Wednesday, November14, 2018 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Watersmeet, MI

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
10/6/2018 Colors of tide XTide graphs changed to emphasize that they were upgraded. See next note. Comments welcome.
10/4/2018 I have fixed XTide and updated the harmonic files. There were some name changes so you might have to click EDIT to find the new station name.

Sunrise 6:54AMSunset 4:31PM Wednesday November 14, 2018 5:53 PM CST (23:53 UTC) Moonrise 1:47PMMoonset 11:29PM Illumination 44% Phase: First Quarter Moon; Moon at 7 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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LSZ241 200 Pm Edt Sun Sep 2 2018
.strong Thunderstorms over the waters... The areas affected include... Black river to ontonagon mi... Lake superior from saxon harbor wi to upper entrance to portage canal mi 5nm off shore to the us/canadian border including isle royal national park... Ontonagon to upper entrance of portage canal mi... At 159 pm edt, doppler radar indicated strong Thunderstorms, capable of producing winds up to around 30 to 34 knots. These Thunderstorms were located along a line extending from 12 nm east of the western lake superior buoy to 40 nm northeast of saxon harbor, moving east at 30 knots. Precautionary/preparedness actions... Mariners can expect gusty winds to around 30 to 34 knots, locally higher waves, and lightning strikes. Boaters should seek safe harbor immediately until these storms pass. Report severe weather to the coast guard or nearest law enforcement agency. They will relay your report to the national weather service forecast office. && lat...lon 4723 8982 4759 8894 4700 8888 4697 8894 4695 8911 4683 8931 4679 8971
LSZ241 Expires:201809021845;;605016 FZUS73 KMQT 021800 MWSMQT Marine Weather Statement National Weather Service Marquette MI 200 PM EDT SUN SEP 2 2018 LSZ241-242-263-021845-


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Watersmeet, MI
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location: 46.22, -89.27     debug


Area Discussion for - Green Bay, WI
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Fxus63 kgrb 142320
afdgrb
area forecast discussion
national weather service green bay wi
520 pm cst Wed nov 14 2018
updated aviation portion for 00z TAF issuance

Short term Tonight and Thursday
issued at 206 pm cst Wed nov 14 2018
high pressure will shift east as a clipper system approaches from
the northwest. Dry conditions are anticipated through Thursday,
along with a gradual increase in mid and high clouds. South flow
will bring a modest boost in temperatures on Thursday.

Will need to watch the lake michigan shoreline, especially
northern door county, later tonight into early Thursday. South
flow should cause lake-enhanced clouds to brush along the coast
and impact northern door county. Given that lake-h8 delta-t's will
only be around 10 c and some shear will exist in the boundary
layer, not planning to add any lake-enhanced precipitation at
this time. However, a few flurries are not out of the question
for northern door county.

Used a blend of the better performing guidance sets for
temperatures. Lowered temperatures a few degrees in the typical
cold spots tonight, with lows expected to range from the middle
teens to the lower 20s. Highs on Thursday should reach the middle
to upper 30s in most locations.

Long term Thursday night through Wednesday
issued at 206 pm cst Wed nov 14 2018
northwesterly flow aloft will remain in place across the region
through the extended period. Temperatures will be close to normal
Friday before dropping back to below normal
southerly flow will be in place at the surface early in the
extended as a clipper system moves through the region Thursday
night into Friday. A brief chance to see some light precipitation
will pass across much of the region, with the greatest focus to
the northern portions of wisconsin. Warmer air in place earlier
in the event could see a few areas of light mixed precipitation,
but any accumulations are expected to be fairly small, even in the
northern areas. Active weather will exit the region by the
afternoon on Friday.

High pressure conditions will build back into the region for the
weekend. The next shot at active weather will arrive next week
with another clipper system. Timing currently suggests sometime on
Tuesday, but models still diverge on the details and timing. Below
normal temperatures will persist through the weekend and next
week.

Aviation For 00z TAF issuance
issued at 514 pm cst Wed nov 14 2018
scattered clouds around 2500 feet are possible near
the lake michigan shore tonight, otherwise it should be clear.

Increasing southwest winds just above the surface will produce
low level wind shear across northcentral wisconsin tonight.VFR
conditions are expected Thursday, with middle and high clouds
arriving during the afternoon. An approaching cold front may
produce some light snow or rain and MVFR ifr conditions
Thursday night.

Grb watches warnings advisories
None.

Short term... ..Kieckbusch
long term... ... Uhlmann
aviation... ... .Rdm


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
SXHW3 - Saxon Harbor, WI 66 mi74 min SSW 2.9 G 6 34°F 1024.4 hPa
PCLM4 - Portage Canal, MI 83 mi74 min SSE 5.1 G 12 27°F 1027.8 hPa

Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Land O' Lakes, Kings Land O' Lakes Airport, WI5 mi59 minSSE 410.00 miFair27°F13°F58%1026.4 hPa
Eagle River Union Airport, WI20 mi59 minSSE 410.00 miFair27°F12°F56%1026.1 hPa

Wind History from LNL (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrW6W3CalmW4CalmW4W4CalmW3W3W3CalmCalmCalmCalmS4S6S5S6S6S3S7S6S5
1 day agoW4W6W4CalmNW3W6W5W5W6W3W7W4W7W5W6W6W6
G15
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2 days agoW3CalmCalmW8W4W3W6W6W3W5W6W3W5W8W5W5W4W6W8
G14
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G15
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G18
W4W5

Tide / Current Tables for
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Weather Map and Satellite Images
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wmap_A
GOES Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Green Bay, WI (18,4,5,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Marquette, MI
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.