Tuesday, March19, 2019 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Ashland, ME

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
10/6/2018 Colors of tide XTide graphs changed to emphasize that they were upgraded. See next note. Comments welcome.
10/4/2018 I have fixed XTide and updated the harmonic files. There were some name changes so you might have to click EDIT to find the new station name.

Sunrise 7:36AMSunset 7:45PM Tuesday March 19, 2019 4:35 AM ADT (07:35 UTC) Moonrise 5:01PMMoonset 6:15AM Illumination 97% Phase: Waxing Gibbous; Moon at 13 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
    EDIT      (on/off)   Help


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Ashland, ME
   Hourly   EDIT   Help
location: 46.62, -68.39     debug


Area Discussion for - Caribou, ME
      (on/off)   Help   NOTE: mouseover dotted underlined text for definition
Fxus61 kcar 190707
afdcar
area forecast discussion
national weather service caribou me
307 am edt Tue mar 19 2019

Synopsis
High pressure will crest over the region Tuesday into Tuesday
night. High pressure will move south of the area Wednesday. A
trough of low pressure will approach Wednesday night then move
over the area on Thursday.

Near term through tonight
High pressure will continue to build in from the west and crest
over the region today. The high will move to the east into the
atlantic tonight with a southwesterly flow developing. Expect
sunny conditions today and mostly clear tonight with some
radiational cooling possible as winds diminish. Will adjust
temperatures in north several degrees lower than guidance with
radiational cooling possible.

Short term Wednesday through Thursday night
Sfc high wl be building offshore on Wed with sfc winds backing arnd
to the south in the aftn. Winds wl likely decouple in the mrng under
steep low-lvl inversion but once mixing occurs expect they wl begin
to draw in warm air. H8 temps increase abv -10c with highs climbing
into the u30s acrs the north and l40s for downeast. S WV ridge wl
likely keep clds at bay until later in the aftn as digging trof in
the great lks begins to flatten flow aloft.

Bndry wl rmn well back to the west Wed night with downglide acrs the
area until closer to daybreak. Morning lows on Thu wl range fm the
mid-20s acrs the north to arnd frzg along the immediate coast.

Thu wl be the transition day as a weak frontal bndry mvg twd the
region wl slowly stall out. At the same time a sfc low is progged to
dvlp along the carolina coast Thu morning in response to digging
s WV currently along the nd mt border and dropping south with time.

Latest GFS indicates sfc low strengthens as it mvs north along
the eastern seaboard Thu and Thu night and by 12z Fri 993mb sfc
low is tucked into the gulf of maine.

00z NAM and cmc are weaker with NRN stream and thus further south
with sfc low by 12z Fri whereas 00z GFS and ec are similar with
track and phasing of systems near the area late in the week, tho 00z
ec is quicker with phasing thus tracking sfc low further inland. In
the end this wl determine pcpn type with rain possible ovr entire
area on Thu with ptype up in the air for Thu night based on latest
track of euro.

Thru the end of the short term expect that pcpn chcs increase to
lkly acrs the area Thu night. Prefer not to go categorical with
nam cmc indicating more of an offshore track and lingering model
discrepancies. Temps on Thu night wl range fm the l m 30s under srly
flow and cldy skies.

Long term Friday through Monday
Early in the extndd wl be most prolific wx-wise as coastal low
traverses the northeast u.S. 00z med range guidance is still up in
the air wrt ptype for Friday. 00z cmc tracks coastal low south of
nova scotia by 00z Sat with snow for most of the area tho downeast
may see mixed pcpn Fri aftn. Latest GFS has sfc low up nr the gulf
of st. Lawrence 00z Sat with cold air turning mixed pcpn back to
snow. Latest ec has sfc low near penobscot bay with rain for SRN and
ern half of area. Given sgnfcnt uncertainties in track hv gone
with rain on Fri acrs downeast with a rain snow mix ovr cntrl
areas and snow ovr far northwest on fri.

Fri night wl lkly see pcpn end as snow showers ovr the region with
cold air pouring back into the state. Zonal flow expected into early
next week with temps running slightly blo normal for the rmndr of
the long term.

Aviation 07z Tuesday through Saturday
Near term:VFR conditions are expected today and tonight.

Short term:VFR expected Wed through Thu morning before
diminishing to ifr in snow rain into the afternoon. Rain and or
snow will effect terminals through the end of the week. Downeast
terminals improve toVFR on Saturday with lingering MVFR
conditions across the north and possibly down to ifr in snow
showers.

Marine
Near term: will use the NAM to initialize winds. The primary
wave system currently is south southwesterly wind wave around 2
feet 6 seconds. This wave system is expected to remain
approximately the same through tonight however waves may subside
to around 1 foot during the day as winds diminish then increase
in height again tonight. Total water level: total water level is
expected to remain around +0.10 into Wednesday. A storm surge
is expected to develop Thursday and continue into Friday as low
pressure moves through the gulf of maine. In bangor ice has
started to move and the anomaly at low tide has subsided since
yesterday. Will adjust the anomaly such that the lowest tide
will be at a minimum of 4.9 feet mllw for the next several days.

Short term: conditions will be under SCA levels through thu
morning before potential coastal low moves in Thu afternoon,
bringing winds AOA 25kts and seas btwn 5-8 feet. May see winds
approach gale force behind system Friday night into Saturday.

Car watches warnings advisories
Me... None.

Marine... None.

Near term... Mignone
short term... Farrar
long term... Farrar
aviation... Mignone farrar
marine... Mignone farrar


Weather Reporting Stations
   EDIT       (on/off)   Help   NOTE: Click on distance to see the station location on a map

Airport Reports
    EDIT      (on/off)   Help   Click EDIT to display multiple airports
AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Presque Isle, ME19 mi40 minN 010.00 miOvercast16°F9°F74%1028.1 hPa

Wind History from PQI (wind in knots)
4
AM
5
AM
6
AM
7
AM
8
AM
9
AM
10
AM
11
AM
12
PM
1
PM
2
PM
3
PM
4
PM
5
PM
6
PM
7
PM
8
PM
9
PM
10
PM
11
PM
12
AM
1
AM
2
AM
3
AM
Last 24hr--W5W6W6W7W6W13N9NW14NW8
G18
NW14
G17
NW10NW7
G23
W12NW8NW6N5N6N7CalmCalmCalmCalmCalm
1 day agoW9
G17
NW9NW7NW10W18
G25
W16
G23
W17
G25
W13
G19
W14
G20
W13
G20
W14
G24
W20
G23
W20W13W17
G21
W8W7SW7W6SW7W6W6W7W7
2 days agoCalmCalmSW7SW5W9SW6W9SW15
G24
W12
G23
W16
G28
W18
G26
W19
G29
W25
G31
W21
G33
W22
G29
W18
G25
W23
G32
W16W13
G20
W12
G18
W13W16
G22
W16
G26
W18
G23

Tide / Current Tables for
   EDIT   RT Ports Option   Weekend mode (on/off)   (on/off)   Help
Tide / Current Tables for
   EDIT      (on/off)   Help
Weather Map and Satellite Images
       (on/off)   HelpWeather Map
wmap_A
GOES Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Caribou, ME (3,6,7,8)
      (on/off)   Help

Ground Weather Radar Station Caribou, ME
   (on/off)   Help
weather_mapweather_map weather_map

Ad by Google

Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.