Marine Weather and Tides
10/6/2018 Colors of tide XTide graphs changed to emphasize that they were upgraded. See next note. Comments welcome.
10/4/2018 I have fixed XTide and updated the harmonic files. There were some name changes so you might have to click EDIT to find the new station name.
|Sunrise 7:21AM||Sunset 4:44PM||Saturday November 17, 2018 12:37 PM EST (17:37 UTC)||Moonrise 2:28PM||Moonset 12:44AM||Illumination 72%|
7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Morris, NYHourly EDIT Help
Area Discussion for - Burlington, VT  (on/off)  Help NOTE: mouseover dotted underlined text for definition
|Fxus61 kbtv 171509|
area forecast discussion
national weather service burlington vt
1009 am est Sat nov 17 2018
An upper level shortwave will continue to track across the
region today bringing isolated to scattered light mountain snow
showers as a cold front sags south out of canada. Quiet weather
returns along with below normal temperatures through the
Near term through Sunday
As of 1009 am est Saturday... Forecast remains in decent shape
as of late morning. Did massage pops a bit higher across
northern counties this afternoon to acct for slightly more
robust low level omega signatures along the frontal boundary
this afternoon. This appears reasonable per latest cam output
and current canadian radar returns. Have a great day.
after a busy couple of days we're trending much less active for
the weekend. An upper level trough will swing across the region
today sagging a shallow surface front through the north country
this afternoon. Scatted mountain snow showers will be prevalent
for much of the day before tapering off this evening. Its not
out of the question that we see some snow squalls develop with
that cold front as the thermal gradient is pretty sharp. Model
soundings show fairly steep lapse rates and decent instability
so its possible some of the showers could develop into brief
heavy snow squalls with significant reduction in visibilities.
Expect plenty of mid and low level clouds through the day today
with some modestly gusty winds in northern new york. High
pressure will build in across new england and we'll see highs
only in the mid 30s today and rather chilly Sunday behind the
cold front. Expect highs only in the mid to upper 20s. Lows this
evening should fall to the teens to near 20 in the valleys.
Short term Sunday night through Monday night
As of 401 am est Saturday... Relatively quiet weather with
continued below normal temperatures for the short-term period. A
modest 700-500mb positive tilt trough passes thru the SRN tier
of new york into central new england during Sunday night. This
system may spread some light stratiform snowfall northward into
s-central vt, but mainly looking at mostly cloudy to cloudy
conditions across the SRN half of the cwa, with little or no
precipitation expected. Limited pops to near 20%. Overnight lows
will range from mid-20s for rutland windsor counties, to the
upper teens and lower 20s across the north.
Generally dry Monday Monday night, though weakly cyclonic
850-700mb flow may generate a few snow showers associated with
moisture advection from the ERN great lakes, especially across
nrn ny. Temperatures are expected to reach the low-mid 30s on
Monday, with lows in the upper teens to lower 20s for Monday
night under variably cloudy skies.
Long term Tuesday through Friday
As of 401 am est Saturday... Amplification of upper ridge across
the pacific NW into british columbia will result in an active
northern branch jet stream and a NW flow pattern across south-|
central canada into the nern CONUS thru the long-term forecast
period. Moisture will be limited with these continental
systems embedded shortwave troughs, but anticipate periods of
snow showers during the day Tuesday, and again on
Wednesday Wednesday evening. The Wednesday system - in both the
00z GFS and ECMWF - is associated with a more well-defined
arctic boundary and digging upper level trough. May see some
more widespread snow showers or possible snow squalls along the
arctic front as it passes from west-to-east across NRN ny and
vt... Likely Wednesday aftn eve based on latest indications.
Overall pattern will keep daytime temperatures well below
normal, with highs mainly in the upper 20s for Tuesday and
Wednesday, and potentially only in the low-mid 20s for
thanksgiving day, with a chance of flurries and wind chill
readings in the single digits above zero. In fact, the 00z
ecmwf-mos for btv indicates a high of just 20f for thanksgiving
day (22f on the gfs-mos). High pressure brings lighter winds and
continued cold for Thursday night into Friday, though temps
should moderate slightly into the upr 20s to near 30f on Friday.
Aviation 15z Saturday through Wednesday
Through 12z Sunday... Expect generally MVFR to lowVFR improving
toVFR at all sites this morning. The exception is at slk where
1000 foot ceilings will hold on through the morning gradually
lifting to 2000-2500 feet. Expect prevailingVFR visibilities
with perhaps some brief MVFR or ifr in mountain snow showers.
Winds will generally be 5-10 knots out of the west with
occasional gusts to 20kts over northern new york through the taf
period. Scattered snow showers are possible along the
international border in the afternoon today as a surface front
pushes south. Some snow squalls may develop near the northern
taf sites which could produce short windows of lifr.
Sunday:VFR. No sig wx.
Sunday night: mainlyVFR, with local MVFR possible. Slight chance
Monday: mainlyVFR, with areas MVFR possible. Slight chance shsn.
Monday night: mainlyVFR, with areas MVFR possible. Chance shsn.
Tuesday: mainly MVFR, with areasVFR possible. Chance shsn.
Tuesday night:VFR. Slight chance shsn.
Wednesday: mainlyVFR, with local MVFR possible. Chance shsn.
Btv watches warnings advisories
near term... Jmg deal
short term... Banacos
long term... Banacos
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Wind Forecast for Burlington, VT (12,3,4,5)(on/off)  Help
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