Tuesday, May21, 2019 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Rouses Point, NY

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
10/6/2018 Colors of tide XTide graphs changed to emphasize that they were upgraded. See next note. Comments welcome.
10/4/2018 I have fixed XTide and updated the harmonic files. There were some name changes so you might have to click EDIT to find the new station name.

Sunrise 5:14AMSunset 8:26PM Tuesday May 21, 2019 3:21 PM EDT (19:21 UTC) Moonrise 11:21PMMoonset 7:28AM Illumination 92% Phase: Waning Gibbous; Moon at 17 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Rouses Point, NY
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location: 45.71, -73.42     debug


Area Discussion for - Burlington, VT
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Fxus61 kbtv 211724
afdbtv
area forecast discussion
national weather service burlington vt
124 pm edt Tue may 21 2019

Synopsis
A surface cold front will sweep across the north country early this
morning. The cold front will be associated with scattered light
rain showers, and the potential for some additional sprinkles
or light rain showers this afternoon across the northern
mountains and into vermont's northeast kingdom. Post-frontal
cloudiness will be abundant. Clouds along with gusty
northwesterly winds will keep temperatures significantly cooler
than recent days with highs generally in the upper 50s to lower
60s. High pressure building in from the west will bring diminishing
winds and clearing tonight, with dry weather through the first
half of Thursday. An upper-level disturbance approaching from
southeastern ontario will bring our next chance for
precipitation, with showers and embedded thunderstorms possible
late Thursday into Thursday night. Another frontal system will
bring increasing chances for rain late Saturday into Saturday
night, with drying conditions on Sunday as the frontal system
shifts east of new england for the latter half of the weekend.

Near term through Wednesday
As of 112 pm edt Tuesday... Scattered showers continue across
the region, along with cloudy skies and brisk winds. Current
temperatures are in the mid upper 40s to mid 50s, and they
should only rise another few degrees today. The forecast has
this all covered, so no changes were needed with this update.

Previous discussion... In the wake of a cold front, moderate
gradient flow combined with steep low-level lapse rates in caa
regime will result in gusty NW winds today. Generally looking at
winds NW 15-25 mph, with gusts 30-35 mph, highest between
17-22z. Frontal inversion will trap low moisture stratus, and
appears most binovc will be limited to downslope areas east of
the mtns this afternoon. Also, shallow instability and cold
850mb temps (-2c to +1c) may promote a few showers this
afternoon, mainly across the mtns and across vermont's northeast
kingdom. Show a brief period of increasing pops, up to 50%
across far NRN vt, for the early to mid aftn period, before
decreasing again with stronger drying toward evening.

Mid-level subsidence will trend the north country toward
clearing skies tonight as high pressure builds in across sern
ontario and WRN central ny overnight. Will also see diminishing
winds after sunset, generally falling into the 5-10 mph range for
tonight. Overnight lows in the upper 30s to mid 40s are
generally expected, except in the mid 30s across the northern
adirondacks. Combination of lower dewpoints and continued light
winds will likely preclude much in the way of fog formation
tonight, but can't rule out some patchy fog in highly sheltered
valleys after midnight given saturated ground conditions over
much of the region. In the absence of fog, could see a touch of
patchy frost across the adirondacks, where the frost freeze
program has now begun (as of may 21st). However, pbl mixing
should limit any widespread frost potl.

High pressure crests over the region Wednesday with an accompanying
building mid-level ridge and an axis of 1000-500mb rh near 20% over
the north country. May see some filtered sunshine with advancing
cirrus during the afternoon hours, but overall a pleasant day with
temperatures moderating into the mid-upper 60s for afternoon highs.

Winds will resume nwly at 5-10 mph for much of the day Wednesday.

Short term Wednesday night through Thursday night
As of 332 am edt Tuesday... A low pressure system tracking from
the northern plains through southern quebec will send a series
of fronts through the area Thursday. Initially, a warm front
will move through Wednesday night through Thursday morning,
accompanied by warm air and moisture advection. Lows Wednesday
night will be coldest in eastern vermont, where the the warmer
air will be slower to arrive and temperatures will bottom out in
the low 40s. Further west however, lows in northern new york
and the champlain valley will be in the upper 40s to low 50s.

Daytime highs Thursday will rise into the upper 60s to low 70s,
resulting in increasing instability over the region within the warm
sector of the cyclone. An upper-level compact shortwave will
approach from the west Thursday afternoon through evening, which
along with a surface cold front, will provide forcing for the
development of some convective showers with the potential for some
embedded thunderstorms.

