Cliffdell, WA Marine Weather and Tide Forecast
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Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Cliffdell, WA

April 25, 2024 7:50 PM PDT (02:50 UTC) Change Location
Sunrise 5:53 AM   Sunset 8:06 PM
Moonrise 9:40 PM   Moonset 5:28 AM 
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NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.

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Marine Forecasts
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PZZ135 Puget Sound And Hood Canal- 245 Pm Pdt Thu Apr 25 2024

Tonight - S wind 10 to 20 kt. Wind waves 1 to 3 ft.

Fri - S wind 5 to 15 kt. Wind waves 2 ft or less.

Fri night - S wind 5 to 15 kt becoming 10 to 20 kt after midnight. Wind waves 1 to 3 ft.

Sat - S wind 10 to 20 kt. Wind waves 1 to 3 ft.

Sat night - S wind 10 to 20 kt rising to 15 to 25 kt after midnight. Wind waves 2 to 4 ft.

Sun - SW wind 15 to 25 kt. Wind waves 2 to 4 ft.

Sun night - SW wind 15 to 25 kt becoming S to 10 kt after midnight. Wind waves 2 to 4 ft subsiding to 1 ft or less after midnight.

Mon - S wind to 10 kt becoming sw 5 to 15 kt. Wind waves 2 ft or less.

Tue - S wind to 10 kt. Wind waves 1 ft or less.

PZZ100 245 Pm Pdt Thu Apr 25 2024

Synopsis for the northern and central washington coastal and inland waters - A low pressure system and associated cold front is currently moving through the area tonight into tomorrow. A weak ridge will quickly move through Saturday morning before another front moves through Saturday evening. The active pattern continues into next week with several additional systems expected.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Cliffdell, WA
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Area Discussion for - Pendleton, OR
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FXUS66 KPDT 252351 AFDPDT

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Pendleton OR 451 PM PDT Thu Apr 25 2024


AVIATION
00Z TAFS...VFR conditions currently at all sites, with the exception of MVFR at KPDT due to reduced ceilings of BKN013 and visibilities of 5SM. These conditions will persist over the next couple hours in response to the light rain occurring at the sites. There is also light rain over KALW and KYKM, but will taper off through this evening. Winds will also be slackening over KPSC, KALW, KBDN, and KYKM as showers exit to our east. Ceilings will stay BKN040-060 for all sites through the period, with ceilings at KPDT improving through the evening. 75



PREV DISCUSSION
/issued 243 PM PDT Thu Apr 25 2024/

SHORT TERM
Today through Sunday
Current radar is showing the leading edge of the upper level trough has begun to push along the Cascades and spill over to the east slopes. Current observations show 0.01 inches along the OR east slopes and 0.01-0.03 inches along the WA east slopes. Current satellite shows mid and high level clouds over the majority of the CWA This will assist with keeping temperatures more on the seasonal side. However, if there is a break in the clouds this afternoon, daytime heating coupled with some orographic lift and mid level moisture, the eastern mountains could hear a rumble or two of thunder this afternoon.

Today through Friday night models are in relatively firm agreement with the upper level trough moving slowly across the region. With it there are elevated probabilities of some high mountains snow and low elevation rain. Looking at the raw ensembles 6 hour potential for 0.05 inches of rain, there is and 80-95% chance along the Cascades crests and along the east slopes of the Cascades through tonight while only a 5-15% chance along the eastern mountains, while the lower elevations will see a 30-40% chance of 0.01-0.06 inches of rain. Snow levels will decrease from over 5000 ft to near 4500 ft allowing the crests of the Cascades and portions of the Wallows to see an 80-90% probability of 0.5 inches along the Cascades and higher at the crests while the Blues and Wallowas have 60-80% probabilities for 0.5 inches as well. Along the OR Cascades through Santiam Pass there is a 30% probability of up to 3 inches. Not enough to warrant an advisory but still enough to say be cautious while driving across. As for the temperatures, due to the increased cloud cover, temperatures will remain near seasonable with the EFI showing seasonable temperatures and the ensembles showing low to mid 60s along the lower elevations and high 50s elsewhere. With the majority of the cloud cover currently over the eastern portion of the CWA, there is a slight chance with low confidence (5-15%), that the daytime heating coupled with a lifted index of above 6.5°C/km and MUCAPEs of 150J/kg, the eastern mountains could here a rumble or two this afternoon. CAMs models show these ingredients to uptick Friday afternoon to MUCAPEs of over 200 J/kg, lifted index cresting 7.4°C/km, mid level moisture and southwest flow, isolated thunderstorms could pop up over the eastern mountains Friday afternoon with confidence slightly higher (15-25%).

Saturday the models show the upper level trough to have its axis over the region with the backside of the trough over the Cascades and the leading side over the eastern mountains. Guidance shows the majority of the precipitation will linger along the Cascades as well as the northern Blue Mountains and the Wallowas. With temperatures above freezing overnight and snow levels above 5000ft, much of the precipitation that will fall will be rain at pass levels and rain snow mix along the crests with 20-40% chances of up to 0.10 inches of rain. EFI continues to show the temperatures at seasonable with temperatures increasing ever so slightly to the upper 60s to low 70s through the lower elevations and mid to upper 50s elsewhere.

