Sunrise 6:04 AM   Sunset 8:16 PM Moonrise 11:55 PM   Moonset 6:53 AM

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PZZ255 Coastal Waters From Cascade Head To Florence Or Out 10 Nm- 847 Am Pdt Tue Sep 13 2022
.dense fog advisory in effect until 10 pm pdt this evening - .
Rest of today - SW wind to 5 kt. Wind waves sw 1 ft at 4 seconds. NW swell 2 ft at 9 seconds. Widespread dense fog and a chance of showers in the morning, then areas of dense fog in the afternoon. Tonight - N wind to 5 kt. Wind waves N 1 ft at 4 seconds. NW swell 3 ft at 9 seconds. Areas of dense fog in the evening. Patchy dense fog after midnight. Wed - N wind 5 kt. Wind waves N 1 ft at 4 seconds. NW swell 3 ft at 9 seconds. Patchy dense fog in the morning. Wed night - NW wind 5 kt. Wind waves W 1 ft at 4 seconds. NW swell 3 ft at 9 seconds. Thu - SE wind 5 kt, veering to W in the afternoon. Wind waves se 1 ft at 4 seconds, shifting to the W at 4 seconds in the afternoon. NW swell 3 ft at 10 seconds. Thu night - N wind 5 to 10 kt. Wind waves N 1 ft at 4 seconds. NW swell 3 ft at 10 seconds. Fri - N wind 5 to 10 kt. Wind waves 2 ft. NW swell 3 ft. Sat - NW wind 5 to 10 kt. Wind waves 2 ft. NW swell 4 ft.

PZZ200 157 Pm Pdt Sat Apr 27 2024
Synopsis for the southern washington and northern oregon coast - Elevated wind and seas persist through this afternoon, resulting in steep and choppy seas at times. Gusty southwesterly winds becoming westerly and subsiding late this afternoon. Winds and seas slowly build Sunday afternoon as the next system moves into the region for the start of the upcoming week.

FXUS66 KPQR 272152 AFDPQR

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Portland OR 252 PM PDT Sat Apr 27 2024

SYNOPSIS
Front continues to bring rain this afternoon, transitioning into showery conditions that will continue through early next week. Wednesday and Thursday may have a break from showers, but expect a return of precipitation into next weekend.

SHORT TERM
(Today through Tuesday)...Fast moving front continues to move eastward, reaching the Cascades in the late afternoon. Rain will transition to showers behind the front, resulting in showers throughout the region by evening. Not much rain expected from this front today, with 0.25 to 0.50 inch (30-50% chance to exceed 0.5 inch) expected in the Coast Range and Cascades, northward of Newport and Mt Jefferson (Oregon Highway 20). Expect less rain across the coast and inland valleys, around 0.10 to 0.25 inch. Otherwise, similar 24 hour rainfall amounts for Monday and Tuesday, with Monday reaching farther south in the Coast Range and Cascades unlike today and Tuesday.

Cooler air aloft will push inland tonight as the front passes, maintaining showers. This cooler air will steepen lapse rates and bring some instability through Tuesday for southwest Washington and northwest Oregon, as well as along the coast. As a result, any cloud breaks during the afternoon could provide enough warming to produce an isolated thunderstorm, most notably Monday through Tuesday, with less chances Sunday. Will keep a slight chance of isolated thunderstorms along the coast and for inland areas north of a Lincoln City to Salem line through Tuesday.