Long term Friday through Monday
As of 332 am edt Tuesday... The long term synoptic pattern overall
shows little sign of any major weather pattern shifts, with a
strong ridge centered over the southeastern us continuing to
dominate the large-scale flow. Our forecast area will remain on
the northern periphery of the ridge, in a region characterized
by fast, progressive flow with multiple waves quickly moving in
and out, bringing quick shots of rain followed by brief dry
spells. Temperatures will be near or slightly above normal.

Convective rain will continue Thursday night as the region
remains under favorable jet dynamics and in a region of dpva as
a shortwave trough swings through. By early Friday morning, the
forecast area will be in a post-frontal air mass as the surface
cold front quickly moves to our east. As a result, showers
should end fairly quickly as ridging builds in during the day
Friday. The next chance for precipitation will come during the
day Saturday as another low pressure system tracks eastward from
the northern plains through quebec. This system will transport a
considerable amount of moisture and warm air from the gulf to
the north country, so there will once again be a chance for some
thunderstorms to develop during the day Saturday along and ahead
of the system's cold front.

Aviation 17z Tuesday through Sunday
Through 18z Wednesday... Main aviation weather concern through
late this afternoon will be gusty NW winds and resultant low-
level turbulence. Ceilings have risen toVFR at all terminals
and this should persist through the afternoon, though can't
rule out local MVFR conditions in scattered showers, mainly at
kslk and kmpv. Winds and clouds will decrease as we head toward
sunset and mixing lessens. Skies will gradually clear from west
to east overnight, and winds will drop down to around 10 kt by
06z at all sites. Mostly clear skies andVFR conditions will
prevail through the remainder of the period. Winds will become
5-10 kt out of the north after 12z Wednesday.

Outlook...

Wednesday night:VFR. No sig wx.

Thursday:VFR. Chance shra, slight chance tsra.

Thursday night: mainlyVFR, with areas MVFR possible. Likely
shra.

Friday: mainlyVFR, with areas MVFR possible. Slight chance shra.

Friday night:VFR. Slight chance shra.

Saturday: mainly MVFR, with areasVFR possible. Likely shra.

Saturday night: mainlyVFR, with areas MVFR possible. Likely
shra.

Sunday: mainlyVFR, with local MVFR possible. Slight chance shra.

Btv watches warnings advisories
Vt... None.

Ny... None.

Synopsis... Banacos
near term... Banacos hastings
short term... Rsd
long term... Rsd
aviation... Banacos hastings


Weather Reporting Stations
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure

Wind History from FSO (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrCalmCalmE3E6E6E3CalmN3E4Calm--------------------------S7
1 day agoW4W4W4W4W4NW6W4NW3NW3W3NW3SW3CalmCalmN3N3CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmE3
2 days agoE3CalmS3S4S5CalmE4SE6E7CalmSW5S5NW3W5NW8NW9
G15
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G15
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Tide / Current Tables for Sorel, Quebec
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Sorel
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Tue -- 01:26 AM EDT     1.14 meters Low Tide
Tue -- 05:13 AM EDT     Sunrise
Tue -- 05:19 AM EDT     1.15 meters High Tide
Tue -- 07:25 AM EDT     Moonset
Tue -- 12:50 PM EDT     1.12 meters Low Tide
Tue -- 06:49 PM EDT     1.15 meters High Tide
Tue -- 08:24 PM EDT     Sunset
Tue -- 11:20 PM EDT     Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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1.11.11.11.11.11.11.11.11.11.11.11.11.11.11.11.11.11.11.21.21.21.11.11.1

Tide / Current Tables for Islets Perces, Quebec
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Islets Perces
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Tue -- 02:39 AM EDT     0.92 meters Low Tide
Tue -- 05:13 AM EDT     Sunrise
Tue -- 05:25 AM EDT     0.92 meters High Tide
Tue -- 07:24 AM EDT     Moonset
Tue -- 01:33 PM EDT     0.88 meters Low Tide
Tue -- 07:39 PM EDT     0.91 meters High Tide
Tue -- 08:24 PM EDT     Sunset
Tue -- 11:19 PM EDT     Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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0.90.90.90.90.90.90.90.90.90.90.90.90.90.90.90.90.90.90.90.90.90.90.90.9

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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GOES Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Wind Forecast for Burlington, VT (15,3,4,5)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Burlington, VT
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.