Monday, November12, 2018 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Ocean Shores, WA

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
10/6/2018 Colors of tide XTide graphs changed to emphasize that they were upgraded. See next note. Comments welcome.
10/4/2018 I have fixed XTide and updated the harmonic files. There were some name changes so you might have to click EDIT to find the new station name.

Sunrise 7:14AMSunset 4:44PM Monday November 12, 2018 4:17 PM PST (00:17 UTC) Moonrise 11:54AMMoonset 8:56PM Illumination 24% Phase: Waxing Crescent; Moon at 5 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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PZZ110 Grays harbor bar- 243 pm pst Mon nov 12 2018 combined seas 3 to 5 feet. Bar conditions light. Maximum ebb currents will occur around 715 pm tonight and 815 am Tuesday.
PZZ100 243 Pm Pst Mon Nov 12 2018
Synopsis for the northern and central washington coastal and inland waters..Offshore flow will persist tonight with high pressure inland and lower pressure offshore. A weak front will cross the area Tuesday night into Wednesday for brief onshore flow. A second weak system will clip the area on Thursday. Offshore flow will return this weekend.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Ocean Shores, WA
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location: 46.95, -124.13     debug


Area Discussion for - Seattle, WA
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Fxus66 ksew 122302
afdsew
area forecast discussion
national weather service seattle wa
300 pm pst Mon nov 12 2018

Synopsis An upper ridge will keep the western washington dry
tonight and into Tuesday. A front will bring light rain to the coast
by Tuesday afternoon, spreading inland Tuesday night and Wednesday.

Another dry period with areas of overnight and morning fog is
expected Thursday through Saturday. A front may bring some light
rain to the area by late Sunday or early next week.

Short term Some high clouds... And that is about it... In place
over W wa this afternoon as the slowly eastward moving upper level
ridge keeps the weather fairly benign over the area. The inherited
wind advisory from this morning was allowed to expire. Gusts in the
east puget sound lowlands still kicking up to around 40 mph in some
locations... But with criteria being 45 mph... Model pressure
gradients indicating some relaxation and a slow but steady downward
trend in wind speeds gusts... Felt pretty confident in allowing it to
expire and... Thankfully... That reasoning still seems to be holding
up.

The upper level ridge will push east enough to allow the next system
to make its way to the coast Tuesday afternoon with models in
general agreement on timing and precip amounts coverage. Both models
show things starting to taper off at some point Wed night or early
Thursday morning... But 12z runs agree that a secondary system mostly
to the north of the area will sag down into W wa allowing for
chances of precip to linger even into Friday before exiting the area
completely. Smr

Long term High pressure aloft begins to build offshore Thursday
but its influence does not look to be felt over the area until
Friday afternoon as the ridge axis draws closer to the coast. This
will make for a dry weekend and start to next week. Models are
hinting at the next system out in the day 7 or 8 time
frame... Tuesday or Wednesday depending which model you
consult... ECMWF or GFS respectively. No real surprises with the
disagreement. Neighboring office has bit on to the more aggressive
solution and have tweaked extended grids to remain within
collaboration guidelines... Although hard to get excited about
anything that far out just yet. Smr

Aviation The air mass across western wa will remain dry and
stable tonight with high pressure aloft and offshore flow.VFR
conditions expected, however, may see patchy fog in the south sound
early Tuesday morning. Otherwise, expect mainly sct-bkn cirrus
clouds aloft. Rain will increase Tuesday night as the next frontal
system approaches and moves inland. 33
ksea... Dry weather tonight withVFR conditions. E NE winds to 10 kt,
becoming S by 18z tues. 33

Marine Offshore flow will persist through Tuesday with high
pressure east of the cascades and low pressure over the NE pacific.

Highest wind and waves will be over the coastal waters and western
strait of juan de fuca - small craft advisories are in effect. The
flow will turn onshore late Tuesday into Wednesday as a weak front
crosses the area. A second weak frontal system will clip the region
on Thursday. Offshore flow will return over the weekend. 33

Hydrology River flooding is not expected the next 7 days.

Sew watches warnings advisories
Wa... None.

Pz... Small craft advisory until 10 pm pst Tuesday for coastal waters
from CAPE flattery to james island 10 to 60 nm-coastal
waters from CAPE flattery to james island out 10 nm-coastal
waters from james island to point grenville 10 to 60 nm-
coastal waters from james island to point grenville out 10
nm-coastal waters from point grenville to CAPE shoalwater
10 to 60 nm-coastal waters from point grenville to cape
shoalwater out 10 nm-west entrance u.S. Waters strait of
juan de fuca.



Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
WPTW1 - 9441102 - Westport, WA 3 mi41 min E 14 G 16 55°F 51°F1026 hPa
46211 - Grays Harbor, WA (036) 9 mi17 min 52°F2 ft
TOKW1 - 9440910 - Toke Point, WA 19 mi29 min E 8.9 G 9.9 51°F1026.2 hPa
46041 - CAPE ELIZABETH- 45NM Northwest of Aberdeen, WA 43 mi27 min ESE 18 G 23 56°F 53°F3 ft1024.8 hPa (-0.9)

Wind History for Westport, WA
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Hoquiam, Bowerman Airport, WA9 mi24 minNE 109.00 miFair57°F33°F41%1026.8 hPa

Wind History from HQM (wind in knots)
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1 day agoNE4NE9NE8NE3N4NE7E8E7E10NE8E9E9NE7NE10NE12NE12NE11NE13
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2 days agoNE6NE4NE4NE4NE5CalmE5NE7N3NE4NE3NE5E4NE6NE6E8E6E6E8E10E10E8NE6NE9

Tide / Current Tables for Point Brown, Grays Harbor, Washington
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Point Brown
Click for Map
Mon -- 04:08 AM PST     8.10 feet High Tide
Mon -- 07:15 AM PST     Sunrise
Mon -- 09:21 AM PST     3.79 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 11:54 AM PST     Moonrise
Mon -- 03:12 PM PST     8.78 feet High Tide
Mon -- 04:45 PM PST     Sunset
Mon -- 08:57 PM PST     Moonset
Mon -- 09:59 PM PST     0.51 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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3.34.96.47.68.17.86.85.64.63.945.16.57.68.48.88.57.55.842.41.10.51.1

Tide / Current Tables for Grays Harbor Entrance, Washington Current
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Grays Harbor Entrance
Click for Map
Mon -- 01:02 AM PST     1.93 knots Max Flood
Mon -- 04:27 AM PST     -0.00 knots Slack
Mon -- 07:15 AM PST     Sunrise
Mon -- 07:20 AM PST     -1.74 knots Max Ebb
Mon -- 09:58 AM PST     0.00 knots Slack
Mon -- 11:53 AM PST     Moonrise
Mon -- 12:23 PM PST     1.35 knots Max Flood
Mon -- 03:31 PM PST     -0.00 knots Slack
Mon -- 04:45 PM PST     Sunset
Mon -- 07:16 PM PST     -2.96 knots Max Ebb
Mon -- 08:57 PM PST     Moonset
Mon -- 10:48 PM PST     0.00 knots Slack
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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1.71.91.81.40.5-0.6-1.4-1.7-1.6-100.91.31.30.90.4-0.4-1.6-2.6-2.9-2.8-2.2-1.10.2

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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wmap_P
GOES Local Image of PacificNorthwest    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Seattle, WA (19,4,5,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Portland, OR
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.