Marine Weather and Tides
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|Sunrise 5:34AM||Sunset 9:35PM||Wednesday June 19, 2019 1:41 PM ADT (16:41 UTC)||Moonrise 10:30PM||Moonset 6:37AM||Illumination 95%|
7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Ashland, MEHourly EDIT Help
Area Discussion for - Caribou, ME  (on/off)  Help NOTE: mouseover dotted underlined text for definition
|Fxus61 kcar 191521|
area forecast discussion
national weather service caribou me
1121 am edt Wed jun 19 2019
High pressure will move to the east today. Low pressure from
the midwest will track just south of the region Thursday and
Near term through tonight
Update 11:20 am. The sky remains mostly clear across the area
although cumulus can be seen building in western areas. Latest
outlook is for scattered thunderstorms to develop later this
afternoon, mostly in the west. Then a more organized band of
thundershowers to push into the area late this evening with the
approach of the cold front. Adjusted sky cover down through
midday with clouds increasing as cumulus build during the course
of the afternoon. Also added some fog along the coast. Adjusted
temps up through midday with temps approaching mid 70s already
late this morning.
an upper level trough and a cold front will approach the region
from the northwest today and tonight. Showers and thunderstorms
are expected to break out across the west and north this
afternoon into this evening ahead of the approaching cold front.
Expect showers to spread across the southern and coastal areas
later tonight as the frontal system drifts to the south and low
pressure moves northward along the front.
Short term Thursday through Friday night
Thu mrng wl feature sfc low mvg thru the great lks along sfc bndry.
By 12z Thu all guidance agrees on placement of sfc low ovr NRN oh
before diverging on mvmnt throughout the day. Latest GFS looks to be
too fast while 00z NAM is much slower and wl side more twd a
compromise soln cmc global. As noted by wpc the NAM has a habit of
strengthening S wvs too deeply and thus it's bias has been too
slow as of late.
Overrunning rain looks to take hold acrs CWA Thu aftn and cont thru
the evng hrs. Pw values exceed 1.5 inches along the coast on thu
and Thu night as significant moisture gets drawn in with appchg
system. CWA wl lkly be in coupled jet region Thu night when region
lkly to see highest QPF totals. Currently expecting rainfall amnts
fm 1-1.5 inches over downeast areas with this area in a slight risk
of excessive rainfall. Elevated instability appears to exist ovr srn
areas and with low-lvl jet appchg 30kts cannot rule out locally hvy
downpours. Wl not add thunder in at this point with discrepancies in|
model guidance but bcmg concerned about minor flooding acrs portions
of the area late Thu night into Fri mrng.
Long term Saturday through Tuesday
System wl be departing into the canadian maritimes on Saturday with
last remnant S WV dropping south on Sat sat night bringing showers
to the area and finally shifting east on Sun mrng as upr lvl ridging
builds in fm the west. Latest cmc and ec are much more amplified
early next week whereas GFS has fairly zonal flow and thus mvs rain
in quicker than other guidance. GFS ensemble mean at h5 indicates
more amplified ridge than the operational GFS thus wl follow
superblend with isold showers possible Mon aftn. Temps wl generally
avg above normal thru the middle of the week.
Aviation 15z Wednesday through Sunday
Near term: at kbhb and kbgr expectVFR conditions today then
MVFR ifr conditions tonight. At kfve, kcar, kpqi, and khul
expectVFR conditions this morning then MVFR ifr conditions
later this afternoon and tonight.
Short term: ifr expected on Thursday at all terminals in low
clouds. Cannot rule out locally heavy downpours in thunderstorms
at downeast terminals Thu night. Expect conditions to improve on
Friday with ocnl MVFR conditions possible Sat across the north as
showers rotate through during the afternoon. High pressure will
bringVFR to all terminals on Sunday.
Near term: have used the NAM to initialize the wind grids. For
waves: currently intermediate period swell (around 2 feet 6-7
seconds) is the primary wave system. Expect this wave group to
persist today and tonight. Base on wave watch boundary forecast,
also expect long period southeasterly swell (around 1
foot 12-13 seconds) to begin arriving later today. Wind wave is
expected to remain lest than 1 foot today and tonight.
Short term: expect winds and seas to remain below SCA levels
through the end of the week. Areas of fog will reduce
visibilities Thursday into Friday morning.
Car watches warnings advisories
Near term... Bloomer
short term... Farrar
long term... Farrar
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|Presque Isle, ME||19 mi||45 min||S 4||10.00 mi||Fair||77°F||50°F||39%||1011.6 hPa|
Wind History from PQI (wind in knots)
|1 day ago||NW||W||NW||NW||W||W||W||N||Calm||Calm||Calm||S||Calm||Calm||Calm||SW||Calm||S||S||NW|
|2 days ago||W|
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Wind Forecast for Caribou, ME (12,3,4,5)(on/off)  Help
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