Monday, January22, 2018 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Southworth, WA

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
6/25/2017 - NOAA is having a major issue that impact the 7 day forecast load times. Many users are reporting problems. The issue has been reported.
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.

Sunrise 7:45AMSunset 4:59PM Monday January 22, 2018 6:16 PM PST (02:16 UTC) Moonrise 10:38AMMoonset 10:59PM Illumination 38% Phase: Waxing Crescent; Moon at 6 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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PZZ135 Puget Sound And Hood Canal- 248 Pm Pst Mon Jan 22 2018
Tonight..S wind to 10 kt becoming se 5 to 15 kt after midnight. Wind waves 2 ft or less. Isolated showers in the evening. A slight chance of rain after midnight.
Tue..SE wind 10 to 20 kt rising to 15 to 25 kt by late morning. Wind waves 2 to 4 ft. Rain.
Tue night..SE wind 10 to 20 kt becoming S 5 to 15 kt after midnight. Wind waves 1 to 3 ft. Rain.
Wed..S wind 5 to 15 kt. Wind waves 2 ft or less.
Wed night..S wind 15 to 25 kt. Wind waves 2 to 4 ft.
Thu..S wind 15 to 25 kt. Wind waves 2 to 4 ft.
Thu night..S wind 15 to 25 kt. Wind waves 2 to 4 ft.
Fri..S wind 10 to 20 kt becoming se 5 to 15 kt. Wind waves 1 to 3 ft.
Sat..S wind 10 to 20 kt becoming 5 to 15 kt. Wind waves 1 to 3 ft.
PZZ100 248 Pm Pst Mon Jan 22 2018
Synopsis for the northern and central washington coastal and inland waters..A warm front will move east through the waters on Tuesday. It will be preceded by strong east to southeast pressure gradients with gales over the coastal waters and the inland waters from admiralty inlet north. Southeast gradients will relax late Tuesday following the warm front. From Tuesday night through Saturday, a low pressure trough will pass about every 12 to 18 hours. The strongest trough may come on Friday night.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Southworth, WA
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location: 47.52, -122.52     debug


Area Discussion for - Seattle, WA
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Fxus66 ksew 230013
afdsew
area forecast discussion
national weather service seattle wa
413 pm pst Mon jan 22 2018

Synopsis Weak high pressure aloft will prevail overnight for a
brief lull in the precipitation. Alas, stormy weather will impact
the area Tuesday through Thursday for locally heavy precipitation
and gusty winds.

Short term
Scattered showers continued over the CWA this afternoon but the
coverage was gradually diminishing. Expect the showers to become
isolated, for the most part, by early this evening. There will
probably be a six to ten hour period of dry weather across much
of the area before the precipitation associated with the next
system arrives.

The next pacific storm will begin impacting the region late
tonight or early Tuesday morning. This system promises to bring
locally heavy snow to the cascades, particularly snohomish county
southward. The heaviest snow is anticipated to occur during the
Tuesday afternoon and evening time frame. The snow could fall at a
rate of 1-2 inches per hour. Paradise, on mount rainier, will
likely receive the heaviest snow due to strong upslope flow. The
olympics and north cascades are expected to receive less snow or
about 6-12 inches.

Locally heavy rain will also fall on the lowlands, mainly from the
puget sound region southward and the central coast. Total rainfall
amounts during the 24-hour period ending at 4 a.M. Pst Wednesday
are forecast to be about an inch to an inch and a half. Elsewhere,
amounts will generally be in the quarter to half-inch range.

In addition to the locally heavy precipitation, expect gusty winds
to develop on Tuesday. It looks like the strongest winds will
occur over parts of the northwest interior, where a wind advisory
is in effect.

The occluded front is anticipated to sweep across the region
Wednesday afternoon or evening. Expect the steady precipitation to
become showery behind the front. The snow levels rise into the
4500-5500 range ahead of the front Tuesday night; although,
easterly winds will keep the snow level below pass level in the
cascades of king and snohomish county. Expect the snow level to
fall into the 2000-3500 foot range behind the front on Wednesday.

The focus of the heaviest snow is anticipated to shift to the
north cascades on Wednesday.

A chilly upper level trough will remain off the coast Wednesday
night through Thursday for unsettled conditions. Disturbances
rotating around the upper level low will bring showery periods to
the CWA during this time frame. The air mass may become unstable
enough for isolated thunderstorms, especially over the coastal
waters. It will also be locally windy.

