Wednesday, June19, 2019

Marine Weather and Tides
Ashland, ME

Version 3.4
6/2/2019. Many thanks to a user for reporting an error on one of the Edit pages. The switch to PHP 7.2 caused many pages that previously worked to quit working. I fixed many but I still depend on users to report ones I missed. Please report errors HERE or send an email to me at Allen

Sunrise 5:34AMSunset 9:35PM Wednesday June 19, 2019 1:41 PM ADT (16:41 UTC) Moonrise 10:30PMMoonset 6:37AM Illumination 95% Phase: Waning Gibbous; Moon at 17 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
    EDIT      (on/off)   Help

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Ashland, ME
   Hourly   EDIT   Help
location: 46.62, -68.39     debug

Area Discussion for - Caribou, ME
      (on/off)   Help   NOTE: mouseover dotted underlined text for definition
Fxus61 kcar 191521
area forecast discussion
national weather service caribou me
1121 am edt Wed jun 19 2019

High pressure will move to the east today. Low pressure from
the midwest will track just south of the region Thursday and

Near term through tonight
Update 11:20 am. The sky remains mostly clear across the area
although cumulus can be seen building in western areas. Latest
outlook is for scattered thunderstorms to develop later this
afternoon, mostly in the west. Then a more organized band of
thundershowers to push into the area late this evening with the
approach of the cold front. Adjusted sky cover down through
midday with clouds increasing as cumulus build during the course
of the afternoon. Also added some fog along the coast. Adjusted
temps up through midday with temps approaching mid 70s already
late this morning.

Previous discussion...

an upper level trough and a cold front will approach the region
from the northwest today and tonight. Showers and thunderstorms
are expected to break out across the west and north this
afternoon into this evening ahead of the approaching cold front.

Expect showers to spread across the southern and coastal areas
later tonight as the frontal system drifts to the south and low
pressure moves northward along the front.

Short term Thursday through Friday night
Thu mrng wl feature sfc low mvg thru the great lks along sfc bndry.

By 12z Thu all guidance agrees on placement of sfc low ovr NRN oh
before diverging on mvmnt throughout the day. Latest GFS looks to be
too fast while 00z NAM is much slower and wl side more twd a
compromise soln cmc global. As noted by wpc the NAM has a habit of
strengthening S wvs too deeply and thus it's bias has been too
slow as of late.

Overrunning rain looks to take hold acrs CWA Thu aftn and cont thru
the evng hrs. Pw values exceed 1.5 inches along the coast on thu
and Thu night as significant moisture gets drawn in with appchg
system. CWA wl lkly be in coupled jet region Thu night when region
lkly to see highest QPF totals. Currently expecting rainfall amnts
fm 1-1.5 inches over downeast areas with this area in a slight risk
of excessive rainfall. Elevated instability appears to exist ovr srn
areas and with low-lvl jet appchg 30kts cannot rule out locally hvy
downpours. Wl not add thunder in at this point with discrepancies in
model guidance but bcmg concerned about minor flooding acrs portions
of the area late Thu night into Fri mrng.

Long term Saturday through Tuesday
System wl be departing into the canadian maritimes on Saturday with
last remnant S WV dropping south on Sat sat night bringing showers
to the area and finally shifting east on Sun mrng as upr lvl ridging
builds in fm the west. Latest cmc and ec are much more amplified
early next week whereas GFS has fairly zonal flow and thus mvs rain
in quicker than other guidance. GFS ensemble mean at h5 indicates
more amplified ridge than the operational GFS thus wl follow
superblend with isold showers possible Mon aftn. Temps wl generally
avg above normal thru the middle of the week.

Aviation 15z Wednesday through Sunday
Near term: at kbhb and kbgr expectVFR conditions today then
MVFR ifr conditions tonight. At kfve, kcar, kpqi, and khul
expectVFR conditions this morning then MVFR ifr conditions
later this afternoon and tonight.

Short term: ifr expected on Thursday at all terminals in low
clouds. Cannot rule out locally heavy downpours in thunderstorms
at downeast terminals Thu night. Expect conditions to improve on
Friday with ocnl MVFR conditions possible Sat across the north as
showers rotate through during the afternoon. High pressure will
bringVFR to all terminals on Sunday.

Near term: have used the NAM to initialize the wind grids. For
waves: currently intermediate period swell (around 2 feet 6-7
seconds) is the primary wave system. Expect this wave group to
persist today and tonight. Base on wave watch boundary forecast,
also expect long period southeasterly swell (around 1
foot 12-13 seconds) to begin arriving later today. Wind wave is
expected to remain lest than 1 foot today and tonight.

Short term: expect winds and seas to remain below SCA levels
through the end of the week. Areas of fog will reduce
visibilities Thursday into Friday morning.

Car watches warnings advisories
Me... None.

Marine... None.

Near term... Bloomer
short term... Farrar
long term... Farrar
aviation... Hewitt
marine... Bloomer

Weather Reporting Stations
   EDIT       (on/off)   Help   NOTE: Click on distance to see the station location on a map

Airport Reports
    EDIT      (on/off)   Help   Click EDIT to display multiple airports
AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Presque Isle, ME19 mi45 minS 410.00 miFair77°F50°F39%1011.6 hPa

Wind History from PQI (wind in knots)
Last 24hrS53W7W10SW8SW5SW4CalmCalmCalmCalmSW4CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmSE436S4
1 day agoNW8W9NW9NW86W7W5W3N3CalmCalmCalmS3CalmCalmCalmSW3CalmS3S4533NW7
2 days agoW7

Tide / Current Tables for
   EDIT   Weekend mode (on/off)   (on/off)   Help
Tide / Current Tables for
   EDIT      (on/off)   Help
Weather Map and Satellite Images
       (on/off)   HelpWeather Map
GOES Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Caribou, ME (12,3,4,5)
      (on/off)   Help

Ground Weather Radar Station Caribou, ME
   (on/off)   Help
weather_mapweather_map weather_map

Ad by Google

The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.