Sunday, May19, 2019 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Southworth, WA

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
10/6/2018 Colors of tide XTide graphs changed to emphasize that they were upgraded. See next note. Comments welcome.
10/4/2018 I have fixed XTide and updated the harmonic files. There were some name changes so you might have to click EDIT to find the new station name.

Sunrise 5:26AMSunset 8:47PM Sunday May 19, 2019 4:20 AM PDT (11:20 UTC) Moonrise 8:51PMMoonset 5:20AM Illumination 100% Phase: Full Moon; Moon at 15 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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PZZ135 Puget Sound And Hood Canal- 245 Am Pdt Sun May 19 2019
Today..NW wind to 10 kt becoming N in the afternoon. Wind waves 1 ft or less. A chance of showers.
Tonight..NW wind 5 to 15 kt becoming S to 10 kt after midnight. Wind waves 2 ft or less. A slight chance of showers in the evening then a chance of showers after midnight.
Mon..S wind 10 to 20 kt becoming sw 15 to 25 kt in the afternoon. Wind waves 2 to 4 ft. A chance of showers in the morning then showers likely in the afternoon.
Mon night..S wind 5 to 15 kt in the evening becoming light. Wind waves 2 ft or less.
Tue..N wind 5 to 15 kt. Wind waves 2 ft or less.
Tue night..NE wind 5 to 15 kt becoming S after midnight. Wind waves 2 ft or less.
Wed..Light wind becoming variable to 10 kt. Wind waves 1 ft or less.
Thu..Light wind becoming nw to 10 kt. Wind waves 1 ft or less.
PZZ100 245 Am Pdt Sun May 19 2019
Synopsis for the northern and central washington coastal and inland waters..Onshore flow will increase through the day today before turning southerly on Monday ahead of a weather system. Onshore flow will then dominate for the remainder of the week as high pressure remains centered well offshore with lower pressure east of the cascades.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Southworth, WA
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location: 47.52, -122.52     debug


Area Discussion for - Seattle, WA
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Fxus66 ksew 191105
afdsew
area forecast discussion
national weather service seattle wa
405 am pdt Sun may 19 2019

Synopsis Scattered showers will continue to track northwestward
over the southern portion of the CWA this morning as an upper
level low moves into california. A showery and cooler weather
pattern will persist into Tuesday as another low approaches the
pacific northwest and moves into oregon on Monday evening. A
drying trend will then follow for the latter half of the week.

Short term today through Tuesday As of 3 am, radar shows
showers progressing north and northwestward into pierce, mason,
and jefferson counties. 6 hourly rainfall totals have been up to
two-tenths of an inch in some places across lewis county. This
shower activity will continue to progress north and northwestward
early this morning, however it will mainly be confined to areas
south of skagit county. Any lingering activity will dissipate
across the area during the late morning hours, making way for some
sun in a few places this afternoon. Highs will be in the upper
60s to lower 70s today.

Sunday night looks drier, with a few showers just lingering over
the cascades. The next system will approach the pacific northwest
on Monday and will brush past us to the south during the evening
hours. This system will bring additional moisture to western
washington, allowing for the wet and unsettled weather pattern to
persist into Tuesday. Models currently in agreement with a drier
Tuesday evening. Afternoon highs will be below-normal on Monday-
with most areas only getting into the upper 50s-lower 60s.

Temperatures will then become more seasonable Tuesday, with highs
in the mid 60s.

Long term Wednesday through Saturday Current model runs
continue to indicate drying for the latter half of the week, as
western washington resides between an upper level ridge building
over the pacific and an upper level low over the interior west.

Models remain in disagreement regarding the track of the low
across the west coast, but have indicated that some wrap- around
moisture may push back into the pacific northwest at times.

Therefore, have maintained the slight chances for precipitation
throughout the remainder of the week. Highs will be in the upper
60s-lower 70s. 14

Aviation Southeasterly flow aloft will become easterly today as
an upper low off the coast of oregon moves east. Low level onshore
flow will increase through the day. In spite of shower
activity... Skies over W wa this early morning remain generallyVFR
except for uil... Where conditions there have dropped into MVFR. With
showers in the area... Cannot rule out CIGS dipping down into MVFR
conditions from time to time... But overall the prevailing conditions
should remainVFR for most terminals. The exceptions being those
locations that are prone to lower cigs... Such as hqm... Olm and pwt.

Any location seeing MVFR conditions is expected to see CIGS rise
intoVFR during the early afternoon. Shower activity will diminish
through the morning and afternoon... And while chances will not
disappear entirely... Activity will be more scattered.

