Sunday, May19, 2019 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Limestone, ME

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
10/6/2018 Colors of tide XTide graphs changed to emphasize that they were upgraded. See next note. Comments welcome.
10/4/2018 I have fixed XTide and updated the harmonic files. There were some name changes so you might have to click EDIT to find the new station name.

Sunrise 5:39AMSunset 8:56PM Sunday May 19, 2019 7:46 AM ADT (10:46 UTC) Moonrise 8:54PMMoonset 5:32AM Illumination 100% Phase: Full Moon; Moon at 15 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Limestone, ME
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location: 46.91, -66.32     debug


Area Discussion for - Caribou, ME
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Fxus61 kcar 191005
afdcar
area forecast discussion
national weather service caribou me
605 am edt Sun may 19 2019

Synopsis
A warm front will approach from the southwest today and tonight
and stall across the region on Monday. Low pressure will form
along the front Monday evening and track east into the
maritimes on Tuesday.

Near term through tonight
6 am update... Clouds and rain have been quick to move into the
area with the rain mostly in the west. Increased pops across the
region. Most of the rain today is expected from the central
highlands south into the downeast region. The north will just be
brushed with some very light rain with the heavier rain across
the north expected late tonight. Also, adjusted temps for today
down a bit due to the quick onset of the clouds and rain.

A complex warm front well ahead of a large low tracking into
the great lakes region will lift into our area today. An initial
wave of low pressure will form along the front just to our
southwest. This will spread rain into western and downeast
areas later this morning then some light rain across the north
this afternoon. The front will continue to lift north into our
area tonight and the initial low will dissipate. Warm humid air
riding up over the cooler air across our area will bring low
overcast with some spotty light rain and drizzle overnight. As
the great lakes low lifts into quebec on Tuesday, a triple point
occlusion will form across our area forming a new secondary low
across the region. This will produce more low overcast with
rain and drizzle on Monday. Forecast capes are up to 1k j kg in
southern areas. The triple point low may provide some surface
convergence focus for convection so have included a chance of
thunder central and downeast Monday afternoon and slight chance
north. The rain should then taper off Monday night as the triple
point low slides east into the maritimes and a dry intrusion
aloft lifts across the region. Cooler air following the low will
begin to filter in on westerly winds Monday night as the upper
low approaches from western quebec and the surface low moves
east and away. This will bring a chance of some spotty showers
across the north late Monday night.

Short term Monday through Tuesday
Unsettled weather to continue for this term.

Sfc and upper low are forecast to move across the region on
Tuesday W a frontal boundary hanging back across the northern
areas. Sfc convergence coupled W the cooling aloft will allow
precip to develop. Model soundings showed airmass moist up
through 650 mbs all the way down to the bangor region. The best
forcing is shown to be across the northern 1 2 of the cwa, and
this is where the heaviest concentration of rainfall will be
situated. Therefore, decided to ramp up the precip chances to
70-80% for the northern 1 2, and taper the percentages back as
one heads south due to less forcing. Northern areas could
easily pick up another 0.25-0.30" of rainfall before the rain
tapers to showers by Tuesday afternoon. The 00z ECMWF is by far
teh wettest of the long range guidance and keeps the rain in
longer. The 00z nam GFS and canadian global start winding things
down a bit quicker as they move the low further east. Attm,
decided on a blend and carried 30-40% pops into Tuesday night
across the N and w, while further s, precip chances drop off.

The reason for this is that a west wind starts taking hold,
which should lead to some drying.

For Wednesday, the region will still be under some influence
of the low to the east as winds become more northerly. Given
this, decided to carry 20% chance for showers across the N and
w. Central and downeast should see a mainly drier day.

Temperatures however will still remain below normal for may.

Long term Tuesday night through Saturday
Some drier weather and moderating temperatures are expected for
this term through at least Friday.

High pres is forecast to start moving toward the region Wednesday
night and move across across the area on Thursday. This high is
shown by the long range guidance including the gfs, canadian
and ECMWF to remain across the region right into Friday. This
would mean a dry stretch of weather W temperatures gradually
warming to near normal readings. A quick look into memorial day
weekend shows another system possibly bringing another round of
rain by Saturday, but not as cool as it has been over the past
few weeks. We'll have to see how the long range guidance plays
this out as we head into next week.

