Monday, October15, 2018 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Fort Kent, ME

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
10/6/2018 Colors of tide XTide graphs changed to emphasize that they were upgraded. See next note. Comments welcome.
10/4/2018 I have fixed XTide and updated the harmonic files. There were some name changes so you might have to click EDIT to find the new station name.

Sunrise 6:56AMSunset 5:50PM Monday October 15, 2018 7:12 AM EDT (11:12 UTC) Moonrise 1:33PMMoonset 10:30PM Illumination 34% Phase: Waxing Crescent; Moon at 6 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Fort Kent, ME
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location: 47.38, -70.32     debug


Area Discussion for - Caribou, ME
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Fxus61 kcar 151013
afdcar
area forecast discussion
national weather service caribou me
613 am edt Mon oct 15 2018

Synopsis
A warm front will cross the region today and will be followed
by a strong cold front late tonight. High pressure builds back
into the area later Tuesday and will be quickly followed by
another cold front Wednesday.

Near term through tonight
610 am update...

clouds have begun to increase across the forecast area this
morning as low pressure continues to track northeast through
quebec. Mrms radar reflectivity imagery shows the nearest
showers across central quebec at this hour. Made minor
adjustments to hourly temps dew points based on latest
observations.

Previous discussion
low pressure will track northeast through quebec as high
pressure continues to move east of new england. Moisture will
begin to increase across the region this afternoon in advance of
an approaching cold front from the west. Expect showers to
develop from west to east this afternoon as the front
approaches, with just about all areas receiving measurable rain
by late afternoon. The cold front will cross the region
overnight with showers diminishing toward daybreak. Low pressure
to our north will begin to rapidly intensify as it tracks
through the gaspe peninsula overnight. This will lead to gusty
west winds developing toward daybreak. There are still plenty of
leaves on the trees across northern maine and this will lead to
potential for power outages, as winds could gust as high as 55
mph, especially across the higher terrain. A high wind watch is
being issued beginning early Tuesday morning.

Short term Tuesday through Wednesday night
Very progressive flow alf will dominate the short range,
beginning with a S WV tracking ewrd across far NRN me from cntrl
qb Tue morn, which could result in sct rn and hier elevation
rn sn shwrs. Following this S WV as it tracks into the
maritimes, skies will become ptly to msly sunny Tue aftn. The
combo of a very strong sfc pres grad and winds alf (aoa 50 kt
aoa 925 mb) could pose the potential of strong to possibly
damaging wrly wind gusts across the N hlf of the fa Tue morn,
where we have optd to issue a high wind watch, winds will also
be strong ovr cntrl and downeast areas, but only likely to reach
lower end wind adv criteria with a weaker sfc pres grad and not
as strong as winds alf.

Winds will subside by sunset Tue across the rgn as a weak open
sfc ridge of hi pres from the SW crosses the fa. Fair skies tue
eve will then give way to increasing cldnss late Tue ngt with a
low chc of rn sn shwrs by daybreak wed. Wed and Wed ngt look to
be unsettled attm, with msly cldy skies and day tm sct rn shwrs
and ngt tm rn shwrs chgng to sn shwrs as an upper lvl trof
accompanied by mdtly strong cold front crosses the fa. Not much
in the way of organized precip for sig qpf, so QPF amts look to
be lgt to very lgt from late Tue ngt thru Wed ngt, with most
lctns in the fa receiving less than a tenth of an inch and
perhaps a dusting of sn late Wed ngt, msly across the n.

Long term Thursday through Sunday
Sct sn shwrs will likely still be ongoing msly across the N thu
morn as mdt cold advcn conts ovr the fa, ending ovr the rgn by
aftn as the upper trof moves E into the maritimes. Sc cld cvr
will likely hold tough spcly across the N into the eve hrs
before giving way in the ovrngt hrs. Mid cldnss increases ovr
the rgn from qb late Thu ngt as a warm front apchs. This front
will cross the fa by Fri aftn with little in the way of precip.

The next chc of sig precip, msly in the form of rn shwrs will be
later Sat into Sat eve as another upper lvl trof and associated
sfc cold front apchs and then crosses the rgn from the w. A
secondary upper trof will bring cldnss and re-newed chilly
temps to the rgn on sun.

Aviation 10z Monday through Friday
Near term:VFR conditions this morning will give way to
developing showers and MVFR ifr conditions through tonight.

Gusty west winds are expected to develop by daybreak Tuesday.

Winds could gust as high as 50 kt across the northern terminals
by day break Tuesday.

Short to long term: msly MVFR clgs, and briefly vsby attms for
nrn TAF sites while downeast sites msly remain lowVFR.

Marine
Near term: winds seas will increase to SCA levels this afternoon
and then to gale force by this evening, with gusts up to 45 kt
possible late tonight into Tuesday. A gale warning has been
issued beginning early this evening into Tuesday afternoon.

Visibility will be reduced at times to 1 to 3 nm in showers this
afternoon and into tonight.

Short to long term: will begin with an ongoing gale wrng for
strong cold advcn wrly winds Tue morn into erly aftn, then winds
will decrease to SCA later Tue aftn into Tue eve. After a brief
respite of below SCA conditions late Tue ngt and Wed morn,
winds and seas will increase back SCA lvls with alternating
passages of sfc hi pres ridges and cold fronts from Wed aftn
thru fri. Kept close to a ww3 nwps guidance blend for fcst wv
hts.

Car watches warnings advisories
Me... High wind watch from late tonight through Tuesday afternoon
for mez001>006-010.

Marine... Gale warning from 8 pm this evening to 2 pm edt Tuesday for
anz050>052.

Near term... Duda
short term... Vjn
long term... Vjn
aviation... Duda vjn
marine... Duda vjn


Weather Reporting Stations
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Clayton Lake, ME67 mi57 minN 0 mi38°F34°F85%1021.5 hPa

Wind History from 40B (wind in knots)
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Tide / Current Tables for Traverse St-Roch, Quebec
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Traverse St-Roch
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Mon -- 03:03 AM EDT     4.50 meters Low Tide
Mon -- 06:59 AM EDT     Sunrise
Mon -- 09:05 AM EDT     7.02 meters High Tide
Mon -- 01:32 PM EDT     Moonrise
Mon -- 03:12 PM EDT     4.88 meters Low Tide
Mon -- 05:53 PM EDT     Sunset
Mon -- 09:21 PM EDT     7.58 meters High Tide
Mon -- 10:30 PM EDT     Moonset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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6.15.44.84.54.75.35.96.46.876.96.66.25.65.24.955.66.26.87.37.67.57.2

Tide / Current Tables for Cap Aux Oies, Quebec
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Cap Aux Oies
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Mon -- 02:41 AM EDT     0.89 meters Low Tide
Mon -- 06:59 AM EDT     Sunrise
Mon -- 08:48 AM EDT     4.24 meters High Tide
Mon -- 01:32 PM EDT     Moonrise
Mon -- 02:46 PM EDT     1.54 meters Low Tide
Mon -- 05:52 PM EDT     Sunset
Mon -- 09:00 PM EDT     4.72 meters High Tide
Mon -- 10:29 PM EDT     Moonset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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2.61.710.91.42.133.74.14.243.52.92.21.71.51.92.63.44.14.64.74.64.1

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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wmap_A
GOES Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Wind Forecast for Caribou, ME (7,2,3,4)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Caribou, ME
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.