Ksea...VFR conditions persisting... Although may dip down into the
lower end ofVFR during the early morning hours. Showers are
possible near the terminal... Or may occur briefly... But chances
generally less than 30 pct. Light and variable winds this morning
becoming more westerly this afternoon. Smr

Marine Will cancel the SCA for haz seas over the outer coastal
waters for the morning forecast package... Replacing it with SCA for
westerlies in the strait and adjacent waters. Strait looks to fire
up first... With SCA winds kicking in there this afternoon while the
adjacent waters look to hold off until this evening. Although
another weather system is expected to move over the waters
Monday... Current model solutions seem to have backed away from
previous thoughts regarding wind speeds over the coastal waters and
puget sound reaching SCA criteria. At this time... Speeds look to
remain under 20 kts. However... Current progs do suggest that winds
over the coastal waters to pick up for Tuesday. Regardless... No need
for any additional headlines with the morning forecast. Onshore flow
is expected to dominate for the remainder of the week for advisory
level winds at times both over the coast and strait. Smr

Hydrology The daily hydrology discussion has ended until the
start of the next rainy season; it will only be updated as needed
until then.

Sew watches warnings advisories
Wa... None.

Pz... Small craft advisory from noon today to 5 am pdt Monday for
central u.S. Waters strait of juan de fuca-east entrance
u.S. Waters strait of juan de fuca.

Small craft advisory from 5 pm this afternoon to 5 am pdt Monday
for admiralty inlet-northern inland waters including the
san juan islands.



Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
WPOW1 - West Point, WA 11 mi81 min Calm G 1 57°F 1005.3 hPa (-0.0)48°F
46120 18 mi49 min ENE 1.9 54°F 1004.3 hPa47°F
TCMW1 - 9446482 - Tacoma Met, WA 18 mi51 min SSW 2.9 G 4.1
TCNW1 - 9446484 - Tacoma, WA 18 mi51 min 1005.5 hPa
46121 20 mi43 min 54°F 1005.3 hPa51°F
46125 27 mi43 min 3.9 52°F 1004.9 hPa48°F
PTWW1 - 9444900 - Port Townsend, WA 43 mi51 min SW 5.1 G 6 1006.3 hPa

Wind History for Seattle, Puget Sound, WA, WA
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Boeing Field - King County International Airport, WA12 mi28 minS 310.00 miOvercast58°F48°F70%1005.2 hPa
Seattle, Seattle-Tacoma International Airport, WA12 mi28 minSW 310.00 miOvercast56°F48°F75%1005.8 hPa
Bremerton, Bremerton National Airport, WA14 mi25 minSW 510.00 miOvercast52°F50°F93%1007.4 hPa
Renton Municipal Airport, WA16 mi28 minSE 39.00 miOvercast58°F48°F72%1005.6 hPa
Tacoma, Tacoma Narrows Airport, WA18 mi28 minSSW 410.00 miLight Rain51°F50°F96%1005.8 hPa

Wind History from BFI (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrSE3E5CalmCalmSE3CalmE4W3E63W75--NW7NW74NE4NE4NW433CalmS5SE6
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SW7SW76CalmCalmS4SE5S4Calm
2 days agoCalmNW33NW4NW4CalmCalmSW4CalmCalmS34S6S43S4S735S7S6S8S5S7

Tide / Current Tables for Harper, Yukon Harbor, Washington
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Harper
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Sun -- 05:00 AM PDT     11.43 feet High Tide
Sun -- 05:28 AM PDT     Sunrise
Sun -- 06:19 AM PDT     Moonset
Sun -- 12:04 PM PDT     -1.93 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 07:12 PM PDT     11.87 feet High Tide
Sun -- 08:45 PM PDT     Sunset
Sun -- 09:51 PM PDT     Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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5.36.17.69.410.911.410.99.36.941.1-1.1-1.9-1.30.73.56.69.311.111.811.610.48.77

Tide / Current Tables for Skagit Bay, 1 mile N of Rocky Point, Washington Current
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Skagit Bay
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Sun -- 12:59 AM PDT     0.00 knots Slack
Sun -- 04:06 AM PDT     0.49 knots Max Flood
Sun -- 05:14 AM PDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Sun -- 05:28 AM PDT     Sunrise
Sun -- 06:19 AM PDT     Moonset
Sun -- 11:08 AM PDT     -1.56 knots Max Ebb
Sun -- 01:01 PM PDT     0.01 knots Slack
Sun -- 05:05 PM PDT     1.22 knots Max Flood
Sun -- 07:32 PM PDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Sun -- 08:45 PM PDT     Sunset
Sun -- 09:51 PM PDT     Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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-0.800.30.40.50.2-0.3-0.6-1-1.3-1.5-1.6-1.2-00.50.91.11.210.4-0.1-0.4-0.7-0.8

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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wmap_P
GOES Local Image of PacificNorthwest    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Seattle, WA (7,2,3,4)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Seattle/Tacoma, WA
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.