Thursday, June20, 2019

Marine Weather and Tides
Remer, MN

Version 3.4
6/2/2019. Many thanks to a user for reporting an error on one of the Edit pages. The switch to PHP 7.2 caused many pages that previously worked to quit working. I fixed many but I still depend on users to report ones I missed. Please report errors HERE or send an email to me at Allen

Sunrise 5:12AMSunset 9:13PM Wednesday June 19, 2019 11:53 PM CDT (04:53 UTC) Moonrise 10:17PMMoonset 6:22AM Illumination 93% Phase: Waning Gibbous; Moon at 17 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Remer, MN
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location: 47.09, -94     debug

Area Discussion for - Duluth, MN
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Fxus63 kdlh 200439
area forecast discussion
national weather service duluth mn
1139 pm cdt Wed jun 19 2019

Short term (this evening through Thursday night)
issued at 347 pm cdt Wed jun 19 2019
weak surface high pressure over lake superior this afternoon has
kept all but a few showers from developing. Zonal flow over the
northland will keep things pretty quiet tonight. Areas of fog will
likely develop overnight thanks to efficient radiational cooling
and light winds. Thursday and Thursday night will see a shift in
the pattern. Deep and closed upper-low will dig into the northern
rockies with a jet MAX rounding the base of low and nosing into
north dakota and southern manitoba by Thursday evening. A
shortwave trough will move across the dakotas and into minnesota
roughly along the leading edge of the jet max. Rain showers, and
maybe a few thunderstorms, are expected to develop along and ahead
of a developing warm front. A chance of precipitation will move
into central and north-central minnesota during the afternoon.

Thunderstorms are possible in the brainerd lakes, but the threat
is quite limited farther north and east. The showers will
gradually taper off overnight as they move away from the strongest
moisture advection and forcing.

Long term (Friday through Wednesday)
issued at 347 pm cdt Wed jun 19 2019
unsettled remains the theme of the extended as a slow moving
upper low affects the upper midwest through much of the period.

This will lead to chances for showers and storms almost every day
with a more major system affecting the area for the weekend with a
chance for a few stronger storms and heavy rainfall.

Friday will see the development of southerly flow across the area
as low pressure develops across the northern plains as the upper
low moves into eastern montana. The system then looks to become
vertically stacked heading into Friday night with showers and
storms becoming possible across the northland during the early
morning hours of Saturday as a cold front moves into the red river
valley. Showers and storms will remain possible through much of
Saturday as the front slowly moves through. With repeated rounds
of storms and increasing moisture from the south ahead of the
front, there is the potential for heavy rainfall over parts of the
area. Pwats continue to push higher into the 1.5 to 1.75 inch
range, but concerned that with the multiple rounds of convection
and cloud cover, there will not be enough instability to cause
excessive rainfall issues. Additionally, timing continues to look
poor for strong to severe potential. Most of the activity looks to
remain to our west Friday night and then with the aforementioned
potential for multiple rounds and cloud cover for Saturday, it
will be hard to get anything strong to severe. Still, a few
stronger storms cannot be ruled out late Friday night, especially
in the brainerd lakes area where gusty winds and small hail will
be possible.

12z guidance appears to be trending towards a more common
solution for Sunday with an upper low moving out of the central
rockies into the central plains Sunday night. A surface low will
track from the tx ok panhandle area northeastward into southern
minnesota northern iowa by Monday morning before models diverge.

The GFS continues this low into ontario Monday night while the
ecmwf stalls out the surface low over southern minnesota. The gem
doesn't have this low at all and keeps the original upper low over
the canadian prairies during this period. Regardless, this will
keep showers and storms possible over the area for Sunday into
Monday and perhaps lingering into Tuesday.

Temperatures will remain near to slightly below normal into the
weekend with the rainfall and cloud cover expected. This will
result in highs in the 60s and 70s with cooler temperatures near
lake superior. A warming trend looks possible over the latter
portion of the extended with some lower 80s becoming possible in
southern areas by the end of the period.

Aviation (for the 06z tafs through 06z Thursday night)
issued at 1136 pm cdt Wed jun 19 2019
vfr except for patchy fog tonight. Winds will become gusty
tomorrow afternoon as the next system moves near the area. Low
confidence in the fog tonight as shower activity has been less
than yesterday and cloud cover is increasing. Due to this and the
short night increased the lowest vsbys in the 06z TAF package
from 1 2sm to 1sm or more.

Issued at 947 pm cdt Wed jun 19 2019
no hazardous marine conditions expected over the next 48 hours.

High pressure will remain over western lake superior through
Friday morning.

Preliminary point temps pops
Dlh 46 70 47 68 10 10 20 30
inl 47 76 50 74 0 10 10 20
brd 52 74 55 72 10 40 40 40
hyr 46 76 51 76 0 10 20 30
asx 41 68 44 71 0 10 20 20

Dlh watches warnings advisories
Wi... None.

Mn... None.

Ls... None.

Short term... Huyck
long term... Bjh
aviation... Wolfe
marine... Wolfe

Weather Reporting Stations
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Longville, Longville Municipal Airport, MN13 mi57 minN 010.00 miFair55°F51°F88%1009.5 hPa

Wind History from XVG (wind in knots)
Last 24hrCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmSE5E5SE7SE6NE4E4SE5SE5SE3CalmCalmCalmCalmCalm
1 day agoCalmCalmW3CalmCalmCalmW4W4CalmN3N3NE3NW6NW4N3W6N4N8
2 days agoSE5CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmSW4W8W5W6W6W7SW8W7W4W4W5SW5W3CalmCalmCalm

Tide / Current Tables for
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Weather Map and Satellite Images
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GOES Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Wind Forecast for Duluth, MN (0,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Duluth, MN
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The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.