Monday, September24, 2018 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Remer, MN

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
9/17/2018 XTide broke when 1and1 "upgraded" my server. It has been esculated. I am sorry for the problem.

Sunrise 7:01AMSunset 7:05PM Monday September 24, 2018 12:14 AM CDT (05:14 UTC) Moonrise 6:26PMMoonset 5:20AM Illumination 99% Phase: Full Moon; Moon at 14 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Remer, MN
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location: 47.09, -94     debug


Area Discussion for - Duluth, MN
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Fxus63 kdlh 240155
afddlh
area forecast discussion
national weather service duluth mn
855 pm cdt Sun sep 23 2018

Update
Issued at 855 pm cdt Sun sep 23 2018
showers have developed just south of hibbing and west to near
grand rapids. This is in an area of warm air advection, upper
level frontogenesis, and upper level divergence. Adjusted pops to
account for these showers and the additional showers expected to
develop.

Short term (this evening through Monday)
issued at 253 pm cdt Sun sep 23 2018
as of 245 pm this afternoon, most of the northland was socked in
with low-level stratus clouds, and fog and drizzle along the
higher terrain of the minnesota north shore. Only areas in the far
southern forecast area had warmer and sunnier conditions being
closer to a stationary front across central minnesota through
northern wisconsin, and out of the way of the cool easterly flow
from lake superior. There were strong east to northeast winds over
lake superior, with gale force gusts, and those winds were
translating inland for areas near lake superior. Temperatures were
in the upper 30s and lower 40s over far northern minnesota, the
upper 40s and lower 50s near and wester of the twin PORTS and far
northern wisconsin, but in the lower 60s from about pine city to
the phillips area of price county wisconsin.

There will not be much change in the weather through this evening,
but then the drizzle will taper off along the north shore the rest
of the night as the winds in the region veer and become more
southerly. This veering will be occurring because of developing
low pressure in the northern plains, which will lift northeast
into northwest mn by late tonight. Warm southerly flow will
develop aloft. Rain showers, and even thunder, will develop in
north- central minnesota later tonight because of the strong
forcing from the approaching system and from a strong 30 to 45
knot low- level jet. The models are indicating up to several
hundred j kg of mucape.

Much of the northland will have a warmer, yet cloudy, day. Breezy
south-southwest winds will develop by the afternoon. However, rain
will be moving in from the west. The area of low pressure over
northwest minnesota in the morning will lift into far northwestern
ontario, and then its cold front will move through the northland
from west to east late Monday morning through Monday evening.

A 2 to 4 hour window of steady rain is expected during the day and
evening with any given area in the northland with the passage of
this front, and temperatures will drop with the rain and incoming
colder air. Much of the northland will reach the lower to middle
60s, but central and north-central minnesota will not have much
time to warm up before the rain moves in. The models are in pretty
good agreement with the rain, so was able to better refine the
timing and forecast high chances for all of the northland. Expect
widespread rainfall of one quarter to one half inch, and some
areas of north-central minnesota could get up to three quarters.

Long term (Monday night through Sunday)
issued at 253 pm cdt Sun sep 23 2018
models continue to indicate that much of the week will be
influenced by a deep long wave trough digging across the upper
midwest. Zonal flow begins to develop by the weekend.

Tuesday should be cool as the Monday system departs. Wednesday
looks mostly dry though showers may spark up as the centroid of an
cold dome crosses overhead. Another system impacts the region
Thursday coming from the NW with just a shade of instability, so
weak tstorms are possible, but not likely.

As zonal flow develops by weeks' end, moisture becomes scarce as
the baroclinic zone sets up well to our south leaving the region
in a cool air mass.

Aviation (for the 00z tafs through 00z Monday evening)
issued at 651 pm cdt Sun sep 23 2018
widespread MVFR or ifr CIGS cover most of the terminals at the
start of the forecast. The exception being hyr, which was south of
a stationary front, and hadVFR. Vlifr at dlh with fg advecting
in off of lake superior. The front will begin to lift north as a
warm front through the overnight. However, MVFR CIGS will continue
for the forecast. Dlh should improve to MVFR by 08z with the
front nearby. Gusty surface winds will occur at most sites through
the overnight. Llws is also expected. A cold front will approach
the terminals from the west and begin to affect inl and brd around
12z, then progress eastward. Light to moderate rain will
accompany the front. Some isold thunder is possible at inl and
have a vicinity mention by 12z.

Preliminary point temps pops
Dlh 48 64 44 56 20 100 90 20
inl 41 57 40 53 70 90 10 20
brd 54 61 44 57 20 90 10 20
hyr 52 68 48 57 10 40 90 20
asx 49 70 49 59 10 30 90 20

Dlh watches warnings advisories
Wi... None.

Mn... None.

Ls... Small craft advisory until 10 am cdt Monday for lsz121-140>148.

Update... Gsf
short term... Grochocinski
long term... Wolfe
aviation... Gsf


Weather Reporting Stations
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Longville, Longville Municipal Airport, MN13 mi22 minESE 510.00 miOvercast50°F48°F94%1013.5 hPa

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Last 24hrCalmNE6NE4CalmNE3CalmCalmNE3CalmE4NE3E4E5E9
G15
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1 day agoCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmS4S5S6S6S8
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2 days agoNW5NW8NW7NW7
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W8W6W4CalmCalmCalmCalmCalm

Tide / Current Tables for
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Weather Map and Satellite Images
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NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Wind Forecast for Duluth, MN (1,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Duluth, MN
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.