Long term
The medium range solutions were not in very good agreement
regarding the location and timing of a potential atmospheric
river event during this period. The ECMWF was faster and showed
heavy rain impacting the CWA as early as Saturday. It also showed
the brunt of the heaviest rain impacting the olympics and north
cascades (snohomish county northward). The GFS didn't set up the
atmospheric river event until early next week, and indicated that
the heaviest rainfall will occur across the southern part of the
cwa (king county southward).

The screaming message is that, at some point, we can expect
expect the possibility of excessive rainfall sometime this weekend
or early next week. However, the location of the heaviest rain
was still uncertain.

The medium range solutions were in more or less agreement that a
cold upper level trough will move over the area during the end of
the period.

Aviation A flat upper ridge axis will pass across western
washington this evening. As a result, shower coverage will be
diminishing this evening, and the unstable air mass will become
stable late this evening. Overnight, an easterly surface wind
component will develop and help to lift CIGS above 030-050. A
warm front will arrive on Tuesday morning. As a result, rain will
arrive early in the morning, and CIGS will lower mostly below 030
by late morning. Moderate westerly flow aloft today will become
strong southwesterly on Tuesday morning.

Ksea... Showers currently drifting eastward immediately south of
the terminal. Showers will dissipate this evening. Should still
keep scattered clouds in the 035-060 range this evening. Those
will dissipate overnight thanks to the development of a drying
easterly component to the surface wind. Warm frontal rain will
arrive around 14z tue. CIGS will start to lower thereafter,
eventually falling into the 020-030 range late Tue morning.

Expect reduced vsbys at times from 18z-24z Tue during periods of
moderate rain. Otherwise, low-level wind shear will reach criteria
for inclusion in the TAF on Tue owing to e-se surface wind of
8-13 kt and 2000-foot winds that will be southerly around 35-40 kt
for much of the day. Haner

Marine A warm front will move east through the waters on
Tuesday. It will be preceded by strong east to southeast pressure
gradients. This will bring southeast gales over the coastal
waters, and over the inland waters from admiralty inlet north.

Strongest winds over the inland waters will be focused from
admiralty inlet up to haro strait. Southeast gradients will relax
Tuesday evening following the warm front.

From Tuesday night through Saturday, a low pressure trough will
pass about every 12 to 18 hours. Forecast winds could be
conservative during any single forecast period due to the effect
of averaging out so many small, compact, fast-moving features.

The strongest trough may come around Friday night. Haner

Hydrology
The skokomish river fell below flood stage this morning and
continued to recede. There is a possibility of renewed flooding on
this river on Wednesday.

There is a potential for an atmospheric river setting up over the
area this weekend or early next week for a period of significant
rainfall. At this time, the location of where the heaviest rain
will occur was still uncertain due to disagreement in the medium
range models. The main message is that the combination of rising
snow levels and heavy rainfall could lead to flooding on some
rivers (besides the skokomish river) late this weekend or early
next week.

The USGS landslide threshold indices were near or at the
thresholds where landslides become probable. The additional
rainfall this week will only increase the risk of shallow
landslides.

Sew watches warnings advisories
Wa... Winter storm watch from Tuesday morning through late Tuesday
night for cascades of pierce and lewis counties-cascades of
snohomish and king counties.

Wind advisory from 9 am to 6 pm pst Tuesday for admiralty inlet
area-san juan county.

Pz... Gale warning from midnight tonight to 3 pm pst Tuesday for
coastal waters from CAPE flattery to james island 10 to 60
nm-coastal waters from CAPE flattery to james island out 10
nm-coastal waters from james island to point grenville 10
to 60 nm-coastal waters from james island to point
grenville out 10 nm-coastal waters from point grenville to
cape shoalwater 10 to 60 nm-coastal waters from point
grenville to CAPE shoalwater out 10 nm-west entrance u.S.

Waters strait of juan de fuca.

Small craft advisory for hazardous seas until midnight pst
tonight for coastal waters from CAPE flattery to james
island 10 to 60 nm-coastal waters from CAPE flattery to
james island out 10 nm-coastal waters from james island to
point grenville 10 to 60 nm-coastal waters from james
island to point grenville out 10 nm-coastal waters from
point grenville to CAPE shoalwater 10 to 60 nm-coastal
waters from point grenville to CAPE shoalwater out 10 nm-
west entrance u.S. Waters strait of juan de fuca.

