Sunday, February17, 2019 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Watersmeet, MI

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
10/6/2018 Colors of tide XTide graphs changed to emphasize that they were upgraded. See next note. Comments welcome.
10/4/2018 I have fixed XTide and updated the harmonic files. There were some name changes so you might have to click EDIT to find the new station name.

Sunrise 6:54AMSunset 5:30PM Sunday February 17, 2019 8:04 PM CST (02:04 UTC) Moonrise 4:03PMMoonset 6:40AM Illumination 98% Phase: Waxing Gibbous; Moon at 13 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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LSZ241 200 Pm Edt Sun Sep 2 2018
.strong Thunderstorms over the waters... The areas affected include... Black river to ontonagon mi... Lake superior from saxon harbor wi to upper entrance to portage canal mi 5nm off shore to the us/canadian border including isle royal national park... Ontonagon to upper entrance of portage canal mi... At 159 pm edt, doppler radar indicated strong Thunderstorms, capable of producing winds up to around 30 to 34 knots. These Thunderstorms were located along a line extending from 12 nm east of the western lake superior buoy to 40 nm northeast of saxon harbor, moving east at 30 knots. Precautionary/preparedness actions... Mariners can expect gusty winds to around 30 to 34 knots, locally higher waves, and lightning strikes. Boaters should seek safe harbor immediately until these storms pass. Report severe weather to the coast guard or nearest law enforcement agency. They will relay your report to the national weather service forecast office. && lat...lon 4723 8982 4759 8894 4700 8888 4697 8894 4695 8911 4683 8931 4679 8971
LSZ241 Expires:201809021845;;605016 FZUS73 KMQT 021800 MWSMQT Marine Weather Statement National Weather Service Marquette MI 200 PM EDT SUN SEP 2 2018 LSZ241-242-263-021845-


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Watersmeet, MI
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location: 46.22, -89.27     debug


Area Discussion for - Green Bay, WI
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Fxus63 kgrb 180001
afdgrb
area forecast discussion
national weather service green bay wi
601 pm cst Sun feb 17 2019
updated aviation portion for 00z TAF issuance

Short term Tonight and Monday
issued at 328 pm cst Sun feb 17 2019
snow continued across about the southern half of wisconsin today
but was not making a great deal of northward progress. The dry
air between 890 mb and 630 mb, as seen on the 12z kgrb sounding,
is likely a major factor in keeping much of the snow out of the
area. There was a band of lake-effect snow that passed through
door county and marinette before continuing to south-southwest
through the green bay area. Lake enhancement in the east is a
concern this evening before the snow departs as the surface low
continues to move away from wisconsin and the mid level trough
axis passes to our east. Manitowoc county appears to have the best
chance to receive accumulating snow but totals are not expected
to be more than an inch or two there.

Clouds tonight should keep temperatures from going into free-fall
so have mainly single digits to around 15 degrees for lows. Some
locations in far north-central wisconsin may end up with lows a
few degrees below zero. A slightly colder airmass will be in place
on washington's birthday but decreasing clouds should allow for
highs in the teens to lower 20s across most of the forecast area.

Long term Monday night through Sunday
issued at 328 pm cst Sun feb 17 2019
a short wave trough moving from the central rockies
towards the great lakes will produce upper diffluence and low
level warm advection late Tuesday night and Wednesday. The upper
jet is very strong (120 kts at 500mb) even for the winter months,
with the left exit region of it forecast to move across the
forecast area Wednesday.

The best moist low low level moisture stays well to our south
over the ohio valley, but there is still 2 or 3 g kg of moisture
available which should result in about three to five inches of
snow in most places. A jet this strong will likely produce a
narrow band of heavier snow, but it is difficult to tell where
that will be right now.

Upper flow becomes more zonal Thursday and Friday with mostly dry and
seasonable weather expected. Another weather system is possible next
Saturday and Sunday, but the models are having a hard time with it.

Aviation For 00z TAF issuance
issued at 600 pm cst Sun feb 17 2019
dry northeast flow has prevented the northward progress of light snow
into the forecast area, except from roughly y50-osh, and near the
lake michigan shoreline, where lake-effect was becoming more
organized. Based on recent trends, will continue the mention of
occasional MVFR ceilings and flurries well into the evening, but
back off on snow.

The exception will be near lake michigan and the mtw TAF site,
where cold northeast flow will bring lake-effect until after
midnight. Synoptic enhancement will occur during the early to mid
evening, and could result in periods of moderate snowfall and lifr
flight conditions. The snow will end in east central wi
overnight, and clearing skies should occur regionwide late tonight
into Monday morning.

Gusty northeast winds will diminish and become north later this
evening.

Grb watches warnings advisories
None.

Short term... ..Mg
long term... ... Rdm
aviation... ... .Kieckbusch


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
SXHW3 - Saxon Harbor, WI 66 mi85 min NE 15 G 19 15°F 1021.3 hPa
PCLM4 - Portage Canal, MI 83 mi85 min E 6 G 9.9 13°F 1022.7 hPa

Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Land O' Lakes, Kings Land O' Lakes Airport, WI5 mi70 minNNE 610.00 miMostly Cloudy14°F9°F81%1017.6 hPa
Eagle River Union Airport, WI20 mi50 minNNE 810.00 miFair13°F6°F77%1016.6 hPa

Wind History from LNL (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrCalmNE3CalmCalmCalmE3CalmCalmCalmCalmNE3CalmN4CalmNE5NE8NE5NE7NE7NE6N8N7N5N9
G14
1 day agoW3W4NW3NW6NW4NW3N5N9
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N5N5CalmNE3CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmN3CalmNE4NE3CalmCalmCalm
2 days agoW6W11
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N6NW7NW6NW5W5

Tide / Current Tables for
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Weather Map and Satellite Images
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wmap_A
GOES Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Green Bay, WI (21,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Marquette, MI
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.