Sunday night, another fast moving system will move southeastward into the region, bringing steady rain for a brief period before transitioning to showers. As this system passes by and brings cold air, snow levels of 4000-4500 feet will drop to 2000-2500 feet early Monday morning. As a result, 4-8 inches of 12 hour snowfall across the Cascades is expected through Monday morning.
With chances around 50-60% of 12 hourly snowfall exceeding 6 inches Monday morning, as well as a late season drop of snow levels, a Winter Weather Advisory has been issued from 11PM Sunday to 11AM Monday for the Cascades.
-JH

LONG TERM
(Wednesday through Friday)...Overall confidence is low to moderate as the pattern stays rather progressive into late next week. Deterministic and ensemble guidance continue to struggle to resolve the longitudinal placement of ridge/trough features going forward. Wednesday guidance has continued to trend a little drier nudging a larger scale upper-level low further north while a transient ridge glides over the region.
Out of all the ensemble solutions available, this scenario is present in roughly 60% of them in addition to the latest deterministic ECMWF and GFS. Thursday and beyond, model uncertainty becomes truly significant with nearly a 50/50 split between maintaining a ridge feature overhead or bringing a potent trough into the region by Thursday and becoming most defined Friday. Current confidence in the forecast by Thursday is low.
-JH/Schuldt

AVIATION
Scattered showers continue across NW Oregon and SW Washington through Sunday, bringing lowered ceilings and visibilities at times. Along the coast and higher terrain, predominately MVFR conditions with local IFR in heavier showers expected through the period. Elsewhere, including lowland valleys, ceilings expected to hover right around the VFR/MVFR threshold, generally bouncing around between 2500-3500 ft through around 07z Sunday. Expect lower ceilings and visibilities in passing showers.

Southerly winds across the airspace through around 00Z Sunday with gusts up to 25 kt along the coast and up to 20 kt for inland locations. Afterwards, winds along the coast will become more westerly with gusts up to 15 kt as southerly winds persist inland with gusts up to 10 kt through the remainder of the TAF period.

Notes: The ASOS at KTTD is only available via the dial in option.
The AWOS at KMMV is still out of commission. There is no estimated time of repair.

PDX AND APPROACHES...Predominately VFR with rain showers. Ceilings will hover around 3500-4500 ft through the TAF period along with a 60-80% probability for MVFR conditions from 21z Saturday through 05z Sunday. Southerly winds with gusts up to 20 kt through around 00Z Sunday. Afterwards, winds will subside with gusts up to 10 kt through the remainder of the TAF period. -HEC

MARINE
Elevated conditions persist through today, resulting in steep and choppy seas along with gusty southwesterly winds with gusts up to 30 kt. Therefore, have adjusted the timing of the current Small Craft Advisories to reflect this as conditions will start to subside by Saturday afternoon as winds become more westerly. However, this will be somewhat short lived as the next system is expected to start impacting the waters Sunday and will bring a return to Small Craft winds and seas that are expected to persist across as waters through the start of the upcoming week. /42

PQR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
OR...Winter Weather Advisory from 11 PM Sunday to 11 AM PDT Monday for ORZ126>128.
WA...Winter Weather Advisory from 11 PM Sunday to 11 AM PDT Monday for WAZ211.
PZ...Small Craft Advisory until 8 PM PDT this evening for PZZ210- 251>253.
Small Craft Advisory until 5 PM PDT this afternoon for PZZ271>273.

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Nestucca Bay entrance
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Sat -- 02:29 AM PDT     7.36 feet High Tide
Sat -- 06:09 AM PDT     Sunrise
Sat -- 07:56 AM PDT     Moonset
Sat -- 10:01 AM PDT     -0.68 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 04:35 PM PDT     5.37 feet High Tide
Sat -- 08:17 PM PDT     Sunset
Sat -- 09:29 PM PDT     2.93 feet Low Tide
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Nestucca Bay entrance, Oregon, Tide feet

Tillamook
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Sat -- 03:26 AM PDT     6.29 feet High Tide
Sat -- 06:08 AM PDT     Sunrise
Sat -- 07:55 AM PDT     Moonset
Sat -- 12:04 PM PDT     -0.43 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 05:32 PM PDT     4.59 feet High Tide
Sat -- 08:17 PM PDT     Sunset
Sat -- 11:32 PM PDT     1.85 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

Tillamook, Hoquarten Slough, Oregon, Tide feet

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