Friday, May24, 2019 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Fort Covington Hamlet, NY

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
10/6/2018 Colors of tide XTide graphs changed to emphasize that they were upgraded. See next note. Comments welcome.
10/4/2018 I have fixed XTide and updated the harmonic files. There were some name changes so you might have to click EDIT to find the new station name.

Sunrise 5:10AMSunset 8:30PM Friday May 24, 2019 10:50 PM EDT (02:50 UTC) Moonrise 12:58AMMoonset 10:11AM Illumination 65% Phase: Waning Gibbous; Moon at 21 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Fort Covington Hamlet, NY
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location: 46.91, -74.04     debug


Area Discussion for - Burlington, VT
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Fxus61 kbtv 250218
afdbtv
area forecast discussion
national weather service burlington vt
1018 pm edt Fri may 24 2019

Synopsis
Clearing skies will develop this evening, along with diminishing
winds as high pressure builds in from the eastern great lakes
region. The tranquil weather will only last through the first half
of Saturday. Thereafter, a warm front pushing in from southwest new
york will allow widespread showers to develop across the region from
west to east late in the afternoon or evening, into Saturday night.

Showers and possibly a thunderstorm or two will linger into Sunday
morning with a cold frontal passage, then drier conditions are
expected by mid to late afternoon. Monday will be dry with highs in
the 60s to around 70.

Near term through Saturday night
As of 1009 pm edt Friday... Microphysics imagery off of GOES 16
is showing fog beginning to build in across the north country as
skies have cleared. Saranac lake is the only place reporting fog
thus far but over the next few hours fog will continue to
develop. Based on the observation in saranac lake, any fog that
does develop could be dense as visibilities have been bouncing
between a half and a quarter of a mile.

Previous discussion... Low pressure continues to pull away from
the region this afternoon, moving south of nova scotia and out into
the atlantic. Moisture associated with this system will likewise
exit to the east, with high pressure building across the north
country tonight into Saturday. Hence, clouds will dissipate this
evening as we lose daytime heating. This with light winds will allow
for good radiational cooling; lows will be in the mid to upper 40s
for most, though the usual cold spots in the adirondacks and
northeast kingdom will bottom out around 40. Clouds will increase
Saturday morning ahead of a warm front lifting in from the
southwest. Precipitation associated with the front will follow,
moving into our ny areas mid afternoon, and into vermont late
afternoon into the early evening hours. Initially, warm air
advection aloft will keep us capped, so don't anticipate any
thunderstorms through most of the daylight hours. Highs will range
from the upper 60s to lower 70s. Deep moisture plume will stream
northward into the region late tomorrow into tomorrow night ahead of
an approaching cold front. Pwats are progged to exceed 1.50 inches
from the champlain valley westward. Some elevated instability will
spread into northern ny, allowing thunderstorms to develop. These
will interact with the copious moisture and warm cloud depths of 10+
kft to produce heavy rain at times through the evening hours. The
best moisture and instability starts to get shunted to the southeast
after midnight as the prefrontal trough moves through, so the threat
will wane as we head toward sunrise Sunday morning. Rainfall totals
through Saturday night will be a third to around a half an inch in
vermont, while some ny locations could see upwards of an inch.

Higher amounts will be possible in any convection. Overnight lows
will be in the 50s to around 60.

Short term Sunday through Sunday night
As of 250 pm edt Friday... Front clears through the area during
the morning to early afternoon hours on Sunday with little
fanfare. Maintained very low end pops (20-30%) for showers or an
isolated storm through the morning hours to account for any
scattered activity but forcing is rather weak along the wind
shift so most of the day should turn out dry with highs
seasonably mild in the 70s to locally near 80. Then trending
mainly clear Sunday night under building high pressure with lows
in the 40s to lower 50s.

Long term Monday through Friday
As of 250 pm edt Friday... H5 ridge then crests atop the region
on Monday with sunny skies and mild temperatures in the 60s.

This will be the best day of the workweek for outdoor
activities.