Aviation 10z Sunday through Thursday
Near term:VFR conditions early today will lower to ifr downeast
around midday in lowering clouds, then lower to MVFR late today
across the north. Ifr conditions across the area tonight will
likely persist through Monday with an improvement to MVFR or
vfr possible downeast Monday night.

Short term: ifr for the northern terminals early Tuesday W MVFR
for kbgr and kbhb. There does look to be improvement later in
the day as conditions look like they will go toVFR for kbgr and
kbhb. North of there, MVFR looks like it hangs on longer W the
upper low nearby right into Wednesday and the threat for some
showers. The real improvement across the entire aviation area
looks to come on Wednesday evening into Thursday WVFR
conditions.

Marine
Near term: wind and seas will be below SCA today. A few wind
gusts may reach 25 kt tonight and Monday from the ssw and seas
are expected to build to 5 ft over the offshore waters requiring
a SCA for seas from late tonight through Monday night. Humid air
lifting up from the south will likely result in some fog across
the waters late tonight through Monday night.

Short term: could be seeing SCA conditions on Tuesday which
could hold on into Wednesday, as the low pulls away and winds
turn to the w. Decided to go W sustained winds of 15-20 kts and
carry gusts to 25 kts for the outer zones. The intra coastal
zone looks like it will remain at solid 15 kts through this
period. Seas are expected to hold at 4-5 ft and given the latest
trends of the local wave model, this looks fitting W the
offshore wind. Conditions should drop off by Wednesday afternoon
as high pres starts moving in from the west.

Car watches warnings advisories
Me... None.

Marine... Small craft advisory for hazardous seas from 2 am Monday to 8
am edt Tuesday for anz050-051.

Near term... Bloomer
short term... Hewitt
long term... Hewitt
aviation... Bloomer hewitt
marine... Bloomer hewitt


Weather Reporting Stations
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Caribou, Caribou Municipal Airport, ME90 mi52 minN 010.00 miFair40°F36°F86%1019.7 hPa

Wind History from CAR (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrN7N10N8NE7N9N9
G18
5N11NW6N5N6NE5N5N5N4N4N4N3CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalm
1 day agoCalmSE3S63SE53S8SE63SE6SE6SE7S8E4E8E8E7E8NE8E8NE7NE5NE5NE4
2 days agoN7N7N6NW6NW4N6N8N5N6N8NW10
G17
N7N6N4N3NE6N4N4N3N3N5CalmN3Calm

Tide / Current Tables for Newcastle, Miramichi River, New Brunswick (2)
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Newcastle
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Sun -- 01:24 AM ADT     0.76 meters Low Tide
Sun -- 05:42 AM ADT     Sunrise
Sun -- 06:28 AM ADT     Moonset
Sun -- 06:44 AM ADT     1.65 meters High Tide
Sun -- 02:02 PM ADT     0.09 meters Low Tide
Sun -- 08:22 PM ADT     1.52 meters High Tide
Sun -- 08:55 PM ADT     Sunset
Sun -- 09:50 PM ADT     Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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0.90.80.811.21.41.61.61.61.41.10.70.40.20.10.20.40.81.11.41.51.51.41.2

Tide / Current Tables for Newcastle, Miramichi River, New Brunswick
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Newcastle
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Sun -- 01:10 AM ADT     0.25 meters Low Tide
Sun -- 05:42 AM ADT     Sunrise
Sun -- 06:28 AM ADT     Moonset
Sun -- 07:20 AM ADT     1.50 meters High Tide
Sun -- 02:54 PM ADT     -0.12 meters Low Tide
Sun -- 08:38 PM ADT     0.97 meters High Tide
Sun -- 08:55 PM ADT     Sunset
Sun -- 09:50 PM ADT     Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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0.30.30.30.50.81.11.41.51.51.310.70.40.1-0.1-0.1-00.20.50.80.910.80.7

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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GOES Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Wind Forecast for Caribou, ME (6,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Caribou, ME
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.