Sunday, November19, 2017 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Tokeland, WA

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
6/25/2017 - NOAA is having a major issue that impact the 7 day forecast load times. Many users are reporting problems. The issue has been reported.
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.

Sunrise 7:24AMSunset 4:37PM Sunday November 19, 2017 1:42 PM PST (21:42 UTC) Moonrise 8:18AMMoonset 5:55PM Illumination 1% Phase: Waxing Crescent; Moon at 1 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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PZZ110 Grays Harbor Bar- 856 Am Pst Sun Nov 19 2017
.small craft advisory for rough bar in effect through Monday morning... Combined seas 12 to 15 ft through tonight. Bar conditions severe. Maximum ebb currents will occur around 500 pm today and 530 am Monday morning. The afternoon ebb will be strong.
PZZ100 856 Am Pst Sun Nov 19 2017
Synopsis for the northern and central washington coastal and inland waters..A cold front will move southeast along the british columbia coast this morning, then move southward through the washington waters this afternoon and evening. The front will be preceded by by south and southeast gales. A high pressure center will pass across the waters on Monday. A strong warm front will push northward through the waters on Tuesday. A strong low pressure center should move north well offshore to near haida gwaii late Wednesday.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Tokeland, WA
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location: 46.71, -123.97     debug


Area Discussion for - Portland, OR
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Fxus66 kpqr 191745
afdpqr
area forecast discussion
national weather service portland or
945 am pst Sun nov 19 2017

Synopsis The upcoming week looks unsettled and wet. A cold front
will slowly move onto the north coastal areas this afternoon and
through the remainder of southwest washington and northwest oregon
tonight and Monday, stalling and weakening over the southern part of
the forecast area Monday afternoon. The front then lifts back north
across the forecast area as a warm front Monday night and Tuesday.

The front will linger over the area into Wednesday. Another cold
front will move through on thanksgiving with showers lingering into
Friday but decreasing later in the day. The next system is expected
Saturday night and Sunday.

Short term Today through Tuesday... As expected, there is a fair
amount of low stratus and fog in the inland valleys this morning, but
dense fog is sparse, mainly in the south willamette valley. The fog
should continue to decrease and lift the remainder of this morning
and early this afternoon as winds increase ahead of the next incoming
front.

The next front is still well offshore on radar and satellite imagery,
but is continues to be forecast to spread rain onto the north coast
and in the the adjacent coastal mountains this afternoon, and
probably not much farther inland until this evening. The front will
slowly sag south through southwest washington and northwest oregon
tonight and Monday, briefly weakening and lingering in the south part
of our forecast area Monday afternoon.

There will be decent winds along the coast and in the coastal
mountains this afternoon and tonight ahead of the front, with the
strongest winds along the coastal headlands and beaches and over the
higher terrain of the coast range. It will also be breezy in the
inland valleys this afternoon and tonight, with gusts 30 to 35 mph
possible.

There is some residual cold air in the south washington cascades, and
will continue the winter storm warning there for tonight. Snow levels
will be rising across the oregon cascades today and tonight, finally
reaching the south washington cascades Monday morning.

The leftover front across the southern part of our forecast area
Monday afternoon continues to be forecast to lift north across the
forecast area Monday night and Tuesday for more rain. We will likely
see some east wind develop through the gorge and in the portland and
vancouver metro areas Monday night and Tuesday as the main low with
the warm front will be developing offshore and a bit outside 130w.

Snow levels will remain rather high in the cascades as well.

Rainfall amounts through Tuesday could reach 3-5 inches at the coast
and in the cascades, and 0.50-1.5 inches in the valleys. The rainfall
is not expect to cause flooding other than some localized urban
flooding should leaves clog storm drains, though area rivers and
streams will likely see some sharp rises this week. Tolleson

Long term No changes. Previous discussion follows...

Tuesday night through Saturday. Models in some disagreement for this
time period. The warm front from Tuesday lingers some and lifts a
little north Wednesday for some precipitation around, followed by the
main front moving through on thanksgiving for a decent shot of rain.

After some lingering shower Friday with snow levels trying to stay
above the passes, there could be a little drying early next weekend
before the next system approaches. Bishop tolleson

Aviation Lifr and ifr conditions will likely persist for a few
more hours across the central and northern willamette valley before
increasing winds scour out the low clouds and fog. An incoming front
will bring rain and breezy conditions tonight with a mix of MVFR and
low endVFR conditions for most TAF sites between 06-18z Monday.

Coastal locations will be most susceptible to ifr conditions during
this time. In addition, some elevated instability pushing over our
southern zones could bring a rumble or two of thunder between 03-09z
to konp and keug.

Kpdx and approaches... Lifr and ifr conditions will likely persist for
a few more hours before increasing winds scour out the low clouds and
fog. An incoming front will bring rain and breezy conditions tonight
with a mix of MVFR and low endVFR conditions between 06-18z Monday.

Neuman

Marine A front will move southeastward across the waters later
today and tonight. Winds will increase ahead of this front into gale
force criteria with widespread gusts of 40 to 45 kt. There could be a
few gusts to 50 kt within 20 nm of the coast due to a coastal jet
enhancement of the winds, but think this threat should be isolated
and short enough in duration to keep the gale warning intact for now.

