Tuesday, January16, 2018 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Massena, NY

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
6/25/2017 - NOAA is having a major issue that impact the 7 day forecast load times. Many users are reporting problems. The issue has been reported.
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.

Sunrise 7:34AMSunset 4:47PM Tuesday January 16, 2018 4:08 AM EST (09:08 UTC) Moonrise 7:15AMMoonset 4:32PM Illumination 0% Phase: New Moon; Moon at 29 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Massena, NY
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location: 46.91, -75.56     debug


Area Discussion for - Burlington, VT
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Fxus61 kbtv 160559
afdbtv
area forecast discussion
national weather service burlington vt
1259 am est Tue jan 16 2018

Synopsis
High pressure will exit the region tonight and allow for a low
pressure system to gradually move into the northeast Tuesday
through Wednesday. Clouds will be on the increase along with the
chances for light to moderate snow across the area and warmer
temperatures. Most of the north country will see 1 to 3 inches
of snow with 3 to 6 inches of snow over southern vermont.

Near term until 7 am this morning
As of 1246 am est Tuesday... Forecast on track. Updated
temperatures with latest observations as mid to upper level
clouds have spread over the entire forecast area, preventing
much additional heat loss. Temperatures throughout have started
to climb a few degrees over the last couple of hours in response
to warm air advection and insulating cloud cover. Also adjusted
the pops to reflect the snow pushing into northern new york
slightly earlier than anticipated.

High pressure will move out of the area and we will start to
see a gradual increase in mid and high level moisture across the
area tonight. However before the cloud arrive we should see
decent radiational cooling. Thus i've had to drop min temps by a
few degrees this evening as a result of temps already being
lower than originally thought. Still only expect low
temperatures generally from 5 above to 5 below.

Short term 7 am this morning through Wednesday night
As of 345 pm est Monday... Have issued a winter weather advisory
for rutland... Windsor... And orange counties of vermont from
noon on Tuesday through 11 am on Wednesday. Expecting 3 to 5
inches of snow in this area with localized amounts to 6
inches... Especially over the extreme southern portions of
rutland and windsor counties. Elsewhere during this time period
looking at 1 to 3 inches of snow.

Approaching upper trough on Tuesday stays more of an open wave
as it moves eastward across the area Tuesday night into
Wednesday. This should be a limiting factor in significant
precipitation over the area and feel data is showing a bit too
much precipitation for this type of pattern. With the southwest
flow aloft there will be a northwest to southeast precipitation
gradient and southern areas will have the best chance for the
accumulating snow... Which is why we went ahead and placed
rutland windsor orange counties in an advisory with lesser
amounts elsewhere. Snow should be light in intensity during the
day on Tuesday with best period of accumulating snows coming
Tuesday night through Wednesday morning before trough axis moves
east of the area and precipitation tapers off to some snow
showers Wednesday afternoon and night. Warmer temperatures are
expected both Tuesday and Wednesday with highs in the 20s both
days.

Long term Thursday through Monday
As of 419 pm est Monday... Continued moderation of temperatures
across the north country as w-sw low-level flow regime develops
across the great lakes into the northeastern CONUS will be the
main story for the long term. While the warm up will not be as
dramatic or as quick as we saw the end of last week, we will
high temperatures above freezing by the end of the week and into
the 40s over the weekend. Some lingering showers in light
northwesterly flow Thursday will give way to dry conditions for
Friday and into the early part of the weekend. A weak fast
moving mid-level northern stream shortwave trough embedded in
zonal flow looks to move Saturday night Sunday morning, which
looks to bring a wintry mix with it. While this system does not
seem to be significant, with another looming system early next
week past the end of the period, we may see some renewed hydro
concerns toward the end of the weekend into early next week with
ice jams likely in place until then. Definitely will need to be
monitored as we get towards the end of the week.

Aviation 06z Tuesday through Saturday
Through 06z Wednesday... Starting out the TAF period with
deterioratingVFR conditions as high to mid clouds begin to
thicken in advance of advancing system. Snow associated with
this system will spread from west to east over the next few
hours, bringing widespread MVFR ifr ceilings and visibilities by
09z. First wave of snow will taper off between 11z and 14z,
with conditions temporarily improving to high MVFR lowVFR
throughout all TAF sites during this time. Next wave of heavier
snow will start at rut around 20z, then spread to mpv btv pbg
between 00z and 02z.

Outlook...

Wednesday: mainly MVFR, with areasVFR possible. Chance sn.

Wednesday night:VFR. Slight chance shsn.

Thursday: mainlyVFR, with areas MVFR possible. Slight chance
shsn.

Thursday night: mainly MVFR, with areasVFR possible. Chance
shsn.

Friday: mainly MVFR, with localVFR possible. Slight chance shsn.

Friday night: MVFR ifr conditions possible. Slight chance shsn.

Saturday: mainlyVFR, with local MVFR possible. Slight chance
shra, slight chance shsn.

Btv watches warnings advisories
Vt... Winter weather advisory from noon today to 11 am est Wednesday
for vtz010>012-019.

Ny... None.

Synopsis... Evenson
near term... Evenson rsd
short term... Evenson
long term... Verasamy
aviation... Rsd


Weather Reporting Stations
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Massena, Massena International-Richards Field, NY141 mi75 minNE 71.50 miLight Snow Fog/Mist5°F1°F87%1032.7 hPa

Wind History from MSS (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrNE5NE7NE8NE8NE10NE12NE13NE16NE10NE10NE11NE12NE10E9NE10NE10NE12NE12NE9NE11NE13NE11NE7E7
1 day agoCalmCalmCalmCalmSW3CalmCalmSW6SW5S3NW5NW4NW3CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmNE6
2 days agoN10N13
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NW11NW10NW11W11W12W12NW11NW9W6W5W6SW5SW4SW5SW4CalmW4SW5SW3Calm

Tide / Current Tables for
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
wmap_A
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
east_satellite

GOES Local Image of Northeast    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for Burlington, VT (4,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Burlington, VT
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.