Thereafter the general wx trends unsettled as the forecast area will
reside on the northern edge of deep layer southeastern conus
ridging. Periodic shortwave wave passages embedded in fast west to
southwesterly flow aloft should ensure near daily chances of showers
and occasional storms, though inherent timing uncertainties in day 4-
7 forecasts leads me to keep pop values reasonable side (40-60%) at
this point. Best threat of storms looks, at least at this point to
occur on Wednesday into Thursday when the combination of heating and
moisture looks the greatest. Temperatures in general to average
within 5 degrees of late may seasonal norms.

Aviation 02z Saturday through Wednesday
Through 00z Sunday... Skies have finally trendedVFR as the pesky
MVFR deck has finally mixed out of kslk and krut.VFR conditions
are expected to continue for the most part through Saturday
morning before rainfall begins to enter norther new york.

Overnight, there will be some patchy fog which could impact kmpv
and kslk given high dewpoints and recent rainfall which could
yield visibilities of 2 miles or less at times with ceilings
less than 1000 ft. The main timeframe for any fog development
would be between 05z and 12z. After 12z, any fog will quickly
mix out as we should have ample sunshine to start the day.

Variable winds overnight will switch to the south in the morning
with gusty southerly winds developing around 16z. Rainfall will
enter northern new york after 18z and spread into vermont
between 21z and 22z and bring some localized MVFR vsby in
heavier showers. There is also the potential for a few rumbles
of thunder but have opted to leave it out for the time being
given the lack of areal coverage expected.

Outlook...

Saturday night: mainlyVFR, with local ifr possible. Chance shra,
slight chance tsra.

Sunday: mainlyVFR, with local MVFR possible. Slight chance shra,
slight chance tsra.

Sunday night:VFR. No sig wx.

Memorial day:VFR. No sig wx.

Monday night:VFR. Slight chance shra.

Tuesday: mainlyVFR, with local MVFR possible. Likely shra.

Tuesday night: mainly MVFR, with local ifr possible. Chance shra,
slight chance tsra.

Wednesday: mainly MVFR, with areas ifr possible. Chance shra,
chance tsra.

Btv watches warnings advisories
Vt... None.

Ny... None.

Synopsis... Hastings
near term... Clay hastings
short term... Jmg
long term... Jmg
aviation... Clay


Weather Reporting Stations
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Massena, Massena International-Richards Field, NY143 mi58 minN 010.00 miFair51°F48°F92%1021.1 hPa

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Last 24hrSW13W8W14
G21
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G17
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1 day agoNE5E5E5E4NE3CalmCalmCalmCalm3CalmS4CalmNE7E6E6NE6E3SE3CalmSW7SW16
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2 days agoW5NW5NW3NW5CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmNE7E8E65Calm4N3S3S33E3E4E7E5NE5

Tide / Current Tables for Louiseville, Quebec
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Louiseville
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Fri -- 12:50 AM EDT     Moonrise
Fri -- 03:15 AM EDT     1.09 meters Low Tide
Fri -- 05:09 AM EDT     Sunrise
Fri -- 05:13 AM EDT     1.10 meters High Tide
Fri -- 10:09 AM EDT     Moonset
Fri -- 01:59 PM EDT     1.03 meters Low Tide
Fri -- 06:27 PM EDT     1.08 meters High Tide
Fri -- 08:27 PM EDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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Tide / Current Tables for Sorel, Quebec
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Sorel
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Fri -- 12:50 AM EDT     Moonrise
Fri -- 04:23 AM EDT     1.01 meters Low Tide
Fri -- 05:11 AM EDT     Sunrise
Fri -- 06:08 AM EDT     1.01 meters High Tide
Fri -- 10:10 AM EDT     Moonset
Fri -- 03:42 PM EDT     0.96 meters Low Tide
Fri -- 08:10 PM EDT     0.97 meters High Tide
Fri -- 08:28 PM EDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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Weather Map and Satellite Images
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wmap_A
GOES Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Wind Forecast for Burlington, VT (22,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Burlington, VT
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.