Monday, March27, 2017 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Lake George, MN

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.
3/12/2015 - Added section for Gulf current for users in the GMZ marine zones.
This was requested by a user. If you have requests, please let me know.

Sunrise 7:12AMSunset 7:52PM Monday March 27, 2017 5:30 PM CDT (22:30 UTC) Moonrise 6:10AMMoonset 6:22PM Illumination 0% Phase: New Moon; Moon at 0 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Lake George, MN
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location: 47.08, -94.92     debug


Area Discussion for - Grand Forks, ND
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Fxus63 kfgf 272049
afdfgf
area forecast discussion
national weather service grand forks nd
349 pm cdt Mon mar 27 2017

Short term (this evening through Tuesday)
issued at 334 pm cdt Mon mar 27 2017
the main challenge for tonight will be potential for fog
development. The low stratus over the northern valley has been
gradually eroding from all sides over the last few hours as sun
angle increased during the afternoon and east winds picked up a
tad... Advecting in drier air. My forecast based on the clearing
trends clears out majority of grand forks county by mid-
evening... Although the clearing trends have slowed down the last
30 min. So especially the nd side of the northern rrv may not
clear out prior to sunset... Allowing it to remain cloudy through
the night. Best chance for this to happen will be pembina and
eastern walsh... And still thinking gf county will clear. There is
also a band of CU stretched across NE nd that should dissipate
this evening as well.

Remainder of the area will be clear for a good portion of the
evening with some increase in sky cover west of the valley by
morning. This will allow radiational cooling although tonight
there will be a slight easterly component wind which will be
somewhat drier air than last night. Do have areas of fog across
the region by 4 am cdt... However not confident enough right now to
go dense fog and issue a headline. Best chance for headlines would
be in NE nd where overnight continuation of snowmelt adds to the
low level moisture. Warmest overnight lows will be across W cntrl
mn... Generally in the mid-30s. With more clearing, portions of my
nw fa should fall into the upper 20s.

Dry on Tuesday with more sunshine and more areas climbing into the
50s... Especially in the areas of lower albedo over beltrami
county, where daytime highs today reached the upper 50s. Low 40s
in the northwest where some snow exists and a cooler start to the
day.

Long term (Tuesday night through Monday)
issued at 334 pm cdt Mon mar 27 2017
Tuesday night through Thursday... The medium range models are in
fairly good agreement on split flow with the northern branch
shortwave coming out into the dakotas. There has been a weakening
trend with models bringing very little QPF into the area for
Wednesday/Wednesday night kept the very low pops we had going for
the northern counties. Temps will be highly dependent on what clouds
do, but with southerly winds and warm air advection expect readings
for the mid week period to be above seasonal averages.

Friday through Monday... A stronger northern branch shortwave will be
approaching for the end of the week, and models are in decent
agreement on some precip coming in as the wave moves through and a
cold front pushes down for Saturday. Will keep some fairly high pops
that the blend of longer range models gives us. Temps will get
knocked back a bit with the cold front Saturday but should bounce
back on Sunday as upper ridging builds in again. Model consensus
starts to diverge at the end of the period with the GFS showing weak
upper ridging and the ECMWF more progressive with southwesterly flow
aloft ahead of the next system. Will keep some low pops going along
with warmer than average temperatures.

Aviation (for the 18z tafs through 18z Tuesday afternoon)
issued at 101 pm cdt Mon mar 27 2017
improving vsbys over far/bji however ifr CIGS remain over
dvl/gfk/tvf. Both tvf/dvl on edges of clearing line, and those
edges should retreat allowing those sites to clear up. Gfk likely
to remain ifr CIGS for quite some time, likely overnight. Expect
any clearing over dvl to see a return of ifr CIGS tonight as low
level winds shift NE and clouds over NE nd advect back to the sw.

Fog potential exists for tvf/bji tomorrow morning however drier ne
flow may limit it... So will hold off on any low vsbys for tomorrow
morning.

Hydrology
Issued at 334 pm cdt Mon mar 27 2017
impacts from snow melt runoff will begin to make its way into the
grafton and pembina areas this week. River levels are expected to
continue to quickly rise at grafton into major levels with an
expected crest between 14.5 and 15.5 feet. Moderate flooding is
expected by the end of the week at pembina as northern valley
tributaries combine to push the river into the 43 to 45 foot
range late this week.

Streams are beginning to show some response across the devils lake
basin and along the pembina river to field runoff. Most culverts
remain frozen however should begin to slowly open as the
temperatures remain above freezing for all but a few hours in the
morning. As a result continued slow rises are expected on the
pembina river and across the coulees and streams of the devils lake
basin.

Fgf watches/warnings/advisories
Nd... None.

Mn... None.

Short term... Speicher
long term... Jr
aviation... Speicher
hydrology... Jk


Weather Reporting Stations
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Park Rapids Municipal Airport, MN14 mi38 minNNW 410.00 miFair59°F26°F28%1014.9 hPa

Wind History from PKD (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrCalmSE4CalmCalmSE4SE3CalmCalmNW3N3CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalm4CalmCalmSE4Calm3N3N4
1 day agoE8SE7SE7SE7SE7SE6NE3E4SE5SE4E3CalmNE3E4E4CalmE3CalmCalm33W6NE4Calm
2 days agoE5E6E3E5E4E7E4E7SE8SE5SE7E6E8SE9SE10
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
wmap_A
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
east_satellite

GOES Local Image of NorthernPlains    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for Grand Forks, ND (18,4,5,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Duluth, MN
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.