Lastly, winds through the period will be west to southwest with a diurnally driven increase. Ensembles show high confidence (70-90%)
that sustained winds will be 10-20 mph through the Cascade Gaps and along the lower Columbia Basin daily through Saturday and decreasing overnight. Bennese/90

LONG TERM
Sunday through Thursday
The long term period is expected to see unsettled weather as a trough will be over the area through most of next week and a series of weak and moisture deprived fronts bring light amounts of rain mainly to the mountains.
Temperatures will be generally near to slightly below normal for late April. There are growing differences between model ensemble members over time so while the overall pattern is clear, the finer details are less certain. The Extreme Forecast Index indicates little in the way of unusual weather aside from elevated winds Sunday and Monday afternoons in the Columbia Basin (EFI = 0.75-0.80).

Models start out in good agreement on Sunday in having a strong upper low off the northern British Columbia coast and a shallow trough centered off the Pacific Northwest coast. A weak front and a generally west to southwest flow into the Cascades will bring a 60- 80 percent of rain along the Cascade crest with amounts of about a tenth of an inch or less. The northern portions of the eastern mountains will have a 20-35 percent chance of very light rain. Snow levels will be around 4500-5500 feet. The main concern will be winds with the frontal passage and 15-30 mph westerly winds are expected over most of the area in the afternoon. Temperatures will be slightly warmer than Saturday with highs in the upper 50s to mid 60s with 50s in the mountains.

For Monday, models are still in reasonable agreement though model ensemble clusters show some differences. 70 percent of model ensemble members have the upper low over Vancouver Island or southern British Columbia though they have significant differences about the strength of the closed low. The other 30 percent have the low offshore near central British Columbia. They also indicate some form of weak front crossing the area in the afternoon with a 40-60 percent chance of light rain in the Cascades and a 15-25 percent chance in the eastern mountains. Amounts will be mainly just a few hundredths of an inch. The front will again bring some breezy westerly winds of 15-25 mph in the afternoon. Temperatures will be 3- 5 degrees cooler in the afternoon.

At this point, model ensemble members diverge significantly. On Tuesday and Wednesday, 55 percent of the members have the upper low and trough centered off of Vancouver Island and the other 45 percent favor a shallower trough and low centered over Montana. The National Blend of Models favors the solution with the trough off the coast, though with pops of 20-40 percent in the Cascades and 15-25 percent in the eastern mountains with the rest of the area dry. Rain amounts will be minimal. The version with the trough offshore gives us a southwest flow which pumps up a ridge off to our east, which will warm temperatures a few degrees each day reaching the mid 60s to lower 70s with upper 50s to mid 60s in the mountains on Wednesday.
It should be noted that the 25th percentile and 75th percentile of temperatures have a broad range of 10-15 degrees, so forecasted temperatures have low confidence.

For Thursday, 62 percent of the models continue to keep a strong trough along the Pacific Northwest coast and a strong ridge over the Midwest with a southwest flow over our area while the others show a weak trough developing along the coast or just ashore and a weaker ridge over the midwest. Both solutions favor rain, so have a 40-60 percent chance of rain over the mountains and a 15-30 percent chance over the lower elevations. The mountains will get up to a tenth of an inch of rain while amounts will be very light in the lower elevations. The trough and greater precipitation and cloudiness will cool temperatures to the 60s with 50s in the mountains.
Temperature spread remains wide and confidence remains low. Perry/83



PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
PDT 43 62 42 62 / 80 10 0 0 ALW 48 66 45 65 / 80 30 10 0 PSC 48 69 46 69 / 50 10 0 0 YKM 41 65 40 66 / 30 10 0 0 HRI 45 68 45 67 / 60 10 0 0 ELN 41 64 40 62 / 50 20 10 0 RDM 38 55 34 58 / 20 20 0 0 LGD 41 59 39 58 / 90 30 10 0 GCD 40 58 37 59 / 90 50 20 0 DLS 48 63 46 61 / 60 10 0 0

PDT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
OR...None.
WA...None.




Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesinHgDewPt
TCMW1 - 9446482 - Tacoma Met, WA 67 mi51 min SE 8G9.9 53°F
TCNW1 - 9446484 - Tacoma, WA 67 mi51 min 51°F29.75


Wind History for Tacoma MET, WA
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisSkyWeatherTempDewPtRHinHg
Link to 5 minute data for KSMP


Wind History from SMP
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Tide / Current for Des Moines, Washington
   
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Des Moines
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Thu -- 12:36 AM PDT     5.91 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 05:40 AM PDT     10.67 feet High Tide
Thu -- 06:01 AM PDT     Sunrise
Thu -- 06:30 AM PDT     Moonset
Thu -- 12:47 PM PDT     -0.95 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 07:55 PM PDT     11.32 feet High Tide
Thu -- 08:13 PM PDT     Sunset
Thu -- 10:46 PM PDT     Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

Des Moines, Washington, Tide feet
12
am
6.1
1
am
6
2
am
6.8
3
am
8.1
4
am
9.5
5
am
10.4
6
am
10.6
7
am
9.8
8
am
8.1
9
am
5.9
10
am
3.4
11
am
1.1
12
pm
-0.5
1
pm
-0.9
2
pm
0
3
pm
2.1
4
pm
4.7
5
pm
7.4
6
pm
9.6
7
pm
10.9
8
pm
11.3
9
pm
10.9
10
pm
9.8
11
pm
8.4



Tide / Current for Tacoma, Commencement Bay, Sitcum Waterway, Puget Sound, Washington (sub)
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Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

Tacoma, Commencement Bay, Sitcum Waterway, Puget Sound, Washington (sub), Tide feet




Weather Map
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GEOS Local Image of Pacific Northwest   
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Seattle/Tacoma, WA,



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