 2 ft or less. Partly cloudy in the evening then becoming mostly cloudy.
LMZ521 Expires:201905221615;;268443 FZUS53 KGRB 220934 NSHGRB Nearshore Marine Forecast National Weather Service Green Bay WI 434 AM CDT Wed May 22 2019 For waters within five nautical miles of shore on Lake Michigan LMZ521-522-221615-


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Menominee, MI
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location: 45.12, -87.62     debug


Area Discussion for - Green Bay, WI
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Fxus63 kgrb 221140
afdgrb
area forecast discussion
national weather service green bay wi
640 am cdt Wed may 22 2019
updated aviation portion for 12z TAF issuance

Short term Today... Tonight... And Thursday
issued at 426 am cdt Wed may 22 2019
a very rare phenomenon took place early this morning between 230
am and 430 am over central and northcentral wisconsin when
evaporatively cooled air on the western edge of a band of rain
brought down strong winds that were a few thousand feet above the
ground. This sometimes happens on the back edge of an organized
mesoscale convective complex, but there were no thunderstorms at
all this morning. Wind gusts to over 50 mph brought down many
trees and power lines.

The rain that caused the gusty winds over central and northcentral
wisconsin will exit the area shortly after daybreak, but there is
potential that thunderstorms could form this afternoon as an
unusually strong upper jet for this time of year moves across the
region. Forecast soundings lend support for a chance of scattered
strong or severe storms which was brought to the attention of
spc. They will consider including a marginal chance in 13z day 1
update.

After any convection ends this evening there should be clearing
tonight and dry and seasonable weather Thursday.

Long term Thursday night through Tuesday
issued at 426 am cdt Wed may 22 2019
forecast concerns continue to revolve around precip chances through
the holiday weekend, and the potential for strong or severe storms
on Friday. No significant changes to the overall pattern through
the weekend, and the gfs ECMWF remain in relatively good agreement.

Will take a blend of these models for much of this forecast.

Thursday night through Friday night... Surface high pressure will be
moving across the region on Thursday night. Progged soundings
indicate that some low stratus could linger across parts of the area
through the evening, particularly over northern wi. But then
subsidence should lead to a brief period of clearing late in the
evening into the early overnight as low level moisture scours out.

However, will see clouds rapidly return late in the night when
southwest flow increases aloft over a stalled front over illinois
and iowa. Will likely see rain move in from the southwest by early
Friday morning, which is perhaps a little slower than 24 hours ago.

Some models are showing decent rainfall amounts Friday morning over
parts of central to east-central wi. How quickly this rain moves
through and how far north the warm front will reach will help
determine whether a severe threat can develop on Friday afternoon.

It is quite possible that clouds precip and east winds off lake
michigan keep the warm front over southern wi. Thunderstorms will
likely be more elevated in nature on Friday afternoon evening if
this occurs. Nonetheless, there will be plenty of shear aloft for a
severe threat if the warm front can move into central and east-
central wi, just that it appears chances are low in this occurring.

Over an inch of rain will also be possible over central to east-
central wi, which could lead to a flooding threat as well. The
shower and storm threat will diminish from west to east late Friday
evening into the overnight. Highs on Friday continue to cool since
the warm front may not shift north of southern wi.

Rest of the forecast... Weak shortwave energy may bring a few showers
to far northern wi on Saturday. Otherwise, Saturday and Sunday look
dry at this point with mild temps in the 60s and 70s. Some
indications that a northern stream shortwave will push a cold front
across northern wi on late Sunday afternoon or more likely on Sunday
night. Shower chances appear relatively low along it though. The
next significant threat of widespread precip is now looking to occur
on Tuesday.

Aviation For 12z TAF issuance
issued at 639 am cdt Wed may 22 2019
MVFR ceilings are expected in most places today.

Conditions could improve toVFR in the afternoon across eastern
wisconsin.

Scattered thunderstorms are possible during the late afternoon and
early evening hours with gusty winds and hail possible. The best
chance for thunderstorms is across central and northern wisconsin.

Partial clearing is expected tonight though low clouds could
return for several hours towards daybreak Thursday.

Grb watches warnings advisories
None.

Short term... ..Rdm
long term... ... Mpc
aviation... ... .Rdm


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
MN4 - 9087088 - Menominee, MI 2 mi47 min E 13 G 15 47°F 54°F1013.9 hPa
CBRW3 - Chambers Island, WI 15 mi55 min E 8 G 13 46°F 1014.2 hPa
NPDW3 - Northport Pier at Death's Door WI 36 mi55 min E 8.9 G 12 44°F 1014.6 hPa
KWNW3 - 9087069- Kewaunee, WI 46 mi47 min E 5.1 G 8.9 44°F 1012.7 hPa

Wind History for Menominee, MI
(wind in knots)    EDIT      (on/off)   Help
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NW15
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NE21
G27
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G35
NE24
G32
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G12
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G11
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G14
NW14

Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Menominee - Marinette Twin County Airport, MI1 mi39 minE 1010.00 miOvercast47°F45°F93%1014.4 hPa
Door County Cherryland Airport, WI23 mi39 minE 8 G 1410.00 miOvercast45°F43°F93%1016.5 hPa

Wind History from MNM (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrE8E9E10E9E9E9E9E9E12E9E6E5E5E10SE11SE10SE9SE12SE5SE12E14
G20
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1 day agoN13
G19
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SE9SE8SE5E4S3CalmCalmCalmNW3CalmW3CalmCalmCalmN3NE4
2 days agoNE21
G25
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NE16
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G26
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NE11NE13
G22
N13N9N6N5NW5NW6NW7NW7
G14
NW9N8NW8NW6N4N7N12
G18

Tide / Current Tables for
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Weather Map and Satellite Images
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wmap_A
GOES Local Image of GreatLakes    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Green Bay, WI (9,2,3,4)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Green Bay, WI
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.