Friday, November16, 2018 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Beecher Falls, VT

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
10/6/2018 Colors of tide XTide graphs changed to emphasize that they were upgraded. See next note. Comments welcome.
10/4/2018 I have fixed XTide and updated the harmonic files. There were some name changes so you might have to click EDIT to find the new station name.

Sunrise 6:48AMSunset 4:10PM Friday November 16, 2018 11:03 AM EST (16:03 UTC) Moonrise 2:33PMMoonset 12:12AM Illumination 62% Phase: Waxing Gibbous; Moon at 9 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Beecher Falls, VT
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location: 46.8, -71.2     debug


Area Discussion for - Caribou, ME
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Fxus61 kcar 161500
afdcar
area forecast discussion
national weather service caribou me
1000 am est Fri nov 16 2018

Synopsis
Low pressure will track across the gulf of maine today and move
across nova scotia tonight. A cold front will cross Saturday
night and bring more arctic air for Sunday and early next week.

Near term through tonight
945 am update: pops were adjusted across the fa thru this eve
to reflect near term fcst QPF snfl. Otherwise, just minor chgs
to fcst 6hrly QPF and snfl into the ovrngt. Lastly, fcst hrly
temps dwpts into this aftn were updated based on latest mid morn
sfc obs with no sig chgs to fcst aftn hi temps.

Orgnl disc: coastal low is just off of the nj coast as of 09z
with greatest pressure falls over CAPE cod. Storm wl track
northeast tda spreading snow into the region. Snow has already
started in bhb and is gradually spreading north. Complicated
fcst on tap for tda as main banding is occurring ovr NRN ny attm
while lighter pcpn is currently mvg thru SRN new england in dry
slot.

Expect that this dry slot wl mv into coastal areas btwn 12z and
16z this mrng. As the coastal progresses ewrd this aftn,
atlantic moisture wraps back into coastal areas with pcpn
transitioning back to snow and sleet.

Further to the north pcpn wl rmn all snow, perhaps with
snowfall rates of 1+ inch per hour in the afternoon as fgen
forcing translates east. As a result, hv added in the lincoln to
houlton areas to the existing winter storm warning with 6-8
inches falling tda. Banding may impact a slim area outside of
this line but not widespread enuf to expand wsw further to the
north. Either way, it wl lkly be a close call for the baxter
state park area twd caribou and presque isle but confidence is
not high enuf to convert advisories over to warnings.

Short term Saturday through Sunday night
Saturday continues to look like the mildest day until the end of
next week. Temperatures will be in the lower 30s north to just
over 40f for bangor and the coast. There will be some moisture
up to h8 and some steep low-lvl lapse rates by Saturday
afternoon... Creating the threat of some snow showers. However,
not expecting widespread coverage or much in the way of qpf.

Highest confidence will be in the western mts where slight chc
pops are assigned. Snow showers remain a possibility with a
cold front crossing in the evening and in the cold air advection
behind the front. Sunday will be nearly 10f colder, but
building hi pres and subsidence will reduce cloud cover in
comparison to Saturday. Temperatures plummet initially Sunday
night, but clouds increase later in the night with an
approaching shortwave moving northward in the southern stream.

Some light snow could break out towards bangor and the down east
region later in the night. Further north in the saint john
valley, lows will drop into the single digits.

Long term Monday through Thursday
At this point, it looks like weak cyclogenesis could occur
towards washington county Monday morning as the southern stream
system starts to phase with a northern stream shortwave and
associated arctic front. The system is moving too fast away from
maine to do much damage and confidence remains low, but some 2
to 3 inches of snow is possible as a worst case scenario in the
southeastern corner of the forecast area. Arctic air builds
behind the front Monday night and will likely be locked in place
until the end of the week with abnormally cold temperatures and
no major weather systems. Guidance hints at moisture-deprived
clipper systems Tuesday and Thursday, but guidance remains very
inconsistent... Having a difficult time resolving shortwaves
moving out of northern canada in a fast NW flow. The coldest
day looks like Wednesday with highs in the teens to lower 20s.

Single digit lows are a strong possibility Monday night through
Wednesday night with the chance of the season's first subzero
readings.

Aviation 15z Friday through Tuesday
Near term: ifr lifr in -sn for downeast areas, moving north in
the next 1-2 hours. Ifr in all -sn across the north with mixed
precip at bhb late morning and early aftn, possibly as far north
as bgr. Moderate snow expect this afternoon at hul, pqi and car
with lifr vsbys.

Short term: Saturday will beVFR. Saturday night will continue
vfr south of a gnr-hul line, but occasional MVFR CIGS and sct
snsh are possible north of that line Saturday night through
Sunday morning. All sites will becomeVFR Sunday afternoon and
evening. Another round of MVFR tempo ifr occurs for all sites
later Sunday night into Monday morning due to CIGS and snow. The
remainder of the period looksVFR at this time.

Marine
Near term: gale warning continues this afternoon before
decreasing to SCA thru the nighttime hrs.

Short term: three scas possible during this period. The first
will be ongoing Saturday... Ending Saturday evening. The next
will be later Monday into Monday night. The last occurs
Wednesday.

Car watches warnings advisories
Me... Winter weather advisory until 2 am est Saturday for mez001>004.

Winter storm warning until 8 pm est this evening for mez005-
006-010-011-015-031-032.

Winter weather advisory until 8 pm est this evening for mez016-
017-029-030.

Marine... Gale warning until 4 pm est this afternoon for anz050>052.

Near term... Vjn
short term... Mcw
long term... Mcw
aviation... Vjn mcw
marine... Vjn mcw


Weather Reporting Stations
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Clayton Lake, ME90 mi1.8 hrsVar 5 G 12 mi17°F14°F90%1014.6 hPa

Wind History from 40B (wind in knots)
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Last 24hr3S633CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalm3Calm32Calm323445
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Tide / Current Tables for Bassin De La Rivi?re St-Charles, Quebec
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Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.


Tide / Current Tables for Montmorency, Quebec
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Montmorency
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Fri -- 12:14 AM EST     3.38 meters High Tide
Fri -- 06:11 AM EST     0.96 meters Low Tide
Fri -- 06:49 AM EST     Sunrise
Fri -- 01:13 PM EST     3.07 meters High Tide
Fri -- 01:33 PM EST     Moonrise
Fri -- 04:09 PM EST     Sunset
Fri -- 06:38 PM EST     1.08 meters Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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3.43.22.72.21.71.21111.422.42.73.12.92.52.11.61.11.11.21.52.22.7

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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wmap_A
GOES Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Wind Forecast for Caribou, ME (11,2,3,4)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Caribou, ME
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.