Thursday, April18, 2019 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Fort Kent, ME

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
10/6/2018 Colors of tide XTide graphs changed to emphasize that they were upgraded. See next note. Comments welcome.
10/4/2018 I have fixed XTide and updated the harmonic files. There were some name changes so you might have to click EDIT to find the new station name.

Sunrise 5:41AMSunset 7:33PM Thursday April 18, 2019 12:59 PM EDT (16:59 UTC) Moonrise 6:38PMMoonset 5:50AM Illumination 99% Phase: Waxing Gibbous; Moon at 14 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Fort Kent, ME
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location: 47.38, -70.32     debug


Area Discussion for - Caribou, ME
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Fxus61 kcar 181522
afdcar
area forecast discussion
national weather service caribou me
1122 am edt Thu apr 18 2019

Synopsis
High pressure will move east of the region today. A warm front
will lift north across the area tonight. The region will remain
in a moist south to southwest flow Friday through Sunday with
rain at times.

Near term through tonight
11:25: increased pops a bit in western areas where showers are
filling in. Otherwise, cloud and temps are on target.

Previous discussion:
high pressure across eastern maine early this morning will retreat
into the northwest atlantic through tonight. Low pressure across
the western great lakes will lift up to near quebec city late
tonight. As a deep upper low digs into the central u.S. Tonight
with a deep sfc low to develop in the diffluent flow aloft and lift
into the ohio valley late tonight.

Clouds will increase today with showers to develop this afternoon,
mainly to the north and west of the katahdin region. Highs this
afternoon will be near 50f in most areas, but with 40s along the
immediate coast owing to the onshore flow and cold ocean waters.

A warm front will lift north across the fa tonight with showers and
areas of drizzle and fog. Rainfall amounts will likely range from
1 3 to 1 2 of an inch with local amounts of up to 3 4 of an inch.

Lows tonight will mostly range from the upper 30s to low 40s across
the fa, but temps will likely slowly rise after midnight.

Short term Friday through Saturday
Moist southerly flow will be in place on Friday between a strong
area of high pressure across the western atlantic and a complex
frontal system to our northwest. The moist southerly flow will
result in abundant low level moisture in the form of marine
stratus and patchy fog early Friday. A cold front along the st.

Lawrence river valley Friday morning will slowly push into far
northern maine by Friday afternoon. As it does so, expect a band
of showers to accompany the frontal boundary, mainly north of
the katahdin region. Rainfall amounts through Friday afternoon
generally look to be around one-quarter inch or less. Elsewhere,
across central and downeast areas, expect mainly cloudy skies
with a few showers. High temperatures on Friday will be well
above normal for this time of year, with highs away from the
coast ranging from the upper 50s to lower 60s. The front will
stall out across central areas Friday night into Saturday.

Expect a steady rainfall to develop Friday night and Saturday
across northern and central areas in the vicinity of the
baroclinic zone associated with the nearly stationary frontal
boundary. Precipitable water values increase to 1.0-1.5 inches
Friday night and Saturday. The rain could be heavy at times. The
combination of run off from melting snow and rainfall will
result in continued rises and area rivers and streams through
Saturday. Highs on Saturday will range from the upper 40s to
lower 50s across the far north and upper 50s to lower 60s across
central and interior downeast areas. It will be much cooler
along the downeast coast.

Long term Saturday night through Wednesday
Expect continued chances for occasional rain or showers Saturday
night into Sunday. Showers should begin to diminish by late
Sunday as the upper trof kicks east of the region. Another
weaker system may bring more showers to the region on Monday.

The main concern late weekend into early next week will be with
regard to the flood potential. The combination of the expected
rainfall and snowmelt is expected to cause significant rises on
area rivers and streams into next week. (see hydrology section
below for more details).

Canadian high pressure will build into the region Tuesday and
then move east on Wednesday. Expect fair weather both days with
high temperatures close to seasonable levels for this time of
year.

