Marine Weather and Tides
10/6/2018 Colors of tide XTide graphs changed to emphasize that they were upgraded. See next note. Comments welcome.
10/4/2018 I have fixed XTide and updated the harmonic files. There were some name changes so you might have to click EDIT to find the new station name.
|Sunrise 7:36AM||Sunset 7:45PM||Tuesday March 19, 2019 4:35 AM ADT (07:35 UTC)||Moonrise 5:01PM||Moonset 6:15AM||Illumination 97%|
7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Ashland, MEHourly EDIT Help
Area Discussion for - Caribou, ME  (on/off)  Help NOTE: mouseover dotted underlined text for definition
|Fxus61 kcar 190707|
area forecast discussion
national weather service caribou me
307 am edt Tue mar 19 2019
High pressure will crest over the region Tuesday into Tuesday
night. High pressure will move south of the area Wednesday. A
trough of low pressure will approach Wednesday night then move
over the area on Thursday.
Near term through tonight
High pressure will continue to build in from the west and crest
over the region today. The high will move to the east into the
atlantic tonight with a southwesterly flow developing. Expect
sunny conditions today and mostly clear tonight with some
radiational cooling possible as winds diminish. Will adjust
temperatures in north several degrees lower than guidance with
radiational cooling possible.
Short term Wednesday through Thursday night
Sfc high wl be building offshore on Wed with sfc winds backing arnd
to the south in the aftn. Winds wl likely decouple in the mrng under
steep low-lvl inversion but once mixing occurs expect they wl begin
to draw in warm air. H8 temps increase abv -10c with highs climbing
into the u30s acrs the north and l40s for downeast. S WV ridge wl
likely keep clds at bay until later in the aftn as digging trof in
the great lks begins to flatten flow aloft.
Bndry wl rmn well back to the west Wed night with downglide acrs the
area until closer to daybreak. Morning lows on Thu wl range fm the
mid-20s acrs the north to arnd frzg along the immediate coast.
Thu wl be the transition day as a weak frontal bndry mvg twd the
region wl slowly stall out. At the same time a sfc low is progged to
dvlp along the carolina coast Thu morning in response to digging
s WV currently along the nd mt border and dropping south with time.
Latest GFS indicates sfc low strengthens as it mvs north along
the eastern seaboard Thu and Thu night and by 12z Fri 993mb sfc
low is tucked into the gulf of maine.
00z NAM and cmc are weaker with NRN stream and thus further south
with sfc low by 12z Fri whereas 00z GFS and ec are similar with
track and phasing of systems near the area late in the week, tho 00z
ec is quicker with phasing thus tracking sfc low further inland. In
the end this wl determine pcpn type with rain possible ovr entire
area on Thu with ptype up in the air for Thu night based on latest
track of euro.
Thru the end of the short term expect that pcpn chcs increase to
lkly acrs the area Thu night. Prefer not to go categorical with
nam cmc indicating more of an offshore track and lingering model
discrepancies. Temps on Thu night wl range fm the l m 30s under srly
flow and cldy skies.
Long term Friday through Monday |
Early in the extndd wl be most prolific wx-wise as coastal low
traverses the northeast u.S. 00z med range guidance is still up in
the air wrt ptype for Friday. 00z cmc tracks coastal low south of
nova scotia by 00z Sat with snow for most of the area tho downeast
may see mixed pcpn Fri aftn. Latest GFS has sfc low up nr the gulf
of st. Lawrence 00z Sat with cold air turning mixed pcpn back to
snow. Latest ec has sfc low near penobscot bay with rain for SRN and
ern half of area. Given sgnfcnt uncertainties in track hv gone
with rain on Fri acrs downeast with a rain snow mix ovr cntrl
areas and snow ovr far northwest on fri.
Fri night wl lkly see pcpn end as snow showers ovr the region with
cold air pouring back into the state. Zonal flow expected into early
next week with temps running slightly blo normal for the rmndr of
the long term.
Aviation 07z Tuesday through Saturday
Near term:VFR conditions are expected today and tonight.
Short term:VFR expected Wed through Thu morning before
diminishing to ifr in snow rain into the afternoon. Rain and or
snow will effect terminals through the end of the week. Downeast
terminals improve toVFR on Saturday with lingering MVFR
conditions across the north and possibly down to ifr in snow
Near term: will use the NAM to initialize winds. The primary
wave system currently is south southwesterly wind wave around 2
feet 6 seconds. This wave system is expected to remain
approximately the same through tonight however waves may subside
to around 1 foot during the day as winds diminish then increase
in height again tonight. Total water level: total water level is
expected to remain around +0.10 into Wednesday. A storm surge
is expected to develop Thursday and continue into Friday as low
pressure moves through the gulf of maine. In bangor ice has
started to move and the anomaly at low tide has subsided since
yesterday. Will adjust the anomaly such that the lowest tide
will be at a minimum of 4.9 feet mllw for the next several days.
Short term: conditions will be under SCA levels through thu
morning before potential coastal low moves in Thu afternoon,
bringing winds AOA 25kts and seas btwn 5-8 feet. May see winds
approach gale force behind system Friday night into Saturday.
Car watches warnings advisories
Near term... Mignone
short term... Farrar
long term... Farrar
aviation... Mignone farrar
marine... Mignone farrar
Weather Reporting StationsEDIT (on/off)  Help NOTE: Click on distance to see the station location on a map
Airport ReportsEDIT (on/off)  Help Click EDIT to display multiple airports
|Presque Isle, ME||19 mi||40 min||N 0||10.00 mi||Overcast||16°F||9°F||74%||1028.1 hPa|
Wind History from PQI (wind in knots)
|1 day ago||W|
|2 days ago||Calm||Calm||SW||SW||W||SW||W||SW|
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GOES Local Image of EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Other links: Northern Pacific Contential US Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Caribou, ME (3,6,7,8)(on/off)  Help
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