Wednesday, November14, 2018 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Ellison Bay, WI

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
10/6/2018 Colors of tide XTide graphs changed to emphasize that they were upgraded. See next note. Comments welcome.
10/4/2018 I have fixed XTide and updated the harmonic files. There were some name changes so you might have to click EDIT to find the new station name.

Sunrise 6:46AMSunset 4:26PM Wednesday November 14, 2018 3:47 AM CST (09:47 UTC) Moonrise 1:35PMMoonset 11:23PM Illumination 38% Phase: Waxing Crescent; Moon at 6 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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LMZ541 Rock Island Passage To Sturgeon Bay Wi- Sturgeon Bay To Two Rivers Wi-two Rivers To Sheboygan Wi- 901 Pm Cst Tue Nov 13 2018
Rest of tonight..W wind 10 to 20 kts. Waves 1 to 3 ft. Clear.
Wednesday..W wind 10 to 15 kts backing sw early in the afternoon. Waves 2 ft or less. Sunny.
Wednesday night..SW wind 15 to 25 kts. Waves 3 to 5 ft building to 4 to 7 ft after midnight. Clear. A small craft advisory may be needed.
Thursday..S wind 15 to 25 kts. Waves 4 to 7 ft. Mostly Sunny.
LMZ541 Expires:201811141115;;270250 FZUS53 KGRB 140301 NSHGRB Nearshore Marine Forecast National Weather Service Green Bay WI 901 PM CST Tue Nov 13 2018 For waters within five nautical miles of shore on Lake Michigan LMZ541>543-141115-


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Ellison Bay, WI
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location: 45.21, -87.02     debug


Area Discussion for - Green Bay, WI
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Fxus63 kgrb 140911
afdgrb
area forecast discussion
national weather service green bay wi
311 am cst Wed nov 14 2018
forecast discussion for routine morning forecast issuance

Short term Today... Tonight... And Thursday
issued at 310 am cst Wed nov 14 2018
quiet weather expected through the short-term portion of the
forecast. Below normal temperatures will linger, with some
moderation expected today and Thursday.

A surface ridge over much of the area will shift slowly to the east
this afternoon and tonight. At the same time, 500mb heights are
expected to steadily rise across the area. To start the day, there
may be a few lake effect snow showers over vilas county as winds
aloft start out northwesterly. This should quickly taper off lift
northward by day break as winds become more westerly to
southwesterly on the back side of the slowly departing surface ridge
and upper trough. Return flow on the back side of the departing high
pressure ridge will allow temperatures to slowly warm on southerly
winds. Temperatures will be warmer; however, the temps will remain
below normal. It looks like most of the area will see partly
cloudy skies, outside of some lake effect clouds along the door
peninsula tonight through Thursday and some mid-level cloud cover
across the north-central this morning. Afternoon highs today are
expected to warm into the upper 20s to low 30s, while Thursday
afternoon highs may reach into the upper 30s to low 40s. Overnight
lows tonight will also be a bit warmer with most locations
dropping into the upper teens to around 20 degrees.

Long term Thursday night through Tuesday
issued at 310 am cst Wed nov 14 2018
except for Friday, when highs should approach normal readings,
temperatures will be below normal through at least the early part
of next week.

Southerly surface flow and clouds Thursday evening should allow
for above normal low temperatures to start the day on Friday.

Though winds are expected to become northwest late Thursday night
the warmer start to the day is expected to allow high
temperatures to get close to normal on Friday. There is a chance
for light snow across about the northern half of the area as a
clipper system passes. Snow chances are mainly confined to north-
central wisconsin due to lake effect Friday through Saturday.

Wind direction becomes unfavorable for lake effect in the
forecast area until Monday into Monday evening. Models have
another clipper system for the early part of next week but there
are significant differences in location and timing.

Aviation For 06z TAF issuance
issued at 1025 pm cst Tue nov 13 2018
lake effect clouds with ceilings of 2500 to 3500 feet are possible
overnight roughly north of a rhi to imt line with mostly clear skies
elsewhere.VFR weather conditions are expected Wednesday through
Thursday afternoon with light surface winds and excellent
visibility.

Grb watches warnings advisories
None.

Short term... ..Cooley
long term... ... Mg
aviation... ... .Rdm


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
NPDW3 - Northport Pier at Death's Door WI 6 mi33 min WNW 5.1 G 9.9 21°F 1030.8 hPa
CBRW3 - Chambers Island, WI 18 mi67 min WSW 8 G 16 18°F 1030.1 hPa
MN4 - 9087088 - Menominee, MI 31 mi47 min WSW 11 G 14 14°F 42°F1031.4 hPa (+1.1)-4°F
FPTM4 - Fairport, MI 34 mi67 min WNW 15 G 20 20°F 1029.8 hPa

Wind History for Menominee, MI
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Door County Cherryland Airport, WI32 mi51 minW 910.00 miA Few Clouds17°F10°F77%1034.2 hPa

Wind History from SUE (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrNW13NW14
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1 day agoNW10NW11NW11
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W9W9W10W7NW10NW11W10NW8NW5NW6W4NW7NW10NW8NW10NW11NW11NW8NW9NW10NW11
2 days agoS5S5S5SW5S7SW7SW8SW9SW10SW9SW6SW6S7S5S4SW5SW5W5W8W9W6W5W8--

Tide / Current Tables for
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Weather Map and Satellite Images
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wmap_A
GOES Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Green Bay, WI (4,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Green Bay, WI
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.