Sunrise 5:04 AM   Sunset 8:13 PM Moonrise 1:05 PM   Moonset 2:31 AM

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FXUS61 KCAR 161957 AFDCAR

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Caribou ME 357 PM EDT Thu May 16 2024

SYNOPSIS
A stationary front will remain across the Interior Downeast region tonight and gradually shift off shore on Friday. High pressure ridges over the area this weekend into early next week.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH FRIDAY/
Currently, a stationary front remains draped across the Central Highlands and stretching NE into southern Aroostook County.
South of this boundary, the sea breeze has pushed northwards well into the Interior Downeast region, with moderate rainfall and isolated thunderstorms continuing into the late afternoon hours. Both surface boundaries are slow moving, but should they meet each other, could initiate further shower and storm development into central Penobscot and southern Aroostook counties early this evening. Otherwise, showers will decrease into the overnight hours due to lack of diurnal heating and the reversal of the sea breeze during nocturnal hours.

Friday will see a shift in the front positioning as it moves offshore, yet a generally unsettled pattern will remain with another approaching longwave trough. Rain showers may return to the area, especially across the north, Friday afternoon around peak diurnal heating. With the post-frontal environment along the coast, the sea breeze on Friday is expected to be less potent than seen this afternoon.

SHORT TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY/
Upper ridge will begin building in with diurnal showers dying off over nwrn zones Friday evening. SFc ridge axis will nose in from the northeast early Saturday morning and influence the weather during the day on Saturday. With mostly cloudy conditions expected temps will start off in the lower 50s on Saturday and climb to around 70 inland with m/u 50s right along the shore.

Ridge axis likely to impact the weather on Sunday with partly cloudy skies expected late in the weekend. ENE winds on Sunday will keep temps slightly cooler than Saturday with highs over most inland areas around 70 degrees, if that.

LONG TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY/
Surface ridge axis will continue to bring quiet wx to most of the area on Monday. We will likely see a warm front lift over the area on Tuesday, bring temps up into the 80s with u50s along the coast. Surface high pressure will be shifting to the east as upr lvl ridge also drifting east. 12z guidance looks to be on different pages regarding breakdown of the ridge with GFS bringing wave across CWA Tuesday afternoon through the night and EC/CMC just giving our area a glancing blow. For the time being have kept NBM/s idea of 20 pops for Wednesday.

As upr low slides twd the area, rain chances will begin to increase toward the end of the week. Temperatures will be well above normal on Tuesday and Wednesday while falling back but still remaining above normal next Thursday.

AVIATION /20Z THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/
NEAR TERM: MVFR cigs across the north this afternoon will continue to lift into the evening, and may become VFR through the early evening as showers dissipate. Winds will be light and variable with various showers around the entire forecast area interacting with each other. Occasional gusts over 15 kts are possible near the stronger showers and storms. Showers will dissipate overnight, but areas of dense fog may develop and could limit visibilities, which is most likely to occur at terminals near the coast, and cigs will likely lower towards MVFR/IFR. Winds will remain light and variable. Cigs will lift towards VFR once more on Friday with variable winds 5 to 10 kts.

SHORT TERM: Friday night-Saturday night...Mainly VFR with ocnl MVFR at times in light showers, mostly over northern terminals. Light E Friday night and Saturday night, E 5-10kts Saturday.

Sunday-Monday...VFR. E 5-10kts becoming S 5kts Monday.

Tuesday...VFR with MVFR moving in late. SW 5-10kts.

MARINE
NEAR TERM: Winds and seas will remain below small craft advisory levels tonight through Friday. Wind gusts may approach 20 kts early Friday morning prior to decreasing once more through the day on Friday. Areas of dense fog possible overnight over the waters, limiting visibilities.

SHORT TERM: Seas will be marginal but likely below 5ft Friday night into Saturday morning in serly swell. Remainder of the period will see winds and seas well below small craft levels into early next week.

CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
ME...None.
MARINE...None.

Bonsecours
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Thu -- 12:53 AM EDT     3.81 meters High Tide
Thu -- 02:31 AM EDT     Moonset
Thu -- 05:03 AM EDT     Sunrise
Thu -- 06:58 AM EDT     1.68 meters Low Tide
Thu -- 01:01 PM EDT     4.12 meters High Tide
Thu -- 01:04 PM EDT     Moonrise
Thu -- 07:46 PM EDT     1.23 meters Low Tide
Thu -- 08:12 PM EDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

Bonsecours, Quebec, Tide feet

St-Jean-Port-Joli
Click for Map
Thu -- 12:03 AM EDT     3.80 meters High Tide
Thu -- 02:30 AM EDT     Moonset
Thu -- 05:03 AM EDT     Sunrise
Thu -- 06:11 AM EDT     1.81 meters Low Tide
Thu -- 12:18 PM EDT     4.25 meters High Tide
Thu -- 01:04 PM EDT     Moonrise
Thu -- 07:10 PM EDT     1.44 meters Low Tide
Thu -- 08:12 PM EDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

St-Jean-Port-Joli, Quebec, Tide feet

Full Color Weather Map

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Caribou, ME,