Aviation 16z Thursday through Monday
Near term:VFR into early this afternoon with conditions to
lower to MVFR by mid-late afternoon at the aroostook county
terminals. Conditions will lower to ifr this evening at all of
the northern and eastern maine terminals, and will continue
tonight in showers and fog, with local lifr possible late
evening and overnight. Llws is expected tonight with a strong
south wind approaching 50 knots at 2k ft agl.

Short term: widespread ifr conditions expected in low clouds
and patchy fog early Friday. Conditions should improve to MVFR
Friday afternoon. Widespread ifr lifr conditions expected
Friday night through Sunday in rain and patchy fog. MVFR
expected Sunday night into Monday in scattered showers.

Marine
Near term: a small craft advisory has been issued starting at 6
pm this evening. A south flow will increase today into tonight,
and a few gusts may approach 35 knots tonight, but widespread
gale conditions are not expected.

Short term: small craft advisory level conditions are expected
to persist Friday through Saturday. Visibilities will be
reduced to 1 nm or less at times in rain and areas of fog.

Hydrology
A flood warning remains in effect along the aroostook river in
the vicinity of washburn and wade. The gauge at washburn is just
over 18 feet early this morning with reports of water coming up
over the gardiner creek road as of late last evening. A report
as of 6:15 am that castle hill road in south wade is flooded and
the road is closed. Will update and continue the flood warning
through today, and it will likely need to remain in effect until
the ice gets flushed downriver.

There is also a flood warning in effect for the mattawamkeag
river at mattawamkeag for very minor flooding. The river is now
forecast to drop below flood stage later today.

Concerns turn to open water flooding over the weekend and into
next week. Rainfall amounts may exceed 2 inches in spots from
tonight through the weekend, with the highest totals across the
northern half of the hsa. The combination of rain and
snowfall is expected to cause significant river rises beginning
Saturday night and likely continuing into early next week. There
is the potential for moderate to major flooding, but the details
on just how much rain falls and how much snow melts makes
predictions of the magnitude of the flooding uncertain, although
there is a high likelihood that there will be some areas that
experience significant flooding. Please continue to closely
monitor the latest forecasts from the national weather service
for possible flood watches and warnings this weekend and into
next week.

Car watches warnings advisories
Me... None.

Marine... Small craft advisory from 6 pm this evening to 6 pm edt Friday
for anz050>052.

Near term... CB mcb
short term... Duda
long term... Duda
aviation... CB duda
marine... CB duda
hydrology... CB duda


Weather Reporting Stations
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Clayton Lake, ME67 mi1.7 hrsVar 4 G 13 mi44°F20°F39%1021.7 hPa

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Tide / Current Tables for Traverse St-Roch, Quebec
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Traverse St-Roch
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Thu -- 03:43 AM EDT     8.46 meters High Tide
Thu -- 05:47 AM EDT     Sunrise
Thu -- 05:49 AM EDT     Moonset
Thu -- 10:02 AM EDT     3.46 meters Low Tide
Thu -- 04:07 PM EDT     8.52 meters High Tide
Thu -- 06:38 PM EDT     Moonrise
Thu -- 07:34 PM EDT     Sunset
Thu -- 10:20 PM EDT     3.40 meters Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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5.36.57.68.38.487.16.14.93.93.53.94.967.28.18.58.37.56.55.34.23.53.6

Tide / Current Tables for Cap Aux Oies, Quebec
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Cap Aux Oies
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Thu -- 03:37 AM EDT     5.40 meters High Tide
Thu -- 05:47 AM EDT     Sunrise
Thu -- 05:49 AM EDT     Moonset
Thu -- 09:46 AM EDT     0.12 meters Low Tide
Thu -- 03:58 PM EDT     5.60 meters High Tide
Thu -- 06:38 PM EDT     Moonrise
Thu -- 07:34 PM EDT     Sunset
Thu -- 10:09 PM EDT     0.10 meters Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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2.43.74.75.35.44.93.92.71.40.40.10.823.34.55.35.65.34.53.31.90.70.10.4

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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GOES Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Wind Forecast for Caribou, ME (12,3,4,5)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Caribou, ME
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.