Small craft advisory for rough bar until 4 am pst Tuesday for
grays harbor bar.

Small craft advisory until 3 pm pst this afternoon for central
u.S. Waters strait of juan de fuca-east entrance u.S.

Waters strait of juan de fuca.

Gale warning from 6 am to 6 pm pst Tuesday for admiralty inlet-
central u.S. Waters strait of juan de fuca-east entrance
u.S. Waters strait of juan de fuca-northern inland waters
including the san juan islands.



Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
WPOW1 - West Point, WA 11 mi76 min S 17 G 19 46°F 1025.7 hPa (+0.4)40°F
EBSW1 - 9447130 - Seattle, WA 11 mi46 min S 7 G 9.9 46°F 48°F1025.9 hPa
TCNW1 - 9446484 - Tacoma, WA 18 mi46 min 44°F 49°F1026.4 hPa
46120 18 mi39 min W 12 46°F 1024.8 hPa41°F
TCMW1 - 9446482 - Tacoma Met, WA 18 mi46 min ESE 4.1 G 6
PTWW1 - 9444900 - Port Townsend, WA 43 mi46 min ESE 1 G 1.9 46°F 47°F1025.5 hPa

Wind History for Seattle, Puget Sound, WA, WA
(wind in knots)    EDIT      (on/off)   Help
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G21
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SE8
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G21
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G30
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Boeing Field - King County International Airport, WA12 mi23 minSSE 710.00 miMostly Cloudy44°F37°F79%1025.4 hPa
Seattle, Seattle-Tacoma International Airport, WA12 mi23 minS 710.00 miPartly Cloudy42°F36°F79%1026.1 hPa
Bremerton, Bremerton National Airport, WA14 mi20 minSSE 310.00 miFair39°F37°F96%1026.9 hPa
Renton Municipal Airport, WA16 mi23 minS 610.00 miFair45°F36°F71%1025.9 hPa
Tacoma, Tacoma Narrows Airport, WA18 mi23 minS 410.00 miPartly Cloudy40°F39°F97%1025.6 hPa

Wind History from BFI (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrS9S10S8S10S8
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SW9S9S10S6SE7
1 day agoS12SE11S12S15
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2 days agoS11S9S10S11
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S8S10S10SE9SE8S12
G18
S6S7S10S11S7S9S10
G17
SE10S12

Tide / Current Tables for Harper, Yukon Harbor, Washington
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Harper
Click for Map
Mon -- 01:40 AM PST     1.38 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 07:47 AM PST     Sunrise
Mon -- 08:29 AM PST     12.48 feet High Tide
Mon -- 10:38 AM PST     Moonrise
Mon -- 02:56 PM PST     4.42 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 04:56 PM PST     Sunset
Mon -- 08:10 PM PST     8.87 feet High Tide
Mon -- 10:58 PM PST     Moonset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
2.81.61.52.54.46.99.311.312.412.411.49.986.24.84.44.967.38.38.98.67.66.3

Tide / Current Tables for Skagit Bay, 1 mile N of Rocky Point, Washington Current
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Skagit Bay
Click for Map
Mon -- 12:52 AM PST     -0.97 knots Max Ebb
Mon -- 02:34 AM PST     0.00 knots Slack
Mon -- 06:36 AM PST     0.82 knots Max Flood
Mon -- 07:47 AM PST     Sunrise
Mon -- 08:44 AM PST     -0.00 knots Slack
Mon -- 10:38 AM PST     Moonrise
Mon -- 02:02 PM PST     -0.98 knots Max Ebb
Mon -- 04:20 PM PST     0.00 knots Slack
Mon -- 04:56 PM PST     Sunset
Mon -- 07:07 PM PST     0.27 knots Max Flood
Mon -- 08:04 PM PST     -0.00 knots Slack
Mon -- 10:58 PM PST     Moonset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
-0.9-1-0.50.10.40.70.80.80.4-0.1-0.4-0.6-0.8-0.9-1-0.7-0.20.10.20.30-0.2-0.4-0.6

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
wmap_P
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
west_satellite

GOES Local Image of PacificNorthwest    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for Seattle, WA (21,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Seattle/Tacoma, WA
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.