Either way, expect seas to peak near 20 ft early this evening across
the northern waters and later this evening across the central oregon
waters. Seas should subside into the low to mid teens fairly quickly
after midnight and drop below 10 ft on Monday as winds remain weak
across the waters. The aforementioned front will actually stall
across the southern oregon waters Monday before lifting back
northward and spreading gale force winds back across the waters
either Monday night or Tuesday. Seas should respond accordingly and
climb back well into the teens where seas look to remain through
thanksgiving. An additional storm system or two looks possible next
weekend as well. Neuman

Pqr watches warnings advisories
Or... Dense fog advisory until 10 am pst this morning for south
willamette valley.

High wind warning from 1 pm this afternoon to 1 am pst Monday
for coast range of northwest oregon.

High wind warning from 4 pm this afternoon to 3 am pst Monday
for central oregon coast.

High wind warning until 1 am pst Monday for north oregon coast.

Wa... High wind warning until 9 pm pst this evening for south
washington coast.

High wind warning from 1 pm this afternoon to 1 am pst Monday
for willapa hills.

Winter storm warning from 6 pm this evening to 6 am pst Monday
for south washington cascades.

Pz... Gale warning until 10 pm pst this evening for waters from cape
shoalwater wa to cascade head or from 10 to 60 nm.

Gale warning until 10 pm pst this evening for coastal waters
from CAPE shoalwater wa to cascade head or out 10 nm.

Gale warning until 3 am pst Monday for waters from cascade head
to florence or from 10 to 60 nm.

Gale warning until 3 am pst Monday for coastal waters from
cascade head to florence or out 10 nm.

Small craft advisory for rough columbia river bar from 2 pm
this afternoon to 9 am pst Monday.

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Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
TOKW1 - 9440910 - Toke Point, WA 0 mi42 min S 22 G 26 48°F 51°F1008.4 hPa (-4.2)
WPTW1 - 9441102 - Westport, WA 15 mi66 min S 19 G 29 48°F 50°F1008.2 hPa
46211 - Grays Harbor, WA (036) 18 mi42 min 53°F14 ft
46243 - Clatsop Spit, OR - 162 35 mi42 min 53°F10 ft
ASTO3 - 9439040 - Astoria, OR 36 mi42 min SSE 2.9 G 7 46°F 50°F1010 hPa (-3.8)
46099 37 mi112 min 52°F 53°F1006.8 hPa
46029 - COL RIVER BAR - 20NM West of Columbia River Mouth 48 mi52 min S 31 G 39 52°F 53°F13 ft1008.1 hPa (-3.6)48°F

Wind History for Toke Point, WA
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Hoquiam, Bowerman Airport, WA19 mi49 minSSE 18 G 274.00 miLight Rain and Breezy48°F43°F83%1009.2 hPa

Wind History from HQM (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrS3S6S4E3E3NE5E7E7NE7NE6NE7NE6NE6NE7E7E10E6E5SE9SE14
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1 day agoW6SW9SW6S5CalmE4CalmE5CalmE4NE3E4E6E5E7NE6E7E5NE6E12E9E7E7E3
2 days agoSE10SE11SE9SE8SE12SE12S10S9CalmW9W3W11CalmNW4CalmCalmNE5E3NE4E3CalmSE4W6W9

Tide / Current Tables for Toke Point, Willapa Bay, Washington
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Toke Point
Click for Map
Sun -- 01:35 AM PST     8.19 feet High Tide
Sun -- 07:07 AM PST     3.06 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 07:24 AM PST     Sunrise
Sun -- 08:17 AM PST     Moonrise
Sun -- 12:58 PM PST     9.69 feet High Tide
Sun -- 04:37 PM PST     Sunset
Sun -- 05:55 PM PST     Moonset
Sun -- 07:49 PM PST     -0.39 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
788.17.46.24.83.63.13.44.76.389.29.79.17.75.73.51.40-0.40.424

Tide / Current Tables for Grays Harbor Entrance, Washington Current
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Grays Harbor Entrance
Click for Map
Sun -- 01:46 AM PST     -0.01 knots Slack
Sun -- 04:45 AM PST     -2.27 knots Max Ebb
Sun -- 07:22 AM PST     0.00 knots Slack
Sun -- 07:25 AM PST     Sunrise
Sun -- 08:19 AM PST     Moonrise
Sun -- 10:15 AM PST     1.89 knots Max Flood
Sun -- 01:14 PM PST     -0.00 knots Slack
Sun -- 04:37 PM PST     Sunset
Sun -- 04:54 PM PST     -3.65 knots Max Ebb
Sun -- 05:55 PM PST     Moonset
Sun -- 08:14 PM PST     0.00 knots Slack
Sun -- 11:30 PM PST     2.23 knots Max Flood
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
2.11.1-0.3-1.4-2.1-2.3-1.6-0.50.71.51.91.81.40.3-1.2-2.6-3.4-3.7-3.2-1.9-0.311.82.2

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
wmap_P
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
west_satellite

GOES Local Image of PacificNorthwest    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for Portland, OR (16,3,4,5)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Portland, OR
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.